Cross-Tabs: May 2024 Times/Inquirer/Siena Poll of Pennsylvania

May 13, 2024

Results of a poll by The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College in Pennsylvania from April 28 to May 7, 2024.

How satisfied are you with the way things are going in your life these days?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very satisfied	33%	34%	33%	39%	29%	33%	35%	34%	27%	29%	43%	27%	44%	28%	41%	22%	42%	32%	30%	29%	37%	34%	30%	34%	34%	32%	44%	24%	33%	46%	22%	35%	33%	42%	24%	35%	41%	24%	37%	44%	23%	30%
Somewhat satisfied	41%	40%	42%	46%	50%	38%	36%	41%	43%	53%	40%	42%	39%	42%	47%	47%	41%	30%	47%	49%	41%	47%	35%	44%	43%	38%	46%	36%	50%	45%	36%	47%	43%	44%	37%	45%	45%	39%	38%	47%	36%	45%
Not too satisfied	10%	9%	11%	6%	10%	13%	10%	11%	10%	2%	6%	13%	6%	14%	3%	8%	5%	22%	10%	6%	6%	4%	17%	7%	8%	13%	4%	16%	6%	4%	16%	6%	10%	5%	15%	9%	5%	15%	9%	4%	16%	6%
Not at all satisfied	11%	13%	10%	8%	9%	13%	13%	10%	15%	12%	7%	14%	7%	13%	5%	18%	9%	12%	10%	10%	11%	13%	13%	10%	11%	13%	4%	19%	7%	3%	20%	11%	8%	7%	19%	8%	7%	17%	11%	3%	19%	15%
[VOLUNTEERED] Don't know/Refused	4%	4%	4%	2%	2%	3%	7%	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	5%	3%	4%	3%	6%	5%	2%	5%	4%	4%	4%	2%	5%	5%	2%	6%	2%	6%	2%	5%	3%	2%	6%	5%	2%	5%	4%
NET Satisfied	75%	74%	75%	85%	79%	71%	71%	75%	70%	82%	83%	70%	83%	70%	88%	69%	83%	62%	77%	78%	77%	81%	65%	79%	77%	70%	89%	60%	82%	91%	58%	82%	76%	86%	61%	80%	86%	63%	75%	91%	59%	75%
NET Not satisfied	21%	22%	21%	13%	19%	27%	22%	21%	25%	15%	13%	27%	13%	27%	8%	26%	14%	34%	20%	17%	18%	17%	30%	18%	19%	26%	8%	35%	12%	7%	36%	16%	19%	12%	34%	16%	12%	32%	20%	7%	35%	21%
Number of respondents	1,023	573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	74	501	519	406	406	75	103	82	107	133	89	403	110	99	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	455	413	155	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	10%	14%	16%	11%	22%	14%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	45%	40%	15%	42%	38%	14%

Thinking ahead to the presidential general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote or not at all likely to vote?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Almost certain	57%	61%	52%	41%	57%	61%	61%	59%	45%	44%	68%	50%	69%	53%	62%	37%	66%	56%	55%	45%	59%	55%	60%	51%	60%	56%	60%	57%	34%	66%	61%	32%	39%	57%	61%	50%	56%	61%	49%	62%	63%	25%
Very likely	29%	27%	31%	30%	32%	27%	29%	30%	26%	28%	23%	33%	22%	35%	28%	27%	27%	29%	28%	29%	29%	33%	27%	28%	27%	32%	28%	31%	26%	26%	30%	36%	28%	28%	34%	26%	27%	33%	24%	28%	33%	23%
Somewhat likely	7%	6%	7%	20%	4%	5%	2%	5%	12%	11%	5%	7%	5%	5%	7%	14%	2%	6%	8%	12%	6%	5%	7%	8%	6%	6%	6%	5%	19%	3%	4%	20%	14%	6%	3%	11%	8%	3%	12%	6%	2%	21%
Not very likely	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	5%	7%	1%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	8%	2%	4%	5%	3%	2%	1%	<1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	3%	6%	1%	2%	5%	6%	3%	<1%	5%	4%	<1%	4%	2%	<1%	11%
Not at all likely	4%	3%	5%	6%	2%	5%	4%	3%	9%	8%	2%	5%	2%	3%	2%	12%	<1%	3%	2%	9%	3%	6%	4%	7%	3%	3%	3%	3%	12%	3%	3%	5%	9%	4%	<.5%	5%	5%	2%	7%	1%	<.5%	17%
[VOL] Already voted	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%	<.5%	2%	1%	3%	1%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	2%	0%	3%	3%	<1%	1%	3%	<1%	0%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	3%	<1%	<1%	3%	4%	<1%	<1%	3%	1%	<1%	4%	1%	<1%	4%
Number of respondents	1,023	573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	74	501	519	406	406	75	103	82	107	133	89	403	110	99	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	455	413	155	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	10%	14%	16%	11%	22%	14%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	45%	40%	15%	42%	38%	14%

If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat	36%	33%	38%	33%	37%	35%	41%	35%	50%	30%	50%	27%	51%	25%	55%	36%	57%	19%	36%	44%	41%	28%	27%	45%	40%	25%	81%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	76%	7%	26%	65%	9%	19%	75%	2%	19%
Donald Trump, the Republican	40%	45%	35%	35%	33%	42%	44%	45%	12%	24%	27%	47%	30%	54%	7%	21%	23%	63%	39%	23%	31%	44%	54%	24%	35%	54%	0%	84%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	5%	85%	27%	9%	76%	33%	2%	88%	30%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the third-party candidate	10%	10%	10%	16%	10%	12%	6%	10%	11%	13%	9%	11%	10%	10%	7%	14%	8%	6%	12%	10%	12%	14%	9%	9%	11%	10%	9%	9%	27%	0%	0%	100%	0%	9%	5%	20%	10%	6%	23%	10%	5%	25%
Jill Stein [stine], the Green Party candidate	1%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<1%	4%	3%	<1%	2%	<.5%	6%	<1%	0%	<1%	3%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	0%	5%	0%	0%	0%	9%	2%	0%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	0%	4%
[VOL] Cornel West, the third-party candidate	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%
Lars Mapstead [map-sted], the Libertarian Party candidate	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	2%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	2%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	2%	0%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	2%	0%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	5%	<1%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	3%	<1%	0%	<1%
[VOL] Another candidate (specify)	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	3%	2%	4%	4%	2%	3%	3%	1%	9%	12%	1%	4%	1%	1%	<1%	15%	2%	<1%	4%	10%	2%	2%	2%	9%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	21%	0%	0%	0%	20%	2%	<.5%	6%	4%	<.5%	6%	2%	<1%	11%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	9%	9%	9%	10%	13%	7%	6%	7%	16%	16%	7%	10%	4%	9%	20%	13%	8%	10%	6%	11%	12%	8%	7%	10%	9%	8%	6%	6%	45%	0%	0%	0%	63%	5%	3%	17%	8%	7%	15%	7%	4%	11%
Number of respondents	1,023	573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	74	501	519	406	406	75	103	82	107	133	89	403	110	99	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	455	413	155	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	10%	14%	16%	11%	22%	14%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	45%	40%	15%	42%	38%	14%

(If candidate selected) Are you definitely or probably going to vote for [CANDIDATE SELECTED IN PREVIOUS QUESTION]?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Definitely	75%	76%	74%	60%	72%	76%	85%	77%	67%	66%	74%	76%	74%	78%	72%	63%	85%	77%	74%	70%	72%	75%	79%	74%	75%	76%	75%	79%	25%	82%	85%	25%	29%	76%	84%	65%	75%	80%	61%	77%	85%	49%
Probably	23%	21%	25%	37%	28%	22%	13%	22%	29%	31%	23%	23%	23%	21%	24%	33%	12%	23%	25%	25%	27%	23%	20%	23%	23%	22%	23%	20%	64%	17%	14%	69%	71%	23%	15%	33%	23%	18%	36%	21%	15%	46%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	3%	<1%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	1%	3%	<1%	4%	3%	3%	<1%	1%	5%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	1%	2%	2%	11%	2%	<1%	7%	0%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	<1%	5%
Number of respondents	908	514	380	135	183	295	273	744	82	57	455	451	380	364	60	78	73	95	122	73	356	100	89	132	513	263	452	430	26	400	382	101	25	337	311	202	405	385	118	430	349	98
Percent of total electorate	100%	49%	50%	15%	22%	32%	29%	82%	9%	7%	39%	61%	33%	49%	5%	11%	11%	14%	16%	10%	21%	14%	13%	18%	46%	36%	47%	50%	3%	41%	45%	12%	2%	37%	36%	21%	44%	43%	14%	44%	41%	12%

(Head to head, combines leaners) If you had to decide between the two today, would you lean more toward:
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat	44%	39%	49%	47%	47%	41%	47%	42%	69%	41%	59%	36%	60%	30%	63%	54%	64%	22%	45%	54%	52%	39%	35%	54%	50%	31%	100%	0%	0%	100%	0%	38%	32%	90%	8%	36%	79%	11%	30%	90%	3%	30%
Donald Trump, the Republican	47%	53%	43%	46%	45%	50%	46%	53%	18%	36%	34%	55%	37%	63%	18%	28%	30%	71%	46%	30%	39%	53%	62%	31%	42%	63%	0%	100%	0%	0%	100%	40%	26%	6%	90%	45%	12%	85%	54%	4%	96%	48%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	8%	8%	9%	7%	8%	9%	7%	6%	14%	24%	7%	9%	3%	7%	18%	17%	6%	6%	9%	16%	9%	9%	4%	14%	7%	6%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	22%	43%	3%	2%	18%	9%	4%	17%	5%	2%	22%
Number of respondents	1,023	573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	74	501	519	406	406	75	103	82	107	133	89	403	110	99	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	455	413	155	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	10%	14%	16%	11%	22%	14%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	45%	40%	15%	42%	38%	14%

(Combines Senate races in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
... the Democrat	46%	38%	54%	48%	48%	45%	49%	43%	72%	46%	58%	40%	57%	34%	69%	58%	65%	29%	48%	65%	50%	35%	37%	62%	48%	35%	88%	8%	39%	90%	6%	53%	43%	90%	6%	45%	84%	7%	41%	86%	6%	46%
... the Republican	41%	48%	35%	34%	37%	44%	43%	46%	12%	29%	33%	46%	34%	53%	17%	20%	27%	64%	40%	17%	37%	46%	54%	21%	39%	56%	6%	79%	12%	5%	82%	32%	24%	4%	89%	32%	7%	85%	24%	6%	85%	30%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	13%	14%	11%	18%	15%	11%	8%	11%	15%	25%	10%	14%	8%	13%	14%	22%	8%	8%	12%	18%	13%	19%	10%	18%	13%	10%	6%	13%	49%	5%	11%	15%	33%	5%	5%	23%	9%	8%	35%	9%	9%	24%
Number of respondents	1,023	573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	74	501	519	406	406	75	103	82	107	133	89	403	110	99	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	455	413	155	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	10%	14%	16%	11%	22%	14%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	45%	40%	15%	42%	38%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Bob Casey, the Democrat	46%	38%	54%	48%	48%	45%	49%	43%	72%	46%	58%	40%	57%	34%	69%	58%	65%	29%	48%	65%	50%	35%	37%	62%	48%	35%	88%	8%	39%	90%	6%	53%	43%	90%	6%	45%	84%	7%	41%	86%	6%	46%
David McCormick, the Republican	41%	48%	35%	34%	37%	44%	43%	46%	12%	29%	33%	46%	34%	53%	17%	20%	27%	64%	40%	17%	37%	46%	54%	21%	39%	56%	6%	79%	12%	5%	82%	32%	24%	4%	89%	32%	7%	85%	24%	6%	85%	30%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	13%	14%	11%	18%	15%	11%	8%	11%	15%	25%	10%	14%	8%	13%	14%	22%	8%	8%	12%	18%	13%	19%	10%	18%	13%	10%	6%	13%	49%	5%	11%	15%	33%	5%	5%	23%	9%	8%	35%	9%	9%	24%
Number of respondents	1,023	573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	74	501	519	406	406	75	103	82	107	133	89	403	110	99	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	455	413	155	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	10%	14%	16%	11%	22%	14%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	45%	40%	15%	42%	38%	14%

(Recoded to age) In what year were you born?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
18-29	15%	15%	14%	100%	0%	0%	0%	14%	17%	29%	12%	16%	13%	14%	12%	26%	13%	11%	16%	18%	15%	17%	14%	15%	18%	11%	16%	14%	12%	14%	13%	24%	17%	16%	10%	18%	17%	12%	16%	12%	8%	44%
30-44	23%	23%	23%	0%	100%	0%	0%	23%	22%	29%	31%	19%	31%	18%	31%	22%	25%	20%	22%	27%	23%	30%	16%	31%	21%	21%	24%	22%	22%	24%	19%	23%	32%	21%	19%	32%	22%	21%	34%	25%	22%	21%
45-64	31%	30%	32%	0%	0%	100%	0%	32%	38%	21%	34%	30%	34%	30%	36%	27%	44%	35%	31%	26%	33%	23%	30%	28%	34%	30%	29%	33%	34%	30%	33%	36%	27%	30%	35%	28%	29%	33%	36%	32%	35%	19%
65+	28%	28%	29%	0%	0%	0%	100%	30%	21%	15%	20%	33%	20%	36%	17%	19%	17%	34%	29%	24%	26%	29%	36%	23%	25%	36%	30%	27%	24%	32%	31%	15%	19%	31%	33%	20%	30%	31%	13%	30%	32%	14%
Refused	3%	4%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%	7%	3%	2%	2%	1%	3%	5%	<1%	<1%	2%	5%	3%	<1%	6%	3%	2%	3%	1%	3%	7%	<1%	4%	3%	5%	<1%	4%	3%	2%	3%	2%	1%	3%	3%
Number of respondents	1,023	573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	74	501	519	406	406	75	103	82	107	133	89	403	110	99	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	455	413	155	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	10%	14%	16%	11%	22%	14%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	45%	40%	15%	42%	38%	14%

What is the highest educational level that you have completed?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Grade school	2%	2%	2%	1%	<.5%	2%	4%	2%	5%	4%	0%	4%	0%	3%	0%	7%	0%	4%	0%	4%	2%	4%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	3%	4%	4%	2%	4%	1%	1%	4%	2%	1%	3%	3%
High school	32%	32%	32%	34%	22%	30%	41%	32%	41%	29%	0%	51%	0%	52%	0%	52%	23%	48%	31%	32%	24%	45%	19%	29%	27%	40%	25%	36%	42%	24%	39%	31%	29%	28%	37%	28%	28%	36%	32%	23%	36%	50%
Vocational or trade school	5%	7%	4%	6%	5%	6%	4%	6%	3%	1%	0%	8%	0%	9%	0%	4%	3%	8%	5%	3%	5%	6%	6%	3%	4%	7%	2%	8%	5%	1%	8%	2%	7%	3%	6%	6%	3%	8%	5%	3%	8%	4%
Some college, no degree	13%	12%	14%	17%	13%	12%	13%	12%	14%	16%	0%	21%	0%	20%	0%	22%	13%	9%	17%	17%	12%	10%	13%	17%	14%	10%	12%	14%	12%	12%	11%	19%	15%	14%	10%	14%	14%	12%	14%	12%	12%	15%
Associate’s degree	10%	8%	11%	12%	10%	9%	10%	10%	12%	8%	0%	16%	0%	16%	0%	15%	12%	9%	11%	6%	9%	6%	18%	8%	9%	12%	9%	11%	7%	9%	11%	9%	9%	8%	12%	9%	9%	10%	11%	9%	12%	6%
Bachelor's degree	22%	24%	20%	25%	34%	22%	12%	24%	9%	22%	59%	0%	62%	0%	46%	0%	27%	16%	20%	19%	27%	20%	25%	22%	26%	17%	27%	18%	18%	28%	18%	21%	22%	23%	20%	26%	22%	22%	23%	28%	19%	16%
Graduate or professional degree	15%	15%	16%	6%	16%	19%	15%	15%	15%	19%	41%	0%	38%	0%	54%	0%	22%	6%	16%	18%	21%	9%	15%	18%	18%	10%	23%	9%	13%	25%	8%	13%	13%	22%	8%	15%	22%	9%	12%	24%	8%	6%
[VOL] Refused	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	3%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	0%	<1%	1%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	1%	0%
Number of respondents	1,023	573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	74	501	519	406	406	75	103	82	107	133	89	403	110	99	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	455	413	155	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	10%	14%	16%	11%	22%	14%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	45%	40%	15%	42%	38%	14%

Would you consider yourself:
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
White	77%	78%	77%	72%	77%	77%	83%	98%	0%	0%	81%	76%	99%	98%	0%	0%	82%	93%	78%	46%	77%	80%	80%	54%	78%	89%	74%	85%	52%	76%	86%	78%	55%	70%	90%	75%	67%	89%	74%	75%	87%	63%
Hispanic or Latino	3%	3%	3%	6%	2%	2%	2%	0%	0%	36%	1%	4%	0%	0%	8%	19%	0%	2%	7%	2%	<1%	8%	1%	5%	4%	<1%	3%	2%	9%	3%	2%	3%	7%	4%	2%	2%	3%	1%	5%	2%	1%	9%
Black or African American	11%	8%	13%	12%	10%	13%	8%	0%	99%	0%	7%	13%	0%	0%	44%	63%	12%	2%	4%	42%	10%	6%	6%	31%	8%	3%	17%	4%	18%	15%	3%	11%	21%	18%	1%	12%	20%	2%	7%	17%	1%	15%
Asian	2%	2%	<1%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	19%	2%	1%	0%	0%	13%	6%	0%	0%	0%	4%	4%	2%	0%	3%	2%	0%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	1%	4%	2%	<.5%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	1%	<.5%	5%
American Indian or Alaska Native	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	4%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
Middle Eastern or North African	<1%	1%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	8%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	6%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	4%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	2%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<1%	<1%
[VOL] Some other race (specify)	3%	2%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	14%	2%	3%	1%	2%	6%	7%	<1%	2%	5%	4%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	1%	4%	5%	1%	4%	2%	5%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	1%	4%	4%
[VOL] More than one race	1%	2%	<.5%	0%	2%	1%	<.5%	0%	0%	13%	2%	<.5%	0%	0%	14%	2%	<1%	0%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	<1%	<.5%	3%	3%	<1%	0%	3%	1%	<.5%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%
[VOL] Refused	3%	3%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	3%	0%	0%	0%	3%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	<1%	2%	<1%	3%	<1%	7%	1%	3%	3%	2%	3%	6%	2%	3%	<1%	4%	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	<.5%
Number of respondents	1,023	573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	74	501	519	406	406	75	103	82	107	133	89	403	110	99	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	455	413	155	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	10%	14%	16%	11%	22%	14%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	45%	40%	15%	42%	38%	14%

Note: Responses to questions after this point are reported only for respondents who completed the entire questionnaire.
Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or a member of another party?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Democrat	35%	28%	42%	40%	35%	35%	37%	32%	63%	40%	43%	31%	43%	25%	48%	56%	49%	19%	40%	50%	40%	22%	29%	48%	39%	24%	73%	5%	11%	76%	5%	27%	24%	100%	0%	0%	75%	3%	8%	71%	2%	28%
Republican	34%	38%	31%	19%	27%	35%	43%	39%	4%	17%	25%	39%	29%	46%	6%	11%	26%	50%	34%	11%	29%	39%	45%	14%	32%	46%	5%	64%	9%	6%	73%	17%	9%	0%	100%	0%	3%	77%	6%	5%	74%	12%
Independent	25%	27%	23%	30%	34%	24%	17%	24%	25%	34%	27%	24%	25%	23%	36%	25%	21%	27%	18%	31%	26%	30%	23%	33%	23%	23%	19%	25%	57%	17%	18%	48%	50%	0%	0%	100%	19%	16%	69%	20%	19%	49%
Another party	3%	4%	2%	5%	5%	3%	<1%	3%	1%	3%	5%	2%	3%	3%	7%	0%	4%	2%	4%	1%	3%	6%	2%	1%	3%	3%	2%	4%	5%	1%	3%	4%	7%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	8%	2%	3%	4%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	3%	6%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	7%	6%	1%	4%	<1%	3%	3%	8%	0%	2%	3%	7%	3%	4%	<1%	4%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	18%	<1%	2%	4%	10%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	9%	2%	<1%	8%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump	39%	48%	31%	19%	36%	43%	47%	45%	6%	22%	29%	45%	32%	53%	13%	13%	31%	59%	36%	14%	33%	48%	53%	21%	37%	51%	2%	79%	9%	2%	86%	22%	14%	3%	86%	30%	6%	78%	29%	0%	100%	0%
Joe Biden	43%	36%	49%	38%	47%	44%	44%	41%	63%	37%	59%	34%	60%	30%	59%	49%	59%	23%	43%	57%	53%	35%	32%	54%	49%	29%	88%	5%	22%	91%	3%	38%	36%	86%	6%	35%	77%	9%	34%	100%	0%	0%
I did not vote	14%	12%	16%	39%	12%	10%	7%	10%	27%	34%	8%	17%	7%	13%	16%	36%	8%	13%	15%	20%	11%	17%	14%	18%	11%	16%	9%	13%	42%	7%	10%	34%	29%	11%	5%	27%	14%	8%	30%	0%	0%	100%
[VOL] Someone else	1%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	0%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	4%	0%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	0%	2%	<1%	2%	<.5%	2%	4%	<.5%	<1%	2%	6%	<.5%	1%	3%	<.5%	2%	3%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	4%	4%	2%	3%	<1%	3%	8%	2%	2%	<1%	5%	7%	2%	0%	1%	4%	2%	2%	<.5%	<1%	23%	0%	<.5%	3%	15%	<.5%	2%	5%	2%	3%	3%	0%	0%	0%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(Excluding “I did not vote”) Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump	45%	54%	37%	31%	41%	48%	50%	50%	9%	34%	31%	54%	34%	61%	15%	20%	33%	68%	42%	17%	36%	57%	62%	26%	41%	61%	2%	91%	15%	2%	96%	34%	20%	3%	91%	41%	7%	85%	42%	0%	100%	-
Joe Biden	50%	41%	58%	61%	54%	49%	48%	46%	86%	56%	64%	41%	64%	34%	70%	77%	64%	26%	51%	71%	60%	42%	37%	66%	55%	34%	97%	5%	38%	97%	3%	58%	50%	96%	6%	48%	90%	10%	49%	100%	0%	-
[VOL] Someone else	2%	2%	<1%	3%	3%	1%	1%	2%	0%	5%	2%	1%	1%	2%	5%	0%	1%	5%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	0%	3%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	8%	<.5%	<1%	3%	8%	<.5%	1%	4%	<.5%	2%	5%	0%	0%	-
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	2%	4%	5%	3%	3%	1%	2%	5%	6%	2%	3%	1%	3%	10%	3%	2%	<1%	6%	9%	2%	0%	1%	5%	3%	2%	<.5%	1%	40%	0%	<.5%	5%	22%	<1%	2%	7%	3%	3%	5%	0%	0%	-
Number of respondents	739	421	303	84	159	254	226	624	60	38	404	334	343	281	50	48	63	77	97	59	296	72	75	106	430	203	386	318	35	331	273	58	77	282	249	172	340	308	91	404	304
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	50%	11%	24%	33%	30%	83%	9%	6%	40%	60%	33%	49%	6%	9%	11%	14%	16%	11%	23%	13%	13%	18%	49%	34%	47%	48%	6%	39%	41%	8%	11%	37%	37%	21%	44%	44%	12%	50%	45%

(If not supporting Biden) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Joe Biden or not really any chance?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Some chance	5%	4%	6%	10%	4%	3%	5%	4%	6%	15%	3%	6%	3%	5%	7%	11%	1%	3%	6%	13%	4%	5%	4%	11%	4%	3%	0%	4%	37%	0%	1%	13%	24%	2%	1%	15%	6%	3%	10%	3%	2%	17%
Not really any chance	49%	57%	42%	40%	48%	54%	49%	52%	25%	43%	37%	56%	37%	62%	30%	33%	34%	74%	52%	29%	41%	51%	61%	31%	45%	64%	0%	95%	47%	0%	99%	52%	35%	7%	91%	49%	13%	85%	60%	5%	96%	54%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	1%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	4%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	5%	2%	0%	0%	0%	4%	3%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	0%	<1%	16%	0%	<.5%	0%	11%	0%	<.5%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	0%
[PREVIOUSLY] Joe Biden	44%	37%	51%	47%	48%	42%	45%	42%	65%	40%	58%	36%	59%	32%	57%	54%	65%	24%	42%	55%	52%	41%	33%	56%	50%	30%	100%	0%	0%	100%	0%	35%	31%	91%	7%	33%	81%	10%	29%	91%	2%	29%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If not supporting Trump) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Donald Trump or not really any chance?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Some chance	3%	5%	2%	6%	6%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	14%	5%	2%	3%	2%	17%	3%	<1%	3%	3%	3%	2%	7%	2%	3%	5%	1%	4%	0%	17%	1%	0%	5%	16%	2%	1%	6%	3%	2%	5%	3%	1%	6%
Not really any chance	47%	37%	56%	45%	49%	48%	48%	45%	69%	47%	59%	40%	59%	35%	60%	60%	66%	27%	47%	64%	55%	40%	32%	64%	51%	33%	94%	0%	66%	97%	0%	53%	46%	89%	8%	44%	84%	11%	37%	90%	2%	45%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	5%	4%	2%	2%	1%	2%	5%	5%	0%	0%	<1%	5%	3%	3%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	0%	17%	2%	0%	0%	11%	2%	0%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	4%
[PREVIOUSLY] Donald Trump	47%	55%	40%	46%	44%	50%	48%	52%	23%	35%	34%	55%	37%	61%	18%	33%	33%	70%	49%	27%	39%	50%	63%	29%	43%	64%	0%	100%	0%	0%	100%	42%	26%	6%	91%	48%	10%	84%	56%	5%	96%	46%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If candidate selected in presidential race, including third-party candidates) What is the MAIN reason you are planning to vote for [CANDIDATE SELECTED]?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] Positive view of candidate's policies	25%	24%	27%	16%	22%	24%	34%	24%	30%	30%	25%	26%	22%	26%	42%	24%	29%	26%	34%	16%	23%	25%	20%	21%	25%	27%	23%	28%	13%	25%	30%	7%	44%	26%	30%	16%	27%	26%	16%	23%	29%	16%
[VOL] Negative view of opponent's policies	4%	4%	4%	6%	6%	3%	2%	4%	4%	5%	5%	4%	5%	3%	4%	5%	3%	7%	3%	2%	6%	2%	4%	3%	4%	5%	3%	6%	0%	3%	5%	4%	2%	2%	5%	5%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	5%
[VOL] Positive view of candidate's character/competence	15%	14%	16%	10%	9%	16%	18%	14%	11%	21%	14%	15%	14%	14%	10%	17%	6%	14%	17%	25%	11%	14%	20%	19%	11%	17%	17%	12%	20%	18%	13%	14%	3%	16%	16%	13%	16%	14%	14%	16%	13%	13%
[VOL] Negative view of opponent's character/competence	24%	23%	26%	25%	30%	24%	20%	25%	23%	18%	24%	25%	26%	25%	9%	27%	29%	16%	22%	34%	32%	23%	14%	28%	29%	17%	35%	13%	49%	32%	9%	55%	24%	34%	12%	26%	33%	13%	32%	36%	12%	26%
[VOL] Voting to support a political party	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	4%	3%	7%	0%	3%	3%	3%	3%	7%	3%	7%	3%	1%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	0%	5%	2%	2%	5%	4%	2%	4%	4%	3%	1%	3%	3%	4%
[VOL] The economy (including jobs and the stock market)	11%	13%	8%	9%	11%	13%	9%	12%	3%	2%	8%	12%	9%	14%	0%	3%	7%	22%	8%	4%	5%	15%	16%	4%	8%	17%	1%	20%	0%	<1%	23%	1%	0%	1%	18%	13%	2%	19%	15%	1%	21%	10%
[VOL] Inflation/the cost of living	2%	3%	<.5%	2%	3%	<1%	<1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	0%	1%	3%	<1%	0%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	0%	3%	0%	0%	3%	<1%	0%	0%	3%	2%	0%	4%	0%	0%	3%	<1%
[VOL] Abortion	3%	3%	4%	5%	4%	2%	3%	3%	0%	9%	4%	3%	4%	3%	7%	2%	4%	<1%	4%	7%	3%	<1%	6%	4%	4%	2%	6%	2%	0%	6%	2%	0%	0%	5%	3%	2%	4%	3%	<1%	6%	2%	1%
[VOL] Immigration	3%	5%	<1%	3%	<1%	5%	4%	4%	<.5%	<1%	3%	4%	3%	4%	<1%	<.5%	4%	1%	2%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	2%	0%	6%	0%	0%	7%	0%	0%	0%	7%	2%	0%	7%	<.5%	<.5%	7%	2%
[VOL] The state of democracy/corruption	2%	2%	1%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	4%	1%	4%	<1%	3%	<1%	9%	0%	4%	0%	<1%	1%	3%	0%	3%	3%	3%	0%	3%	<1%	0%	4%	<1%	0%	0%	2%	<1%	3%	3%	<1%	2%	3%	<1%	0%
[VOL] Other (specify)	5%	4%	6%	15%	6%	2%	2%	4%	9%	12%	8%	3%	8%	1%	9%	12%	5%	3%	4%	5%	5%	8%	6%	5%	5%	5%	5%	4%	12%	5%	2%	12%	23%	5%	2%	9%	6%	3%	8%	5%	3%	14%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	1%	4%	4%	2%	5%	<1%	2%	8%	<1%	<1%	4%	<1%	4%	1%	7%	0%	5%	3%	<1%	4%	3%	4%	5%	2%	2%	2%	3%	6%	2%	3%	5%	0%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%	6%	3%	1%	7%
Number of respondents	756	427	315	110	156	252	223	632	65	43	399	356	341	291	48	60	63	78	104	57	301	77	76	106	431	219	393	344	19	349	303	83	21	293	254	174	345	315	96	375	288	79
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	51%	15%	22%	33%	29%	82%	10%	7%	38%	61%	32%	50%	5%	11%	11%	14%	17%	10%	22%	13%	13%	17%	48%	35%	47%	50%	4%	41%	44%	12%	3%	38%	37%	21%	44%	43%	14%	44%	42%	12%

(If supporting Kennedy in presidential race) Are you mostly voting FOR Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or AGAINST the other candidates in the race?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
For Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	39%	39%	39%	52%	37%	31%	45%	30%	70%	84%	26%	46%	21%	36%	61%	83%	0%	46%	44%	30%	37%	68%	0%	35%	41%	39%	49%	34%	34%	-	-	39%	-	46%	14%	48%	46%	30%	40%	36%	45%	40%
Against the other candidates	53%	49%	56%	44%	59%	55%	55%	60%	30%	16%	71%	44%	76%	51%	39%	17%	69%	54%	28%	70%	59%	32%	100%	65%	44%	61%	51%	58%	47%	-	-	53%	-	45%	86%	50%	54%	70%	39%	55%	50%	51%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	8%	11%	6%	4%	4%	14%	0%	9%	0%	0%	3%	10%	3%	13%	0%	0%	31%	0%	28%	0%	4%	0%	0%	0%	15%	0%	0%	8%	19%	-	-	8%	-	9%	0%	2%	0%	0%	20%	9%	4%	9%
Number of respondents	83	41	40	24	18	30	10	68	6	9	39	44	34	34	5	10	3	6	14	6	34	12	8	11	48	24	29	39	15			83		21	14	41	30	25	28	33	19	26
Percent of total electorate	100%	40%	58%	25%	22%	40%	12%	81%	8%	11%	34%	66%	29%	52%	4%	14%	3%	10%	20%	11%	27%	18%	10%	17%	51%	33%	35%	42%	23%			100%		27%	17%	48%	35%	28%	38%	39%	22%	34%

In general, how satisfied are you with your choice of candidates in this fall’s presidential election?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very satisfied	29%	29%	29%	11%	18%	29%	46%	30%	19%	23%	22%	32%	23%	35%	17%	23%	30%	40%	34%	21%	21%	25%	32%	23%	27%	35%	21%	41%	2%	24%	48%	6%	4%	27%	49%	10%	21%	43%	12%	21%	47%	9%
Somewhat satisfied	29%	30%	27%	28%	29%	31%	25%	31%	25%	14%	27%	30%	28%	32%	19%	21%	39%	29%	17%	24%	33%	31%	30%	31%	30%	26%	33%	28%	11%	36%	27%	22%	19%	32%	24%	31%	31%	26%	29%	32%	27%	25%
Not too satisfied	17%	18%	17%	20%	20%	18%	13%	16%	20%	24%	21%	15%	20%	14%	26%	20%	13%	13%	22%	19%	20%	15%	14%	17%	18%	16%	22%	11%	29%	22%	9%	22%	21%	19%	10%	22%	22%	10%	23%	19%	12%	22%
Not at all satisfied	24%	23%	25%	40%	31%	21%	14%	21%	34%	38%	29%	21%	27%	18%	38%	34%	17%	18%	27%	33%	23%	26%	23%	27%	24%	21%	23%	20%	51%	17%	14%	49%	51%	22%	15%	37%	25%	18%	36%	26%	13%	44%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	0%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	3%	2%	4%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	7%	1%	<1%	0%	5%	1%	<1%	0%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	<.5%
NET Satisfied	58%	59%	56%	39%	47%	60%	71%	61%	44%	38%	49%	62%	51%	67%	36%	44%	70%	69%	51%	45%	54%	56%	63%	54%	57%	60%	54%	68%	13%	60%	76%	29%	23%	58%	73%	41%	52%	70%	41%	53%	74%	34%
NET Not satisfied	41%	41%	42%	60%	52%	39%	26%	38%	54%	62%	50%	36%	47%	31%	64%	54%	30%	31%	49%	52%	44%	41%	36%	44%	42%	38%	44%	31%	80%	39%	23%	71%	72%	40%	26%	59%	47%	28%	59%	45%	25%	66%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

How often do you pay attention to what's going on in government and politics?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Always	36%	40%	32%	20%	25%	38%	52%	37%	33%	27%	41%	33%	40%	35%	46%	24%	49%	33%	33%	35%	35%	30%	42%	35%	36%	37%	33%	42%	21%	37%	49%	11%	17%	34%	48%	27%	33%	46%	19%	35%	47%	16%
Most of the time	34%	34%	34%	32%	39%	35%	28%	35%	29%	27%	34%	34%	37%	34%	21%	32%	27%	44%	40%	31%	36%	29%	22%	29%	34%	36%	37%	31%	29%	39%	30%	33%	30%	33%	35%	34%	34%	32%	37%	37%	29%	30%
About half of the time	14%	13%	15%	23%	19%	10%	9%	13%	12%	24%	13%	14%	13%	13%	14%	18%	9%	7%	13%	14%	13%	20%	19%	16%	14%	12%	14%	12%	20%	10%	9%	29%	24%	13%	8%	19%	15%	12%	15%	12%	12%	25%
Some of the time	14%	11%	16%	22%	14%	13%	11%	13%	19%	20%	10%	16%	9%	15%	16%	21%	13%	12%	11%	16%	14%	18%	13%	15%	15%	11%	13%	12%	28%	12%	10%	23%	21%	16%	8%	16%	15%	9%	24%	14%	10%	24%
Never	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	7%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	6%	2%	4%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	4%	4%	1%	3%	3%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	4%	7%	3%	<.5%	2%	3%	<1%	4%	3%	<1%	5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	2%	<1%	0%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	1%	0%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly approve	17%	13%	20%	2%	7%	23%	26%	18%	18%	4%	23%	13%	23%	14%	23%	7%	30%	12%	13%	19%	19%	9%	17%	20%	17%	15%	37%	<1%	0%	43%	<1%	2%	3%	38%	3%	8%	32%	3%	7%	36%	<1%	4%
Somewhat approve	21%	18%	24%	26%	28%	17%	15%	18%	37%	27%	24%	19%	24%	15%	27%	35%	28%	11%	22%	35%	22%	16%	14%	30%	23%	13%	40%	2%	26%	42%	<1%	14%	26%	34%	5%	25%	34%	7%	19%	37%	3%	19%
Somewhat disapprove	15%	14%	15%	29%	20%	12%	7%	14%	16%	24%	17%	14%	17%	12%	13%	22%	9%	11%	18%	16%	16%	19%	12%	15%	17%	12%	18%	9%	27%	12%	5%	39%	29%	18%	9%	19%	18%	10%	18%	18%	6%	32%
Strongly disapprove	45%	53%	37%	37%	42%	46%	49%	47%	22%	42%	34%	51%	34%	56%	29%	31%	33%	63%	46%	24%	39%	53%	55%	30%	42%	57%	3%	87%	24%	2%	92%	38%	29%	9%	83%	44%	14%	78%	45%	7%	90%	36%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	4%	6%	3%	2%	3%	3%	8%	3%	2%	4%	1%	4%	8%	5%	<1%	3%	2%	7%	5%	3%	1%	5%	2%	4%	1%	2%	22%	<1%	1%	7%	13%	1%	<1%	4%	1%	2%	11%	2%	<1%	9%
NET Approve	37%	31%	44%	28%	35%	40%	42%	36%	54%	31%	47%	32%	47%	29%	50%	42%	58%	23%	34%	54%	40%	25%	32%	50%	39%	27%	77%	2%	26%	85%	2%	17%	30%	72%	8%	33%	66%	10%	26%	73%	3%	23%
NET Disapprove	60%	66%	52%	66%	62%	58%	55%	61%	38%	66%	51%	64%	52%	67%	42%	53%	42%	74%	63%	40%	55%	72%	67%	45%	58%	69%	22%	96%	52%	14%	97%	76%	58%	27%	91%	63%	32%	88%	63%	25%	96%	68%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) Do you approve or disapprove of the way Josh Shapiro is handling his job as governor?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly approve	24%	23%	26%	15%	21%	28%	30%	25%	25%	18%	33%	20%	35%	20%	25%	21%	41%	18%	25%	23%	27%	19%	19%	28%	30%	16%	49%	4%	12%	54%	4%	20%	8%	50%	5%	18%	45%	7%	11%	46%	6%	15%
Somewhat approve	33%	32%	33%	38%	35%	29%	32%	31%	40%	32%	29%	34%	29%	33%	29%	41%	18%	32%	32%	36%	33%	34%	41%	31%	30%	37%	33%	32%	34%	31%	31%	37%	39%	33%	36%	31%	32%	35%	28%	34%	31%	29%
Somewhat disapprove	12%	12%	11%	12%	15%	8%	12%	11%	10%	25%	14%	10%	13%	9%	19%	14%	7%	14%	11%	9%	9%	14%	17%	11%	10%	15%	4%	18%	17%	3%	17%	13%	18%	3%	15%	18%	6%	17%	13%	3%	17%	25%
Strongly disapprove	13%	16%	10%	7%	10%	17%	14%	14%	9%	4%	8%	16%	9%	17%	<1%	10%	14%	16%	15%	6%	11%	14%	14%	7%	14%	15%	<1%	25%	7%	<1%	29%	1%	6%	3%	26%	9%	3%	25%	8%	2%	27%	8%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	18%	17%	20%	28%	19%	19%	13%	18%	16%	21%	16%	20%	14%	21%	26%	15%	20%	20%	17%	25%	20%	18%	10%	23%	17%	18%	14%	21%	30%	12%	19%	29%	28%	12%	16%	24%	13%	16%	40%	15%	19%	23%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of each of the following.
Donald Trump
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	27%	30%	24%	13%	21%	29%	36%	29%	11%	17%	17%	33%	17%	37%	10%	15%	23%	39%	31%	9%	20%	30%	37%	12%	25%	37%	<.5%	56%	<1%	<.5%	67%	<1%	2%	4%	64%	13%	5%	55%	16%	<1%	63%	13%
Somewhat favorable	16%	23%	11%	28%	18%	16%	10%	17%	4%	29%	14%	18%	14%	19%	15%	14%	11%	26%	12%	15%	16%	19%	17%	13%	15%	20%	2%	30%	14%	<1%	27%	28%	20%	4%	22%	24%	6%	24%	26%	4%	28%	17%
Somewhat unfavorable	10%	10%	9%	18%	9%	11%	4%	8%	17%	20%	8%	11%	7%	8%	14%	20%	2%	10%	13%	21%	7%	5%	11%	19%	8%	8%	6%	9%	32%	6%	5%	23%	23%	5%	5%	23%	6%	8%	24%	6%	5%	30%
Very unfavorable	45%	36%	54%	39%	52%	44%	47%	45%	63%	34%	59%	37%	61%	34%	57%	49%	62%	23%	43%	54%	56%	44%	36%	54%	51%	33%	91%	4%	42%	92%	1%	48%	46%	87%	9%	39%	82%	11%	32%	88%	3%	37%
[VOL] Have not heard of	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	1%	2%	1%	<.5%	2%	3%	1%	4%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	4%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	3%	0%	1%	1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	12%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	9%	<.5%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	2%
NET Favorable	43%	53%	35%	41%	39%	44%	45%	46%	16%	45%	31%	51%	31%	56%	24%	29%	34%	65%	43%	23%	36%	49%	54%	25%	40%	57%	2%	87%	14%	<1%	94%	29%	22%	8%	86%	37%	11%	79%	43%	5%	91%	30%
NET Unfavorable	55%	46%	63%	57%	61%	54%	52%	52%	81%	54%	67%	48%	67%	43%	71%	69%	65%	32%	57%	75%	62%	49%	46%	73%	59%	40%	97%	13%	74%	99%	6%	71%	69%	91%	13%	62%	88%	19%	56%	93%	8%	68%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Joe Biden
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	19%	17%	22%	10%	12%	21%	29%	18%	30%	13%	24%	16%	24%	15%	27%	21%	35%	15%	18%	27%	21%	7%	15%	30%	19%	13%	42%	1%	0%	49%	1%	3%	4%	46%	2%	7%	38%	4%	5%	41%	2%	4%
Somewhat favorable	22%	19%	26%	26%	28%	22%	16%	19%	43%	28%	25%	21%	24%	16%	31%	40%	24%	11%	22%	34%	26%	25%	15%	29%	24%	17%	41%	2%	37%	39%	2%	34%	29%	36%	4%	28%	37%	4%	27%	39%	2%	30%
Somewhat unfavorable	11%	11%	12%	20%	19%	9%	3%	12%	4%	15%	15%	9%	17%	9%	8%	10%	10%	8%	13%	8%	14%	12%	13%	10%	12%	11%	12%	9%	23%	9%	6%	22%	25%	10%	7%	20%	10%	10%	18%	13%	5%	21%
Very unfavorable	45%	52%	39%	41%	40%	47%	50%	49%	16%	43%	34%	52%	34%	58%	28%	27%	31%	65%	46%	26%	37%	54%	58%	27%	44%	57%	4%	87%	29%	3%	90%	41%	33%	7%	86%	43%	14%	80%	45%	6%	91%	41%
[VOL] Have not heard of	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	1%	2%	4%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	6%	<1%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	6%	3%	0%	2%	0%	6%	2%	3%	0%	4%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	1%	12%	0%	<1%	0%	9%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%	5%	1%	<1%	4%
NET Favorable	41%	36%	47%	35%	40%	44%	45%	38%	73%	40%	49%	37%	48%	31%	58%	61%	58%	25%	40%	60%	47%	32%	29%	59%	43%	30%	83%	3%	37%	88%	3%	37%	33%	83%	6%	35%	75%	8%	32%	80%	4%	34%
NET Unfavorable	57%	63%	51%	61%	59%	55%	53%	61%	20%	59%	50%	61%	51%	67%	36%	36%	42%	72%	60%	34%	51%	66%	71%	37%	56%	68%	17%	95%	52%	12%	96%	63%	58%	17%	93%	64%	24%	90%	63%	19%	96%	62%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	8%	9%	7%	13%	9%	8%	5%	7%	12%	17%	6%	9%	5%	8%	10%	16%	6%	3%	15%	6%	5%	15%	7%	8%	9%	6%	8%	8%	7%	5%	8%	27%	2%	9%	6%	10%	7%	9%	7%	9%	7%	10%
Somewhat favorable	35%	36%	35%	35%	31%	42%	28%	37%	21%	37%	28%	39%	27%	43%	30%	26%	19%	48%	39%	27%	35%	28%	45%	27%	31%	46%	21%	47%	45%	16%	43%	68%	36%	20%	47%	40%	21%	46%	48%	20%	46%	47%
Somewhat unfavorable	20%	21%	19%	18%	22%	16%	24%	19%	27%	19%	23%	18%	24%	15%	16%	28%	14%	12%	20%	27%	19%	23%	23%	24%	22%	14%	19%	21%	17%	18%	24%	1%	25%	19%	22%	18%	20%	20%	15%	19%	22%	18%
Very unfavorable	24%	24%	24%	13%	23%	21%	34%	25%	22%	14%	35%	18%	35%	19%	36%	11%	47%	13%	21%	26%	28%	18%	17%	27%	27%	18%	43%	9%	10%	50%	10%	1%	14%	42%	11%	20%	39%	12%	12%	43%	10%	9%
[VOL] Have not heard of	3%	2%	4%	8%	3%	2%	3%	3%	5%	1%	1%	4%	2%	4%	0%	5%	1%	7%	0%	4%	3%	3%	4%	5%	3%	3%	2%	4%	4%	2%	5%	<1%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	6%	2%	4%	6%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	10%	7%	12%	13%	12%	11%	6%	9%	13%	11%	7%	12%	7%	11%	7%	14%	13%	17%	6%	9%	10%	13%	4%	9%	8%	13%	8%	11%	17%	8%	10%	1%	20%	8%	11%	8%	9%	10%	12%	7%	11%	11%
NET Favorable	43%	45%	42%	49%	40%	50%	34%	44%	33%	54%	34%	49%	33%	50%	40%	42%	25%	51%	53%	33%	40%	43%	52%	35%	40%	52%	29%	55%	52%	21%	51%	95%	38%	29%	53%	50%	28%	55%	55%	29%	53%	56%
NET Unfavorable	44%	45%	43%	31%	45%	38%	58%	44%	49%	34%	58%	35%	59%	34%	52%	38%	62%	25%	41%	53%	47%	41%	40%	51%	49%	32%	61%	30%	27%	69%	34%	3%	39%	61%	33%	38%	59%	33%	27%	62%	33%	27%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Joe Rogan [roh-gun], the podcast host
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	14%	20%	8%	23%	15%	16%	7%	15%	7%	15%	10%	17%	11%	18%	5%	13%	7%	17%	19%	8%	11%	13%	23%	7%	13%	19%	4%	26%	3%	3%	27%	16%	4%	5%	24%	13%	4%	25%	12%	5%	24%	14%
Somewhat favorable	19%	23%	16%	25%	23%	18%	15%	20%	11%	22%	21%	18%	20%	20%	30%	9%	23%	29%	17%	16%	17%	15%	18%	15%	19%	22%	6%	29%	28%	5%	29%	22%	23%	8%	25%	26%	9%	26%	30%	7%	27%	30%
Somewhat unfavorable	13%	14%	13%	17%	20%	10%	8%	12%	18%	26%	16%	12%	17%	9%	14%	25%	19%	7%	12%	25%	10%	15%	11%	23%	13%	8%	20%	6%	22%	19%	4%	15%	24%	16%	8%	19%	20%	7%	11%	19%	6%	15%
Very unfavorable	16%	13%	20%	21%	21%	12%	15%	17%	16%	13%	26%	11%	27%	10%	22%	12%	22%	7%	17%	17%	23%	12%	14%	18%	19%	12%	32%	4%	7%	34%	3%	11%	10%	33%	3%	12%	28%	4%	16%	32%	3%	9%
[VOL] Have not heard of	22%	17%	27%	4%	8%	26%	39%	22%	27%	17%	13%	27%	13%	27%	12%	28%	22%	22%	24%	19%	21%	26%	21%	22%	22%	22%	23%	21%	26%	21%	21%	28%	23%	23%	27%	15%	23%	24%	14%	21%	24%	23%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	15%	13%	17%	10%	13%	18%	17%	15%	21%	6%	14%	16%	13%	16%	18%	14%	7%	18%	12%	15%	19%	18%	14%	14%	14%	17%	16%	15%	14%	18%	15%	8%	16%	16%	13%	15%	16%	13%	17%	15%	16%	9%
NET Favorable	33%	44%	23%	48%	38%	34%	21%	35%	18%	37%	32%	34%	31%	38%	35%	22%	30%	46%	35%	24%	28%	29%	41%	22%	32%	40%	10%	55%	31%	8%	57%	38%	28%	13%	49%	39%	13%	51%	43%	13%	51%	44%
NET Unfavorable	30%	26%	33%	39%	42%	22%	23%	29%	34%	39%	42%	22%	44%	19%	35%	37%	40%	15%	29%	42%	33%	27%	25%	41%	32%	20%	51%	10%	29%	53%	7%	26%	34%	49%	10%	31%	48%	11%	26%	51%	9%	24%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) Bob Casey
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	17%	14%	20%	5%	11%	19%	29%	18%	19%	13%	21%	15%	22%	15%	21%	14%	31%	14%	22%	12%	15%	16%	15%	18%	20%	14%	37%	<1%	9%	40%	<.5%	18%	6%	39%	2%	10%	34%	3%	7%	37%	2%	6%
Somewhat favorable	32%	30%	34%	39%	34%	34%	26%	32%	36%	34%	36%	30%	36%	29%	38%	34%	29%	28%	25%	50%	39%	25%	27%	39%	32%	28%	43%	21%	38%	42%	18%	42%	36%	42%	21%	33%	40%	21%	39%	43%	18%	35%
Somewhat unfavorable	17%	19%	15%	14%	25%	12%	17%	17%	17%	18%	14%	18%	14%	19%	17%	18%	10%	20%	16%	15%	17%	20%	18%	14%	15%	20%	6%	26%	20%	4%	27%	19%	21%	6%	26%	20%	9%	24%	18%	6%	27%	21%
Very unfavorable	14%	18%	11%	4%	7%	18%	19%	16%	<1%	5%	13%	15%	13%	18%	6%	<.5%	18%	17%	14%	3%	13%	14%	22%	5%	15%	18%	<1%	28%	6%	<1%	33%	4%	5%	<1%	33%	10%	2%	32%	5%	<1%	32%	8%
[VOL] Have not heard of	8%	9%	7%	17%	9%	5%	5%	6%	14%	21%	5%	10%	4%	7%	9%	20%	3%	6%	12%	13%	6%	8%	7%	14%	7%	6%	4%	11%	15%	3%	10%	11%	11%	3%	9%	10%	6%	8%	14%	3%	10%	16%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	12%	10%	13%	20%	14%	12%	4%	12%	14%	9%	11%	12%	11%	12%	9%	13%	9%	15%	12%	8%	10%	16%	12%	9%	11%	14%	10%	13%	13%	10%	12%	6%	21%	9%	9%	16%	9%	12%	17%	11%	11%	14%
NET Favorable	49%	44%	54%	44%	45%	52%	55%	49%	55%	47%	57%	45%	58%	44%	59%	48%	59%	43%	46%	62%	54%	41%	41%	58%	52%	42%	80%	21%	47%	82%	18%	61%	42%	81%	23%	43%	74%	24%	45%	79%	20%	41%
NET Unfavorable	31%	37%	26%	18%	32%	30%	36%	33%	18%	23%	27%	33%	27%	36%	24%	18%	28%	37%	30%	18%	30%	35%	40%	19%	30%	39%	7%	55%	26%	4%	60%	22%	27%	6%	59%	31%	11%	56%	23%	7%	59%	29%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) David McCormick
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	12%	12%	12%	4%	4%	14%	18%	13%	3%	8%	9%	13%	9%	15%	4%	5%	9%	20%	14%	<1%	11%	12%	14%	2%	12%	16%	4%	21%	2%	4%	24%	7%	1%	4%	27%	5%	3%	25%	3%	4%	25%	3%
Somewhat favorable	30%	33%	27%	29%	33%	29%	30%	32%	24%	20%	27%	31%	27%	34%	27%	21%	24%	41%	29%	26%	25%	31%	32%	25%	26%	36%	18%	41%	23%	17%	43%	35%	18%	16%	42%	34%	17%	43%	32%	19%	43%	25%
Somewhat unfavorable	13%	15%	12%	16%	19%	10%	10%	12%	18%	19%	17%	11%	16%	9%	20%	17%	11%	8%	12%	18%	14%	18%	10%	15%	15%	10%	19%	7%	15%	18%	6%	21%	15%	18%	6%	16%	18%	6%	15%	18%	6%	20%
Very unfavorable	11%	11%	12%	10%	9%	10%	15%	12%	9%	3%	17%	8%	19%	8%	6%	7%	22%	5%	6%	9%	10%	15%	15%	13%	12%	9%	22%	2%	<1%	25%	2%	2%	8%	23%	2%	7%	22%	2%	4%	21%	1%	10%
[VOL] Have not heard of	17%	15%	18%	20%	15%	19%	14%	15%	22%	31%	15%	18%	14%	15%	20%	29%	18%	9%	24%	24%	18%	9%	15%	27%	18%	11%	18%	14%	28%	19%	13%	23%	20%	19%	12%	18%	20%	9%	30%	19%	13%	22%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	17%	15%	20%	21%	20%	18%	13%	17%	23%	19%	16%	19%	14%	18%	23%	21%	15%	17%	15%	22%	22%	14%	14%	18%	18%	17%	18%	14%	31%	17%	12%	13%	37%	19%	12%	19%	21%	15%	16%	19%	13%	20%
NET Favorable	42%	45%	39%	34%	37%	43%	48%	44%	27%	28%	36%	44%	36%	50%	31%	26%	34%	61%	43%	27%	36%	44%	46%	28%	39%	53%	22%	62%	25%	21%	67%	43%	20%	20%	69%	39%	20%	68%	35%	23%	67%	28%
NET Unfavorable	24%	25%	23%	26%	28%	20%	25%	24%	27%	22%	34%	19%	36%	17%	26%	25%	33%	13%	18%	27%	24%	33%	26%	28%	26%	19%	41%	10%	16%	43%	8%	22%	24%	42%	8%	24%	40%	9%	20%	39%	7%	30%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) John Fetterman [FEH-ter-min]
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	17%	13%	21%	12%	13%	19%	22%	17%	20%	13%	21%	14%	22%	14%	20%	15%	30%	11%	14%	23%	13%	18%	17%	23%	18%	12%	33%	3%	12%	35%	2%	13%	15%	34%	3%	14%	31%	4%	11%	34%	3%	8%
Somewhat favorable	31%	35%	27%	29%	30%	32%	30%	31%	33%	26%	35%	28%	34%	29%	39%	25%	37%	29%	32%	28%	36%	20%	29%	29%	32%	30%	40%	21%	33%	41%	23%	24%	30%	40%	22%	31%	38%	23%	30%	38%	21%	31%
Somewhat unfavorable	19%	21%	16%	25%	21%	19%	13%	19%	12%	26%	21%	18%	23%	17%	11%	21%	10%	18%	22%	16%	19%	20%	23%	15%	19%	20%	11%	27%	13%	11%	23%	32%	15%	11%	26%	21%	10%	27%	23%	11%	26%	22%
Very unfavorable	22%	23%	21%	19%	26%	17%	25%	23%	15%	15%	15%	25%	14%	28%	16%	14%	17%	31%	16%	15%	19%	32%	25%	15%	20%	28%	8%	36%	12%	8%	39%	18%	14%	9%	38%	19%	13%	36%	10%	8%	38%	18%
[VOL] Have not heard of	6%	4%	8%	9%	4%	6%	6%	4%	11%	19%	3%	8%	2%	5%	5%	19%	3%	3%	13%	10%	5%	3%	4%	12%	5%	3%	4%	6%	15%	3%	6%	9%	11%	3%	6%	7%	5%	4%	14%	4%	4%	17%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	5%	7%	6%	6%	7%	5%	6%	9%	2%	5%	7%	4%	7%	9%	5%	3%	9%	4%	8%	8%	8%	2%	7%	5%	7%	3%	7%	15%	3%	6%	4%	15%	3%	5%	8%	4%	6%	13%	4%	7%	5%
NET Favorable	48%	48%	48%	41%	43%	51%	51%	48%	53%	38%	56%	43%	56%	43%	59%	41%	67%	40%	46%	51%	49%	37%	46%	51%	50%	42%	74%	24%	45%	75%	25%	37%	46%	74%	25%	45%	69%	27%	41%	72%	24%	39%
NET Unfavorable	41%	44%	37%	43%	47%	36%	38%	42%	27%	41%	36%	43%	37%	45%	27%	36%	27%	49%	37%	31%	38%	51%	48%	29%	40%	48%	20%	63%	25%	19%	62%	51%	29%	20%	64%	40%	22%	63%	32%	20%	65%	40%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

What one issue is most important in deciding your vote this November?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] The economy (including jobs and the stock market)	22%	26%	17%	17%	17%	27%	23%	22%	19%	22%	18%	24%	17%	26%	19%	20%	20%	25%	23%	22%	16%	24%	26%	21%	19%	25%	15%	27%	26%	14%	29%	30%	15%	16%	28%	21%	16%	28%	20%	13%	30%	27%
[VOL] Inflation and the cost of living	7%	9%	4%	10%	10%	6%	3%	6%	5%	17%	5%	8%	4%	7%	9%	10%	8%	9%	6%	5%	6%	6%	6%	5%	8%	6%	3%	10%	8%	3%	9%	4%	11%	3%	9%	9%	4%	9%	7%	3%	9%	9%
[VOL] Abortion	13%	5%	20%	17%	13%	11%	12%	13%	10%	8%	18%	9%	20%	9%	12%	8%	20%	12%	12%	13%	12%	9%	13%	12%	16%	9%	23%	5%	4%	23%	5%	9%	11%	20%	6%	13%	19%	7%	9%	23%	4%	9%
[VOL] Immigration	12%	15%	10%	8%	7%	13%	18%	15%	<1%	4%	10%	14%	11%	17%	5%	<.5%	7%	18%	15%	3%	13%	15%	11%	4%	12%	17%	1%	24%	3%	<1%	26%	11%	5%	2%	27%	9%	3%	23%	10%	2%	26%	7%
[VOL] Crime	1%	1%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	0%	3%	2%	0%	0%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	0%	<1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	4%
[VOL] Gun policies	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	1%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Health care	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	5%	<1%	3%	<1%	8%	2%	4%	2%	3%	1%	5%	3%	3%	7%	0%	2%	2%	5%	3%	3%	2%	5%	1%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	6%	<.5%	3%	4%	1%	4%	5%	1%	2%
[VOL] Education	1%	0%	2%	0%	<1%	2%	2%	<.5%	8%	0%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	2%	6%	0%	0%	1%	8%	<1%	0%	0%	5%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	11%	<1%	0%	0%	7%	1%	0%	3%	3%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%
[VOL] Foreign policy	4%	6%	3%	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	3%	5%	6%	3%	5%	4%	10%	<1%	8%	2%	2%	8%	5%	2%	4%	7%	4%	3%	4%	5%	6%	4%	4%	8%	2%	3%	5%	6%	3%	5%	7%	5%	4%	2%
[VOL] Russia/the war in Ukraine	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] China	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Climate change	2%	<1%	3%	<1%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	0%	3%	3%	<1%	3%	1%	4%	0%	0%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	3%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%
[VOL] The state of democracy/corruption	6%	7%	5%	2%	4%	5%	10%	7%	2%	3%	9%	4%	10%	5%	6%	<1%	6%	7%	5%	5%	7%	4%	8%	8%	5%	6%	10%	3%	0%	12%	3%	2%	2%	9%	4%	6%	9%	3%	5%	10%	3%	2%
[VOL] Election integrity	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Equality/inequality	2%	<1%	3%	5%	4%	1%	0%	2%	6%	0%	1%	3%	1%	2%	<.5%	5%	3%	3%	0%	5%	1%	4%	0%	4%	<1%	2%	4%	0%	0%	5%	0%	0%	<1%	5%	0%	<.5%	4%	0%	<1%	4%	0%	2%
[VOL] Polarization/division	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	2%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	1%
[VOL] Racism/racial issues	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%
[VOL] Dislike of opposing candidate (Trump or Biden)	5%	5%	4%	2%	6%	4%	6%	4%	4%	8%	5%	4%	5%	3%	5%	6%	12%	2%	6%	<1%	5%	4%	3%	6%	4%	4%	7%	2%	1%	8%	3%	2%	1%	8%	3%	2%	7%	2%	3%	7%	3%	2%
[VOL] Character/competence of candidate (Trump or Biden)	5%	6%	3%	2%	4%	5%	7%	5%	3%	0%	4%	5%	5%	5%	<1%	2%	4%	6%	2%	3%	5%	7%	5%	2%	4%	6%	6%	3%	4%	7%	3%	3%	4%	5%	3%	7%	4%	5%	4%	6%	5%	0%
[VOL] The Middle East/Israel/Palestinians	2%	1%	3%	6%	4%	<.5%	2%	2%	4%	7%	4%	1%	3%	<1%	11%	3%	<1%	0%	1%	5%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	1%	3%	<1%	9%	2%	<1%	1%	8%	4%	1%	2%	4%	<1%	<.5%	3%	<1%	4%
[VOL] Taxes	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	2%	0%	<1%	3%	1%	2%	0%	3%	2%	1%	0%	3%	1%	<1%	3%	3%	<1%	3%	<1%	3%	<1%	3%	2%	<.5%	3%	3%	1%	3%	<1%
[VOL] Student loans	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%
[VOL] Other (specify)	8%	8%	8%	9%	10%	5%	7%	6%	18%	8%	5%	9%	5%	6%	6%	18%	5%	4%	9%	9%	10%	5%	8%	9%	8%	6%	7%	9%	3%	6%	6%	10%	13%	9%	6%	7%	8%	5%	12%	7%	5%	15%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	4%	7%	6%	7%	5%	4%	4%	13%	7%	3%	7%	3%	5%	8%	12%	<1%	3%	9%	8%	3%	10%	3%	7%	5%	6%	4%	5%	16%	4%	4%	12%	9%	5%	2%	6%	5%	3%	12%	5%	2%	12%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Thinking about the nation's economy, how would you rate economic conditions today?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Excellent	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	4%	2%	0%	3%	4%	<1%	4%	1%	4%	0%	2%	<.5%	4%	2%	2%	<1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	4%	<.5%	<1%	5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	5%	<1%	1%	4%	<1%	1%	4%	<1%	0%
Good	19%	18%	19%	4%	18%	23%	23%	21%	10%	5%	28%	13%	31%	15%	19%	3%	31%	14%	15%	17%	24%	15%	14%	21%	20%	16%	38%	2%	11%	44%	2%	4%	11%	35%	5%	15%	33%	6%	11%	36%	3%	7%
Only fair	26%	25%	27%	26%	30%	26%	25%	25%	39%	23%	30%	24%	28%	24%	41%	29%	33%	19%	19%	33%	36%	21%	21%	30%	31%	18%	36%	19%	18%	33%	16%	34%	33%	35%	19%	27%	33%	19%	26%	36%	16%	26%
Poor	52%	52%	51%	68%	49%	48%	46%	50%	49%	68%	36%	61%	36%	59%	36%	67%	34%	67%	62%	48%	36%	58%	59%	45%	47%	62%	21%	78%	64%	17%	81%	62%	50%	24%	75%	55%	29%	73%	60%	22%	79%	67%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	<1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	<1%	5%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	<.5%	7%	1%	<1%	0%	5%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	<.5%
NET Excellent/good	21%	21%	20%	5%	20%	25%	26%	24%	10%	9%	33%	14%	35%	16%	24%	3%	32%	14%	19%	18%	27%	16%	18%	23%	22%	18%	42%	2%	11%	49%	2%	4%	12%	40%	6%	16%	37%	6%	12%	41%	4%	7%
NET Fair/poor	78%	78%	79%	94%	80%	74%	72%	75%	88%	91%	66%	85%	64%	82%	76%	96%	67%	86%	81%	80%	72%	79%	81%	76%	78%	79%	57%	97%	82%	50%	97%	96%	83%	59%	94%	82%	62%	92%	86%	58%	95%	92%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Do you think abortion should be always legal, mostly legal, mostly illegal or always illegal?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Always legal	37%	27%	46%	50%	43%	35%	28%	34%	61%	37%	49%	30%	47%	26%	62%	46%	56%	25%	34%	58%	39%	21%	31%	56%	36%	27%	61%	13%	39%	62%	13%	34%	41%	62%	13%	35%	60%	14%	29%	61%	9%	37%
Mostly legal	29%	32%	26%	28%	27%	33%	25%	30%	13%	36%	27%	30%	28%	32%	22%	23%	25%	26%	33%	22%	31%	33%	25%	21%	32%	29%	29%	28%	27%	31%	26%	38%	22%	27%	26%	34%	26%	28%	37%	30%	25%	33%
Mostly illegal	20%	23%	18%	15%	15%	17%	29%	21%	12%	14%	14%	23%	16%	24%	6%	16%	11%	29%	19%	5%	18%	25%	28%	9%	20%	25%	5%	35%	14%	4%	37%	24%	9%	5%	38%	18%	7%	36%	14%	4%	39%	19%
Always illegal	7%	8%	6%	3%	5%	8%	8%	7%	3%	6%	6%	7%	6%	8%	3%	5%	4%	9%	7%	1%	6%	10%	10%	4%	7%	7%	2%	11%	5%	1%	12%	3%	10%	2%	14%	4%	3%	12%	4%	2%	14%	2%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	8%	11%	6%	5%	10%	6%	10%	7%	12%	7%	4%	11%	3%	10%	7%	11%	4%	12%	6%	13%	6%	11%	7%	9%	5%	12%	2%	12%	15%	2%	12%	2%	17%	3%	9%	9%	3%	10%	15%	3%	13%	8%
NET Legal	65%	59%	71%	77%	70%	69%	53%	65%	73%	74%	76%	59%	75%	58%	84%	68%	81%	51%	67%	80%	70%	54%	56%	77%	68%	56%	91%	42%	66%	92%	39%	72%	63%	90%	39%	70%	86%	42%	66%	91%	34%	71%
NET Illegal	27%	30%	23%	17%	20%	25%	37%	28%	15%	20%	20%	30%	21%	33%	9%	21%	16%	37%	27%	7%	24%	36%	38%	14%	27%	33%	8%	46%	18%	5%	49%	26%	19%	7%	52%	22%	10%	48%	18%	6%	53%	21%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following:
(Split A) The economy
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	42%	35%	47%	29%	47%	42%	46%	40%	60%	37%	54%	35%	54%	31%	51%	53%	66%	22%	38%	48%	48%	43%	34%	50%	42%	38%	88%	0%	12%	93%	0%	41%	21%	84%	5%	31%	76%	7%	28%	86%	<1%	16%
Donald Trump	54%	62%	48%	65%	43%	56%	53%	57%	24%	61%	42%	60%	42%	67%	41%	35%	34%	71%	62%	38%	47%	57%	60%	41%	56%	57%	9%	98%	63%	6%	100%	53%	54%	13%	94%	59%	21%	89%	60%	11%	99%	71%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	4%	3%	5%	6%	10%	2%	<1%	3%	16%	2%	4%	4%	4%	2%	8%	12%	0%	6%	0%	14%	5%	0%	6%	9%	2%	5%	3%	2%	26%	1%	0%	6%	25%	3%	2%	9%	3%	3%	12%	4%	<.5%	12%
Number of respondents	410	225	182	57	97	131	118	345	37	20	216	193	188	157	24	33	33	45	57	28	157	48	42	54	236	120	212	173	25	178	147	36	49	160	133	101	199	169	42	208	143	45
Percent of total electorate	100%	46%	54%	15%	25%	29%	29%	82%	11%	5%	37%	62%	32%	49%	4%	12%	9%	15%	15%	11%	22%	15%	13%	17%	47%	36%	47%	46%	7%	38%	40%	10%	13%	38%	35%	24%	47%	41%	12%	45%	39%	13%

(Split A) The Israeli-Palestinian [pah-luh-stin-ian] conflict
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	42%	33%	49%	30%	48%	39%	47%	41%	62%	25%	54%	35%	56%	30%	35%	55%	61%	22%	37%	57%	46%	42%	36%	54%	39%	38%	83%	5%	12%	91%	3%	31%	26%	78%	9%	36%	72%	11%	27%	82%	4%	18%
Donald Trump	47%	55%	41%	56%	39%	46%	49%	48%	27%	69%	36%	54%	34%	56%	41%	41%	30%	58%	57%	31%	40%	56%	51%	37%	52%	46%	7%	91%	27%	2%	94%	32%	49%	11%	90%	44%	19%	82%	40%	8%	94%	50%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	11%	12%	10%	14%	13%	15%	4%	12%	11%	6%	11%	11%	9%	13%	23%	4%	9%	20%	6%	13%	14%	2%	13%	9%	9%	15%	10%	4%	61%	8%	3%	38%	25%	11%	2%	20%	9%	7%	34%	11%	3%	32%
Number of respondents	410	225	182	57	97	131	118	345	37	20	216	193	188	157	24	33	33	45	57	28	157	48	42	54	236	120	212	173	25	178	147	36	49	160	133	101	199	169	42	208	143	45
Percent of total electorate	100%	46%	54%	15%	25%	29%	29%	82%	11%	5%	37%	62%	32%	49%	4%	12%	9%	15%	15%	11%	22%	15%	13%	17%	47%	36%	47%	46%	7%	38%	40%	10%	13%	38%	35%	24%	47%	41%	12%	45%	39%	13%

(Split A) Abortion
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	55%	46%	63%	64%	61%	53%	49%	51%	85%	71%	66%	49%	65%	42%	81%	80%	70%	24%	54%	89%	62%	48%	51%	80%	56%	42%	94%	17%	45%	97%	12%	59%	61%	89%	13%	63%	87%	18%	56%	95%	11%	55%
Donald Trump	35%	40%	32%	23%	24%	39%	46%	39%	4%	27%	26%	40%	28%	46%	16%	10%	24%	53%	33%	11%	28%	49%	40%	16%	36%	44%	4%	71%	7%	2%	78%	17%	14%	7%	75%	22%	9%	69%	20%	3%	78%	25%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	10%	15%	5%	13%	16%	9%	4%	10%	11%	2%	7%	11%	7%	12%	4%	9%	5%	23%	13%	0%	10%	3%	9%	4%	8%	14%	2%	12%	48%	<1%	10%	24%	25%	3%	12%	15%	4%	12%	25%	3%	11%	20%
Number of respondents	410	225	182	57	97	131	118	345	37	20	216	193	188	157	24	33	33	45	57	28	157	48	42	54	236	120	212	173	25	178	147	36	49	160	133	101	199	169	42	208	143	45
Percent of total electorate	100%	46%	54%	15%	25%	29%	29%	82%	11%	5%	37%	62%	32%	49%	4%	12%	9%	15%	15%	11%	22%	15%	13%	17%	47%	36%	47%	46%	7%	38%	40%	10%	13%	38%	35%	24%	47%	41%	12%	45%	39%	13%

(If Pennsylvania voter) Crime
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	42%	32%	50%	36%	45%	39%	47%	39%	61%	41%	51%	36%	52%	31%	49%	55%	59%	21%	44%	51%	46%	37%	34%	54%	46%	29%	88%	1%	26%	92%	<.5%	27%	39%	85%	6%	35%	78%	8%	25%	82%	2%	33%
Donald Trump	51%	62%	42%	58%	46%	53%	48%	55%	26%	50%	42%	57%	43%	62%	34%	37%	36%	69%	53%	34%	46%	55%	63%	35%	48%	64%	9%	94%	35%	7%	96%	62%	33%	13%	91%	50%	17%	86%	60%	13%	94%	54%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	7%	6%	8%	6%	9%	8%	5%	6%	13%	9%	7%	7%	5%	7%	18%	8%	5%	11%	3%	14%	7%	7%	3%	12%	6%	7%	3%	5%	40%	2%	4%	11%	28%	3%	3%	15%	6%	6%	15%	5%	4%	14%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) How would you describe the problem of crime in Pennsylvania?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Major problem	51%	47%	55%	35%	44%	54%	58%	47%	73%	53%	38%	58%	36%	54%	49%	72%	26%	57%	49%	73%	54%	39%	50%	63%	47%	49%	30%	67%	67%	26%	70%	58%	53%	32%	70%	48%	36%	67%	49%	32%	71%	51%
Minor problem	41%	45%	38%	57%	45%	37%	36%	45%	22%	40%	52%	36%	54%	39%	44%	23%	55%	39%	44%	25%	37%	48%	45%	31%	46%	41%	61%	27%	18%	64%	24%	38%	34%	61%	23%	43%	56%	28%	36%	59%	24%	38%
Not a problem	4%	4%	5%	4%	8%	3%	3%	5%	1%	6%	6%	3%	6%	4%	5%	2%	12%	3%	6%	0%	3%	5%	1%	5%	3%	6%	7%	3%	2%	7%	2%	3%	4%	6%	3%	4%	6%	2%	5%	6%	2%	8%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	5%	2%	4%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%	1%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	7%	<1%	<1%	2%	5%	8%	3%	<1%	5%	4%	2%	3%	13%	2%	4%	<1%	9%	1%	3%	5%	2%	3%	9%	3%	4%	4%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) How would you describe the problem of crime in your local area?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Major problem	19%	11%	25%	15%	18%	21%	19%	14%	46%	17%	15%	20%	15%	14%	17%	42%	9%	11%	16%	72%	14%	8%	10%	54%	11%	10%	16%	20%	22%	15%	21%	19%	21%	18%	19%	21%	20%	16%	21%	17%	20%	19%
Minor problem	48%	49%	47%	46%	39%	47%	57%	52%	31%	40%	50%	47%	52%	52%	44%	30%	46%	62%	49%	18%	43%	52%	65%	33%	48%	56%	45%	51%	46%	44%	51%	53%	47%	44%	57%	42%	44%	56%	39%	45%	55%	41%
Not a problem	33%	38%	28%	40%	42%	32%	23%	33%	23%	43%	34%	32%	34%	33%	39%	27%	44%	28%	35%	10%	42%	40%	25%	13%	40%	34%	38%	29%	29%	41%	28%	27%	30%	38%	24%	37%	35%	28%	39%	38%	25%	41%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	3%	0%	<.5%	0%	2%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) How confident are you that your community will be relatively safe in the future?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very confident	34%	38%	30%	34%	38%	32%	32%	36%	19%	37%	42%	29%	44%	31%	33%	23%	40%	32%	35%	17%	40%	37%	32%	19%	39%	35%	43%	25%	34%	45%	22%	29%	41%	41%	25%	37%	38%	30%	32%	43%	25%	28%
Somewhat confident	46%	47%	46%	52%	41%	47%	46%	47%	48%	38%	45%	46%	44%	49%	54%	39%	49%	55%	40%	42%	43%	48%	48%	45%	45%	48%	45%	47%	48%	46%	49%	49%	36%	47%	49%	40%	48%	44%	46%	46%	48%	45%
Not too confident	13%	10%	16%	10%	14%	13%	14%	12%	20%	15%	10%	15%	9%	13%	11%	21%	10%	10%	15%	22%	13%	8%	13%	22%	12%	10%	8%	18%	10%	5%	20%	16%	12%	10%	16%	14%	10%	17%	11%	8%	18%	17%
Not at all confident	5%	4%	6%	3%	4%	7%	6%	4%	11%	7%	3%	7%	3%	5%	3%	13%	1%	1%	6%	19%	3%	4%	6%	13%	3%	5%	3%	7%	7%	2%	7%	6%	7%	2%	8%	7%	3%	7%	10%	3%	7%	9%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	<.5%	2%	1%	3%	4%	0%	3%	0%	2%	0%	4%	0%	2%	4%	0%	1%	3%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	0%	4%	<.5%	3%	<1%	1%	2%	1%	<.5%	3%	<.5%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Who do you think is most responsible for the Supreme Court ending the constitutional right to an abortion: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, a lot of responsibility	7%	6%	7%	4%	9%	7%	8%	7%	7%	7%	3%	9%	2%	10%	7%	7%	7%	7%	7%	2%	5%	13%	8%	2%	8%	8%	2%	11%	6%	3%	13%	4%	3%	4%	12%	5%	5%	11%	1%	3%	12%	6%
Joe Biden, some responsibility	9%	8%	10%	17%	7%	7%	7%	7%	12%	21%	7%	9%	6%	8%	13%	17%	10%	18%	3%	10%	5%	9%	8%	9%	9%	8%	9%	8%	10%	8%	9%	9%	11%	10%	7%	10%	10%	6%	11%	7%	8%	14%
Donald Trump, some responsibility	22%	25%	18%	22%	22%	24%	18%	23%	13%	21%	20%	22%	21%	24%	18%	16%	12%	30%	22%	17%	20%	28%	20%	16%	19%	28%	13%	31%	16%	12%	32%	24%	17%	13%	32%	20%	12%	32%	22%	14%	32%	15%
Donald Trump, a lot of responsibility	44%	38%	49%	44%	40%	42%	48%	45%	50%	30%	58%	36%	59%	36%	53%	36%	53%	27%	43%	57%	50%	39%	38%	55%	46%	34%	72%	19%	36%	76%	17%	39%	39%	68%	24%	41%	66%	24%	31%	71%	16%	37%
[VOL] Neither	10%	12%	7%	7%	11%	9%	11%	9%	12%	16%	7%	11%	7%	10%	4%	18%	8%	6%	13%	9%	9%	6%	16%	11%	9%	10%	1%	17%	14%	<.5%	17%	7%	16%	2%	14%	13%	3%	14%	18%	2%	16%	15%
[VOL] Both	1%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0%	<1%	<1%	5%	0%	<.5%	2%	0%	1%	1%	4%	0%	0%	3%	2%	2%	0%	<1%	3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	3%	<1%	2%	<.5%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	8%	9%	7%	4%	9%	11%	7%	9%	<1%	6%	5%	10%	5%	12%	4%	2%	10%	13%	9%	3%	9%	4%	9%	3%	9%	10%	2%	13%	17%	1%	11%	14%	14%	2%	11%	10%	2%	12%	17%	2%	13%	12%
NET Biden	15%	14%	17%	21%	15%	14%	15%	14%	19%	27%	10%	19%	9%	18%	20%	24%	17%	25%	10%	11%	10%	23%	16%	11%	17%	16%	11%	20%	16%	10%	22%	13%	14%	13%	19%	15%	15%	17%	12%	11%	20%	19%
NET Trump	65%	63%	67%	66%	61%	66%	66%	68%	63%	51%	77%	58%	80%	60%	70%	52%	65%	56%	65%	74%	70%	67%	59%	71%	65%	63%	85%	49%	52%	87%	49%	63%	55%	81%	56%	62%	78%	56%	53%	85%	49%	52%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Which comes closest to your view about the political and economic system in America, even if none are exactly right?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The system does not need changes	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	4%	2%	0%	5%	4%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	5%	4%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	3%	4%	2%	3%	0%	4%	1%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%
The system needs minor changes	26%	29%	23%	15%	18%	31%	34%	28%	17%	23%	31%	24%	32%	26%	25%	17%	37%	22%	25%	21%	28%	18%	32%	25%	26%	27%	38%	17%	15%	42%	18%	15%	16%	35%	20%	23%	30%	23%	23%	37%	18%	18%
The system needs major changes	57%	52%	62%	57%	63%	58%	53%	55%	74%	52%	55%	58%	56%	55%	56%	69%	48%	64%	53%	65%	57%	61%	51%	63%	56%	56%	51%	62%	60%	47%	62%	70%	58%	53%	59%	60%	56%	57%	60%	53%	62%	59%
The system needs to be torn down entirely	13%	14%	12%	26%	17%	8%	7%	13%	8%	20%	9%	15%	8%	16%	16%	11%	12%	13%	17%	10%	9%	18%	14%	9%	14%	14%	10%	17%	12%	8%	17%	13%	15%	10%	17%	13%	11%	16%	12%	7%	17%	18%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	3%	1%	<1%	0%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	0%	<1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	4%	3%	1%	0%	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	9%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	7%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	1%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

If Donald Trump won the election, do you think nothing would change, there would be minor changes to how things work, there would be major changes to how things work, or he would tear down the system completely?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Nothing would change	5%	5%	5%	5%	7%	5%	3%	5%	1%	13%	7%	4%	7%	3%	4%	7%	2%	4%	9%	0%	7%	3%	5%	4%	5%	5%	6%	3%	11%	6%	2%	10%	7%	5%	3%	9%	5%	3%	9%	7%	3%	5%
Minor changes to how things work	22%	28%	17%	42%	27%	21%	10%	23%	16%	24%	25%	21%	25%	22%	26%	16%	11%	26%	20%	18%	21%	30%	28%	20%	22%	24%	14%	27%	36%	13%	24%	35%	32%	14%	23%	32%	16%	25%	34%	14%	24%	36%
Major changes to how things work	45%	44%	46%	35%	44%	45%	50%	47%	33%	41%	40%	48%	42%	51%	32%	38%	53%	54%	44%	42%	43%	37%	45%	41%	45%	49%	31%	61%	30%	31%	65%	24%	43%	35%	66%	31%	36%	59%	35%	32%	65%	34%
He would tear down the system entirely	25%	21%	29%	13%	21%	27%	33%	23%	43%	19%	27%	24%	25%	22%	32%	34%	31%	14%	25%	32%	25%	29%	20%	31%	26%	19%	47%	6%	13%	50%	6%	26%	13%	45%	8%	23%	41%	11%	15%	45%	6%	17%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	3%	5%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	8%	4%	2%	3%	1%	3%	6%	6%	3%	2%	1%	7%	3%	<1%	2%	5%	2%	2%	2%	2%	10%	1%	2%	5%	6%	2%	<1%	5%	2%	2%	7%	2%	1%	8%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

If Joe Biden won the election, do you think nothing would change, there would be minor changes to how things work, there would be major changes to how things work, or he would tear down the system completely?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Nothing would change	33%	32%	33%	41%	39%	30%	28%	35%	15%	39%	30%	35%	32%	37%	19%	28%	24%	51%	32%	18%	30%	39%	31%	25%	30%	42%	19%	45%	37%	17%	45%	41%	33%	18%	47%	38%	22%	44%	36%	20%	46%	36%
Minor changes to how things work	40%	36%	44%	40%	48%	38%	39%	39%	59%	35%	52%	33%	52%	31%	61%	43%	46%	22%	35%	64%	45%	40%	34%	56%	42%	30%	68%	15%	35%	69%	11%	40%	51%	66%	15%	41%	63%	18%	35%	67%	13%	36%
Major changes to how things work	13%	17%	11%	9%	6%	18%	16%	13%	12%	15%	9%	16%	9%	16%	9%	15%	19%	15%	20%	5%	10%	7%	19%	6%	17%	13%	11%	16%	12%	13%	17%	11%	5%	14%	15%	9%	11%	16%	14%	12%	17%	11%
He would tear down the system entirely	11%	13%	10%	5%	7%	11%	15%	11%	10%	10%	7%	13%	6%	14%	9%	10%	9%	10%	12%	6%	11%	14%	14%	8%	10%	14%	<1%	22%	4%	<1%	25%	3%	5%	2%	23%	9%	3%	21%	8%	<1%	24%	8%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	6%	<.5%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	1%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	4%	1%	1%	<1%	7%	3%	0%	2%	4%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	12%	0%	2%	6%	6%	<1%	<1%	3%	<1%	2%	6%	<.5%	<1%	9%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Trump major/minor change or tear down the system) Do you think the changes that Donald Trump would make would be good for the country or bad for the country, or neither good nor bad?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very good for the country	29%	33%	25%	18%	21%	30%	38%	32%	6%	20%	19%	34%	20%	40%	8%	14%	21%	43%	34%	12%	23%	29%	37%	15%	25%	40%	0%	60%	3%	0%	68%	7%	7%	3%	66%	16%	6%	58%	18%	2%	65%	12%
Somewhat good for the country	14%	19%	9%	18%	12%	18%	8%	15%	7%	13%	11%	16%	12%	17%	9%	10%	8%	22%	13%	11%	12%	14%	17%	13%	13%	15%	3%	24%	8%	3%	23%	16%	13%	6%	18%	18%	7%	19%	22%	5%	23%	12%
Somewhat bad for the country	6%	4%	8%	11%	8%	7%	2%	5%	10%	12%	8%	6%	6%	5%	16%	8%	4%	2%	6%	8%	7%	14%	3%	6%	8%	5%	11%	<1%	13%	9%	0%	16%	10%	9%	1%	8%	12%	1%	5%	9%	<.5%	14%
Very bad for the country	34%	28%	39%	28%	36%	32%	39%	33%	46%	24%	46%	27%	46%	25%	45%	33%	58%	17%	31%	43%	38%	25%	28%	44%	38%	23%	71%	<1%	22%	75%	0%	21%	29%	68%	6%	26%	61%	9%	21%	69%	<1%	23%
Neither good nor bad	8%	8%	8%	13%	13%	6%	4%	6%	19%	14%	7%	9%	6%	6%	11%	20%	4%	8%	5%	17%	8%	10%	6%	12%	8%	6%	6%	7%	21%	4%	3%	23%	22%	6%	5%	17%	7%	7%	17%	5%	5%	22%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	<.5%	3%	2%	2%	0%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	2%	<1%	3%	0%	2%	2%	4%	2%	1%	<1%	4%	1%	1%	12%	1%	<1%	2%	8%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	3%
[PREVIOUSLY] Nothing would change	5%	5%	5%	5%	7%	5%	3%	5%	1%	13%	7%	4%	7%	3%	4%	7%	2%	4%	9%	0%	7%	3%	5%	4%	5%	5%	6%	3%	11%	6%	2%	10%	7%	5%	3%	9%	5%	3%	9%	7%	3%	5%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don’t know/Refused	3%	3%	3%	5%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	8%	4%	2%	3%	1%	3%	6%	6%	3%	2%	1%	7%	3%	<1%	2%	5%	2%	2%	2%	2%	10%	1%	2%	5%	6%	2%	<1%	5%	2%	2%	7%	2%	1%	8%
NET Good	42%	52%	34%	36%	33%	48%	46%	47%	14%	33%	30%	50%	31%	56%	17%	24%	29%	64%	47%	23%	35%	42%	54%	28%	39%	55%	3%	84%	11%	3%	92%	23%	19%	9%	84%	34%	12%	76%	39%	7%	88%	25%
NET Bad	40%	32%	47%	39%	44%	38%	41%	39%	56%	36%	53%	32%	52%	30%	62%	41%	61%	19%	37%	51%	45%	40%	31%	50%	45%	27%	82%	2%	35%	85%	0%	37%	39%	77%	7%	35%	72%	10%	26%	78%	1%	37%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Biden major/minor change or tear down the system) Do you think the changes that Joe Biden would make would be good for the country or bad for the country, or neither good nor bad?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very good for the country	12%	12%	13%	6%	5%	13%	21%	12%	13%	9%	15%	11%	16%	10%	7%	14%	17%	10%	11%	14%	13%	4%	17%	16%	13%	9%	27%	<.5%	1%	33%	<.5%	<1%	1%	30%	<1%	5%	25%	2%	2%	26%	<.5%	5%
Somewhat good for the country	16%	13%	18%	9%	21%	18%	13%	15%	21%	15%	23%	12%	21%	12%	35%	11%	29%	5%	15%	21%	19%	18%	6%	22%	18%	9%	34%	<1%	5%	36%	<1%	6%	12%	30%	4%	12%	28%	4%	11%	32%	2%	4%
Somewhat bad for the country	5%	7%	3%	6%	3%	6%	4%	6%	<1%	1%	5%	5%	5%	6%	4%	0%	6%	3%	6%	6%	4%	6%	4%	6%	4%	6%	<1%	8%	6%	<1%	5%	15%	7%	2%	5%	8%	2%	6%	9%	2%	7%	9%
Very bad for the country	19%	23%	15%	10%	15%	22%	22%	19%	13%	16%	14%	22%	13%	23%	14%	15%	14%	22%	18%	13%	16%	18%	32%	12%	19%	23%	<1%	38%	10%	<.5%	41%	11%	11%	<1%	37%	19%	2%	36%	21%	<.5%	41%	18%
Neither good nor bad	13%	10%	16%	22%	16%	9%	10%	10%	32%	18%	13%	13%	12%	9%	19%	29%	8%	7%	17%	21%	14%	15%	8%	16%	14%	10%	18%	6%	26%	14%	5%	20%	28%	19%	5%	14%	20%	6%	13%	18%	4%	19%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	2%	<.5%	0%	0%	2%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	2%	<1%	0%	<1%
[PREVIOUSLY] Nothing would change	33%	32%	33%	41%	39%	30%	28%	35%	15%	39%	30%	35%	32%	37%	19%	28%	24%	51%	32%	18%	30%	39%	31%	25%	30%	42%	19%	45%	37%	17%	45%	41%	33%	18%	47%	38%	22%	44%	36%	20%	46%	36%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don’t know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	6%	<.5%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	1%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	4%	1%	1%	<1%	7%	3%	0%	2%	4%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	12%	0%	2%	6%	6%	<1%	<1%	3%	<1%	2%	6%	<.5%	<1%	9%
NET Good	28%	25%	31%	15%	26%	30%	34%	28%	34%	24%	37%	22%	37%	22%	42%	24%	46%	14%	26%	35%	32%	22%	23%	38%	32%	18%	61%	<1%	7%	68%	1%	7%	14%	59%	5%	18%	53%	6%	13%	59%	2%	9%
NET Bad	24%	30%	18%	16%	18%	28%	26%	25%	14%	17%	18%	27%	18%	29%	17%	15%	20%	25%	24%	18%	20%	24%	36%	18%	23%	28%	1%	46%	16%	<1%	47%	26%	18%	3%	42%	26%	5%	42%	30%	2%	48%	26%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Which comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Trained experts are generally too biased to be reliable	35%	38%	33%	25%	29%	40%	40%	35%	24%	48%	24%	42%	25%	42%	17%	42%	22%	41%	40%	29%	30%	40%	44%	29%	31%	44%	16%	52%	41%	14%	53%	39%	37%	20%	51%	37%	21%	49%	38%	17%	55%	38%
Trained experts are generally reliable sources of information	56%	52%	60%	65%	67%	49%	50%	57%	65%	41%	68%	48%	68%	49%	73%	47%	69%	51%	50%	64%	60%	51%	49%	63%	60%	46%	79%	37%	42%	80%	38%	48%	50%	75%	38%	55%	72%	42%	47%	76%	37%	47%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	9%	10%	8%	10%	4%	10%	10%	8%	11%	11%	8%	9%	7%	9%	10%	11%	9%	8%	11%	7%	10%	8%	8%	8%	9%	9%	6%	10%	17%	6%	9%	13%	13%	5%	11%	8%	7%	8%	15%	7%	8%	15%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

I’m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you’d prefer as president:
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
A candidate who promises to bring politics in Washington back to normal	55%	55%	56%	31%	48%	55%	73%	59%	48%	29%	58%	53%	60%	58%	50%	36%	61%	56%	60%	48%	56%	45%	59%	51%	56%	56%	65%	51%	30%	70%	50%	45%	38%	61%	55%	49%	59%	54%	49%	64%	53%	42%
A candidate who promises to fundamentally change America	37%	38%	37%	61%	44%	34%	23%	33%	45%	69%	32%	40%	30%	35%	42%	61%	31%	40%	36%	43%	31%	49%	33%	41%	36%	36%	30%	42%	50%	24%	42%	48%	47%	32%	38%	42%	35%	39%	37%	30%	38%	51%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	8%	7%	7%	7%	8%	12%	4%	8%	7%	2%	10%	7%	10%	7%	9%	4%	8%	4%	4%	10%	12%	6%	8%	9%	8%	8%	6%	8%	20%	5%	8%	8%	15%	6%	8%	9%	6%	8%	14%	6%	10%	7%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(Split B) How much attention would you say you are paying to news about the legal cases against Donald Trump?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
A lot of attention	33%	36%	29%	16%	21%	35%	46%	33%	39%	18%	31%	34%	32%	34%	21%	34%	54%	26%	27%	31%	36%	24%	31%	32%	35%	29%	34%	33%	27%	38%	38%	10%	25%	36%	45%	20%	31%	45%	10%	33%	40%	14%
Some attention	32%	31%	34%	35%	35%	34%	28%	34%	27%	27%	34%	31%	36%	33%	30%	26%	25%	31%	35%	37%	38%	29%	24%	32%	33%	31%	38%	32%	7%	40%	30%	36%	17%	38%	29%	36%	35%	29%	31%	36%	29%	32%
Only a little attention	23%	22%	25%	37%	29%	17%	19%	21%	21%	47%	26%	22%	22%	21%	44%	27%	10%	31%	23%	29%	17%	27%	32%	29%	19%	26%	21%	21%	44%	19%	20%	30%	38%	19%	17%	27%	23%	18%	36%	22%	19%	37%
No attention at all	11%	10%	11%	12%	15%	12%	6%	11%	10%	8%	9%	12%	9%	12%	6%	11%	7%	10%	16%	2%	8%	20%	13%	7%	11%	12%	7%	12%	23%	4%	11%	22%	19%	6%	7%	17%	10%	7%	20%	9%	11%	14%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	<1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	<1%	3%	0%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	0%	2%	4%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	<.5%	2%	0%	0%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0%	<1%	<1%	2%	<.5%	1%	3%
Number of respondents	426	247	167	68	81	144	121	341	40	35	221	205	177	164	36	39	36	43	55	39	174	36	43	64	242	120	205	194	27	171	156	48	51	150	130	116	179	168	79	196	161	52
Percent of total electorate	100%	49%	49%	15%	21%	34%	27%	77%	11%	10%	38%	62%	30%	48%	8%	13%	12%	14%	18%	12%	22%	11%	12%	20%	47%	33%	42%	49%	10%	35%	39%	12%	14%	33%	33%	26%	41%	40%	18%	41%	39%	15%

(Split B) Thinking about the trial of Donald Trump in New York related to hush money payments made to the porn star Stormy Daniels, do you think that it is likely or unlikely that he will be convicted?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very likely	16%	18%	14%	9%	11%	15%	26%	16%	20%	5%	14%	17%	14%	18%	14%	13%	20%	9%	13%	21%	15%	17%	16%	24%	13%	14%	24%	8%	20%	25%	8%	17%	13%	22%	11%	16%	22%	12%	9%	25%	11%	6%
Somewhat likely	18%	17%	19%	15%	28%	14%	18%	18%	10%	23%	23%	15%	25%	15%	18%	15%	17%	16%	12%	22%	24%	12%	20%	18%	18%	18%	24%	13%	13%	25%	12%	13%	20%	23%	16%	15%	20%	18%	12%	23%	16%	10%
Somewhat unlikely	28%	31%	26%	45%	22%	28%	25%	28%	22%	39%	28%	28%	33%	25%	16%	38%	25%	42%	38%	20%	25%	35%	9%	27%	31%	25%	28%	30%	21%	30%	29%	30%	22%	32%	23%	34%	30%	25%	33%	30%	25%	36%
Very unlikely	29%	28%	29%	24%	33%	33%	19%	27%	38%	27%	25%	31%	20%	31%	41%	29%	30%	24%	32%	29%	24%	27%	36%	25%	28%	32%	19%	36%	31%	16%	38%	34%	28%	19%	36%	28%	21%	33%	36%	18%	35%	41%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	10%	6%	12%	7%	6%	10%	13%	10%	9%	6%	10%	10%	9%	11%	11%	5%	7%	9%	5%	8%	12%	10%	18%	6%	10%	11%	4%	13%	15%	4%	13%	6%	17%	5%	14%	7%	7%	12%	10%	5%	13%	7%
Number of respondents	426	247	167	68	81	144	121	341	40	35	221	205	177	164	36	39	36	43	55	39	174	36	43	64	242	120	205	194	27	171	156	48	51	150	130	116	179	168	79	196	161	52
Percent of total electorate	100%	49%	49%	15%	21%	34%	27%	77%	11%	10%	38%	62%	30%	48%	8%	13%	12%	14%	18%	12%	22%	11%	12%	20%	47%	33%	42%	49%	10%	35%	39%	12%	14%	33%	33%	26%	41%	40%	18%	41%	39%	15%

(Split B) Thinking about Donald Trump’s trial in New York related to hush money payments, do you think he will be able to get a fair and impartial trial?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	44%	39%	51%	50%	39%	40%	52%	41%	75%	43%	54%	39%	51%	34%	70%	55%	50%	31%	37%	70%	50%	40%	31%	64%	45%	31%	75%	16%	52%	78%	15%	35%	51%	78%	18%	37%	75%	19%	31%	76%	11%	43%
No	52%	58%	45%	48%	59%	55%	43%	55%	22%	56%	44%	56%	47%	60%	29%	43%	44%	63%	57%	30%	46%	52%	69%	36%	49%	65%	24%	79%	34%	21%	82%	56%	40%	22%	78%	60%	23%	77%	59%	23%	85%	50%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	2%	4%	1%	3%	5%	5%	4%	3%	1%	2%	5%	2%	6%	2%	2%	5%	6%	5%	0%	4%	8%	0%	0%	6%	4%	<1%	5%	14%	<1%	3%	9%	9%	<1%	4%	3%	2%	4%	10%	2%	4%	8%
Number of respondents	426	247	167	68	81	144	121	341	40	35	221	205	177	164	36	39	36	43	55	39	174	36	43	64	242	120	205	194	27	171	156	48	51	150	130	116	179	168	79	196	161	52
Percent of total electorate	100%	49%	49%	15%	21%	34%	27%	77%	11%	10%	38%	62%	30%	48%	8%	13%	12%	14%	18%	12%	22%	11%	12%	20%	47%	33%	42%	49%	10%	35%	39%	12%	14%	33%	33%	26%	41%	40%	18%	41%	39%	15%

In the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians], which side do you sympathize with more: Israel or the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians]?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Israel	44%	47%	42%	23%	32%	52%	58%	50%	17%	18%	40%	46%	44%	53%	15%	19%	45%	50%	45%	28%	39%	49%	54%	28%	42%	55%	28%	64%	16%	29%	69%	34%	21%	29%	71%	33%	26%	72%	23%	27%	72%	24%
Palestinians	22%	20%	24%	43%	31%	15%	11%	19%	33%	45%	30%	17%	28%	13%	47%	33%	28%	7%	22%	30%	26%	20%	18%	27%	26%	13%	36%	8%	28%	37%	8%	17%	25%	37%	6%	21%	37%	6%	19%	35%	5%	32%
[VOL] Both equally (Includes neither)	16%	20%	14%	25%	18%	13%	15%	15%	21%	23%	17%	16%	16%	15%	23%	21%	9%	12%	21%	20%	18%	19%	13%	19%	19%	13%	19%	15%	13%	19%	11%	20%	25%	18%	11%	21%	16%	13%	27%	20%	10%	18%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	18%	14%	20%	10%	19%	21%	16%	16%	29%	14%	12%	21%	12%	19%	15%	27%	18%	31%	11%	22%	17%	11%	15%	25%	13%	19%	18%	13%	43%	16%	12%	29%	29%	16%	12%	25%	21%	9%	31%	18%	13%	25%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

What single news source do you turn to most often?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] Fox News	15%	15%	15%	7%	7%	19%	20%	16%	10%	3%	10%	17%	12%	19%	2%	10%	10%	25%	15%	13%	12%	13%	18%	14%	12%	20%	2%	28%	6%	1%	32%	10%	5%	3%	33%	10%	5%	27%	12%	2%	32%	8%
[VOL] CNN	8%	6%	9%	12%	7%	8%	6%	6%	17%	14%	7%	8%	7%	5%	9%	19%	8%	2%	9%	8%	10%	7%	9%	6%	9%	7%	14%	3%	3%	14%	3%	7%	4%	14%	3%	5%	12%	4%	6%	13%	2%	7%
[VOL] MSNBC	3%	4%	2%	0%	0%	4%	7%	3%	8%	0%	3%	3%	3%	3%	6%	4%	5%	5%	<1%	5%	3%	1%	3%	5%	3%	2%	7%	0%	3%	8%	0%	1%	2%	6%	<1%	3%	6%	<1%	1%	7%	0%	<1%
[VOL] Public Radio/NPR/PBS	4%	3%	5%	3%	9%	4%	2%	4%	2%	6%	10%	1%	9%	1%	12%	0%	9%	3%	6%	4%	3%	6%	2%	6%	4%	5%	9%	<.5%	4%	9%	<.5%	2%	6%	8%	<1%	4%	8%	<1%	5%	9%	<.5%	3%
[VOL] Talk radio/conservative personality	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%
[VOL] National television networks, like CBS, NBC or ABC	11%	8%	15%	4%	6%	13%	17%	12%	9%	6%	10%	12%	10%	14%	11%	7%	13%	11%	5%	11%	10%	13%	18%	10%	12%	11%	15%	9%	5%	17%	8%	11%	4%	15%	9%	9%	13%	10%	9%	15%	9%	4%
[VOL] Local broadcast news (includes non-talk, non-public local radio)	8%	7%	10%	8%	8%	8%	10%	8%	14%	7%	5%	10%	5%	10%	10%	12%	9%	10%	5%	15%	7%	8%	7%	13%	7%	7%	9%	7%	13%	8%	6%	12%	13%	9%	7%	7%	9%	8%	7%	9%	6%	12%
[VOL] National print or online news organizations, like The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal	7%	7%	6%	7%	9%	7%	6%	8%	2%	7%	12%	4%	14%	4%	5%	4%	13%	3%	1%	14%	12%	0%	5%	12%	7%	4%	13%	1%	7%	14%	<1%	9%	2%	11%	2%	9%	10%	2%	11%	12%	2%	8%
[VOL] Local print or online news organizations	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	1%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	1%	0%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	0%	2%	<.5%	0%	2%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%
[VOL] Social media	13%	14%	12%	30%	15%	9%	6%	11%	13%	28%	11%	14%	10%	12%	15%	21%	5%	11%	20%	15%	13%	11%	12%	14%	14%	11%	8%	14%	29%	8%	13%	12%	27%	9%	12%	20%	14%	13%	9%	8%	12%	28%
[VOL] Friends and family	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	2%	0%	<1%	0%	3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	3%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<.5%	1%	<1%
[VOL] International news sources (such as the BBC, Al Jazeera and The Guardian)	2%	3%	2%	2%	6%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	6%	5%	<1%	5%	<.5%	8%	2%	6%	<1%	4%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	<1%	5%	<1%	0%	4%	<1%	<1%	4%	4%	<.5%	3%	3%	1%	4%	5%	<1%	0%
[VOL] Aggregation sites (such as Bing, Google, Yahoo News or Apple News)	3%	4%	3%	4%	6%	2%	<1%	3%	0%	10%	4%	2%	4%	2%	7%	3%	3%	2%	3%	0%	6%	2%	4%	<1%	4%	3%	5%	1%	3%	4%	<1%	6%	5%	5%	<1%	3%	4%	<1%	6%	5%	<.5%	5%
[VOL] Conservative news sites	4%	5%	3%	1%	9%	3%	2%	5%	2%	<.5%	2%	5%	3%	6%	<1%	2%	0%	2%	4%	2%	4%	11%	2%	1%	4%	5%	<.5%	7%	3%	<.5%	9%	0%	3%	0%	7%	4%	<.5%	8%	3%	<.5%	9%	<1%
[VOL] Newsmax	4%	4%	4%	1%	4%	2%	7%	4%	4%	2%	2%	5%	2%	6%	2%	4%	5%	4%	3%	4%	2%	5%	6%	3%	4%	4%	<.5%	8%	0%	<.5%	8%	0%	4%	<.5%	9%	3%	<.5%	8%	3%	<.5%	8%	5%
[VOL] Liberal news sites (Such as Mother Jones and Occupy Democrats)	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Doesn’t consume news	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	3%	3%	0%	<1%	3%	2%	0%	2%	3%	2%	0%	2%	3%	<1%	3%	3%	<.5%	2%	4%	4%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	5%	1%	3%	1%
[VOL] Other (includes no preference and the internet)	9%	11%	7%	12%	7%	9%	9%	8%	10%	8%	9%	9%	9%	8%	5%	11%	7%	8%	15%	6%	7%	10%	9%	6%	10%	8%	8%	10%	6%	8%	10%	15%	5%	9%	9%	8%	9%	9%	8%	9%	8%	8%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	6%	3%	3%	3%	7%	4%	6%	3%	0%	4%	5%	4%	6%	2%	2%	7%	6%	7%	2%	4%	6%	2%	4%	5%	5%	3%	5%	12%	4%	3%	9%	9%	3%	4%	7%	4%	4%	10%	4%	4%	8%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

How often, if ever, do you use social media, such as Facebook, Instagram, TikTok or others?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Often	48%	41%	54%	72%	58%	47%	29%	47%	47%	61%	50%	47%	51%	45%	45%	57%	51%	49%	47%	46%	50%	46%	45%	47%	51%	44%	51%	45%	45%	51%	44%	60%	39%	53%	42%	50%	52%	43%	49%	51%	44%	58%
Sometimes	18%	15%	21%	15%	18%	19%	19%	17%	25%	21%	18%	18%	17%	18%	25%	22%	21%	16%	18%	18%	19%	18%	18%	23%	16%	18%	21%	16%	13%	22%	17%	12%	16%	19%	19%	17%	21%	18%	10%	21%	15%	15%
Rarely	14%	17%	11%	11%	14%	14%	18%	14%	17%	8%	16%	13%	16%	13%	16%	13%	9%	9%	18%	19%	12%	16%	16%	14%	13%	16%	11%	16%	18%	11%	14%	15%	23%	11%	14%	16%	13%	14%	17%	12%	15%	18%
Never	19%	26%	13%	2%	10%	20%	33%	20%	9%	9%	16%	20%	15%	24%	14%	7%	17%	24%	16%	18%	19%	20%	20%	16%	18%	22%	16%	22%	22%	16%	24%	12%	20%	16%	24%	15%	14%	23%	22%	17%	25%	7%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	0%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0%	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	4%	0%	1%	<1%	3%	<.5%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If social media user) How often, if ever, do you use TikTok?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Often	13%	13%	13%	32%	18%	9%	4%	11%	18%	28%	12%	14%	10%	12%	19%	24%	15%	10%	18%	13%	14%	11%	9%	11%	14%	13%	14%	11%	20%	13%	11%	18%	15%	16%	10%	12%	15%	10%	16%	14%	9%	23%
Sometimes	8%	5%	11%	21%	8%	6%	4%	6%	17%	17%	7%	9%	6%	6%	11%	20%	5%	7%	12%	9%	8%	7%	7%	12%	8%	7%	10%	6%	14%	8%	5%	11%	14%	10%	5%	10%	12%	4%	7%	9%	5%	15%
Rarely	10%	5%	13%	10%	11%	13%	5%	10%	12%	8%	8%	10%	8%	11%	12%	10%	18%	8%	5%	16%	7%	10%	7%	17%	9%	7%	13%	7%	3%	13%	8%	7%	6%	12%	5%	11%	12%	5%	16%	12%	6%	12%
Never	49%	50%	49%	34%	52%	51%	53%	52%	42%	39%	57%	45%	60%	47%	44%	39%	42%	49%	47%	44%	52%	53%	56%	44%	50%	51%	47%	53%	37%	49%	51%	50%	42%	46%	55%	50%	47%	57%	36%	48%	55%	42%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[PREVIOUSLY] Never use social media	19%	26%	13%	2%	10%	20%	33%	20%	9%	9%	16%	20%	15%	24%	14%	7%	17%	24%	16%	18%	19%	20%	20%	16%	18%	22%	16%	22%	22%	16%	24%	12%	20%	16%	24%	15%	14%	23%	22%	17%	25%	7%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	0%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0%	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	4%	0%	1%	<1%	3%	<.5%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

How many hours per day do you spend playing video games?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
None at all	62%	62%	62%	45%	51%	69%	71%	63%	61%	45%	63%	60%	64%	62%	57%	53%	59%	65%	52%	55%	65%	69%	66%	56%	62%	65%	58%	67%	52%	59%	68%	54%	58%	59%	69%	55%	58%	67%	58%	61%	68%	49%
More than none but less than 1 hour	16%	18%	15%	17%	23%	15%	13%	17%	10%	21%	19%	14%	18%	16%	25%	9%	17%	10%	19%	17%	16%	21%	14%	17%	17%	15%	17%	17%	9%	17%	14%	20%	17%	15%	13%	22%	16%	15%	21%	16%	16%	15%
More than 1 hour but less than 2	10%	10%	11%	14%	15%	8%	6%	10%	16%	7%	11%	9%	12%	8%	8%	14%	14%	9%	8%	18%	12%	2%	9%	17%	10%	7%	12%	7%	12%	13%	8%	10%	7%	13%	8%	11%	12%	7%	11%	12%	8%	10%
More than 2 hours but less than 3	6%	7%	5%	13%	4%	5%	4%	5%	7%	16%	3%	8%	3%	6%	3%	15%	1%	8%	11%	8%	4%	4%	6%	6%	6%	6%	5%	5%	15%	5%	5%	8%	10%	4%	6%	6%	6%	6%	6%	4%	5%	14%
More than 3 hours but less than 4	2%	<1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	10%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	4%	5%	4%	2%	5%	0%	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	<.5%	9%	3%	<.5%	2%	5%	3%	<.5%	3%	4%	<1%	0%	3%	<.5%	5%
More than 4 hours but less than 5	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	<.5%	0%	<1%	3%	0%	<.5%	1%	0%	<1%	1%	2%	3%	0%	<1%	2%	<1%	0%	0%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	0%	1%	<1%	0%	0%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	0%	<1%	<1%	2%
5 hours or more	2%	2%	3%	8%	2%	<.5%	2%	3%	0%	0%	<.5%	3%	<1%	4%	0%	0%	1%	3%	5%	0%	<1%	3%	2%	0%	2%	4%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	5%	<1%	3%	1%	2%	3%	2%	<.5%	2%	1%	5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	2%	<.5%	1%	<1%	2%	<.5%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Have you yourself ever invested in, traded or used a cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin or Ether [ee-ther]?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	14%	20%	7%	25%	23%	11%	3%	12%	13%	30%	19%	10%	17%	9%	27%	16%	19%	5%	17%	18%	16%	14%	7%	16%	17%	7%	12%	15%	12%	10%	14%	21%	15%	9%	9%	22%	11%	11%	27%	14%	12%	13%
No	85%	79%	92%	75%	76%	87%	96%	87%	87%	68%	80%	88%	82%	90%	71%	83%	79%	93%	83%	79%	83%	86%	92%	81%	82%	92%	88%	84%	81%	90%	85%	74%	84%	90%	90%	75%	88%	88%	69%	86%	87%	83%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	2%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	0%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	0%	<1%	2%	2%	0%	3%	<.5%	0%	0%	2%	<1%	<1%	0%	<1%	7%	0%	<1%	4%	1%	<.5%	1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	4%	<.5%	<1%	4%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Have you gotten any doses of a Covid-19 vaccine, including boosters?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes, multiple times	60%	56%	65%	48%	56%	60%	71%	60%	58%	67%	73%	53%	72%	53%	79%	54%	72%	49%	56%	76%	69%	56%	42%	75%	65%	46%	85%	38%	57%	86%	36%	52%	67%	82%	40%	59%	80%	42%	52%	84%	40%	47%
Yes, just once	15%	18%	12%	23%	16%	16%	9%	15%	20%	15%	15%	15%	15%	14%	15%	19%	9%	11%	17%	11%	19%	12%	21%	10%	15%	17%	11%	17%	23%	10%	17%	24%	14%	11%	17%	17%	12%	17%	16%	10%	17%	21%
No	23%	25%	21%	26%	26%	23%	18%	23%	22%	18%	11%	30%	11%	31%	7%	26%	17%	38%	26%	14%	9%	29%	36%	15%	18%	34%	4%	43%	11%	3%	45%	23%	15%	6%	41%	22%	8%	38%	28%	4%	41%	31%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	0%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	<1%	2%	2%	0%	0%	3%	3%	1%	0%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	9%	<1%	2%	2%	5%	<.5%	2%	2%	<.5%	3%	3%	2%	1%	1%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Are you, or is any member of your household, a member of a labor union?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes, you are a member	8%	10%	6%	3%	8%	9%	10%	8%	8%	8%	7%	8%	7%	8%	9%	8%	6%	11%	4%	18%	7%	5%	8%	16%	5%	7%	8%	8%	7%	9%	9%	3%	4%	8%	9%	8%	8%	8%	7%	8%	10%	6%
Yes, another member of your household is a member	7%	6%	8%	9%	10%	6%	5%	8%	2%	10%	8%	7%	7%	8%	11%	3%	4%	7%	6%	3%	6%	13%	12%	4%	6%	11%	6%	8%	9%	6%	7%	6%	12%	6%	5%	11%	7%	8%	6%	6%	7%	10%
Yes, you and another member of your household are members	3%	4%	3%	1%	3%	5%	3%	2%	7%	7%	4%	3%	3%	2%	11%	5%	3%	9%	2%	6%	<1%	2%	1%	5%	2%	4%	4%	2%	6%	4%	3%	<1%	5%	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	5%	2%	<1%
No	80%	79%	80%	84%	76%	79%	80%	81%	78%	73%	79%	80%	81%	80%	67%	80%	86%	70%	87%	69%	85%	77%	77%	72%	86%	75%	82%	79%	71%	81%	79%	89%	69%	81%	82%	74%	80%	80%	80%	80%	80%	78%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	2%	1%	3%	3%	4%	<1%	2%	2%	5%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	1%	4%	2%	3%	<1%	3%	1%	3%	<1%	3%	8%	<.5%	1%	<1%	9%	<.5%	2%	4%	<.5%	2%	6%	2%	<1%	6%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

And just a few more questions for demographic purposes... Do you consider yourself politically liberal, moderate or conservative?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very liberal	13%	9%	17%	19%	21%	7%	12%	13%	13%	19%	20%	9%	21%	7%	15%	16%	23%	6%	18%	20%	14%	8%	4%	22%	15%	6%	25%	<.5%	21%	27%	<.5%	3%	21%	29%	0%	10%	27%	<1%	6%	26%	<.5%	15%
Somewhat liberal	14%	13%	15%	16%	13%	17%	10%	14%	15%	17%	17%	12%	17%	12%	18%	15%	18%	11%	11%	15%	18%	12%	12%	19%	15%	10%	24%	5%	12%	24%	3%	19%	13%	25%	2%	17%	23%	3%	17%	23%	4%	14%
Moderate	35%	34%	36%	38%	35%	37%	32%	34%	43%	43%	35%	36%	33%	34%	39%	45%	28%	27%	38%	45%	37%	37%	33%	37%	35%	34%	40%	30%	37%	38%	25%	55%	39%	37%	23%	48%	37%	29%	47%	41%	23%	44%
Somewhat conservative	19%	21%	18%	10%	18%	21%	22%	20%	17%	12%	16%	21%	15%	23%	20%	13%	18%	28%	13%	12%	17%	18%	29%	12%	17%	25%	8%	30%	16%	8%	33%	12%	15%	8%	33%	15%	9%	33%	11%	9%	34%	9%
Very conservative	15%	19%	10%	11%	9%	13%	21%	17%	5%	4%	11%	16%	11%	20%	6%	4%	11%	22%	15%	<1%	13%	22%	17%	3%	14%	22%	<1%	30%	<1%	<1%	33%	3%	6%	1%	38%	5%	2%	32%	5%	<.5%	34%	6%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	4%	3%	5%	4%	5%	2%	3%	7%	5%	2%	5%	2%	4%	2%	8%	2%	6%	5%	7%	2%	2%	5%	6%	3%	3%	1%	5%	13%	2%	5%	8%	5%	<1%	4%	5%	2%	2%	14%	2%	4%	12%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Under $25,000	8%	5%	10%	10%	3%	8%	11%	8%	13%	4%	3%	11%	3%	11%	2%	13%	3%	14%	8%	8%	5%	5%	13%	7%	7%	10%	8%	8%	9%	7%	7%	12%	9%	9%	9%	5%	9%	9%	4%	7%	8%	8%
At least $25,000 but under $50,000	18%	15%	21%	17%	17%	13%	25%	17%	24%	25%	9%	24%	9%	22%	10%	31%	8%	24%	27%	23%	11%	18%	17%	21%	15%	20%	18%	19%	18%	17%	20%	18%	16%	21%	21%	13%	18%	19%	16%	16%	18%	23%
At least $50,000 but under $100,000	27%	28%	26%	32%	24%	29%	26%	29%	19%	26%	23%	30%	21%	33%	34%	17%	31%	32%	27%	37%	24%	28%	15%	34%	27%	24%	28%	28%	20%	29%	27%	32%	21%	26%	24%	32%	25%	25%	40%	29%	26%	25%
At least $100,000 but under $200,000	25%	29%	22%	25%	34%	25%	18%	27%	25%	14%	35%	19%	39%	19%	20%	20%	30%	20%	18%	16%	28%	30%	34%	17%	26%	28%	25%	27%	17%	24%	26%	27%	23%	24%	27%	26%	24%	27%	21%	26%	27%	21%
$200,000 or more	11%	13%	9%	7%	14%	14%	6%	11%	6%	17%	22%	4%	21%	4%	24%	4%	17%	2%	8%	8%	18%	8%	9%	10%	14%	7%	14%	8%	11%	16%	7%	7%	9%	12%	7%	14%	14%	7%	10%	14%	8%	9%
[VOL] Refused	11%	10%	11%	9%	8%	9%	13%	9%	14%	14%	8%	12%	7%	11%	11%	15%	12%	6%	13%	7%	13%	11%	12%	11%	10%	12%	8%	12%	25%	7%	13%	4%	23%	9%	13%	10%	10%	13%	9%	8%	12%	14%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Catholic	21%	22%	20%	16%	13%	25%	26%	23%	7%	21%	20%	21%	22%	23%	9%	14%	27%	18%	29%	18%	24%	6%	21%	23%	23%	17%	21%	20%	28%	22%	20%	24%	17%	22%	24%	20%	20%	24%	16%	21%	22%	17%
Protestant (Christian)	31%	34%	29%	18%	26%	29%	44%	32%	24%	25%	27%	33%	27%	36%	29%	22%	22%	41%	24%	27%	22%	45%	40%	27%	26%	40%	20%	43%	20%	21%	44%	25%	22%	17%	45%	32%	20%	44%	28%	20%	46%	21%
Mormon (LDS)	<1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	<1%	0%	1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	1%	0%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%
Jewish	3%	3%	3%	1%	5%	2%	2%	3%	0%	1%	6%	<1%	7%	<1%	1%	0%	8%	0%	<.5%	4%	5%	0%	1%	5%	4%	<.5%	5%	1%	2%	6%	<1%	0%	2%	5%	1%	1%	5%	<1%	<1%	5%	1%	0%
Muslim	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	<.5%	0%	15%	4%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	16%	0%	0%	2%	8%	2%	<1%	2%	5%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	2%	<1%	3%	<1%	<1%	3%	<.5%	5%	2%	<.5%	7%
[VOL] Christian (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)	8%	6%	10%	7%	7%	8%	8%	8%	11%	5%	6%	9%	6%	9%	6%	10%	9%	13%	8%	2%	7%	8%	8%	2%	8%	11%	6%	11%	2%	4%	10%	9%	10%	6%	12%	5%	5%	11%	6%	5%	12%	5%
[VOL] Greek/Russian Orthodox	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
Some other religion (specify)	2%	2%	2%	6%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	5%	2%	2%	2%	2%	7%	2%	0%	2%	3%	5%	2%	<.5%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	7%	1%	<1%	2%	8%	3%	<.5%	3%	3%	<1%	3%	2%	1%	5%
No religious affiliation	30%	29%	30%	45%	42%	28%	15%	29%	34%	33%	34%	27%	33%	27%	37%	32%	29%	21%	31%	35%	34%	33%	22%	33%	33%	24%	43%	18%	30%	42%	16%	35%	32%	41%	13%	34%	41%	15%	37%	41%	14%	41%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	6%	5%	3%	3%	2%	2%	10%	3%	4%	4%	1%	2%	4%	4%	3%	1%	4%	3%	2%	3%	11%	2%	3%	4%	7%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	23%	22%	25%	13%	17%	22%	33%	23%	24%	21%	16%	27%	15%	28%	19%	24%	20%	33%	18%	17%	15%	36%	29%	16%	21%	30%	13%	35%	9%	11%	37%	20%	20%	10%	40%	19%	12%	36%	23%	12%	40%	11%
No	19%	22%	17%	20%	16%	18%	24%	20%	20%	16%	22%	18%	21%	19%	29%	14%	13%	19%	21%	23%	17%	20%	25%	19%	16%	24%	17%	20%	28%	18%	20%	14%	28%	17%	18%	23%	19%	21%	17%	19%	19%	23%
[PREVIOUSLY] Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, no religious affiliation or refused	56%	55%	56%	67%	64%	58%	43%	56%	54%	62%	61%	53%	63%	51%	51%	60%	67%	43%	60%	60%	67%	43%	45%	63%	62%	44%	70%	42%	63%	71%	41%	64%	52%	73%	40%	56%	69%	41%	58%	69%	38%	66%
[VOL] Refused	1%	<1%	2%	<.5%	3%	2%	0%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	2%	0%	5%	0%	0%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	<.5%	2%	0%	<.5%	3%	1%	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	2%	2%	0%	3%	0%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

(If independent, another party or not sure) And as of today, do you lean more to:
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	36%	25%	51%	32%	40%	28%	48%	36%	44%	38%	42%	32%	46%	29%	34%	46%	43%	18%	33%	41%	40%	44%	30%	45%	38%	27%	81%	8%	34%	84%	3%	25%	40%	-	-	40%	71%	6%	29%	71%	4%	33%
The Republican Party	42%	53%	30%	49%	34%	49%	32%	48%	7%	36%	33%	47%	41%	52%	15%	25%	23%	56%	52%	26%	39%	35%	61%	30%	42%	50%	9%	76%	14%	7%	83%	50%	21%	-	-	43%	13%	75%	43%	13%	85%	34%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	22%	23%	19%	18%	26%	23%	20%	16%	49%	27%	25%	21%	13%	18%	52%	30%	35%	26%	15%	33%	20%	21%	9%	25%	20%	23%	10%	17%	52%	9%	14%	25%	39%	-	-	17%	17%	20%	28%	16%	11%	33%
Number of respondents	263	168	85	55	69	81	50	205	23	24	145	118	111	94	26	21	20	24	35	21	107	32	24	38	154	71	105	119	39	75	74	49	65			217	80	77	106	110	76	55
Percent of total electorate	100%	52%	45%	20%	29%	30%	18%	74%	12%	11%	39%	61%	29%	46%	9%	14%	9%	14%	14%	15%	22%	17%	11%	23%	44%	33%	31%	48%	22%	22%	29%	20%	30%			81%	32%	26%	42%	34%	30%	27%

Combined: Party identification and leaners
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	47%	37%	56%	53%	50%	44%	46%	42%	77%	56%	56%	41%	56%	33%	63%	71%	60%	25%	49%	67%	52%	39%	37%	65%	50%	32%	91%	7%	38%	91%	5%	41%	51%	100%	0%	40%	91%	4%	32%	88%	3%	48%
The Republican Party	47%	56%	39%	40%	40%	50%	50%	53%	6%	32%	36%	53%	40%	61%	13%	19%	32%	67%	47%	21%	41%	53%	61%	25%	44%	61%	7%	88%	20%	7%	92%	45%	23%	0%	100%	43%	6%	92%	43%	8%	94%	32%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	7%	8%	5%	8%	10%	7%	4%	5%	16%	12%	8%	6%	4%	5%	24%	10%	9%	8%	4%	13%	6%	8%	2%	10%	6%	7%	2%	5%	42%	2%	3%	14%	26%	0%	0%	17%	4%	4%	24%	4%	3%	20%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Would you be open to commenting on the issues in this survey and be interested in being contacted by a reporter?
	Registered Voters	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region							Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Allegh.	Central	Northeast/ Lehigh Valley	Phil.	Phil. Suburbs	South Central	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	30%	36%	23%	30%	38%	31%	22%	29%	26%	38%	38%	25%	39%	23%	34%	29%	34%	16%	29%	35%	34%	29%	30%	36%	30%	26%	34%	28%	15%	37%	27%	21%	23%	34%	25%	29%	31%	27%	33%	36%	26%	24%
No	70%	64%	77%	70%	62%	69%	78%	71%	74%	62%	62%	75%	61%	77%	66%	71%	66%	84%	71%	65%	66%	71%	70%	64%	70%	74%	66%	72%	85%	63%	73%	79%	77%	66%	75%	71%	69%	73%	67%	64%	74%	76%
Number of respondents	836	472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	55	437	398	365	321	60	72	69	88	112	67	331	84	85	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	378	337	121	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	8%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	11%	14%	16%	12%	22%	13%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	44%	41%	15%	43%	39%	14%

Party ID is self-identified party, without leaners; independents include only self-identified independents. Party registration is the respondent’s party as listed on the voter file.

Gender is self-reported if the respondent completed the full questionnaire; otherwise, it is based on the interviewer’s determination. If neither is available, it is as reported on the voter file.

Neighborhood type is a New York Times classification based on each voter’s address. Voters within a metropolitan area’s central city are classified as living in a city. Voters living in a metropolitan area but outside the central city are considered suburban if they live in a census-designated urban area. All other voters — those living in nonmetropolitan areas and those living in non-urbanized parts of metropolitan areas outside the central city — are classified as living in small towns or rural areas.

Methodology

How These Polls Were Conducted

Here are the key things to know about this set of polls from The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College:

• We spoke with 4,097 registered voters from April 28 to May 9, 2024.

• Our polls are conducted by telephone, using live interviewers, in both English and Spanish. Nearly 95 percent of respondents were contacted on a cellphone for this poll.

• Voters are selected for the survey from a list of registered voters. The list contains information on the demographic characteristics of every registered voter, allowing us to make sure we reach the right number of voters of each party, race and region. For this set of polls, we placed nearly 500,000 calls to about 410,000 voters.

• To further ensure that the results reflect the entire voting population, not just those willing to take a poll, we give more weight to respondents from demographic groups underrepresented among survey respondents, like people without a college degree. You can see more information about the characteristics of our respondents and the weighted sample at the bottom of the page, under “Composition of the Sample.”

• When the states are joined together, the margin of sampling error among registered voters is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. Each state poll has a margin of error ranging from plus or minus 3.6 points in Pennsylvania to plus or minus 4.6 points in Georgia. In theory, this means that the results should reflect the views of the overall population most of the time, though many other challenges create additional sources of error. When computing the difference between two values — such as a candidate’s lead in a race — the margin of error is twice as large.

If you want to read more about how and why we conduct our polls, you can see answers to frequently asked questions and submit your own questions here.

Methodology

The New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll in Pennsylvania and the Times/Siena polls in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Nevada were conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones from April 28 to May 9, 2024. In all, 4,097 registered voters were interviewed. When all states are joined together, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points for all registered voters and plus or minus 1.9 percentage points for the likely electorate.

The margin of sampling error for each state poll is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points in Pennsylvania, plus or minus 4.2 points in Arizona, plus or minus 4.5 points in Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, and plus or minus 4.6 percentage points in Georgia.

The Pennsylvania poll was funded by a grant from the Lenfest Institute for Journalism. The poll, which was designed and conducted independently from the institute, includes a deep look at voters in the Philadelphia suburbs using a statistical technique called an oversample. The results are weighted so that in the end, the poll properly reflects the attributes of the entire state and is not biased toward those voters.

Sample

The survey is a response-rate-adjusted stratified sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file. The sample was selected by The New York Times in multiple steps to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs, differential telephone coverage, nonresponse and significant variation in the productivity of telephone numbers by state.

The L2 voter file for each state was stratified by statehouse district, party, race, gender, marital status, household size, turnout history, age and homeownership. The proportion of registrants with a telephone number and the mean expected response rate, based on prior Times/Siena polls, were calculated for each stratum. The initial selection weight was equal to the reciprocal of a stratum’s mean telephone coverage and modeled response rate. For respondents with multiple telephone numbers on the L2 file, the number with the highest modeled response rate was selected.

Fielding

The samples for each state were stratified by party, race and region and fielded by the Siena College Research Institute, with additional field work by ReconMR, the Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida, the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, and the Center for Public Opinion and Policy Research at Winthrop University in South Carolina. Interviewers asked for the person named on the voter file and ended the interview if the intended respondent was not available. Overall, 94 percent of respondents were reached on a cellular telephone.

The instrument was translated into Spanish by ReconMR, and Spanish-speaking interviewers were assigned to the modeled Hispanic sample. Bilingual interviewers began the interview in English and were instructed to follow the lead of the respondent in determining whether to conduct the survey in English or Spanish. Monolingual Spanish-speaking respondents who were initially contacted by English-speaking interviewers were recontacted by Spanish-speaking interviewers. Overall, 19 percent of interviews among self-reported Hispanics were conducted in Spanish, including 21 percent in Nevada and 17 percent in Arizona.

An interview was determined to be complete for the purposes of inclusion in the ballot test questions if the respondent did not drop out of the survey by the end of the two self-reported variables used in weighting — age and education — and answered at least one of the age, education, race or presidential election ballot test questions.

Weighting — registered voters

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the five state samples and the samples of the the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of Pennsylvania were weighted separately to match voter-file-based parameters for the characteristics of registered voters by state.

The following targets were used:

• Party (party registration if available, else classification based on a model of vote choice in prior Times/Siena polls) by modeled L2 race (except Wisconsin)

• Age by gender (self-reported age, or voter file age if the respondent refuses)

• Race or ethnicity (L2 model)

• Education (four categories of self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• White/nonwhite by education (L2 model of race by self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• Marital status (L2 model)

• Homeownership (L2 model)

• State regions (NYT classifications by county or city)

• Turnout history (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Vote method in the 2020 elections (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• History of voting in the 2020 presidential primary (Pennsylvania and Wisconsin only, NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Census block group density (Arizona only, based on American Community Survey five-year census block-group data)

• Census tract educational attainment

In Pennsylvania, the samples from the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of the state were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs.

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

The sample of respondents who completed all questions in the survey was weighted identically, as well as to the result for the general election horse race question (including leaners) on the full sample.

Weighting — likely electorate

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the first-stage weight was adjusted to account for the probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election, based on a model of turnout in the 2020 election.

Third, the five state samples and the samples of the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of Pennsylvania were weighted separately to match targets for the composition of the likely electorate. The targets for the composition of the likely electorate were derived by aggregating the individual-level turnout estimates described in the previous step for registrants on the L2 voter file. The categories used in weighting were the same as those previously mentioned for registered voters.

In Pennsylvania, the samples from the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of the state were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs.

Fourth, the initial likely electorate weight was adjusted to incorporate self-reported vote intention. The final probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election was four-fifths based on their ex ante modeled turnout score and one-fifth based on their self-reported intention, based on prior Times/Siena polls, including a penalty to account for the tendency of survey respondents to turn out at higher rates than nonrespondents. The final likely electorate weight was equal to the modeled electorate rake weight, multiplied by the final turnout probability and divided by the ex ante modeled turnout probability.

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

The margin of error accounts for the survey’s design effect, a measure of the loss of statistical power due to survey design and weighting. The design effect for the full sample is 1.33 for registered voters and 1.5 for the likely electorate. The design effect for the sample of completed interviews is 1.38 for registered voters and 1.53 for the likely electorate.

Historically, The Times/Siena Poll’s error at the 95th percentile has been plus or minus 5.1 percentage points in surveys taken over the final three weeks before an election. Real-world error includes sources of error beyond sampling error, such as nonresponse bias, coverage error, late shifts among undecided voters and error in estimating the composition of the electorate.