Advertisement

SKIP ADVERTISEMENT

Wisconsin Cross-Tabs: May 2024 Times/Siena Poll

Results of a poll by The New York Times and Siena College in Wisconsin from April 28 to May 9, 2024.

View toplines for the full set of polls and cross-tabs for: all registered voters | likely electorate | Arizona | Georgia | Michigan | Nevada | Pennsylvania | Wisconsin

How satisfied are you with the way things are going in your life these days?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very satisfied

40%

38%

42%

26%

44%

38%

48%

40%

33%

47%

46%

38%

47%

37%

40%

43%

45%

37%

45%

41%

43%

47%

39%

39%

45%

35%

38%

45%

36%

28%

46%

43%

40%

36%

42%

36%

46%

Somewhat satisfied

39%

36%

42%

56%

38%

39%

34%

39%

62%

35%

37%

41%

36%

40%

48%

43%

35%

44%

36%

34%

36%

39%

38%

40%

43%

34%

47%

44%

32%

48%

41%

45%

32%

44%

46%

33%

37%

Not too satisfied

9%

12%

6%

12%

9%

11%

6%

10%

5%

4%

9%

9%

10%

10%

5%

4%

8%

8%

11%

9%

11%

8%

8%

10%

7%

11%

8%

6%

10%

19%

8%

8%

7%

10%

7%

12%

6%

Not at all satisfied

8%

10%

7%

2%

6%

10%

10%

8%

0%

12%

5%

11%

4%

10%

2%

9%

5%

9%

8%

11%

6%

6%

10%

9%

3%

15%

4%

3%

17%

<1%

3%

3%

16%

7%

3%

14%

11%

[VOLUNTEERED] Don't know/Refused

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

3%

2%

3%

0%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

5%

0%

8%

1%

<1%

5%

4%

1%

5%

3%

1%

5%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

1%

5%

3%

2%

5%

0%

NET Satisfied

80%

75%

84%

82%

82%

77%

82%

79%

95%

82%

83%

78%

83%

77%

88%

86%

80%

81%

81%

75%

79%

86%

76%

79%

89%

69%

85%

89%

68%

77%

87%

88%

72%

80%

88%

69%

83%

NET Not satisfied

17%

22%

13%

14%

16%

21%

16%

18%

5%

16%

14%

20%

14%

20%

7%

14%

12%

17%

19%

20%

17%

13%

19%

18%

10%

26%

13%

9%

27%

20%

11%

11%

23%

17%

11%

26%

17%

Number of respondents

614

301

309

74

117

195

215

530

27

42

275

335

239

288

28

40

69

277

58

113

97

134

164

316

305

266

43

262

228

47

77

189

151

232

296

242

42

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

20%

35%

29%

84%

5%

8%

35%

64%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

9%

15%

29%

25%

38%

45%

41%

8%

 

Thinking ahead to the presidential general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote or not at all likely to vote?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Almost certain

62%

64%

60%

53%

57%

59%

70%

63%

47%

51%

68%

58%

71%

59%

53%

50%

63%

59%

57%

69%

63%

62%

65%

60%

65%

64%

29%

69%

66%

56%

36%

64%

64%

62%

64%

67%

29%

Very likely

28%

25%

31%

38%

27%

31%

23%

31%

13%

20%

27%

29%

27%

33%

29%

13%

28%

32%

23%

27%

24%

21%

30%

31%

27%

29%

36%

29%

29%

22%

30%

26%

32%

27%

27%

29%

32%

Somewhat likely

5%

5%

5%

5%

9%

4%

4%

3%

10%

21%

2%

7%

1%

5%

9%

20%

3%

5%

12%

3%

6%

8%

3%

5%

4%

5%

13%

2%

4%

8%

15%

6%

1%

8%

5%

2%

19%

Not very likely

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

2%

0%

<1%

<.5%

3%

0%

<.5%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

2%

1%

<1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

7%

0%

<.5%

4%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

4%

Not at all likely

3%

3%

3%

2%

5%

3%

2%

1%

25%

3%

1%

4%

<.5%

2%

3%

15%

5%

2%

5%

<1%

4%

7%

1%

2%

2%

2%

14%

<1%

<1%

10%

9%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

15%

[VOL] Already voted

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

2%

<1%

<1%

1%

2%

<.5%

<1%

2%

4%

<1%

1%

0%

1%

5%

0%

0%

1%

1%

<1%

3%

<.5%

<1%

2%

2%

<1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

9%

3%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

<1%

Number of respondents

614

301

309

74

117

195

215

530

27

42

275

335

239

288

28

40

69

277

58

113

97

134

164

316

305

266

43

262

228

47

77

189

151

232

296

242

42

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

20%

35%

29%

84%

5%

8%

35%

64%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

9%

15%

29%

25%

38%

45%

41%

8%

 

If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden, the Democrat

38%

35%

41%

35%

36%

32%

50%

38%

40%

44%

49%

33%

49%

33%

62%

35%

66%

33%

59%

35%

25%

51%

44%

30%

80%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

0%

80%

4%

30%

76%

4%

15%

Donald Trump, the Republican

38%

46%

31%

22%

32%

49%

36%

42%

0%

22%

30%

42%

33%

46%

10%

15%

12%

45%

7%

43%

47%

15%

36%

48%

0%

85%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

3%

88%

36%

4%

80%

37%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the third-party candidate

9%

8%

10%

14%

15%

7%

5%

8%

19%

10%

7%

10%

8%

8%

2%

18%

8%

9%

7%

4%

17%

12%

4%

10%

7%

8%

27%

0%

0%

100%

0%

4%

3%

14%

7%

8%

16%

Jill Stein [stine], the Green Party candidate

1%

0%

2%

8%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

14%

4%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

11%

0%

1%

8%

<.5%

0%

3%

<.5%

<1%

2%

<.5%

4%

0%

0%

0%

9%

<.5%

<.5%

3%

<.5%

2%

4%

[VOL] Cornel West, the third-party candidate

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

4%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

5%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

Lars Mapstead [map-sted], the Libertarian Party candidate

<1%

<1%

<.5%

3%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

2%

0%

<1%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

0%

1%

2%

<.5%

1%

0%

1%

1%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

3%

0%

0%

0%

4%

<1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

3%

[VOL] Another candidate (specify)

<1%

<1%

<.5%

2%

0%

1%

0%

<.5%

8%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

3%

4%

4%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

9%

0%

0%

0%

5%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

1%

[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices

3%

4%

3%

6%

3%

3%

1%

2%

6%

7%

3%

3%

1%

3%

7%

3%

5%

3%

4%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

10%

0%

0%

0%

21%

4%

<1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

9%

6%

12%

11%

13%

6%

8%

8%

9%

13%

8%

9%

8%

9%

11%

12%

4%

8%

11%

13%

6%

12%

11%

7%

7%

5%

46%

0%

0%

0%

60%

8%

4%

12%

8%

4%

20%

Number of respondents

614

301

309

74

117

195

215

530

27

42

275

335

239

288

28

40

69

277

58

113

97

134

164

316

305

266

43

262

228

47

77

189

151

232

296

242

42

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

20%

35%

29%

84%

5%

8%

35%

64%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

9%

15%

29%

25%

38%

45%

41%

8%

 

(If candidate selected) Are you definitely or probably going to vote for [CANDIDATE SELECTED IN PREVIOUS QUESTION]?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Definitely

74%

77%

73%

53%

62%

81%

84%

77%

41%

65%

81%

70%

82%

74%

74%

48%

78%

78%

52%

81%

66%

63%

78%

76%

73%

78%

34%

81%

83%

23%

0%

84%

84%

64%

78%

80%

32%

Probably

24%

20%

25%

47%

30%

19%

16%

21%

51%

35%

19%

27%

18%

23%

26%

47%

20%

21%

43%

19%

27%

31%

21%

22%

25%

20%

49%

19%

16%

59%

100%

15%

15%

32%

19%

20%

57%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

2%

0%

8%

<1%

<1%

2%

8%

0%

<.5%

3%

<.5%

3%

0%

4%

2%

1%

5%

0%

6%

5%

<1%

2%

2%

2%

17%

0%

<1%

18%

0%

<1%

1%

4%

2%

0%

11%

Number of respondents

548

277

268

61

99

181

197

482

21

34

247

298

219

260

22

33

63

252

51

94

88

118

140

290

282

251

15

262

228

47

11

174

145

200

270

228

33

Percent of total electorate

100%

48%

52%

12%

20%

36%

31%

86%

5%

7%

36%

63%

32%

54%

4%

8%

11%

47%

8%

18%

16%

20%

26%

54%

49%

48%

3%

44%

44%

10%

2%

29%

28%

37%

46%

44%

7%

 

(Head to head, combines leaners) If you had to decide between the two today, would you lean more toward:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden, the Democrat

47%

42%

52%

55%

47%

40%

54%

46%

75%

55%

57%

43%

56%

41%

79%

58%

75%

39%

81%

48%

34%

70%

52%

36%

100%

0%

0%

100%

0%

37%

41%

93%

4%

42%

89%

6%

35%

Donald Trump, the Republican

45%

53%

38%

31%

44%

54%

40%

48%

4%

37%

36%

49%

38%

53%

16%

25%

17%

53%

11%

46%

60%

22%

39%

57%

0%

100%

0%

0%

100%

40%

23%

5%

92%

46%

7%

89%

50%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

7%

5%

9%

13%

9%

6%

6%

6%

21%

9%

7%

8%

6%

6%

5%

18%

8%

9%

8%

6%

6%

8%

9%

7%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

23%

37%

3%

4%

11%

4%

5%

16%

Number of respondents

614

301

309

74

117

195

215

530

27

42

275

335

239

288

28

40

69

277

58

113

97

134

164

316

305

266

43

262

228

47

77

189

151

232

296

242

42

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

20%

35%

29%

84%

5%

8%

35%

64%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

9%

15%

29%

25%

38%

45%

41%

8%

 

(Combines Senate races in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

... the Democrat

49%

42%

56%

61%

47%

43%

54%

48%

69%

55%

57%

46%

56%

44%

63%

61%

77%

39%

69%

54%

44%

64%

56%

40%

87%

11%

38%

93%

7%

37%

53%

94%

7%

47%

85%

11%

44%

... the Republican

40%

49%

33%

30%

37%

46%

40%

44%

0%

29%

36%

42%

38%

47%

23%

14%

17%

50%

13%

37%

46%

20%

39%

49%

5%

79%

28%

4%

84%

40%

20%

<1%

85%

42%

8%

81%

30%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

10%

9%

12%

9%

16%

11%

6%

8%

31%

16%

7%

12%

6%

9%

14%

26%

6%

11%

18%

9%

9%

16%

5%

10%

7%

9%

34%

3%

9%

23%

27%

5%

7%

11%

7%

8%

26%

Number of respondents

614

301

309

74

117

195

215

530

27

42

275

335

239

288

28

40

69

277

58

113

97

134

164

316

305

266

43

262

228

47

77

189

151

232

296

242

42

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

20%

35%

29%

84%

5%

8%

35%

64%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

9%

15%

29%

25%

38%

45%

41%

8%

 

(If Wisconsin voter) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Tammy Baldwin, the Democrat

49%

42%

56%

61%

47%

43%

54%

48%

69%

55%

57%

46%

56%

44%

63%

61%

77%

39%

69%

54%

44%

64%

56%

40%

87%

11%

38%

93%

7%

37%

53%

94%

7%

47%

85%

11%

44%

Eric Hovde [huv-dee], the Republican

40%

49%

33%

30%

37%

46%

40%

44%

0%

29%

36%

42%

38%

47%

23%

14%

17%

50%

13%

37%

46%

20%

39%

49%

5%

79%

28%

4%

84%

40%

20%

<1%

85%

42%

8%

81%

30%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

10%

9%

12%

9%

16%

11%

6%

8%

31%

16%

7%

12%

6%

9%

14%

26%

6%

11%

18%

9%

9%

16%

5%

10%

7%

9%

34%

3%

9%

23%

27%

5%

7%

11%

7%

8%

26%

Number of respondents

614

301

309

74

117

195

215

530

27

42

275

335

239

288

28

40

69

277

58

113

97

134

164

316

305

266

43

262

228

47

77

189

151

232

296

242

42

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

20%

35%

29%

84%

5%

8%

35%

64%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

9%

15%

29%

25%

38%

45%

41%

8%

 

(Recoded to age) In what year were you born?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

18-29

13%

12%

14%

100%

0%

0%

0%

12%

14%

19%

16%

12%

16%

10%

17%

18%

20%

11%

11%

15%

12%

14%

15%

11%

15%

9%

23%

12%

7%

20%

26%

18%

10%

12%

13%

10%

32%

30-44

20%

21%

20%

0%

100%

0%

0%

18%

16%

41%

25%

18%

24%

15%

29%

34%

26%

17%

35%

19%

20%

30%

19%

17%

20%

20%

26%

19%

17%

35%

23%

18%

20%

20%

22%

17%

26%

45-64

35%

36%

34%

0%

0%

100%

0%

35%

54%

27%

33%

36%

33%

36%

32%

41%

15%

40%

35%

36%

32%

30%

32%

39%

29%

42%

26%

29%

45%

27%

28%

31%

40%

36%

29%

41%

37%

65+

29%

29%

31%

0%

0%

0%

100%

33%

13%

5%

25%

32%

26%

37%

16%

5%

35%

31%

17%

26%

33%

26%

30%

31%

34%

26%

23%

38%

28%

16%

19%

33%

28%

29%

35%

30%

3%

Refused

2%

3%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

7%

2%

1%

<.5%

1%

6%

2%

4%

1%

1%

4%

3%

<.5%

4%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

4%

<.5%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Number of respondents

614

301

309

74

117

195

215

530

27

42

275

335

239

288

28

40

69

277

58

113

97

134

164

316

305

266

43

262

228

47

77

189

151

232

296

242

42

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

20%

35%

29%

84%

5%

8%

35%

64%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

9%

15%

29%

25%

38%

45%

41%

8%

 

What is the highest educational level that you have completed?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Grade school

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

<.5%

18%

2%

0%

2%

0%

<.5%

0%

12%

4%

<1%

6%

0%

0%

4%

0%

<1%

1%

<.5%

7%

1%

0%

2%

4%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

2%

High school

30%

34%

26%

27%

34%

28%

31%

30%

28%

34%

0%

47%

0%

47%

0%

46%

11%

36%

27%

22%

34%

24%

25%

35%

27%

32%

34%

23%

34%

40%

30%

22%

37%

32%

26%

33%

40%

Vocational or trade school

7%

8%

6%

4%

4%

10%

9%

8%

0%

9%

0%

11%

0%

12%

0%

8%

3%

8%

6%

6%

10%

7%

6%

8%

6%

10%

3%

5%

11%

5%

4%

6%

9%

8%

5%

10%

3%

Some college, no degree

14%

13%

15%

18%

9%

13%

18%

14%

24%

14%

0%

22%

0%

22%

0%

26%

21%

13%

17%

15%

10%

12%

15%

14%

14%

15%

10%

14%

14%

9%

19%

16%

14%

13%

12%

16%

14%

Associate’s degree

11%

10%

12%

9%

10%

13%

10%

12%

7%

5%

0%

17%

0%

19%

0%

8%

9%

12%

11%

12%

11%

16%

12%

9%

10%

12%

13%

11%

12%

14%

9%

10%

12%

12%

9%

12%

25%

Bachelor's degree

23%

20%

25%

33%

28%

21%

17%

24%

15%

14%

65%

0%

67%

0%

49%

0%

31%

18%

22%

31%

22%

22%

27%

21%

25%

20%

27%

26%

20%

25%

21%

28%

18%

22%

28%

19%

13%

Graduate or professional degree

13%

12%

13%

10%

15%

12%

13%

12%

8%

20%

35%

0%

33%

0%

51%

0%

22%

11%

11%

12%

12%

15%

14%

11%

18%

8%

5%

19%

8%

5%

11%

17%

7%

12%

18%

9%

3%

[VOL] Refused

1%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

<1%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

2%

0%

2%

<1%

<1%

2%

0%

Number of respondents

614

301

309

74

117

195

215

530

27

42

275

335

239

288

28

40

69

277

58

113

97

134

164

316

305

266

43

262

228

47

77

189

151

232

296

242

42

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

20%

35%

29%

84%

5%

8%

35%

64%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

9%

15%

29%

25%

38%

45%

41%

8%

 

Would you consider yourself:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

White

83%

84%

82%

80%

76%

81%

94%

98%

0%

0%

86%

82%

99%

98%

0%

0%

82%

87%

44%

82%

95%

66%

82%

91%

80%

88%

69%

85%

91%

76%

63%

83%

92%

81%

82%

90%

71%

Hispanic or Latino

3%

3%

4%

4%

6%

4%

<.5%

0%

0%

40%

2%

4%

0%

0%

15%

29%

2%

3%

5%

6%

1%

4%

6%

2%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

9%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

1%

Black or African American

5%

3%

7%

5%

4%

8%

2%

0%

100%

0%

3%

6%

0%

0%

29%

44%

7%

2%

35%

3%

0%

20%

2%

<1%

8%

<.5%

14%

5%

0%

11%

14%

8%

0%

4%

7%

2%

7%

Asian

1%

1%

2%

5%

3%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

18%

1%

2%

0%

0%

11%

11%

2%

1%

7%

0%

0%

4%

0%

1%

2%

<.5%

4%

1%

<.5%

0%

6%

0%

<1%

3%

<1%

<.5%

11%

American Indian or Alaska Native

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

6%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

5%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

Middle Eastern or North African

<.5%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

1%

Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander

1%

1%

1%

0%

6%

0%

0%

0%

0%

14%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

14%

6%

0%

1%

1%

3%

0%

<1%

3%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

<1%

2%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

1%

[VOL] Some other race (specify)

3%

3%

2%

1%

1%

4%

2%

2%

0%

12%

1%

3%

<1%

2%

6%

8%

3%

4%

5%

<.5%

<1%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

4%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

5%

[VOL] More than one race

<1%

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

<.5%

0%

0%

10%

2%

<.5%

0%

0%

17%

2%

3%

<.5%

3%

0%

0%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

0%

1%

<1%

0%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<.5%

0%

[VOL] Refused

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

3%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

2%

0%

5%

1%

0%

4%

2%

<1%

3%

4%

<.5%

3%

2%

4%

<.5%

1%

4%

<.5%

2%

2%

Number of respondents

614

301

309

74

117

195

215

530

27

42

275

335

239

288

28

40

69

277

58

113

97

134

164

316

305

266

43

262

228

47

77

189

151

232

296

242

42

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

20%

35%

29%

84%

5%

8%

35%

64%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

9%

15%

29%

25%

38%

45%

41%

8%

 

Note: Responses to questions after this point are reported only for respondents who completed the entire questionnaire.

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or a member of another party?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Democrat

30%

25%

35%

37%

26%

29%

33%

31%

56%

19%

38%

26%

39%

26%

37%

31%

49%

26%

54%

24%

24%

46%

29%

24%

58%

4%

17%

62%

3%

15%

31%

100%

0%

0%

58%

3%

15%

Republican

25%

27%

23%

18%

21%

30%

25%

27%

0%

19%

19%

28%

20%

31%

14%

12%

14%

31%

6%

27%

20%

15%

26%

28%

2%

52%

7%

2%

58%

9%

6%

0%

100%

0%

2%

53%

20%

Independent

39%

41%

36%

36%

44%

37%

37%

37%

29%

46%

36%

40%

35%

38%

36%

44%

33%

36%

35%

44%

45%

34%

39%

40%

35%

39%

60%

32%

36%

57%

50%

0%

0%

100%

33%

39%

55%

Another party

3%

5%

2%

6%

7%

1%

<1%

3%

0%

13%

4%

2%

3%

2%

13%

1%

0%

4%

1%

3%

6%

<.5%

3%

5%

3%

3%

9%

3%

1%

7%

6%

0%

0%

0%

5%

2%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

5%

3%

15%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

0%

11%

4%

3%

4%

2%

5%

5%

3%

3%

3%

3%

7%

2%

1%

12%

7%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

3%

9%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Donald Trump

41%

47%

36%

30%

32%

50%

42%

44%

22%

24%

31%

46%

34%

49%

8%

31%

23%

47%

20%

38%

49%

22%

37%

50%

5%

81%

26%

3%

84%

40%

24%

4%

88%

41%

0%

100%

0%

Joe Biden

47%

40%

53%

44%

49%

39%

54%

47%

64%

49%

60%

39%

58%

40%

83%

38%

65%

41%

64%

47%

40%

61%

49%

40%

86%

9%

28%

93%

5%

37%

43%

90%

5%

40%

100%

0%

0%

I did not vote

8%

9%

7%

21%

12%

7%

<1%

6%

15%

17%

4%

11%

4%

8%

3%

23%

8%

8%

12%

7%

8%

13%

7%

7%

7%

7%

24%

3%

8%

15%

17%

4%

7%

12%

0%

0%

100%

[VOL] Someone else

2%

2%

2%

4%

4%

2%

<1%

2%

0%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

0%

4%

2%

<1%

4%

1%

<1%

1%

14%

0%

<1%

5%

9%

<1%

0%

4%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

3%

<1%

3%

2%

3%

2%

0%

7%

3%

2%

2%

1%

3%

6%

2%

2%

4%

3%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

8%

1%

1%

3%

8%

1%

<1%

3%

0%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

(Excluding “I did not vote”) Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Donald Trump

44%

52%

38%

38%

36%

54%

42%

47%

26%

28%

33%

51%

35%

53%

8%

40%

25%

51%

23%

41%

53%

26%

40%

54%

5%

87%

34%

3%

92%

47%

29%

4%

94%

47%

0%

100%

-

Joe Biden

51%

44%

56%

56%

56%

43%

54%

50%

74%

58%

63%

44%

60%

44%

86%

49%

71%

45%

73%

51%

44%

70%

53%

42%

92%

10%

37%

95%

6%

43%

51%

94%

5%

46%

100%

0%

-

[VOL] Someone else

2%

2%

2%

5%

4%

2%

<1%

2%

0%

5%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

0%

5%

2%

1%

4%

2%

<1%

1%

18%

0%

<1%

6%

10%

<1%

0%

5%

0%

0%

-

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

2%

3%

1%

3%

2%

3%

2%

0%

8%

3%

3%

3%

1%

3%

7%

2%

3%

4%

3%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

11%

1%

1%

4%

10%

1%

1%

3%

0%

0%

-

Number of respondents

497

237

258

49

92

166

182

436

17

34

245

249

216

218

24

26

57

221

44

98

77

104

135

258

259

214

24

226

182

37

52

167

117

183

263

208

Percent of total electorate

100%

45%

54%

12%

19%

35%

31%

86%

4%

8%

37%

61%

33%

53%

4%

7%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

20%

27%

53%

48%

46%

6%

40%

38%

9%

13%

32%

25%

37%

51%

44%

 

(If not supporting Biden) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Joe Biden or not really any chance?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Some chance

3%

2%

3%

4%

6%

2%

1%

2%

5%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

0%

5%

0%

2%

3%

1%

8%

1%

1%

4%

0%

5%

9%

0%

4%

6%

5%

<1%

5%

3%

2%

2%

5%

Not really any chance

49%

56%

43%

42%

46%

57%

44%

51%

9%

46%

40%

54%

41%

57%

19%

36%

22%

60%

13%

49%

56%

23%

50%

59%

0%

95%

87%

0%

96%

62%

45%

9%

92%

53%

11%

92%

57%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<1%

<1%

<1%

2%

<1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

3%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

0%

3%

2%

3%

<.5%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

3%

0%

<.5%

0%

4%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

[PREVIOUSLY] Joe Biden

47%

42%

53%

52%

48%

41%

54%

46%

83%

50%

56%

43%

54%

42%

78%

57%

76%

37%

82%

50%

35%

74%

49%

36%

100%

0%

0%

100%

0%

33%

46%

90%

3%

43%

87%

6%

38%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

(If not supporting Trump) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Donald Trump or not really any chance?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Some chance

3%

3%

3%

6%

3%

1%

3%

2%

20%

5%

2%

3%

1%

2%

10%

10%

2%

3%

11%

1%

0%

5%

3%

1%

4%

0%

12%

2%

0%

5%

9%

1%

<1%

4%

2%

3%

0%

Not really any chance

50%

42%

57%

63%

50%

43%

54%

50%

64%

47%

61%

45%

60%

44%

68%

49%

78%

43%

64%

52%

41%

68%

54%

41%

94%

0%

76%

97%

0%

56%

56%

92%

5%

47%

89%

6%

49%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

2%

1%

4%

<1%

3%

1%

8%

10%

1%

3%

<.5%

1%

5%

12%

0%

<1%

12%

3%

0%

5%

3%

<1%

2%

0%

12%

<.5%

0%

0%

14%

1%

0%

4%

<.5%

1%

11%

[PREVIOUSLY] Donald Trump

45%

53%

38%

29%

43%

55%

41%

48%

9%

38%

36%

49%

38%

52%

16%

30%

20%

53%

13%

43%

59%

22%

40%

57%

0%

100%

0%

0%

100%

39%

21%

5%

94%

45%

9%

90%

40%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

(If candidate selected in presidential race, including third-party candidates) What is the MAIN reason you are planning to vote for [CANDIDATE SELECTED]?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

[VOL] Positive view of candidate's policies

23%

19%

27%

12%

25%

20%

31%

23%

22%

25%

20%

25%

20%

24%

23%

25%

42%

23%

15%

23%

17%

25%

23%

23%

22%

24%

25%

24%

26%

17%

9%

29%

22%

21%

23%

24%

17%

[VOL] Negative view of opponent's policies

5%

8%

3%

4%

4%

9%

3%

5%

0%

5%

6%

5%

6%

5%

0%

4%

4%

5%

10%

5%

7%

5%

4%

6%

2%

9%

0%

2%

10%

3%

0%

5%

8%

4%

3%

9%

2%

[VOL] Positive view of candidate's character/competence

17%

20%

14%

22%

12%

14%

23%

17%

26%

8%

14%

19%

16%

19%

3%

20%

15%

15%

20%

23%

17%

18%

19%

16%

20%

13%

31%

20%

13%

19%

25%

17%

16%

17%

20%

15%

12%

[VOL] Negative view of opponent's character/competence

27%

23%

31%

29%

28%

27%

25%

26%

28%

38%

30%

26%

28%

26%

48%

29%

25%

29%

20%

23%

30%

30%

27%

26%

40%

13%

38%

38%

11%

47%

24%

31%

10%

36%

39%

14%

40%

[VOL] Voting to support a political party

6%

6%

5%

5%

9%

4%

7%

6%

0%

4%

5%

6%

4%

7%

6%

1%

1%

7%

5%

2%

10%

2%

7%

7%

5%

6%

5%

6%

6%

<1%

11%

8%

9%

2%

5%

5%

12%

[VOL] The economy (including jobs and the stock market)

8%

9%

8%

6%

9%

13%

4%

9%

3%

4%

8%

9%

9%

9%

3%

4%

4%

11%

4%

9%

6%

5%

7%

11%

2%

16%

0%

2%

17%

0%

0%

2%

16%

9%

2%

15%

10%

[VOL] Inflation/the cost of living

3%

5%

2%

9%

4%

2%

2%

4%

0%

0%

3%

3%

3%

3%

0%

0%

2%

4%

0%

3%

4%

2%

2%

4%

0%

7%

0%

0%

8%

0%

0%

<.5%

8%

2%

0%

7%

2%

[VOL] Abortion

1%

<1%

1%

3%

0%

1%

<1%

<1%

0%

3%

2%

<1%

<1%

1%

7%

0%

2%

<.5%

0%

3%

<1%

1%

2%

<1%

1%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

<.5%

<1%

1%

2%

[VOL] Immigration

2%

2%

<1%

0%

<1%

3%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

0%

0%

3%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

3%

0%

0%

4%

0%

0%

0%

4%

1%

<.5%

3%

0%

[VOL] The state of democracy/corruption

2%

2%

2%

0%

2%

3%

2%

2%

0%

0%

4%

<1%

5%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

<1%

7%

4%

<1%

3%

1%

2%

3%

<1%

0%

4%

<1%

0%

0%

3%

<1%

2%

3%

<1%

0%

[VOL] Other (specify)

4%

4%

4%

10%

7%

2%

1%

3%

14%

6%

4%

4%

5%

3%

0%

13%

3%

2%

11%

5%

5%

6%

5%

3%

2%

6%

0%

2%

3%

12%

19%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

<1%

2%

0%

1%

3%

0%

<1%

6%

5%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

7%

4%

0%

<.5%

8%

<1%

2%

3%

<.5%

<1%

2%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

1%

12%

0%

<1%

2%

<1%

1%

0%

Number of respondents

483

239

241

55

85

166

170

426

16

31

230

251

205

219

20

27

58

218

43

89

75

104

126

253

252

217

14

234

196

42

11

160

121

179

243

198

29

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

53%

13%

19%

37%

30%

86%

5%

8%

36%

64%

32%

54%

4%

9%

12%

47%

8%

18%

16%

21%

25%

54%

48%

48%

4%

43%

43%

11%

3%

30%

27%

38%

46%

44%

7%

 

(If supporting Kennedy in presidential race) Are you mostly voting FOR Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or AGAINST the other candidates in the race?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

For Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

51%

55%

47%

81%

58%

32%

18%

58%

33%

0%

50%

51%

51%

61%

0%

20%

32%

46%

71%

42%

61%

39%

50%

57%

27%

66%

58%

-

-

51%

-

63%

0%

55%

53%

44%

57%

Against the other candidates

44%

36%

51%

19%

29%

68%

82%

38%

67%

79%

39%

46%

38%

39%

100%

71%

50%

51%

29%

38%

39%

61%

26%

40%

73%

22%

42%

-

-

44%

-

37%

84%

42%

43%

52%

43%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

5%

9%

2%

0%

13%

0%

0%

4%

0%

21%

10%

3%

11%

0%

0%

10%

18%

3%

0%

20%

0%

0%

24%

2%

0%

12%

0%

-

-

5%

-

0%

16%

3%

4%

3%

0%

Number of respondents

42

19

22

9

16

9

7

33

3

4

17

25

15

18

1

6

5

18

4

5

10

10

7

25

12

19

11

42

7

4

25

14

18

5

Percent of total electorate

100%

39%

60%

23%

38%

27%

11%

76%

12%

9%

29%

71%

26%

49%

1%

20%

8%

44%

8%

9%

30%

28%

14%

58%

33%

39%

29%

100%

15%

9%

57%

37%

40%

15%

 

In general, how satisfied are you with your choice of candidates in this fall’s presidential election?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very satisfied

24%

25%

24%

13%

15%

26%

36%

24%

33%

28%

20%

27%

17%

27%

39%

27%

25%

27%

32%

23%

14%

27%

25%

23%

21%

30%

10%

22%

35%

16%

9%

22%

41%

14%

18%

32%

31%

Somewhat satisfied

33%

36%

31%

25%

34%

35%

35%

35%

23%

18%

36%

32%

38%

34%

26%

18%

36%

34%

26%

31%

37%

29%

32%

36%

34%

37%

2%

38%

40%

17%

16%

34%

34%

35%

37%

34%

17%

Not too satisfied

22%

18%

25%

32%

25%

20%

15%

23%

15%

17%

24%

21%

25%

21%

13%

18%

14%

24%

14%

18%

29%

21%

19%

23%

23%

19%

22%

23%

17%

42%

17%

24%

14%

26%

23%

20%

22%

Not at all satisfied

19%

19%

18%

28%

25%

17%

12%

17%

29%

33%

20%

18%

18%

16%

22%

33%

25%

14%

24%

27%

17%

21%

21%

17%

20%

11%

61%

17%

7%

25%

52%

18%

10%

24%

22%

12%

28%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

4%

<1%

2%

<1%

2%

0%

4%

0%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

5%

1%

1%

0%

5%

<1%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

3%

NET Satisfied

58%

61%

55%

38%

49%

61%

71%

59%

56%

46%

56%

59%

55%

61%

65%

45%

61%

61%

58%

53%

52%

57%

57%

59%

56%

68%

12%

59%

75%

33%

25%

57%

75%

49%

55%

66%

48%

NET Not satisfied

40%

37%

43%

60%

49%

37%

27%

39%

44%

50%

43%

39%

44%

37%

35%

51%

39%

38%

38%

44%

46%

42%

40%

40%

43%

31%

83%

39%

24%

67%

70%

43%

24%

50%

45%

32%

49%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

How often do you pay attention to what's going on in government and politics?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Always

38%

39%

37%

15%

27%

41%

53%

38%

29%

41%

46%

33%

44%

34%

59%

29%

44%

42%

38%

37%

23%

34%

39%

39%

38%

40%

23%

45%

45%

13%

17%

38%

47%

35%

38%

43%

15%

Most of the time

34%

34%

35%

32%

31%

35%

38%

37%

16%

20%

31%

36%

33%

40%

18%

19%

32%

33%

20%

36%

45%

33%

37%

34%

35%

34%

33%

37%

33%

43%

26%

39%

29%

34%

37%

32%

34%

About half of the time

11%

10%

13%

22%

20%

9%

4%

11%

20%

12%

11%

12%

10%

11%

20%

14%

7%

11%

15%

14%

11%

13%

11%

11%

12%

12%

4%

6%

11%

21%

21%

9%

10%

15%

10%

13%

9%

Some of the time

14%

15%

12%

28%

15%

13%

5%

13%

27%

20%

10%

16%

12%

14%

0%

28%

17%

12%

15%

13%

18%

16%

12%

14%

13%

11%

37%

10%

10%

19%

32%

12%

12%

14%

12%

12%

34%

Never

2%

1%

3%

2%

6%

2%

0%

1%

9%

6%

1%

3%

1%

2%

0%

10%

0%

1%

12%

<1%

3%

4%

<.5%

2%

2%

3%

0%

2%

1%

4%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

<1%

5%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Strongly approve

16%

15%

17%

<1%

16%

13%

28%

15%

22%

23%

23%

13%

21%

12%

37%

17%

34%

13%

36%

12%

7%

26%

15%

12%

34%

<.5%

0%

40%

<.5%

0%

5%

36%

1%

11%

32%

<1%

9%

Somewhat approve

25%

23%

27%

30%

30%

22%

22%

25%

47%

19%

25%

25%

26%

25%

22%

33%

34%

20%

30%

29%

27%

36%

27%

20%

50%

3%

2%

49%

2%

24%

26%

41%

4%

25%

42%

6%

30%

Somewhat disapprove

13%

8%

16%

29%

17%

10%

5%

13%

19%

8%

16%

11%

15%

11%

19%

9%

10%

13%

11%

13%

13%

11%

15%

12%

11%

11%

37%

7%

8%

27%

30%

15%

12%

12%

17%

8%

12%

Strongly disapprove

44%

51%

36%

31%

36%

53%

43%

45%

5%

46%

36%

47%

37%

49%

22%

33%

19%

52%

15%

43%

53%

22%

41%

54%

2%

86%

52%

1%

90%

44%

31%

5%

83%

49%

7%

85%

47%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

2%

3%

9%

<1%

1%

2%

2%

8%

4%

<1%

4%

<1%

3%

0%

7%

2%

2%

8%

4%

<1%

4%

2%

2%

4%

0%

10%

3%

0%

6%

7%

3%

0%

2%

3%

<.5%

1%

NET Approve

41%

38%

44%

31%

46%

35%

50%

40%

69%

42%

48%

38%

47%

37%

59%

50%

69%

33%

66%

41%

34%

63%

42%

32%

84%

3%

2%

89%

2%

24%

32%

77%

6%

36%

73%

7%

40%

NET Disapprove

56%

60%

53%

61%

53%

63%

48%

58%

24%

54%

52%

58%

52%

60%

41%

43%

29%

66%

26%

56%

66%

33%

56%

66%

12%

97%

88%

9%

98%

70%

61%

20%

94%

62%

23%

93%

59%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of each of the following.

Donald Trump

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

22%

29%

16%

10%

11%

32%

23%

23%

0%

21%

12%

27%

12%

29%

17%

13%

7%

30%

7%

24%

14%

11%

24%

25%

<1%

47%

5%

1%

55%

0%

2%

<1%

59%

16%

2%

49%

11%

Somewhat favorable

19%

21%

18%

16%

27%

19%

16%

20%

9%

15%

21%

19%

22%

19%

12%

14%

9%

19%

6%

18%

35%

8%

18%

25%

<1%

41%

2%

<1%

37%

27%

15%

5%

30%

25%

4%

34%

24%

Somewhat unfavorable

10%

12%

8%

18%

16%

7%

3%

8%

18%

19%

9%

9%

10%

7%

0%

23%

13%

7%

23%

9%

10%

16%

7%

9%

10%

8%

16%

5%

5%

18%

30%

5%

3%

14%

7%

10%

17%

Very unfavorable

47%

39%

55%

51%

46%

41%

55%

47%

65%

45%

58%

42%

56%

42%

71%

46%

72%

42%

59%

49%

39%

63%

50%

40%

87%

3%

65%

93%

1%

49%

50%

88%

7%

44%

85%

7%

43%

[VOL] Have not heard of

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

<.5%

3%

5%

0%

1%

2%

2%

8%

0%

0%

3%

0%

2%

0%

4%

0%

2%

4%

<1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

<1%

11%

<1%

<1%

6%

3%

<1%

1%

2%

2%

<.5%

5%

NET Favorable

41%

50%

34%

26%

38%

51%

39%

43%

9%

36%

33%

46%

34%

48%

29%

27%

15%

50%

13%

42%

49%

19%

42%

50%

2%

88%

7%

2%

93%

27%

17%

6%

88%

41%

6%

83%

35%

NET Unfavorable

57%

50%

63%

69%

62%

48%

59%

55%

84%

64%

67%

52%

66%

49%

71%

69%

85%

48%

83%

58%

49%

79%

57%

48%

97%

11%

82%

97%

7%

67%

80%

94%

11%

58%

92%

16%

60%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Joe Biden

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

16%

15%

18%

4%

11%

11%

33%

16%

18%

24%

22%

14%

19%

13%

39%

16%

28%

14%

35%

11%

11%

23%

17%

14%

35%

0%

0%

41%

0%

0%

8%

38%

0%

11%

32%

<1%

9%

Somewhat favorable

29%

23%

34%

41%

40%

27%

19%

28%

69%

25%

28%

30%

28%

28%

34%

45%

45%

19%

43%

38%

27%

48%

32%

20%

54%

6%

9%

51%

4%

37%

32%

46%

7%

31%

47%

7%

34%

Somewhat unfavorable

12%

13%

13%

26%

16%

11%

5%

14%

5%

8%

17%

10%

18%

11%

10%

6%

9%

14%

7%

7%

20%

9%

11%

15%

10%

12%

31%

7%

9%

21%

32%

11%

12%

13%

13%

11%

11%

Very unfavorable

41%

49%

34%

24%

33%

50%

42%

42%

0%

43%

33%

45%

34%

46%

16%

30%

19%

51%

11%

43%

42%

19%

40%

50%

<1%

82%

49%

1%

88%

36%

25%

4%

81%

45%

6%

82%

44%

[VOL] Have not heard of

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

<1%

1%

5%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

8%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

4%

0%

2%

4%

0%

0%

2%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

0%

11%

0%

0%

6%

3%

<1%

0%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

2%

NET Favorable

45%

38%

52%

45%

51%

38%

52%

44%

87%

49%

50%

44%

48%

41%

73%

60%

73%

34%

77%

49%

38%

70%

49%

34%

89%

6%

9%

92%

4%

37%

39%

84%

7%

42%

79%

7%

44%

NET Unfavorable

54%

61%

46%

50%

49%

62%

47%

56%

5%

51%

50%

55%

52%

57%

27%

36%

27%

65%

19%

51%

62%

28%

51%

65%

11%

94%

79%

8%

96%

57%

57%

15%

93%

58%

19%

92%

55%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

7%

7%

7%

12%

12%

5%

2%

5%

3%

18%

6%

7%

5%

6%

10%

9%

0%

9%

6%

4%

10%

3%

5%

9%

3%

10%

15%

3%

6%

26%

7%

3%

3%

9%

7%

6%

6%

Somewhat favorable

30%

31%

29%

34%

33%

36%

20%

29%

53%

29%

29%

31%

31%

28%

20%

46%

16%

35%

33%

25%

30%

30%

24%

33%

18%

41%

38%

11%

41%

63%

28%

17%

34%

37%

16%

41%

50%

Somewhat unfavorable

17%

19%

16%

11%

20%

18%

19%

18%

2%

14%

20%

16%

20%

18%

17%

8%

20%

17%

15%

21%

13%

16%

18%

17%

21%

15%

11%

21%

16%

0%

23%

19%

18%

17%

18%

18%

12%

Very unfavorable

23%

22%

25%

11%

15%

20%

39%

24%

15%

23%

28%

21%

27%

23%

36%

15%

36%

21%

30%

22%

19%

26%

25%

22%

39%

9%

13%

48%

10%

4%

6%

36%

16%

20%

38%

12%

4%

[VOL] Have not heard of

7%

7%

7%

13%

6%

6%

5%

6%

23%

5%

4%

8%

4%

8%

5%

15%

7%

5%

10%

6%

9%

10%

4%

7%

5%

7%

12%

4%

8%

0%

16%

10%

8%

4%

7%

5%

11%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

16%

14%

17%

19%

14%

15%

16%

17%

3%

11%

13%

17%

13%

19%

12%

7%

20%

13%

5%

22%

19%

15%

24%

12%

15%

18%

11%

13%

19%

7%

20%

15%

21%

12%

14%

17%

17%

NET Favorable

37%

38%

35%

46%

45%

41%

21%

34%

56%

46%

36%

37%

36%

33%

30%

55%

16%

44%

39%

29%

40%

33%

29%

43%

21%

51%

53%

14%

47%

89%

35%

20%

37%

46%

23%

48%

56%

NET Unfavorable

41%

41%

41%

22%

34%

38%

58%

43%

17%

37%

47%

37%

47%

40%

52%

22%

56%

38%

46%

43%

32%

42%

43%

39%

59%

24%

24%

69%

27%

4%

29%

55%

34%

37%

56%

30%

17%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Joe Rogan [roh-gun], the podcast host

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

11%

15%

7%

16%

18%

9%

6%

10%

0%

22%

8%

12%

8%

12%

10%

12%

5%

14%

2%

12%

10%

6%

10%

14%

3%

22%

0%

3%

21%

12%

6%

<1%

26%

8%

3%

21%

6%

Somewhat favorable

18%

24%

14%

24%

27%

20%

7%

18%

32%

9%

19%

18%

19%

17%

15%

19%

18%

17%

21%

16%

22%

20%

18%

17%

10%

28%

5%

7%

28%

21%

18%

12%

21%

21%

8%

28%

31%

Somewhat unfavorable

11%

12%

11%

19%

12%

13%

6%

11%

3%

19%

15%

9%

15%

8%

14%

15%

13%

13%

21%

6%

6%

15%

9%

11%

15%

6%

21%

14%

5%

13%

18%

17%

5%

13%

16%

5%

14%

Very unfavorable

18%

12%

22%

17%

18%

17%

21%

19%

17%

17%

25%

15%

25%

16%

32%

11%

24%

13%

18%

29%

17%

16%

23%

17%

30%

6%

17%

34%

6%

9%

14%

31%

6%

18%

30%

7%

13%

[VOL] Have not heard of

24%

20%

27%

7%

9%

22%

43%

24%

44%

8%

18%

27%

18%

28%

17%

23%

20%

27%

19%

17%

27%

26%

19%

25%

27%

20%

27%

26%

20%

33%

20%

29%

20%

19%

28%

21%

15%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

18%

17%

19%

18%

16%

20%

17%

18%

3%

25%

15%

19%

15%

19%

13%

20%

19%

16%

19%

20%

17%

16%

21%

17%

16%

18%

29%

15%

19%

12%

24%

11%

21%

21%

15%

19%

21%

NET Favorable

29%

39%

21%

39%

45%

29%

13%

28%

32%

32%

27%

30%

27%

29%

25%

31%

24%

31%

23%

29%

32%

26%

28%

31%

13%

50%

5%

10%

49%

33%

24%

12%

48%

29%

11%

48%

36%

NET Unfavorable

29%

24%

33%

36%

30%

29%

27%

29%

21%

36%

40%

24%

40%

24%

46%

26%

37%

26%

39%

35%

23%

32%

32%

27%

45%

12%

39%

48%

12%

23%

32%

48%

11%

31%

46%

12%

27%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

What one issue is most important in deciding your vote this November?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

[VOL] The economy (including jobs and the stock market)

20%

22%

18%

16%

18%

26%

15%

19%

28%

18%

20%

20%

21%

18%

6%

29%

11%

26%

26%

16%

8%

20%

15%

22%

9%

32%

11%

8%

33%

17%

16%

9%

28%

25%

10%

29%

21%

[VOL] Inflation and the cost of living

7%

11%

5%

11%

8%

10%

2%

7%

5%

14%

5%

8%

4%

8%

13%

10%

3%

10%

12%

6%

3%

8%

5%

8%

5%

9%

15%

<.5%

9%

8%

19%

4%

10%

9%

4%

9%

15%

[VOL] Abortion

12%

4%

19%

12%

12%

9%

14%

13%

0%

6%

15%

10%

15%

13%

13%

0%

15%

9%

10%

20%

9%

12%

18%

9%

19%

5%

9%

22%

5%

8%

9%

23%

6%

9%

20%

5%

5%

[VOL] Immigration

13%

15%

12%

3%

4%

17%

18%

15%

3%

2%

10%

14%

10%

17%

9%

0%

7%

15%

2%

10%

19%

5%

12%

16%

1%

25%

9%

1%

28%

8%

7%

5%

25%

12%

4%

26%

4%

[VOL] Crime

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

[VOL] Gun policies

1%

1%

1%

5%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

<.5%

2%

0%

2%

3%

0%

2%

2%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

<.5%

2%

<1%

<1%

9%

<1%

<1%

6%

<1%

<1%

1%

<.5%

2%

<1%

2%

[VOL] Health care

3%

1%

4%

2%

4%

4%

2%

2%

22%

7%

2%

4%

2%

2%

0%

19%

1%

3%

2%

8%

2%

5%

5%

2%

6%

<1%

0%

5%

1%

7%

2%

3%

<1%

4%

5%

0%

13%

[VOL] Education

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

2%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

0%

3%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

0%

3%

0%

1%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

4%

<1%

0%

4%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

[VOL] Foreign policy

7%

9%

6%

10%

6%

7%

6%

7%

0%

7%

8%

7%

8%

8%

16%

0%

7%

7%

3%

7%

10%

8%

8%

7%

8%

7%

2%

9%

7%

9%

2%

8%

7%

7%

8%

7%

7%

[VOL] Russia/the war in Ukraine

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

2%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

[VOL] China

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Climate change

1%

2%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<.5%

3%

1%

0%

2%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

4%

0%

3%

<1%

1%

0%

2%

2%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

<1%

2%

0%

0%

[VOL] The state of democracy/corruption

5%

6%

4%

<1%

7%

3%

10%

6%

4%

1%

10%

3%

11%

3%

3%

2%

15%

3%

6%

8%

2%

6%

7%

4%

10%

<1%

3%

11%

<1%

2%

3%

11%

1%

4%

9%

<1%

0%

[VOL] Election integrity

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

2%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

2%

0%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

[VOL] Equality/inequality

<1%

0%

1%

<1%

2%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

3%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

3%

0%

<1%

4%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

1%

<.5%

0%

2%

<.5%

0%

0%

2%

0%

<1%

1%

<.5%

1%

[VOL] Polarization/division

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

1%

[VOL] Racism/racial issues

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Dislike of opposing candidate (Trump or Biden)

5%

4%

6%

0%

10%

3%

6%

5%

5%

3%

3%

6%

3%

6%

0%

6%

3%

4%

4%

4%

12%

7%

3%

5%

8%

2%

3%

9%

2%

8%

2%

7%

2%

5%

9%

2%

0%

[VOL] Character/competence of candidate (Trump or Biden)

6%

6%

7%

3%

6%

7%

6%

6%

2%

8%

8%

5%

8%

6%

5%

1%

12%

4%

3%

4%

13%

4%

8%

7%

8%

5%

7%

9%

3%

2%

10%

6%

4%

6%

9%

3%

9%

[VOL] The Middle East/Israel/Palestinians

1%

1%

2%

8%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

3%

6%

2%

1%

2%

<.5%

0%

7%

0%

2%

4%

2%

<.5%

1%

1%

2%

2%

<.5%

7%

2%

0%

2%

5%

2%

0%

1%

2%

<.5%

6%

[VOL] Taxes

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

1%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

[VOL] Student loans

<1%

<1%

<1%

2%

<.5%

1%

0%

<1%

2%

0%

1%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

3%

0%

0%

<.5%

1%

3%

0%

<1%

2%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

3%

[VOL] Other (specify)

6%

7%

6%

6%

8%

5%

7%

6%

3%

12%

5%

7%

4%

7%

10%

9%

8%

5%

8%

6%

10%

5%

7%

6%

6%

5%

17%

6%

4%

15%

5%

4%

6%

7%

5%

9%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

7%

8%

7%

18%

7%

4%

6%

6%

20%

6%

6%

8%

5%

7%

13%

11%

9%

5%

13%

6%

11%

10%

5%

7%

8%

7%

4%

6%

5%

4%

18%

8%

8%

5%

7%

5%

11%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Thinking about the nation's economy, how would you rate economic conditions today?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

4%

5%

2%

<1%

4%

4%

4%

3%

0%

11%

8%

<1%

6%

1%

24%

0%

9%

4%

5%

0%

3%

5%

4%

3%

7%

<.5%

0%

8%

<.5%

3%

0%

6%

<1%

3%

6%

1%

<1%

Good

25%

25%

25%

14%

30%

17%

39%

27%

13%

24%

30%

23%

33%

23%

11%

26%

44%

21%

31%

25%

21%

31%

24%

23%

48%

5%

2%

54%

5%

4%

18%

49%

9%

19%

45%

4%

24%

Only fair

28%

27%

29%

44%

29%

26%

21%

29%

47%

11%

27%

29%

28%

30%

27%

22%

28%

27%

25%

30%

32%

31%

29%

26%

33%

20%

42%

31%

20%

41%

33%

27%

24%

29%

30%

26%

30%

Poor

43%

42%

43%

41%

38%

52%

36%

42%

40%

51%

34%

47%

33%

46%

39%

48%

19%

49%

35%

45%

45%

31%

44%

47%

11%

75%

56%

6%

75%

52%

49%

18%

66%

49%

18%

69%

45%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

4%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

4%

0%

0%

4%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

NET Excellent/good

29%

31%

27%

15%

33%

21%

43%

30%

13%

35%

38%

24%

39%

24%

35%

26%

53%

25%

36%

25%

24%

36%

28%

26%

55%

5%

2%

62%

5%

7%

18%

55%

10%

22%

52%

5%

25%

NET Fair/poor

71%

69%

72%

85%

67%

78%

57%

70%

87%

62%

62%

76%

61%

76%

65%

71%

47%

75%

60%

75%

76%

62%

72%

74%

44%

95%

98%

37%

95%

93%

82%

45%

90%

78%

48%

95%

75%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Do you think abortion should be always legal, mostly legal, mostly illegal or always illegal?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Always legal

35%

24%

44%

48%

34%

35%

29%

33%

74%

39%

43%

31%

42%

28%

48%

55%

46%

27%

66%

42%

25%

41%

37%

32%

55%

14%

33%

59%

12%

32%

32%

66%

7%

30%

56%

12%

37%

Mostly legal

30%

35%

27%

30%

31%

30%

33%

31%

19%

30%

30%

31%

29%

32%

34%

25%

38%

33%

20%

29%

26%

40%

29%

28%

36%

26%

25%

30%

25%

40%

41%

28%

24%

37%

33%

25%

42%

Mostly illegal

19%

23%

15%

19%

19%

19%

19%

20%

0%

13%

19%

19%

21%

20%

6%

11%

13%

21%

7%

17%

26%

14%

21%

20%

4%

33%

32%

5%

35%

19%

14%

4%

37%

21%

4%

35%

17%

Always illegal

8%

7%

8%

2%

10%

8%

8%

8%

3%

9%

7%

8%

6%

8%

12%

5%

4%

9%

6%

6%

8%

5%

8%

9%

2%

14%

9%

2%

14%

7%

6%

<.5%

16%

5%

2%

15%

3%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

8%

11%

5%

2%

6%

8%

10%

8%

3%

9%

2%

10%

2%

11%

0%

5%

0%

10%

1%

6%

14%

<1%

6%

12%

3%

14%

1%

4%

14%

2%

7%

2%

16%

7%

4%

13%

1%

NET Legal

65%

58%

71%

77%

66%

65%

62%

64%

94%

69%

72%

63%

71%

60%

82%

79%

83%

60%

87%

71%

52%

80%

65%

59%

91%

40%

59%

90%

37%

72%

73%

94%

32%

67%

90%

37%

79%

NET Illegal

27%

30%

24%

21%

28%

27%

28%

28%

3%

22%

26%

27%

27%

29%

18%

16%

17%

30%

12%

23%

34%

19%

29%

29%

6%

46%

40%

7%

49%

26%

20%

4%

53%

26%

6%

50%

19%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following:

(Split A) The economy

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden

41%

38%

44%

48%

39%

29%

50%

40%

79%

40%

50%

35%

50%

35%

69%

36%

72%

27%

80%

40%

36%

71%

46%

30%

89%

0%

10%

93%

0%

13%

32%

80%

3%

37%

82%

2%

23%

Donald Trump

56%

58%

53%

43%

57%

67%

50%

57%

0%

57%

47%

61%

49%

61%

24%

56%

26%

68%

13%

59%

60%

25%

49%

67%

9%

100%

56%

5%

100%

87%

42%

15%

97%

59%

15%

96%

67%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

4%

4%

4%

9%

4%

5%

0%

3%

21%

4%

3%

4%

1%

4%

7%

8%

2%

5%

7%

1%

4%

4%

5%

3%

2%

0%

34%

2%

0%

0%

26%

5%

0%

5%

3%

2%

10%

Number of respondents

265

123

138

35

44

90

92

237

5

16

124

140

111

125

10

11

35

108

20

58

44

50

70

145

133

114

18

118

99

20

28

87

64

102

129

98

23

Percent of total electorate

100%

45%

53%

14%

18%

34%

31%

89%

2%

6%

37%

62%

33%

55%

3%

5%

14%

41%

5%

22%

18%

16%

25%

58%

45%

48%

8%

38%

41%

9%

12%

30%

26%

40%

45%

40%

10%

 

(Split A) The Israeli-Palestinian [pah-luh-stin-ian] conflict

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden

35%

36%

35%

31%

32%

28%

46%

36%

38%

38%

48%

28%

48%

29%

56%

26%

65%

24%

66%

32%

34%

63%

39%

26%

77%

<1%

4%

85%

1%

7%

15%

68%

6%

31%

70%

2%

30%

Donald Trump

51%

51%

50%

34%

48%

66%

44%

52%

0%

52%

41%

56%

44%

56%

15%

56%

19%

65%

9%

52%

52%

18%

39%

65%

8%

95%

25%

5%

95%

80%

24%

13%

88%

54%

15%

93%

40%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

14%

13%

15%

34%

19%

6%

10%

12%

62%

10%

11%

16%

8%

14%

28%

18%

16%

11%

25%

17%

14%

19%

22%

9%

15%

4%

71%

11%

4%

13%

60%

18%

6%

16%

15%

5%

30%

Number of respondents

265

123

138

35

44

90

92

237

5

16

124

140

111

125

10

11

35

108

20

58

44

50

70

145

133

114

18

118

99

20

28

87

64

102

129

98

23

Percent of total electorate

100%

45%

53%

14%

18%

34%

31%

89%

2%

6%

37%

62%

33%

55%

3%

5%

14%

41%

5%

22%

18%

16%

25%

58%

45%

48%

8%

38%

41%

9%

12%

30%

26%

40%

45%

40%

10%

 

(Split A) Abortion

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden

52%

52%

53%

71%

56%

43%

49%

52%

79%

62%

62%

46%

61%

46%

84%

54%

81%

38%

83%

51%

52%

81%

59%

41%

95%

14%

35%

96%

10%

51%

53%

89%

16%

49%

92%

11%

43%

Donald Trump

39%

44%

34%

22%

31%

51%

39%

41%

0%

26%

31%

43%

34%

45%

9%

27%

10%

51%

9%

41%

41%

13%

30%

51%

2%

76%

29%

2%

80%

44%

13%

8%

76%

39%

4%

81%

38%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

9%

4%

13%

6%

12%

6%

11%

7%

21%

12%

7%

10%

5%

9%

7%

19%

9%

10%

7%

8%

7%

6%

11%

9%

3%

10%

36%

2%

9%

6%

34%

3%

8%

12%

4%

8%

19%

Number of respondents

265

123

138

35

44

90

92

237

5

16

124

140

111

125

10

11

35

108

20

58

44

50

70

145

133

114

18

118

99

20

28

87

64

102

129

98

23

Percent of total electorate

100%

45%

53%

14%

18%

34%

31%

89%

2%

6%

37%

62%

33%

55%

3%

5%

14%

41%

5%

22%

18%

16%

25%

58%

45%

48%

8%

38%

41%

9%

12%

30%

26%

40%

45%

40%

10%

 

Who do you think is most responsible for the Supreme Court ending the constitutional right to an abortion: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden, a lot of responsibility

5%

5%

6%

0%

5%

5%

10%

6%

0%

7%

4%

6%

4%

7%

5%

5%

<1%

6%

5%

2%

11%

3%

1%

8%

2%

10%

0%

2%

10%

4%

3%

4%

10%

4%

2%

10%

0%

Joe Biden, some responsibility

9%

7%

11%

16%

10%

7%

6%

8%

15%

11%

5%

10%

5%

10%

0%

13%

6%

9%

8%

4%

16%

10%

4%

11%

5%

13%

7%

2%

13%

14%

14%

2%

12%

11%

5%

13%

16%

Donald Trump, some responsibility

23%

25%

21%

42%

29%

19%

15%

24%

0%

31%

25%

21%

29%

20%

3%

29%

23%

22%

17%

25%

25%

19%

27%

22%

19%

23%

44%

20%

22%

26%

31%

18%

25%

25%

19%

24%

38%

Donald Trump, a lot of responsibility

37%

33%

39%

24%

29%

38%

46%

37%

58%

33%

41%

35%

40%

35%

54%

39%

56%

31%

56%

40%

25%

50%

35%

32%

64%

13%

8%

68%

14%

20%

25%

66%

15%

30%

60%

13%

28%

[VOL] Neither

15%

17%

13%

10%

18%

16%

14%

15%

0%

12%

17%

14%

16%

14%

21%

3%

11%

17%

1%

19%

13%

10%

20%

14%

7%

21%

29%

7%

22%

26%

10%

5%

18%

18%

9%

20%

8%

[VOL] Both

2%

<1%

4%

5%

2%

3%

<1%

2%

23%

0%

3%

2%

2%

1%

11%

6%

3%

2%

10%

<1%

3%

5%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

0%

3%

4%

8%

4%

1%

2%

3%

2%

2%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

9%

12%

6%

3%

7%

11%

9%

9%

3%

6%

5%

12%

4%

13%

6%

5%

0%

13%

3%

10%

7%

4%

10%

10%

1%

17%

11%

<1%

17%

6%

10%

0%

19%

10%

2%

18%

7%

NET Biden

14%

12%

17%

16%

15%

12%

16%

14%

15%

18%

9%

17%

9%

17%

5%

18%

7%

16%

13%

6%

27%

13%

6%

19%

7%

23%

7%

4%

23%

18%

17%

6%

22%

15%

7%

23%

16%

NET Trump

59%

58%

60%

67%

58%

57%

60%

60%

58%

64%

66%

56%

69%

55%

57%

68%

79%

53%

73%

65%

50%

68%

63%

54%

83%

36%

52%

88%

36%

46%

56%

84%

40%

55%

79%

37%

67%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Which comes closest to your view about the political and economic system in America, even if none are exactly right?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

The system does not need changes

4%

6%

3%

0%

5%

2%

8%

4%

0%

10%

5%

4%

3%

4%

17%

2%

6%

6%

2%

1%

2%

2%

6%

4%

5%

4%

0%

6%

4%

3%

0%

5%

3%

4%

5%

4%

0%

The system needs minor changes

30%

30%

30%

24%

29%

23%

41%

32%

13%

15%

38%

26%

41%

28%

24%

11%

46%

23%

25%

39%

32%

30%

35%

28%

40%

21%

23%

44%

22%

23%

18%

37%

21%

30%

40%

20%

23%

The system needs major changes

52%

48%

54%

66%

51%

56%

42%

49%

69%

71%

48%

54%

49%

49%

50%

78%

45%

54%

56%

49%

51%

57%

48%

52%

47%

55%

60%

45%

52%

61%

62%

48%

56%

51%

47%

55%

66%

The system needs to be torn down entirely

13%

16%

11%

10%

14%

19%

7%

14%

18%

5%

7%

17%

6%

18%

8%

10%

3%

16%

17%

9%

13%

11%

11%

15%

7%

18%

17%

4%

19%

13%

20%

9%

16%

15%

8%

19%

11%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

<1%

1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

3%

1%

0%

0%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

2%

<1%

2%

0%

<1%

2%

0%

0%

<1%

2%

<.5%

<1%

2%

0%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

If Donald Trump won the election, do you think nothing would change, there would be minor changes to how things work, there would be major changes to how things work, or he would tear down the system completely?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Nothing would change

3%

3%

3%

4%

7%

1%

0%

3%

0%

7%

4%

2%

3%

2%

2%

0%

3%

3%

1%

2%

6%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

5%

8%

5%

2%

2%

4%

<1%

11%

Minor changes to how things work

23%

28%

20%

36%

22%

25%

15%

24%

3%

23%

27%

22%

28%

22%

21%

15%

25%

22%

11%

25%

31%

17%

21%

27%

16%

28%

42%

15%

25%

44%

25%

13%

23%

30%

18%

29%

21%

Major changes to how things work

45%

49%

43%

41%

50%

51%

41%

47%

27%

45%

42%

48%

43%

50%

38%

42%

35%

48%

29%

50%

50%

39%

48%

47%

31%

64%

23%

31%

68%

35%

29%

34%

69%

42%

31%

62%

55%

He would tear down the system entirely

26%

19%

32%

17%

20%

22%

39%

24%

62%

26%

27%

26%

25%

24%

39%

40%

36%

24%

56%

21%

13%

39%

26%

20%

47%

4%

23%

51%

4%

13%

28%

47%

5%

23%

45%

6%

10%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

3%

2%

<.5%

<1%

5%

2%

8%

0%

<1%

3%

<1%

2%

0%

4%

<1%

3%

4%

2%

<.5%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

9%

<1%

<1%

3%

9%

1%

1%

3%

2%

2%

3%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

If Joe Biden won the election, do you think nothing would change, there would be minor changes to how things work, there would be major changes to how things work, or he would tear down the system completely?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Nothing would change

35%

39%

31%

43%

39%

38%

22%

35%

11%

46%

32%

36%

32%

37%

35%

30%

40%

35%

14%

34%

42%

19%

38%

39%

25%

43%

47%

22%

41%

47%

44%

24%

44%

36%

27%

43%

40%

Minor changes to how things work

40%

34%

45%

51%

46%

30%

42%

40%

53%

31%

44%

38%

46%

37%

36%

42%

45%

36%

57%

41%

36%

56%

40%

33%

62%

16%

43%

64%

15%

37%

42%

60%

19%

38%

60%

16%

38%

Major changes to how things work

11%

10%

11%

3%

8%

13%

14%

10%

22%

13%

13%

10%

12%

9%

18%

16%

11%

11%

19%

9%

9%

16%

7%

11%

10%

13%

3%

10%

14%

12%

5%

9%

10%

12%

9%

13%

12%

He would tear down the system entirely

11%

13%

9%

3%

6%

14%

16%

12%

0%

8%

9%

12%

9%

12%

3%

7%

4%

14%

5%

12%

12%

6%

10%

14%

<1%

23%

3%

<1%

26%

4%

4%

3%

21%

12%

<1%

23%

7%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

4%

4%

<1%

<1%

5%

6%

3%

14%

2%

2%

4%

1%

4%

7%

5%

2%

4%

6%

5%

2%

3%

5%

3%

3%

4%

4%

3%

4%

0%

5%

4%

7%

2%

3%

5%

3%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

(If Trump major/minor change or tear down the system) Do you think the changes that Donald Trump would make would be good for the country or bad for the country, or neither good nor bad?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very good for the country

29%

35%

24%

11%

21%

42%

28%

31%

5%

29%

22%

34%

21%

36%

29%

18%

16%

37%

4%

31%

28%

15%

34%

32%

2%

62%

4%

2%

70%

7%

7%

5%

71%

23%

4%

60%

21%

Somewhat good for the country

13%

13%

12%

17%

16%

11%

11%

12%

24%

11%

14%

12%

15%

11%

5%

21%

6%

12%

20%

12%

16%

12%

9%

15%

4%

23%

4%

2%

20%

26%

11%

2%

14%

20%

4%

22%

13%

Somewhat bad for the country

6%

5%

7%

18%

6%

4%

3%

6%

3%

11%

6%

6%

6%

6%

12%

7%

10%

5%

2%

10%

4%

8%

6%

6%

11%

<.5%

13%

11%

<.5%

0%

14%

8%

<1%

10%

8%

1%

15%

Very bad for the country

33%

27%

39%

28%

35%

24%

46%

34%

43%

27%

44%

28%

44%

28%

42%

30%

54%

28%

45%

33%

30%

47%

36%

26%

65%

1%

25%

73%

1%

26%

18%

69%

3%

25%

64%

2%

20%

Neither good nor bad

12%

14%

11%

14%

13%

16%

7%

12%

17%

15%

10%

14%

10%

13%

9%

20%

11%

11%

24%

9%

17%

14%

9%

14%

12%

9%

34%

9%

5%

27%

32%

9%

7%

17%

13%

11%

15%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

<1%

2%

5%

2%

0%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

2%

<1%

<1%

8%

<.5%

<1%

6%

1%

1%

0%

<1%

1%

0%

2%

[PREVIOUSLY] Nothing would change

3%

3%

3%

4%

7%

1%

0%

3%

0%

7%

4%

2%

3%

2%

2%

0%

3%

3%

1%

2%

6%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

5%

8%

5%

2%

2%

4%

<1%

11%

[PREVIOUSLY] Don’t know/Refused

2%

2%

3%

2%

<.5%

<1%

5%

2%

8%

0%

<1%

3%

<1%

2%

0%

4%

<1%

3%

4%

2%

<.5%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

9%

<1%

<1%

3%

9%

1%

1%

3%

2%

2%

3%

NET Good

42%

48%

36%

28%

37%

53%

38%

43%

29%

40%

36%

45%

35%

47%

34%

39%

21%

49%

24%

43%

43%

27%

43%

47%

6%

85%

8%

4%

90%

32%

18%

7%

86%

43%

8%

82%

34%

NET Bad

39%

33%

45%

46%

40%

29%

49%

40%

46%

38%

50%

34%

50%

34%

54%

37%

64%

33%

47%

43%

34%

55%

43%

32%

76%

1%

38%

84%

2%

26%

32%

76%

4%

35%

72%

4%

35%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

(If Biden major/minor change or tear down the system) Do you think the changes that Joe Biden would make would be good for the country or bad for the country, or neither good nor bad?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very good for the country

10%

7%

12%

<1%

3%

7%

22%

11%

2%

6%

14%

8%

14%

9%

11%

3%

12%

8%

17%

8%

10%

13%

9%

9%

20%

<1%

0%

24%

<1%

2%

<1%

23%

0%

7%

19%

1%

2%

Somewhat good for the country

15%

13%

17%

17%

20%

14%

13%

14%

53%

8%

18%

14%

19%

11%

18%

27%

26%

10%

33%

14%

14%

32%

13%

10%

31%

<1%

2%

32%

0%

17%

11%

27%

2%

14%

28%

2%

10%

Somewhat bad for the country

3%

1%

4%

5%

4%

2%

3%

3%

0%

7%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

5%

2%

3%

0%

5%

3%

2%

4%

3%

<1%

4%

9%

0%

4%

5%

6%

2%

4%

2%

<1%

4%

6%

Very bad for the country

19%

23%

15%

6%

16%

23%

22%

20%

0%

14%

17%

19%

18%

21%

5%

12%

12%

22%

4%

24%

18%

10%

19%

23%

<1%

39%

11%

<1%

43%

11%

8%

4%

36%

22%

1%

40%

11%

Neither good nor bad

14%

12%

15%

24%

15%

11%

12%

14%

20%

15%

14%

14%

14%

14%

14%

19%

7%

16%

26%

11%

11%

20%

12%

12%

20%

7%

20%

18%

7%

12%

23%

17%

6%

16%

19%

5%

27%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

<.5%

2%

4%

3%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

3%

<1%

2%

0%

1%

6%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<1%

2%

<.5%

1%

8%

<.5%

<1%

6%

2%

<1%

<1%

<1%

2%

0%

0%

[PREVIOUSLY] Nothing would change

35%

39%

31%

43%

39%

38%

22%

35%

11%

46%

32%

36%

32%

37%

35%

30%

40%

35%

14%

34%

42%

19%

38%

39%

25%

43%

47%

22%

41%

47%

44%

24%

44%

36%

27%

43%

40%

[PREVIOUSLY] Don’t know/Refused

4%

4%

4%

<1%

<1%

5%

6%

3%

14%

2%

2%

4%

1%

4%

7%

5%

2%

4%

6%

5%

2%

3%

5%

3%

3%

4%

4%

3%

4%

0%

5%

4%

7%

2%

3%

5%

3%

NET Good

25%

20%

29%

18%

22%

21%

35%

25%

55%

14%

32%

21%

33%

20%

29%

29%

38%

19%

50%

22%

24%

45%

22%

18%

51%

2%

2%

56%

<1%

19%

11%

49%

2%

21%

47%

4%

12%

NET Bad

22%

25%

18%

11%

20%

24%

25%

23%

0%

20%

19%

23%

20%

24%

8%

17%

14%

24%

4%

29%

21%

11%

23%

25%

2%

43%

20%

<1%

47%

16%

14%

5%

40%

24%

2%

44%

18%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Which comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Trained experts are generally too biased to be reliable

33%

36%

31%

22%

38%

36%

34%

30%

63%

51%

25%

39%

22%

35%

43%

63%

22%

38%

51%

29%

23%

33%

30%

35%

17%

49%

43%

15%

52%

29%

37%

19%

51%

36%

17%

55%

34%

Trained experts are generally reliable sources of information

55%

55%

56%

75%

55%

52%

51%

59%

31%

32%

67%

49%

70%

53%

52%

25%

73%

50%

41%

62%

57%

62%

57%

52%

78%

34%

39%

80%

33%

66%

42%

73%

34%

55%

76%

31%

58%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

11%

9%

14%

3%

7%

12%

15%

11%

6%

17%

8%

13%

8%

12%

5%

12%

4%

12%

7%

9%

20%

5%

13%

13%

5%

16%

18%

5%

15%

5%

21%

8%

15%

8%

7%

14%

8%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

I’m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you’d prefer as president:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

A candidate who promises to bring politics in Washington back to normal

61%

65%

57%

36%

47%

63%

79%

62%

50%

52%

66%

58%

66%

60%

67%

47%

79%

58%

63%

61%

54%

64%

60%

60%

71%

54%

36%

78%

56%

36%

42%

64%

60%

64%

67%

58%

43%

A candidate who promises to fundamentally change America

32%

29%

34%

59%

41%

31%

14%

30%

36%

48%

29%

33%

28%

32%

31%

47%

16%

35%

31%

29%

39%

30%

29%

34%

24%

37%

53%

16%

34%

55%

53%

31%

31%

30%

28%

33%

54%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

7%

6%

9%

5%

11%

6%

8%

7%

13%

0%

5%

8%

5%

8%

2%

6%

6%

7%

6%

10%

7%

7%

10%

6%

5%

9%

11%

6%

9%

9%

5%

6%

9%

6%

5%

9%

3%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

(Split B) How much attention would you say you are paying to news about the legal cases against Donald Trump?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

A lot of attention

27%

26%

28%

4%

23%

26%

42%

28%

23%

28%

30%

25%

25%

30%

60%

8%

26%

29%

20%

17%

37%

21%

26%

31%

36%

19%

11%

40%

19%

23%

18%

37%

17%

25%

39%

16%

19%

Some attention

40%

40%

40%

49%

37%

37%

42%

43%

16%

33%

41%

40%

46%

41%

12%

34%

42%

37%

26%

53%

44%

38%

43%

39%

35%

47%

32%

40%

49%

28%

28%

41%

53%

32%

40%

46%

8%

Only a little attention

26%

31%

22%

43%

34%

26%

13%

26%

32%

29%

23%

29%

24%

27%

16%

38%

23%

27%

39%

27%

16%

30%

27%

24%

22%

27%

53%

14%

28%

27%

50%

16%

26%

39%

17%

33%

51%

No attention at all

7%

3%

10%

5%

6%

11%

3%

4%

29%

11%

6%

6%

5%

2%

13%

21%

8%

7%

15%

2%

2%

10%

5%

6%

7%

6%

3%

6%

3%

21%

5%

6%

4%

4%

5%

4%

23%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

Number of respondents

268

135

133

32

55

85

92

227

13

22

129

137

111

115

15

19

27

129

27

47

38

63

76

129

139

115

14

116

97

22

33

87

61

100

134

110

13

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

21%

36%

27%

80%

7%

11%

35%

64%

29%

50%

5%

13%

9%

50%

11%

16%

14%

25%

28%

47%

50%

43%

7%

37%

36%

11%

17%

30%

23%

38%

49%

42%

7%

 

(Split B) Thinking about the trial of Donald Trump in New York related to hush money payments made to the porn star Stormy Daniels, do you think that it is likely or unlikely that he will be convicted?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very likely

16%

17%

16%

13%

23%

10%

22%

15%

23%

18%

9%

20%

8%

20%

9%

26%

23%

13%

43%

6%

14%

29%

12%

12%

27%

5%

8%

22%

5%

21%

23%

27%

4%

18%

22%

6%

35%

Somewhat likely

23%

22%

25%

18%

25%

21%

29%

24%

23%

24%

28%

21%

29%

21%

29%

23%

25%

25%

8%

37%

11%

17%

31%

22%

31%

13%

26%

37%

16%

7%

19%

32%

18%

25%

33%

14%

23%

Somewhat unlikely

31%

34%

28%

40%

24%

43%

13%

30%

41%

27%

31%

29%

35%

28%

13%

34%

21%

32%

29%

29%

32%

27%

30%

33%

18%

47%

21%

13%

45%

34%

35%

21%

49%

25%

19%

45%

28%

Very unlikely

17%

20%

14%

14%

16%

12%

25%

17%

9%

17%

20%

16%

16%

17%

38%

6%

18%

18%

9%

15%

21%

18%

15%

17%

14%

23%

0%

17%

24%

8%

6%

11%

21%

19%

14%

23%

4%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

13%

9%

17%

16%

11%

13%

11%

14%

4%

15%

12%

14%

12%

14%

11%

11%

13%

12%

12%

12%

22%

8%

12%

17%

10%

12%

45%

12%

9%

29%

16%

9%

8%

13%

12%

13%

12%

Number of respondents

268

135

133

32

55

85

92

227

13

22

129

137

111

115

15

19

27

129

27

47

38

63

76

129

139

115

14

116

97

22

33

87

61

100

134

110

13

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

21%

36%

27%

80%

7%

11%

35%

64%

29%

50%

5%

13%

9%

50%

11%

16%

14%

25%

28%

47%

50%

43%

7%

37%

36%

11%

17%

30%

23%

38%

49%

42%

7%

 

(Split B) Thinking about Donald Trump’s trial in New York related to hush money payments, do you think he will be able to get a fair and impartial trial?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

49%

38%

58%

46%

41%

47%

61%

50%

60%

36%

58%

45%

58%

45%

59%

43%

64%

43%

63%

49%

47%

61%

47%

43%

80%

13%

41%

84%

13%

36%

56%

85%

21%

42%

77%

18%

22%

No

48%

59%

38%

42%

58%

53%

33%

46%

36%

62%

41%

50%

41%

49%

37%

55%

36%

51%

35%

49%

50%

38%

47%

53%

19%

83%

37%

15%

85%

52%

38%

14%

79%

53%

19%

79%

74%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

4%

4%

12%

<1%

<1%

6%

4%

4%

2%

1%

5%

<1%

6%

4%

2%

0%

5%

3%

1%

3%

1%

6%

4%

<1%

4%

22%

1%

3%

12%

6%

<1%

0%

5%

4%

3%

4%

Number of respondents

268

135

133

32

55

85

92

227

13

22

129

137

111

115

15

19

27

129

27

47

38

63

76

129

139

115

14

116

97

22

33

87

61

100

134

110

13

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

21%

36%

27%

80%

7%

11%

35%

64%

29%

50%

5%

13%

9%

50%

11%

16%

14%

25%

28%

47%

50%

43%

7%

37%

36%

11%

17%

30%

23%

38%

49%

42%

7%

 

In the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians], which side do you sympathize with more: Israel or the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians]?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Israel

42%

50%

36%

13%

38%

51%

49%

45%

35%

23%

36%

45%

39%

47%

12%

35%

38%

45%

25%

40%

50%

37%

40%

46%

25%

66%

11%

25%

71%

38%

15%

22%

64%

47%

25%

68%

29%

Palestinians

22%

18%

25%

58%

19%

14%

16%

22%

31%

20%

30%

18%

29%

18%

43%

16%

40%

17%

25%

23%

21%

29%

19%

20%

33%

8%

33%

32%

7%

23%

33%

40%

9%

16%

33%

9%

24%

[VOL] Both equally (Includes neither)

18%

20%

16%

10%

25%

18%

19%

18%

6%

23%

18%

19%

18%

18%

14%

20%

14%

18%

26%

26%

10%

18%

24%

16%

25%

11%

21%

26%

12%

12%

21%

19%

10%

23%

22%

9%

30%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

18%

13%

22%

19%

18%

17%

16%

16%

28%

34%

15%

18%

14%

17%

30%

29%

8%

21%

25%

11%

20%

16%

17%

19%

18%

14%

34%

17%

11%

27%

32%

19%

17%

14%

20%

14%

18%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

What single news source do you turn to most often?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

[VOL] Fox News

12%

13%

12%

12%

9%

15%

13%

13%

5%

14%

8%

14%

9%

15%

9%

13%

4%

14%

11%

13%

13%

11%

13%

13%

2%

25%

0%

<1%

29%

3%

7%

0%

34%

9%

<1%

27%

14%

[VOL] CNN

7%

4%

9%

3%

2%

9%

9%

7%

3%

1%

9%

5%

10%

6%

3%

2%

11%

6%

4%

6%

9%

7%

4%

8%

10%

4%

2%

12%

4%

0%

5%

15%

<.5%

5%

9%

3%

11%

[VOL] MSNBC

5%

4%

5%

3%

2%

4%

9%

5%

7%

0%

3%

6%

3%

6%

0%

4%

4%

6%

5%

5%

2%

7%

4%

4%

9%

<.5%

2%

10%

0%

2%

4%

12%

1%

2%

9%

<.5%

3%

[VOL] Public Radio/NPR/PBS

5%

3%

6%

2%

6%

4%

5%

5%

7%

1%

8%

3%

8%

3%

10%

0%

8%

2%

3%

10%

3%

4%

8%

3%

9%

1%

0%

10%

<1%

<1%

4%

7%

1%

4%

9%

1%

0%

[VOL] Talk radio/conservative personality

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

[VOL] National television networks, like CBS, NBC or ABC

13%

10%

15%

4%

5%

17%

20%

14%

23%

4%

12%

14%

12%

15%

16%

8%

13%

13%

15%

7%

20%

11%

10%

15%

16%

9%

18%

16%

9%

14%

17%

19%

12%

11%

16%

9%

11%

[VOL] Local broadcast news (includes non-talk, non-public local radio)

10%

7%

13%

6%

10%

10%

12%

9%

21%

19%

7%

12%

8%

9%

6%

27%

2%

12%

22%

8%

6%

11%

11%

9%

11%

9%

14%

10%

8%

8%

17%

10%

10%

11%

10%

10%

3%

[VOL] National print or online news organizations, like The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal

6%

9%

4%

5%

11%

5%

4%

7%

0%

2%

11%

3%

11%

4%

4%

0%

15%

4%

4%

4%

8%

10%

3%

6%

9%

4%

0%

11%

4%

1%

1%

8%

3%

7%

9%

3%

8%

[VOL] Local print or online news organizations

2%

3%

<1%

3%

3%

1%

1%

2%

0%

5%

4%

<1%

3%

<1%

10%

0%

0%

2%

2%

2%

1%

<1%

4%

1%

3%

<1%

0%

4%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

2%

1%

2%

<1%

4%

[VOL] Social media

15%

17%

14%

46%

22%

8%

5%

15%

9%

17%

16%

15%

15%

15%

17%

14%

12%

18%

14%

14%

12%

14%

13%

17%

11%

17%

35%

8%

15%

38%

18%

11%

15%

18%

14%

15%

22%

[VOL] Friends and family

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] International news sources (such as the BBC, Al Jazeera and The Guardian)

2%

2%

1%

4%

3%

1%

<.5%

2%

0%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

3%

0%

4%

<.5%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

<1%

2%

2%

<.5%

3%

<1%

3%

0%

1%

2%

<.5%

3%

[VOL] Aggregation sites (such as Bing, Google, Yahoo News or Apple News)

4%

5%

3%

2%

6%

5%

3%

4%

15%

2%

4%

4%

4%

3%

0%

10%

5%

2%

4%

6%

5%

7%

5%

2%

5%

3%

5%

4%

3%

10%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

10%

[VOL] Conservative news sites

2%

2%

2%

0%

0%

3%

2%

2%

0%

0%

1%

2%

2%

3%

0%

0%

3%

3%

0%

<1%

1%

0%

4%

2%

<.5%

4%

0%

<1%

5%

0%

0%

<1%

3%

2%

<.5%

4%

0%

[VOL] Newsmax

3%

4%

2%

0%

<.5%

3%

6%

3%

0%

3%

1%

4%

<1%

4%

2%

2%

<1%

5%

0%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

1%

5%

<.5%

6%

0%

<.5%

6%

3%

2%

<.5%

6%

4%

<1%

6%

0%

[VOL] Liberal news sites (Such as Mother Jones and Occupy Democrats)

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

3%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

[VOL] Doesn’t consume news

2%

2%

3%

<1%

6%

2%

<.5%

1%

4%

12%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

13%

0%

1%

3%

7%

0%

2%

6%

<1%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

[VOL] Other (includes no preference and the internet)

9%

11%

6%

3%

12%

8%

8%

9%

3%

11%

9%

9%

8%

9%

14%

6%

7%

8%

7%

13%

8%

7%

9%

9%

6%

11%

14%

6%

11%

10%

9%

2%

8%

15%

7%

11%

5%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

4%

3%

6%

4%

2%

2%

3%

3%

8%

3%

3%

2%

3%

5%

2%

8%

2%

0%

2%

6%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

7%

2%

2%

5%

9%

2%

1%

4%

3%

3%

4%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

How often, if ever, do you use social media, such as Facebook, Instagram, TikTok or others?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Often

46%

37%

54%

70%

61%

49%

23%

44%

72%

51%

52%

43%

52%

39%

63%

59%

41%

47%

45%

49%

46%

42%

46%

48%

46%

45%

59%

43%

43%

71%

47%

50%

42%

47%

49%

40%

56%

Sometimes

17%

20%

14%

22%

13%

16%

16%

16%

9%

25%

17%

16%

18%

15%

7%

21%

17%

15%

22%

15%

19%

21%

11%

17%

17%

18%

8%

18%

17%

13%

14%

16%

17%

16%

15%

19%

18%

Rarely

16%

18%

14%

5%

17%

16%

20%

16%

17%

10%

15%

16%

14%

17%

18%

11%

19%

16%

14%

20%

9%

20%

22%

11%

20%

11%

14%

18%

13%

3%

24%

16%

14%

17%

19%

14%

12%

Never

22%

25%

18%

3%

9%

19%

42%

23%

2%

14%

16%

25%

16%

28%

13%

9%

23%

22%

19%

17%

26%

17%

21%

24%

18%

26%

19%

20%

28%

13%

15%

18%

27%

21%

18%

27%

15%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

(If social media user) How often, if ever, do you use TikTok?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Often

12%

6%

16%

33%

14%

12%

0%

9%

23%

34%

13%

11%

13%

7%

16%

39%

8%

9%

20%

24%

2%

10%

17%

9%

10%

10%

31%

9%

9%

21%

18%

16%

10%

8%

16%

8%

8%

Sometimes

8%

7%

8%

16%

9%

5%

5%

6%

20%

15%

7%

7%

7%

6%

10%

15%

7%

8%

4%

4%

13%

12%

3%

8%

7%

9%

7%

6%

6%

17%

11%

8%

7%

6%

8%

5%

17%

Rarely

11%

10%

12%

20%

10%

13%

6%

11%

6%

6%

13%

9%

13%

10%

8%

6%

5%

11%

8%

10%

15%

8%

10%

12%

9%

12%

15%

10%

12%

5%

14%

12%

10%

12%

9%

11%

20%

Never

48%

51%

46%

29%

59%

51%

47%

50%

49%

30%

50%

47%

51%

50%

54%

31%

56%

49%

48%

45%

44%

53%

49%

46%

55%

44%

27%

54%

46%

43%

42%

45%

46%

53%

49%

49%

41%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[PREVIOUSLY] Never use social media

22%

25%

18%

3%

9%

19%

42%

23%

2%

14%

16%

25%

16%

28%

13%

9%

23%

22%

19%

17%

26%

17%

21%

24%

18%

26%

19%

20%

28%

13%

15%

18%

27%

21%

18%

27%

15%

[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

How many hours per day do you spend playing video games?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

None at all

63%

65%

61%

47%

52%

70%

68%

64%

44%

53%

66%

61%

65%

64%

66%

40%

63%

65%

46%

56%

74%

53%

55%

71%

58%

69%

53%

61%

69%

45%

62%

59%

74%

61%

60%

70%

48%

More than none but less than 1 hour

16%

15%

18%

23%

20%

15%

13%

14%

33%

24%

17%

15%

18%

12%

16%

33%

6%

14%

33%

26%

8%

18%

22%

13%

20%

13%

11%

18%

14%

16%

20%

18%

11%

19%

16%

14%

26%

More than 1 hour but less than 2

12%

10%

14%

14%

18%

9%

11%

13%

9%

9%

11%

13%

12%

14%

7%

10%

17%

11%

7%

12%

16%

14%

15%

10%

12%

11%

19%

10%

10%

29%

11%

12%

9%

14%

15%

8%

12%

More than 2 hours but less than 3

3%

3%

3%

6%

4%

2%

3%

3%

0%

8%

2%

4%

2%

3%

0%

8%

5%

3%

5%

3%

1%

2%

3%

3%

4%

2%

9%

4%

2%

4%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

3%

0%

More than 3 hours but less than 4

2%

3%

<1%

5%

<1%

<1%

2%

2%

0%

0%

<1%

2%

<1%

3%

0%

0%

6%

1%

3%

1%

0%

4%

2%

<1%

1%

1%

7%

2%

2%

0%

4%

3%

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

More than 4 hours but less than 5

1%

<.5%

2%

0%

<1%

3%

0%

<.5%

15%

2%

<1%

1%

<1%

<.5%

0%

9%

0%

1%

6%

0%

0%

5%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

7%

0%

1%

0%

<.5%

1%

0%

8%

5 hours or more

3%

4%

2%

4%

4%

<1%

3%

3%

0%

5%

2%

3%

1%

4%

10%

0%

2%

5%

0%

1%

0%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

0%

3%

4%

0%

<1%

3%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Have you yourself ever invested in, traded or used a cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin or Ether [ee-ther]?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

11%

15%

8%

20%

22%

9%

2%

10%

17%

20%

15%

8%

15%

7%

18%

14%

16%

8%

13%

12%

16%

14%

14%

9%

10%

13%

8%

9%

12%

16%

13%

9%

9%

12%

9%

13%

14%

No

88%

85%

91%

80%

77%

91%

98%

90%

79%

79%

84%

91%

84%

93%

79%

83%

84%

91%

84%

88%

84%

85%

86%

91%

90%

86%

92%

91%

88%

84%

84%

90%

90%

88%

90%

86%

86%

[VOL] Have not heard of this

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

4%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

2%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Have you gotten any doses of a Covid-19 vaccine, including boosters?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes, multiple times

60%

55%

63%

52%

53%

54%

76%

62%

46%

57%

75%

52%

74%

54%

84%

42%

75%

53%

69%

70%

52%

64%

69%

54%

85%

37%

43%

91%

36%

36%

57%

81%

36%

62%

82%

35%

54%

Yes, just once

15%

17%

13%

17%

8%

18%

14%

16%

12%

9%

11%

17%

12%

18%

6%

12%

13%

17%

7%

14%

15%

10%

15%

17%

7%

21%

29%

6%

22%

17%

18%

12%

18%

15%

11%

19%

18%

No

24%

27%

22%

31%

36%

26%

10%

22%

43%

31%

13%

30%

13%

27%

8%

43%

11%

29%

24%

15%

31%

26%

16%

28%

8%

41%

28%

3%

42%

41%

24%

7%

45%

23%

6%

44%

29%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<1%

<.5%

1%

0%

3%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

4%

<1%

1%

<.5%

<1%

2%

3%

0%

<.5%

0%

2%

3%

0%

<1%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

6%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

2%

0%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Are you, or is any member of your household, a member of a labor union?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes, you are a member

6%

10%

2%

3%

10%

5%

6%

6%

2%

3%

4%

7%

4%

8%

2%

3%

4%

5%

7%

2%

13%

6%

3%

7%

6%

6%

2%

8%

6%

3%

1%

8%

5%

5%

7%

5%

6%

Yes, another member of your household is a member

5%

3%

6%

7%

2%

8%

2%

5%

0%

7%

7%

3%

6%

4%

12%

2%

4%

5%

1%

5%

7%

2%

5%

6%

4%

6%

2%

5%

5%

5%

5%

3%

5%

6%

4%

5%

7%

Yes, you and another member of your household are members

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

<1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

2%

2%

<.5%

0%

2%

1%

<.5%

7%

1%

<.5%

4%

1%

<1%

2%

<.5%

1%

1%

0%

No

88%

85%

90%

88%

87%

85%

91%

87%

98%

90%

87%

89%

86%

87%

86%

95%

92%

89%

92%

90%

76%

92%

91%

85%

88%

88%

90%

87%

88%

88%

91%

87%

88%

89%

87%

89%

87%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

<.5%

0%

<1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

And just a few more questions for demographic purposes...

Do you consider yourself politically liberal, moderate or conservative?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very liberal

11%

8%

13%

19%

11%

7%

10%

10%

2%

20%

14%

9%

13%

8%

22%

11%

19%

9%

14%

10%

7%

16%

13%

7%

20%

<1%

10%

25%

0%

2%

7%

25%

0%

6%

21%

<1%

4%

Somewhat liberal

15%

14%

17%

18%

18%

13%

14%

17%

16%

6%

22%

12%

24%

13%

10%

10%

30%

12%

16%

19%

10%

19%

18%

13%

26%

5%

7%

27%

6%

4%

18%

34%

3%

10%

26%

3%

17%

Moderate

33%

34%

33%

38%

32%

34%

33%

35%

40%

23%

35%

33%

36%

34%

41%

25%

26%

35%

26%

33%

38%

23%

30%

39%

36%

28%

49%

35%

25%

53%

37%

29%

21%

44%

40%

25%

31%

Somewhat conservative

18%

20%

16%

13%

19%

22%

15%

17%

28%

19%

13%

20%

14%

19%

8%

30%

9%

17%

26%

14%

25%

20%

13%

20%

11%

26%

12%

7%

27%

22%

19%

6%

23%

26%

8%

30%

17%

Very conservative

19%

22%

16%

10%

15%

18%

25%

19%

0%

23%

13%

21%

12%

23%

16%

10%

10%

22%

14%

20%

16%

16%

24%

17%

3%

37%

7%

3%

40%

6%

12%

3%

52%

8%

4%

40%

7%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

3%

5%

3%

5%

5%

4%

3%

15%

8%

3%

5%

2%

3%

3%

14%

6%

5%

4%

4%

4%

7%

3%

4%

3%

4%

15%

3%

3%

12%

8%

2%

2%

5%

1%

2%

24%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Under $25,000

11%

6%

16%

17%

13%

9%

10%

9%

57%

15%

7%

13%

6%

10%

19%

35%

11%

9%

40%

5%

10%

27%

6%

7%

17%

6%

4%

12%

4%

22%

20%

12%

3%

13%

12%

9%

22%

At least $25,000 but under $50,000

16%

13%

19%

17%

8%

11%

25%

17%

6%

9%

10%

19%

10%

21%

8%

9%

27%

17%

9%

13%

13%

22%

16%

13%

19%

13%

16%

20%

14%

12%

14%

19%

14%

16%

17%

14%

16%

At least $50,000 but under $100,000

34%

38%

31%

41%

30%

36%

33%

35%

28%

24%

35%

34%

36%

35%

36%

22%

28%

38%

30%

30%

36%

26%

34%

38%

34%

33%

45%

34%

32%

43%

36%

44%

28%

33%

38%

35%

10%

At least $100,000 but under $200,000

23%

29%

18%

11%

34%

28%

15%

24%

3%

25%

27%

21%

28%

22%

21%

18%

17%

24%

10%

29%

23%

13%

28%

24%

19%

29%

10%

23%

30%

11%

11%

16%

32%

23%

22%

24%

26%

$200,000 or more

8%

8%

9%

11%

11%

10%

4%

8%

0%

15%

13%

6%

14%

5%

11%

11%

17%

5%

2%

15%

7%

7%

9%

8%

7%

9%

16%

8%

10%

7%

6%

6%

13%

9%

8%

9%

10%

[VOL] Refused

8%

6%

8%

3%

4%

6%

12%

7%

6%

11%

7%

7%

6%

7%

6%

6%

0%

8%

9%

9%

11%

5%

7%

9%

4%

10%

10%

5%

10%

4%

12%

3%

11%

7%

4%

9%

16%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Catholic

26%

27%

24%

24%

15%

26%

33%

28%

0%

22%

22%

28%

23%

31%

17%

14%

21%

26%

18%

32%

22%

18%

31%

26%

21%

30%

26%

20%

32%

23%

25%

16%

37%

27%

22%

32%

14%

Protestant (Christian)

28%

26%

30%

23%

31%

24%

34%

30%

32%

15%

26%

29%

27%

30%

19%

22%

33%

32%

23%

20%

27%

26%

23%

32%

24%

33%

31%

25%

33%

30%

24%

25%

37%

28%

25%

33%

16%

Mormon (LDS)

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<1%

2%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

2%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

<.5%

<1%

2%

Jewish

1%

2%

<1%

<1%

3%

<1%

<1%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

7%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

3%

<1%

<1%

2%

<.5%

0%

2%

<.5%

0%

0%

1%

<1%

1%

2%

<.5%

0%

Muslim

1%

<1%

2%

4%

1%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

6%

0%

2%

0%

<1%

0%

6%

2%

1%

0%

1%

<1%

1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

10%

<1%

0%

3%

4%

1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

9%

[VOL] Christian (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)

12%

11%

13%

7%

5%

20%

8%

11%

24%

14%

8%

13%

8%

13%

15%

14%

4%

12%

16%

6%

23%

10%

8%

15%

8%

17%

8%

8%

15%

18%

11%

9%

16%

10%

9%

17%

3%

[VOL] Greek/Russian Orthodox

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Some other religion (specify)

3%

3%

3%

4%

6%

1%

<1%

3%

0%

6%

4%

2%

3%

3%

13%

0%

4%

2%

4%

5%

0%

5%

6%

<.5%

5%

<.5%

4%

5%

<.5%

5%

3%

4%

0%

3%

5%

<.5%

4%

No religious affiliation

27%

29%

27%

37%

38%

23%

23%

26%

44%

37%

36%

23%

37%

19%

32%

44%

30%

25%

37%

31%

25%

36%

30%

23%

39%

17%

19%

39%

17%

19%

32%

42%

10%

26%

35%

16%

45%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

<1%

1%

<1%

3%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

4%

2%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

1%

2%

<1%

2%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

2%

<.5%

<.5%

7%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

(If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

18%

17%

19%

17%

14%

21%

16%

17%

33%

16%

14%

20%

16%

17%

2%

32%

13%

20%

20%

13%

20%

21%

16%

18%

11%

26%

9%

9%

26%

21%

15%

10%

26%

19%

10%

27%

15%

No

27%

27%

28%

23%

26%

28%

27%

27%

41%

19%

26%

27%

24%

29%

46%

13%

29%

29%

25%

21%

28%

24%

24%

30%

29%

24%

36%

30%

23%

37%

25%

29%

26%

26%

31%

24%

24%

[PREVIOUSLY] Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, no religious affiliation or refused

54%

56%

52%

60%

56%

51%

56%

55%

26%

65%

59%

52%

60%

52%

52%

55%

57%

50%

55%

66%

50%

54%

61%

51%

59%

49%

55%

60%

50%

38%

60%

60%

47%

56%

59%

48%

61%

[VOL] Refused

<1%

<.5%

1%

0%

3%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

<.5%

1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

3%

0%

<1%

1%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

(If independent, another party or not sure) And as of today, do you lean more to:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

The Democratic Party

40%

31%

49%

48%

42%

29%

46%

40%

23%

49%

42%

39%

41%

40%

63%

38%

68%

31%

33%

50%

36%

48%

44%

34%

79%

5%

27%

91%

1%

32%

31%

-

-

43%

76%

9%

28%

The Republican Party

42%

52%

33%

25%

35%

52%

42%

44%

35%

29%

40%

41%

44%

44%

25%

25%

21%

51%

32%

25%

50%

22%

35%

51%

8%

81%

14%

5%

90%

25%

31%

-

-

41%

17%

76%

21%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

19%

17%

19%

27%

24%

19%

12%

16%

41%

23%

18%

20%

15%

16%

12%

36%

11%

17%

35%

25%

14%

30%

21%

14%

13%

14%

59%

4%

9%

43%

38%

-

-

16%

7%

15%

51%

Number of respondents

234

124

106

29

50

69

80

197

6

21

106

126

89

107

12

14

24

103

15

50

42

39

64

131

100

108

26

80

83

31

40

202

96

96

21

Percent of total electorate

100%

48%

50%

14%

23%

32%

27%

80%

4%

12%

34%

64%

28%

51%

4%

11%

9%

44%

7%

20%

19%

18%

26%

56%

43%

45%

13%

30%

33%

17%

20%

85%

41%

40%

12%

 

Combined: Party identification and leaners

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

The Democratic Party

48%

40%

56%

59%

48%

41%

52%

48%

67%

50%

56%

44%

56%

43%

68%

53%

74%

40%

67%

48%

44%

65%

49%

41%

90%

6%

37%

95%

3%

39%

51%

100%

0%

43%

88%

7%

33%

The Republican Party

43%

52%

37%

29%

39%

51%

43%

46%

15%

36%

36%

47%

38%

50%

26%

27%

22%

53%

19%

40%

48%

23%

42%

52%

5%

88%

18%

4%

93%

28%

25%

0%

100%

41%

9%

86%

34%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

9%

8%

8%

12%

12%

8%

5%

7%

18%

14%

8%

9%

6%

7%

6%

20%

4%

7%

14%

12%

8%

12%

9%

7%

5%

6%

45%

2%

3%

33%

24%

0%

0%

16%

3%

7%

33%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 

Would you be open to commenting on the issues in this survey and be interested in being contacted by a reporter?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Dane

East / North

Milwau. City

Milwau. Suburbs

West

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

24%

27%

22%

15%

29%

27%

22%

24%

20%

22%

32%

19%

32%

20%

39%

15%

35%

21%

23%

29%

20%

31%

26%

20%

27%

23%

12%

31%

25%

16%

9%

25%

19%

27%

28%

22%

10%

No

76%

73%

78%

85%

71%

73%

78%

76%

80%

78%

68%

81%

68%

80%

61%

85%

65%

79%

77%

71%

80%

69%

74%

80%

73%

77%

88%

69%

75%

84%

91%

75%

81%

73%

72%

78%

90%

Number of respondents

533

258

271

67

99

175

184

464

18

38

253

277

222

240

25

30

62

237

47

105

82

113

146

274

272

229

32

234

196

42

61

174

125

202

263

208

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

46%

54%

14%

20%

35%

29%

85%

4%

9%

36%

63%

31%

53%

4%

9%

11%

46%

8%

19%

16%

21%

27%

52%

47%

45%

7%

38%

38%

10%

14%

30%

25%

39%

47%

41%

8%

 
Party ID is self-identified party, without leaners; independents include only self-identified independents. Party registration is the respondent’s party as listed on the voter file.

Gender is self-reported if the respondent completed the full questionnaire; otherwise, it is based on the interviewer’s determination. If neither is available, it is as reported on the voter file.

Neighborhood type is a New York Times classification based on each voter’s address. Voters within a metropolitan area’s central city are classified as living in a city. Voters living in a metropolitan area but outside the central city are considered suburban if they live in a census-designated urban area. All other voters — those living in nonmetropolitan areas and those living in non-urbanized parts of metropolitan areas outside the central city — are classified as living in small towns or rural areas.

Methodology

How These Polls Were Conducted

Here are the key things to know about this set of polls from The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College:

• We spoke with 4,097 registered voters from April 28 to May 9, 2024.

• Our polls are conducted by telephone, using live interviewers, in both English and Spanish. Nearly 95 percent of respondents were contacted on a cellphone for this poll.

• Voters are selected for the survey from a list of registered voters. The list contains information on the demographic characteristics of every registered voter, allowing us to make sure we reach the right number of voters of each party, race and region. For this set of polls, we placed nearly 500,000 calls to about 410,000 voters.

• To further ensure that the results reflect the entire voting population, not just those willing to take a poll, we give more weight to respondents from demographic groups underrepresented among survey respondents, like people without a college degree. You can see more information about the characteristics of our respondents and the weighted sample at the bottom of the page, under “Composition of the Sample.”

• When the states are joined together, the margin of sampling error among registered voters is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. Each state poll has a margin of error ranging from plus or minus 3.6 points in Pennsylvania to plus or minus 4.6 points in Georgia. In theory, this means that the results should reflect the views of the overall population most of the time, though many other challenges create additional sources of error. When computing the difference between two values — such as a candidate’s lead in a race — the margin of error is twice as large.

If you want to read more about how and why we conduct our polls, you can see answers to frequently asked questions and submit your own questions here.

Methodology

The New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll in Pennsylvania and the Times/Siena polls in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Nevada were conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones from April 28 to May 9, 2024. In all, 4,097 registered voters were interviewed. When all states are joined together, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points for all registered voters and plus or minus 1.9 percentage points for the likely electorate.

The margin of sampling error for each state poll is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points in Pennsylvania, plus or minus 4.2 points in Arizona, plus or minus 4.5 points in Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, and plus or minus 4.6 percentage points in Georgia.

The Pennsylvania poll was funded by a grant from the Lenfest Institute for Journalism. The poll, which was designed and conducted independently from the institute, includes a deep look at voters in the Philadelphia suburbs using a statistical technique called an oversample. The results are weighted so that in the end, the poll properly reflects the attributes of the entire state and is not biased toward those voters.

Sample

The survey is a response-rate-adjusted stratified sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file. The sample was selected by The New York Times in multiple steps to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs, differential telephone coverage, nonresponse and significant variation in the productivity of telephone numbers by state.

The L2 voter file for each state was stratified by statehouse district, party, race, gender, marital status, household size, turnout history, age and homeownership. The proportion of registrants with a telephone number and the mean expected response rate, based on prior Times/Siena polls, were calculated for each stratum. The initial selection weight was equal to the reciprocal of a stratum’s mean telephone coverage and modeled response rate. For respondents with multiple telephone numbers on the L2 file, the number with the highest modeled response rate was selected.

Fielding

The samples for each state were stratified by party, race and region and fielded by the Siena College Research Institute, with additional field work by ReconMR, the Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida, the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, and the Center for Public Opinion and Policy Research at Winthrop University in South Carolina. Interviewers asked for the person named on the voter file and ended the interview if the intended respondent was not available. Overall, 94 percent of respondents were reached on a cellular telephone.

The instrument was translated into Spanish by ReconMR, and Spanish-speaking interviewers were assigned to the modeled Hispanic sample. Bilingual interviewers began the interview in English and were instructed to follow the lead of the respondent in determining whether to conduct the survey in English or Spanish. Monolingual Spanish-speaking respondents who were initially contacted by English-speaking interviewers were recontacted by Spanish-speaking interviewers. Overall, 19 percent of interviews among self-reported Hispanics were conducted in Spanish, including 21 percent in Nevada and 17 percent in Arizona.

An interview was determined to be complete for the purposes of inclusion in the ballot test questions if the respondent did not drop out of the survey by the end of the two self-reported variables used in weighting — age and education — and answered at least one of the age, education, race or presidential election ballot test questions.

Weighting — registered voters

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the five state samples and the samples of the the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of Pennsylvania were weighted separately to match voter-file-based parameters for the characteristics of registered voters by state.

The following targets were used:

• Party (party registration if available, else classification based on a model of vote choice in prior Times/Siena polls) by modeled L2 race (except Wisconsin)

• Age by gender (self-reported age, or voter file age if the respondent refuses)

• Race or ethnicity (L2 model)

• Education (four categories of self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• White/nonwhite by education (L2 model of race by self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• Marital status (L2 model)

• Homeownership (L2 model)

• State regions (NYT classifications by county or city)

• Turnout history (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Vote method in the 2020 elections (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• History of voting in the 2020 presidential primary (Pennsylvania and Wisconsin only, NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Census block group density (Arizona only, based on American Community Survey five-year census block-group data)

• Census tract educational attainment

In Pennsylvania, the samples from the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of the state were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs.

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

The sample of respondents who completed all questions in the survey was weighted identically, as well as to the result for the general election horse race question (including leaners) on the full sample.

Weighting — likely electorate

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the first-stage weight was adjusted to account for the probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election, based on a model of turnout in the 2020 election.

Third, the five state samples and the samples of the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of Pennsylvania were weighted separately to match targets for the composition of the likely electorate. The targets for the composition of the likely electorate were derived by aggregating the individual-level turnout estimates described in the previous step for registrants on the L2 voter file. The categories used in weighting were the same as those previously mentioned for registered voters.

In Pennsylvania, the samples from the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of the state were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs.

Fourth, the initial likely electorate weight was adjusted to incorporate self-reported vote intention. The final probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election was four-fifths based on their ex ante modeled turnout score and one-fifth based on their self-reported intention, based on prior Times/Siena polls, including a penalty to account for the tendency of survey respondents to turn out at higher rates than nonrespondents. The final likely electorate weight was equal to the modeled electorate rake weight, multiplied by the final turnout probability and divided by the ex ante modeled turnout probability.

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

The sample of respondents who completed all questions in the survey was weighted identically, as well as to the result for the general election horse race question (including leaners) on the full sample.

The margin of error accounts for the survey’s design effect, a measure of the loss of statistical power due to survey design and weighting. The design effect for the full sample is 1.33 for registered voters and 1.5 for the likely electorate. The design effect for the sample of completed interviews is 1.38 for registered voters and 1.53 for the likely electorate.

Historically, The Times/Siena Poll’s error at the 95th percentile has been plus or minus 5.1 percentage points in surveys taken over the final three weeks before an election. Real-world error includes sources of error beyond sampling error, such as nonresponse bias, coverage error, late shifts among undecided voters and error in estimating the composition of the electorate.