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Georgia Cross-Tabs: May 2024 Times/Siena Poll

Results of a poll by The New York Times and Siena College in Georgia from April 28 to May 9, 2024.

View toplines for the full set of polls and cross-tabs for: all registered voters | likely electorate | Arizona | Georgia | Michigan | Nevada | Pennsylvania | Wisconsin

How satisfied are you with the way things are going in your life these days?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very satisfied

36%

35%

37%

29%

38%

40%

31%

35%

40%

34%

44%

33%

47%

28%

42%

37%

46%

27%

41%

37%

32%

37%

34%

40%

45%

31%

33%

47%

32%

29%

31%

40%

33%

33%

41%

32%

34%

Somewhat satisfied

38%

36%

40%

54%

33%

36%

34%

37%

39%

37%

38%

37%

37%

38%

42%

36%

31%

41%

35%

38%

42%

44%

39%

34%

42%

36%

32%

41%

32%

54%

36%

43%

28%

43%

42%

30%

41%

Not too satisfied

11%

12%

9%

10%

10%

9%

16%

10%

9%

15%

7%

12%

6%

12%

7%

14%

13%

15%

9%

10%

7%

3%

14%

8%

7%

14%

10%

6%

13%

14%

12%

8%

16%

10%

9%

16%

7%

Not at all satisfied

11%

13%

9%

5%

13%

12%

13%

14%

7%

11%

7%

13%

8%

17%

5%

10%

7%

9%

11%

8%

17%

16%

7%

14%

4%

16%

11%

3%

19%

2%

11%

4%

19%

10%

5%

19%

10%

[VOLUNTEERED] Don't know/Refused

5%

5%

5%

2%

5%

3%

7%

4%

5%

3%

4%

4%

2%

5%

4%

3%

3%

8%

4%

7%

2%

0%

6%

4%

3%

3%

14%

3%

4%

<1%

10%

5%

4%

4%

3%

4%

7%

NET Satisfied

74%

71%

77%

83%

72%

76%

64%

72%

79%

72%

82%

70%

83%

65%

85%

73%

77%

68%

76%

75%

74%

81%

73%

74%

86%

66%

65%

88%

64%

84%

67%

83%

61%

77%

83%

62%

75%

NET Not satisfied

21%

25%

18%

15%

23%

21%

29%

24%

16%

25%

14%

26%

15%

29%

12%

23%

20%

24%

19%

18%

24%

19%

21%

23%

10%

30%

21%

9%

32%

16%

23%

12%

35%

20%

14%

34%

18%

Number of respondents

604

265

333

170

157

165

87

317

175

90

267

331

147

168

108

154

109

109

107

129

150

66

303

235

237

289

78

182

227

61

134

172

154

191

225

188

148

Percent of total electorate

100%

48%

52%

19%

25%

31%

21%

53%

30%

14%

35%

63%

19%

33%

15%

28%

18%

18%

17%

22%

26%

10%

51%

39%

39%

49%

12%

31%

39%

9%

21%

29%

28%

29%

37%

33%

21%

 

Thinking ahead to the presidential general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote or not at all likely to vote?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Almost certain

40%

42%

38%

21%

31%

57%

40%

48%

30%

36%

43%

39%

48%

48%

37%

29%

39%

41%

40%

39%

42%

43%

40%

40%

44%

42%

21%

47%

46%

36%

21%

39%

48%

35%

46%

51%

12%

Very likely

37%

41%

33%

39%

41%

32%

40%

36%

38%

36%

41%

35%

39%

35%

45%

35%

39%

33%

37%

41%

35%

30%

37%

39%

41%

37%

22%

43%

38%

38%

25%

43%

38%

34%

42%

42%

21%

Somewhat likely

9%

7%

12%

24%

7%

4%

7%

6%

12%

13%

6%

11%

5%

7%

7%

15%

10%

9%

11%

9%

8%

8%

10%

9%

7%

10%

15%

5%

8%

15%

17%

8%

8%

11%

8%

5%

21%

Not very likely

5%

4%

5%

8%

8%

2%

2%

3%

8%

5%

5%

5%

2%

3%

7%

7%

4%

7%

3%

4%

4%

7%

5%

3%

4%

4%

9%

<1%

3%

6%

13%

3%

1%

8%

2%

1%

14%

Not at all likely

6%

3%

9%

7%

10%

5%

3%

5%

7%

10%

3%

8%

3%

6%

3%

10%

6%

6%

3%

6%

8%

10%

6%

5%

3%

5%

19%

3%

4%

4%

15%

4%

3%

9%

2%

0%

23%

[VOL] Already voted

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

3%

3%

1%

2%

0%

8%

2%

5%

0%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

3%

6%

<.5%

3%

3%

2%

4%

1%

1%

14%

1%

1%

0%

8%

3%

2%

3%

<.5%

1%

9%

Number of respondents

604

265

333

170

157

165

87

317

175

90

267

331

147

168

108

154

109

109

107

129

150

66

303

235

237

289

78

182

227

61

134

172

154

191

225

188

148

Percent of total electorate

100%

48%

52%

19%

25%

31%

21%

53%

30%

14%

35%

63%

19%

33%

15%

28%

18%

18%

17%

22%

26%

10%

51%

39%

39%

49%

12%

31%

39%

9%

21%

29%

28%

29%

37%

33%

21%

 

If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden, the Democrat

31%

28%

34%

20%

27%

38%

35%

21%

55%

22%

40%

26%

30%

16%

56%

39%

45%

32%

21%

27%

31%

43%

34%

24%

79%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

0%

73%

2%

26%

73%

2%

11%

Donald Trump, the Republican

39%

44%

35%

37%

35%

41%

49%

56%

14%

32%

32%

44%

46%

62%

16%

22%

28%

31%

56%

42%

38%

32%

34%

48%

0%

80%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

7%

86%

30%

6%

86%

31%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the third-party candidate

9%

10%

7%

16%

10%

6%

4%

8%

9%

8%

11%

7%

13%

5%

9%

9%

8%

6%

7%

9%

11%

6%

9%

9%

8%

8%

12%

0%

0%

100%

0%

8%

5%

13%

10%

4%

14%

Jill Stein [stine], the Green Party candidate

1%

<1%

1%

2%

2%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

<1%

5%

<1%

1%

0%

<.5%

2%

3%

<1%

1%

<1%

<.5%

2%

2%

1%

<1%

2%

<.5%

3%

0%

0%

0%

5%

1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

3%

[VOL] Cornel West, the third-party candidate

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Lars Mapstead [map-sted], the Libertarian Party candidate

1%

2%

1%

0%

5%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

<1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

<.5%

1%

4%

<.5%

1%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

2%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

7%

<1%

0%

4%

<1%

1%

0%

[VOL] Another candidate (specify)

2%

3%

<.5%

0%

4%

2%

0%

<1%

2%

6%

<.5%

2%

<1%

<1%

0%

5%

1%

4%

3%

0%

<1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

<1%

11%

0%

0%

0%

8%

0%

0%

3%

0%

1%

3%

[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices

5%

3%

7%

5%

6%

5%

6%

4%

6%

6%

4%

6%

2%

6%

5%

6%

6%

4%

<1%

6%

8%

8%

5%

5%

2%

2%

25%

0%

0%

0%

24%

2%

1%

7%

2%

1%

18%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

12%

9%

15%

20%

12%

9%

7%

7%

13%

20%

9%

12%

5%

9%

10%

15%

11%

18%

10%

13%

9%

6%

14%

11%

7%

7%

48%

0%

0%

0%

56%

8%

6%

14%

8%

5%

19%

Number of respondents

604

265

333

170

157

165

87

317

175

90

267

331

147

168

108

154

109

109

107

129

150

66

303

235

237

289

78

182

227

61

134

172

154

191

225

188

148

Percent of total electorate

100%

48%

52%

19%

25%

31%

21%

53%

30%

14%

35%

63%

19%

33%

15%

28%

18%

18%

17%

22%

26%

10%

51%

39%

39%

49%

12%

31%

39%

9%

21%

29%

28%

29%

37%

33%

21%

 

(If candidate selected) Are you definitely or probably going to vote for [CANDIDATE SELECTED IN PREVIOUS QUESTION]?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Definitely

70%

70%

70%

51%

62%

77%

86%

75%

64%

60%

71%

70%

68%

80%

76%

56%

68%

60%

77%

71%

72%

67%

69%

73%

69%

73%

38%

74%

80%

28%

18%

74%

81%

56%

71%

84%

44%

Probably

26%

25%

28%

43%

34%

22%

12%

22%

31%

36%

26%

26%

30%

18%

23%

38%

28%

33%

20%

24%

26%

33%

28%

23%

29%

24%

38%

24%

17%

64%

76%

26%

15%

41%

27%

16%

49%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

5%

2%

5%

4%

<1%

2%

2%

5%

4%

2%

4%

3%

2%

1%

7%

3%

6%

4%

4%

1%

<1%

3%

5%

2%

4%

24%

3%

3%

8%

6%

<.5%

5%

3%

2%

<1%

7%

Number of respondents

487

230

252

124

123

144

79

276

134

65

226

258

135

139

86

112

86

81

91

105

124

53

241

193

211

259

17

182

227

61

17

153

145

145

201

174

89

Percent of total electorate

100%

50%

50%

18%

24%

32%

22%

57%

29%

12%

38%

62%

22%

35%

15%

26%

18%

16%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

40%

43%

54%

2%

38%

48%

11%

3%

32%

32%

27%

41%

38%

16%

 

(Head to head, combines leaners) If you had to decide between the two today, would you lean more toward:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden, the Democrat

39%

34%

44%

34%

37%

44%

36%

26%

66%

37%

49%

33%

38%

19%

68%

51%

56%

41%

26%

36%

37%

48%

44%

31%

100%

0%

0%

100%

0%

35%

24%

84%

2%

37%

82%

2%

26%

Donald Trump, the Republican

49%

56%

43%

52%

47%

46%

56%

67%

20%

45%

41%

54%

58%

73%

20%

33%

32%

41%

63%

56%

50%

39%

45%

57%

0%

100%

0%

0%

100%

48%

26%

9%

95%

49%

13%

95%

46%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

12%

10%

14%

13%

16%

10%

8%

7%

13%

18%

10%

13%

4%

8%

11%

15%

12%

17%

11%

8%

13%

13%

11%

13%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

17%

50%

7%

3%

14%

6%

3%

28%

Number of respondents

604

265

333

170

157

165

87

317

175

90

267

331

147

168

108

154

109

109

107

129

150

66

303

235

237

289

78

182

227

61

134

172

154

191

225

188

148

Percent of total electorate

100%

48%

52%

19%

25%

31%

21%

53%

30%

14%

35%

63%

19%

33%

15%

28%

18%

18%

17%

22%

26%

10%

51%

39%

39%

49%

12%

31%

39%

9%

21%

29%

28%

29%

37%

33%

21%

 

(Recoded to age) In what year were you born?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

18-29

19%

19%

18%

100%

0%

0%

0%

18%

16%

31%

17%

20%

18%

17%

16%

25%

18%

18%

16%

20%

22%

22%

19%

19%

17%

20%

21%

12%

18%

35%

25%

16%

14%

26%

16%

11%

39%

30-44

25%

23%

27%

0%

100%

0%

0%

24%

27%

23%

30%

23%

29%

22%

32%

23%

33%

36%

18%

17%

23%

32%

26%

21%

24%

24%

33%

22%

22%

29%

33%

19%

17%

36%

22%

21%

34%

45-64

31%

29%

32%

0%

0%

100%

0%

30%

29%

36%

34%

29%

32%

29%

34%

31%

32%

27%

30%

30%

33%

23%

30%

34%

35%

29%

24%

37%

32%

20%

23%

37%

39%

20%

37%

39%

14%

65+

21%

22%

19%

0%

0%

0%

100%

24%

22%

5%

15%

23%

16%

29%

15%

16%

11%

16%

29%

26%

20%

18%

21%

21%

19%

24%

13%

23%

26%

10%

12%

26%

28%

14%

20%

27%

10%

Refused

5%

7%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

4%

5%

5%

4%

5%

5%

3%

2%

5%

5%

3%

8%

7%

2%

5%

4%

5%

6%

3%

8%

6%

3%

5%

8%

3%

3%

4%

5%

3%

4%

Number of respondents

604

265

333

170

157

165

87

317

175

90

267

331

147

168

108

154

109

109

107

129

150

66

303

235

237

289

78

182

227

61

134

172

154

191

225

188

148

Percent of total electorate

100%

48%

52%

19%

25%

31%

21%

53%

30%

14%

35%

63%

19%

33%

15%

28%

18%

18%

17%

22%

26%

10%

51%

39%

39%

49%

12%

31%

39%

9%

21%

29%

28%

29%

37%

33%

21%

 

What is the highest educational level that you have completed?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Grade school

2%

3%

2%

0%

4%

<1%

3%

<.5%

4%

7%

0%

4%

0%

<1%

0%

8%

4%

4%

4%

0%

<1%

4%

2%

3%

2%

<1%

9%

3%

1%

0%

5%

3%

0%

3%

1%

<1%

6%

High school

30%

31%

28%

38%

28%

22%

37%

29%

30%

33%

0%

47%

0%

46%

0%

48%

22%

21%

39%

31%

34%

41%

25%

33%

26%

33%

27%

28%

33%

15%

34%

29%

33%

26%

23%

29%

42%

Vocational or trade school

6%

5%

6%

3%

6%

7%

6%

6%

6%

4%

0%

9%

0%

9%

0%

8%

4%

4%

6%

7%

6%

5%

4%

8%

5%

6%

7%

4%

7%

3%

6%

6%

4%

6%

5%

7%

4%

Some college, no degree

17%

16%

17%

18%

9%

20%

18%

18%

18%

10%

0%

26%

0%

28%

0%

24%

7%

23%

20%

20%

14%

9%

18%

17%

14%

19%

15%

13%

19%

22%

14%

14%

20%

16%

16%

19%

17%

Associate’s degree

9%

8%

10%

8%

10%

11%

7%

10%

7%

10%

0%

14%

0%

16%

0%

12%

12%

6%

7%

7%

11%

2%

9%

10%

6%

11%

8%

6%

11%

11%

9%

8%

11%

7%

8%

12%

7%

Bachelor's degree

21%

23%

20%

27%

25%

23%

11%

22%

17%

24%

60%

0%

62%

0%

58%

0%

29%

25%

14%

20%

19%

19%

24%

19%

23%

20%

20%

22%

19%

30%

20%

20%

20%

25%

25%

21%

14%

Graduate or professional degree

14%

11%

16%

4%

17%

17%

15%

14%

17%

7%

40%

0%

38%

0%

42%

0%

21%

16%

8%

13%

13%

20%

17%

9%

21%

10%

9%

23%

10%

16%

7%

17%

11%

16%

21%

11%

7%

[VOL] Refused

1%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

0%

3%

<.5%

2%

4%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

2%

0%

1%

2%

2%

<.5%

5%

<1%

<.5%

2%

4%

2%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

3%

Number of respondents

604

265

333

170

157

165

87

317

175

90

267

331

147

168

108

154

109

109

107

129

150

66

303

235

237

289

78

182

227

61

134

172

154

191

225

188

148

Percent of total electorate

100%

48%

52%

19%

25%

31%

21%

53%

30%

14%

35%

63%

19%

33%

15%

28%

18%

18%

17%

22%

26%

10%

51%

39%

39%

49%

12%

31%

39%

9%

21%

29%

28%

29%

37%

33%

21%

 

Would you consider yourself:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

White

52%

58%

47%

49%

51%

50%

61%

99%

0%

0%

54%

52%

99%

98%

0%

0%

42%

39%

71%

60%

49%

52%

47%

58%

35%

72%

28%

36%

76%

50%

34%

26%

84%

55%

33%

83%

36%

Hispanic or Latino

7%

5%

8%

13%

4%

10%

<1%

0%

0%

48%

4%

8%

0%

0%

10%

19%

7%

13%

6%

7%

3%

3%

8%

6%

5%

7%

11%

4%

6%

6%

12%

8%

4%

6%

6%

5%

11%

Black or African American

29%

23%

36%

25%

32%

28%

32%

0%

100%

0%

29%

30%

0%

0%

70%

67%

43%

29%

12%

23%

37%

38%

31%

25%

50%

12%

32%

52%

11%

31%

30%

61%

4%

26%

53%

5%

32%

Asian

1%

2%

<1%

4%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

8%

3%

<.5%

0%

0%

6%

<1%

2%

4%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

<1%

<1%

2%

<.5%

1%

2%

<.5%

1%

American Indian or Alaska Native

<1%

1%

<1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

7%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

1%

3%

0%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<.5%

1%

<1%

<.5%

2%

0%

<1%

<.5%

2%

<1%

0%

2%

2%

Middle Eastern or North African

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

6%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

<.5%

3%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

<1%

4%

0%

<1%

2%

2%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

[VOL] Some other race (specify)

3%

5%

2%

<.5%

3%

5%

3%

1%

<.5%

16%

4%

3%

<1%

2%

8%

4%

2%

3%

4%

2%

4%

4%

3%

3%

4%

2%

5%

4%

1%

2%

6%

2%

2%

4%

4%

2%

4%

[VOL] More than one race

2%

2%

1%

4%

2%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

13%

<1%

2%

0%

0%

2%

4%

2%

3%

<.5%

2%

2%

2%

3%

<.5%

2%

2%

2%

0%

1%

2%

6%

<.5%

1%

2%

<1%

<.5%

4%

[VOL] Refused

4%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

0%

0%

0%

4%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

7%

4%

2%

2%

<.5%

4%

4%

1%

2%

17%

<1%

2%

7%

9%

<1%

<1%

4%

1%

1%

8%

Number of respondents

604

265

333

170

157

165

87

317

175

90

267

331

147

168

108

154

109

109

107

129

150

66

303

235

237

289

78

182

227

61

134

172

154

191

225

188

148

Percent of total electorate

100%

48%

52%

19%

25%

31%

21%

53%

30%

14%

35%

63%

19%

33%

15%

28%

18%

18%

17%

22%

26%

10%

51%

39%

39%

49%

12%

31%

39%

9%

21%

29%

28%

29%

37%

33%

21%

 

Note: Responses to questions after this point are reported only for respondents who completed the entire questionnaire.

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or a member of another party?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Democrat

30%

24%

36%

23%

21%

33%

40%

13%

64%

29%

30%

29%

11%

14%

56%

50%

35%

34%

21%

25%

34%

36%

34%

22%

64%

5%

16%

72%

5%

19%

15%

100%

0%

0%

64%

2%

19%

Republican

28%

29%

28%

17%

17%

36%

41%

45%

2%

18%

24%

31%

36%

49%

10%

6%

18%

14%

50%

31%

27%

14%

21%

41%

2%

54%

7%

2%

62%

14%

9%

0%

100%

0%

2%

65%

12%

Independent

31%

40%

22%

43%

46%

21%

17%

33%

25%

33%

36%

29%

42%

27%

25%

30%

36%

43%

15%

36%

26%

27%

36%

26%

30%

30%

39%

23%

23%

55%

50%

0%

0%

100%

28%

25%

43%

Another party

3%

4%

3%

3%

8%

2%

0%

4%

2%

4%

3%

4%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

<1%

<.5%

4%

8%

10%

2%

3%

<1%

3%

12%

<1%

3%

7%

8%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

3%

10%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

8%

4%

11%

14%

8%

7%

2%

6%

7%

16%

7%

8%

6%

6%

7%

10%

9%

8%

14%

4%

5%

13%

6%

8%

3%

7%

26%

2%

7%

5%

19%

0%

0%

0%

5%

5%

16%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Donald Trump

35%

41%

30%

15%

27%

44%

50%

54%

5%

28%

33%

37%

48%

57%

14%

12%

16%

26%

48%

43%

39%

20%

30%

46%

2%

68%

12%

2%

74%

19%

19%

3%

81%

29%

0%

100%

0%

Joe Biden

39%

35%

42%

32%

34%

46%

38%

21%

74%

39%

49%

33%

31%

16%

74%

57%

57%

49%

23%

33%

34%

47%

46%

27%

83%

7%

22%

91%

5%

36%

21%

84%

3%

35%

100%

0%

0%

I did not vote

21%

17%

25%

46%

29%

8%

8%

17%

21%

31%

13%

25%

13%

20%

11%

30%

24%

21%

18%

21%

21%

27%

20%

20%

11%

21%

50%

7%

19%

34%

42%

14%

9%

28%

0%

0%

100%

[VOL] Someone else

2%

2%

2%

3%

6%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

4%

1%

6%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

3%

2%

3%

5%

1%

2%

2%

1%

5%

0%

<.5%

8%

7%

0%

<1%

4%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

5%

2%

5%

4%

2%

3%

4%

<.5%

3%

2%

4%

3%

5%

<1%

2%

1%

3%

8%

2%

2%

1%

3%

4%

1%

3%

11%

<.5%

2%

4%

11%

0%

6%

4%

0%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

(Excluding “I did not vote”) Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Donald Trump

44%

49%

39%

28%

38%

48%

55%

65%

6%

40%

37%

49%

55%

71%

16%

16%

22%

33%

58%

54%

50%

27%

37%

58%

2%

86%

23%

2%

92%

28%

33%

3%

88%

40%

0%

100%

-

Joe Biden

49%

42%

56%

58%

48%

50%

41%

26%

94%

56%

56%

44%

35%

20%

84%

81%

75%

61%

28%

42%

43%

65%

58%

34%

94%

9%

44%

98%

6%

54%

37%

97%

4%

49%

100%

0%

-

[VOL] Someone else

3%

3%

3%

5%

8%

0%

1%

4%

0%

0%

4%

2%

7%

3%

0%

0%

1%

2%

4%

2%

4%

7%

2%

3%

3%

1%

11%

0%

<1%

12%

12%

0%

<1%

6%

0%

0%

-

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

6%

2%

9%

6%

2%

3%

5%

<.5%

4%

3%

5%

3%

7%

<1%

2%

2%

4%

10%

2%

3%

2%

3%

6%

1%

4%

22%

<.5%

2%

6%

18%

0%

7%

5%

0%

0%

-

Number of respondents

365

172

188

75

85

124

70

211

99

47

198

165

107

103

84

61

65

68

68

80

84

40

188

137

164

171

30

139

143

32

51

118

108

109

189

153

Percent of total electorate

100%

51%

48%

13%

22%

37%

25%

58%

28%

12%

39%

60%

21%

37%

17%

23%

17%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

51%

40%

44%

49%

8%

38%

41%

7%

14%

32%

32%

28%

49%

44%

 

(If not supporting Biden) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Joe Biden or not really any chance?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Some chance

6%

5%

6%

7%

4%

6%

5%

2%

10%

8%

8%

4%

5%

1%

12%

9%

5%

9%

5%

5%

4%

3%

8%

3%

0%

5%

27%

0%

3%

15%

16%

6%

2%

6%

8%

1%

7%

Not really any chance

51%

57%

46%

55%

54%

51%

47%

69%

17%

52%

40%

59%

59%

75%

17%

36%

33%

46%

61%

62%

52%

50%

45%

60%

0%

92%

53%

0%

94%

45%

53%

6%

88%

54%

6%

93%

66%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

3%

5%

5%

1%

<1%

10%

4%

3%

5%

3%

3%

1%

5%

4%

1%

3%

<1%

9%

<1%

6%

0%

2%

8%

0%

3%

20%

0%

3%

8%

12%

3%

7%

3%

1%

3%

7%

[PREVIOUSLY] Joe Biden

39%

35%

43%

33%

41%

42%

37%

25%

69%

34%

49%

33%

36%

19%

68%

54%

59%

44%

25%

32%

37%

48%

46%

28%

100%

0%

0%

100%

0%

32%

20%

85%

3%

37%

84%

2%

21%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

(If not supporting Trump) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Donald Trump or not really any chance?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Some chance

6%

7%

6%

11%

11%

3%

1%

6%

5%

13%

6%

7%

5%

6%

7%

8%

8%

4%

5%

8%

7%

5%

6%

7%

8%

0%

29%

8%

0%

8%

17%

5%

4%

10%

6%

5%

5%

Not really any chance

42%

36%

48%

34%

45%

48%

36%

27%

74%

34%

51%

37%

34%

23%

72%

56%

64%

51%

23%

33%

41%

61%

47%

30%

89%

0%

58%

90%

0%

38%

49%

81%

2%

40%

83%

<1%

35%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

1%

4%

4%

0%

1%

7%

<.5%

5%

7%

2%

3%

0%

<.5%

2%

5%

3%

1%

6%

<1%

4%

0%

2%

5%

4%

0%

13%

2%

0%

7%

9%

5%

<1%

2%

2%

0%

9%

[PREVIOUSLY] Donald Trump

49%

56%

42%

50%

44%

48%

56%

67%

16%

46%

42%

54%

61%

71%

19%

30%

26%

44%

66%

58%

48%

34%

45%

58%

0%

100%

0%

0%

100%

48%

26%

9%

94%

47%

9%

94%

50%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

(If candidate selected in presidential race, including third-party candidates) What is the MAIN reason you are planning to vote for [CANDIDATE SELECTED]?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

[VOL] Positive view of candidate's policies

26%

23%

30%

22%

20%

34%

25%

25%

33%

17%

22%

29%

20%

29%

26%

30%

18%

15%

26%

27%

38%

34%

24%

27%

26%

26%

25%

27%

25%

34%

11%

33%

27%

21%

27%

27%

23%

[VOL] Negative view of opponent's policies

3%

4%

1%

0%

4%

3%

3%

1%

7%

0%

3%

2%

3%

<1%

5%

5%

3%

3%

0%

1%

5%

8%

2%

2%

5%

1%

0%

5%

1%

2%

0%

5%

2%

1%

5%

2%

0%

[VOL] Positive view of candidate's character/competence

18%

20%

16%

13%

13%

17%

30%

20%

10%

25%

14%

20%

13%

23%

13%

15%

21%

15%

21%

22%

12%

3%

22%

17%

17%

18%

32%

16%

18%

26%

15%

14%

24%

15%

18%

18%

12%

[VOL] Negative view of opponent's character/competence

22%

22%

20%

15%

32%

21%

14%

23%

26%

9%

31%

16%

34%

16%

29%

16%

33%

25%

20%

16%

18%

32%

22%

18%

30%

15%

23%

29%

14%

24%

34%

21%

10%

30%

30%

15%

13%

[VOL] Voting to support a political party

7%

6%

9%

8%

7%

8%

7%

7%

7%

6%

5%

8%

4%

9%

7%

7%

4%

14%

5%

4%

8%

5%

7%

7%

7%

7%

7%

8%

6%

0%

29%

9%

7%

6%

5%

8%

10%

[VOL] The economy (including jobs and the stock market)

12%

15%

9%

17%

12%

9%

11%

14%

4%

22%

9%

14%

11%

15%

6%

12%

4%

19%

13%

15%

9%

6%

12%

13%

3%

20%

0%

3%

22%

1%

8%

5%

17%

14%

3%

20%

18%

[VOL] Inflation/the cost of living

<1%

1%

<1%

4%

<1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

2%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

1%

1%

0%

2%

0%

<1%

2%

<.5%

2%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

3%

0%

1%

3%

[VOL] Abortion

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

0%

[VOL] Immigration

2%

2%

2%

2%

0%

2%

4%

2%

1%

3%

3%

1%

3%

1%

3%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

0%

2%

<1%

3%

0%

4%

0%

0%

4%

0%

0%

1%

4%

2%

0%

5%

2%

[VOL] The state of democracy/corruption

<1%

<.5%

<1%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

2%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<1%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<1%

[VOL] Other (specify)

5%

4%

6%

9%

3%

4%

4%

5%

4%

9%

9%

3%

9%

3%

9%

3%

6%

1%

7%

7%

5%

6%

3%

7%

5%

5%

14%

4%

5%

12%

3%

4%

7%

6%

6%

4%

6%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

3%

5%

9%

9%

<1%

0%

2%

7%

7%

1%

6%

<1%

2%

2%

10%

7%

5%

3%

3%

4%

3%

5%

3%

6%

3%

0%

6%

3%

1%

0%

6%

1%

3%

4%

<1%

13%

Number of respondents

392

187

200

96

97

120

68

232

100

51

196

194

116

115

75

75

70

67

75

88

92

40

201

151

174

203

15

151

180

48

13

125

114

122

168

141

69

Percent of total electorate

100%

50%

49%

17%

24%

33%

23%

59%

27%

12%

37%

62%

22%

37%

15%

24%

17%

17%

19%

22%

26%

10%

50%

40%

44%

53%

3%

39%

48%

10%

3%

33%

32%

29%

42%

39%

16%

 

(If supporting Kennedy in presidential race) Are you mostly voting FOR Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or AGAINST the other candidates in the race?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

For Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

54%

45%

66%

58%

53%

51%

62%

55%

47%

42%

53%

59%

49%

71%

51%

42%

47%

14%

43%

71%

58%

21%

52%

63%

47%

53%

67%

-

-

54%

-

38%

43%

65%

45%

43%

71%

Against the other candidates

41%

47%

34%

38%

40%

49%

38%

45%

44%

29%

47%

30%

51%

29%

49%

34%

53%

86%

41%

29%

37%

79%

48%

24%

53%

37%

33%

-

-

41%

-

62%

23%

35%

55%

47%

29%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

5%

8%

0%

4%

8%

0%

0%

0%

9%

29%

0%

11%

0%

0%

0%

24%

0%

0%

16%

0%

5%

0%

0%

13%

0%

10%

0%

-

-

5%

-

0%

34%

0%

0%

9%

0%

Number of respondents

48

27

20

21

17

7

2

30

11

5

25

22

18

11

6

10

7

5

9

12

15

3

26

19

16

20

12

48

11

6

26

19

8

16

Percent of total electorate

100%

62%

36%

39%

40%

16%

4%

65%

20%

11%

52%

45%

38%

24%

10%

20%

13%

8%

19%

27%

33%

8%

54%

38%

32%

48%

20%

100%

19%

14%

55%

36%

19%

34%

 

In general, how satisfied are you with your choice of candidates in this fall’s presidential election?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very satisfied

24%

25%

23%

15%

15%

24%

46%

25%

25%

23%

23%

25%

21%

27%

28%

22%

20%

11%

34%

28%

26%

34%

19%

27%

23%

30%

5%

26%

36%

8%

3%

28%

34%

13%

23%

38%

10%

Somewhat satisfied

35%

35%

35%

36%

32%

36%

36%

36%

35%

30%

31%

38%

31%

38%

31%

35%

31%

36%

37%

34%

35%

23%

34%

39%

37%

37%

17%

40%

39%

23%

23%

39%

38%

31%

36%

34%

37%

Not too satisfied

20%

20%

19%

29%

19%

21%

8%

20%

15%

25%

22%

19%

24%

19%

18%

19%

26%

20%

17%

17%

20%

15%

22%

19%

22%

18%

22%

19%

16%

26%

25%

19%

17%

25%

19%

17%

17%

Not at all satisfied

19%

20%

18%

18%

33%

17%

5%

17%

20%

22%

22%

17%

23%

15%

20%

21%

18%

31%

12%

21%

14%

22%

24%

11%

18%

13%

43%

14%

8%

43%

40%

11%

9%

30%

21%

10%

27%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

<.5%

4%

1%

1%

2%

5%

1%

5%

0%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

5%

<.5%

<1%

0%

5%

7%

<1%

3%

<.5%

1%

13%

<.5%

2%

0%

8%

3%

2%

0%

<.5%

<1%

9%

NET Satisfied

59%

60%

58%

51%

47%

60%

82%

61%

60%

53%

54%

62%

51%

65%

60%

58%

51%

48%

71%

63%

61%

57%

53%

67%

60%

67%

22%

67%

74%

31%

26%

67%

72%

44%

59%

72%

46%

NET Not satisfied

39%

40%

37%

47%

52%

38%

14%

38%

35%

47%

45%

36%

47%

33%

39%

40%

44%

52%

28%

37%

34%

36%

46%

30%

40%

31%

64%

33%

24%

69%

65%

30%

26%

56%

41%

27%

44%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

How often do you pay attention to what's going on in government and politics?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Always

32%

39%

24%

12%

23%

43%

39%

35%

23%

34%

38%

28%

37%

34%

36%

21%

34%

33%

35%

26%

32%

33%

33%

30%

31%

34%

25%

34%

38%

24%

20%

28%

43%

29%

35%

42%

9%

Most of the time

29%

28%

30%

27%

31%

27%

33%

30%

31%

23%

32%

27%

33%

29%

33%

27%

27%

29%

25%

31%

31%

29%

29%

29%

33%

28%

18%

34%

28%

28%

22%

32%

28%

30%

31%

31%

22%

About half of the time

14%

14%

14%

21%

14%

12%

9%

15%

10%

20%

11%

15%

14%

15%

9%

16%

8%

19%

16%

16%

10%

9%

15%

13%

13%

15%

11%

10%

14%

23%

15%

12%

14%

16%

12%

15%

15%

Some of the time

20%

15%

26%

34%

26%

12%

16%

16%

27%

20%

16%

23%

14%

18%

18%

29%

21%

16%

21%

25%

18%

21%

20%

21%

20%

19%

27%

18%

16%

23%

31%

21%

12%

23%

20%

10%

38%

Never

4%

4%

5%

6%

6%

6%

0%

4%

7%

3%

2%

6%

1%

5%

2%

7%

9%

2%

2%

2%

7%

9%

3%

5%

3%

3%

13%

4%

4%

2%

8%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

13%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<1%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

3%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

3%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

0%

4%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

4%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Strongly approve

13%

15%

12%

2%

10%

17%

21%

8%

26%

11%

19%

10%

12%

6%

28%

17%

21%

11%

9%

9%

17%

24%

13%

11%

34%

<.5%

0%

39%

<.5%

3%

1%

34%

<1%

9%

33%

2%

1%

Somewhat approve

20%

15%

24%

19%

18%

26%

15%

12%

33%

23%

22%

18%

15%

10%

32%

30%

27%

27%

14%

14%

17%

16%

24%

15%

39%

5%

17%

42%

3%

4%

22%

43%

1%

16%

39%

1%

15%

Somewhat disapprove

16%

15%

17%

32%

18%

9%

5%

16%

14%

15%

16%

16%

15%

16%

15%

14%

15%

25%

8%

18%

13%

8%

19%

14%

15%

14%

23%

9%

13%

41%

22%

9%

12%

25%

14%

10%

26%

Strongly disapprove

45%

51%

39%

34%

51%

44%

51%

61%

17%

40%

37%

50%

54%

66%

16%

30%

31%

31%

63%

58%

41%

42%

41%

51%

8%

79%

28%

6%

82%

47%

33%

8%

84%

44%

12%

87%

36%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

6%

5%

8%

13%

3%

4%

8%

3%

10%

11%

6%

5%

3%

3%

9%

9%

7%

6%

5%

1%

11%

10%

3%

9%

5%

1%

32%

4%

<1%

5%

22%

6%

2%

6%

3%

0%

21%

NET Approve

33%

30%

36%

21%

28%

43%

36%

20%

59%

34%

41%

29%

27%

16%

59%

47%

48%

38%

23%

23%

35%

40%

37%

26%

73%

5%

17%

81%

4%

7%

23%

77%

2%

25%

72%

3%

16%

NET Disapprove

61%

65%

57%

67%

69%

54%

56%

77%

31%

55%

53%

66%

69%

82%

32%

44%

46%

56%

72%

76%

54%

50%

59%

65%

23%

94%

51%

15%

95%

88%

55%

17%

96%

69%

25%

97%

63%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of each of the following.

Donald Trump

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

26%

26%

28%

19%

18%

31%

38%

40%

4%

24%

19%

31%

28%

46%

9%

11%

12%

11%

47%

36%

25%

24%

18%

38%

<1%

52%

5%

<.5%

62%

3%

6%

3%

68%

14%

1%

60%

22%

Somewhat favorable

20%

24%

17%

35%

21%

13%

18%

22%

12%

29%

16%

23%

20%

23%

10%

22%

17%

29%

22%

20%

17%

6%

25%

19%

5%

35%

11%

4%

32%

28%

20%

7%

21%

29%

8%

27%

29%

Somewhat unfavorable

12%

16%

9%

22%

14%

12%

2%

11%

14%

12%

19%

9%

19%

7%

16%

12%

9%

16%

3%

12%

19%

11%

13%

11%

11%

10%

26%

8%

5%

37%

23%

8%

9%

19%

11%

8%

14%

Very unfavorable

37%

33%

41%

23%

44%

42%

34%

26%

62%

30%

42%

35%

30%

24%

58%

50%

56%

43%

23%

32%

34%

52%

43%

26%

80%

2%

40%

84%

<.5%

25%

39%

76%

2%

34%

78%

4%

22%

[VOL] Have not heard of

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

1%

6%

1%

3%

3%

8%

1%

8%

5%

4%

2%

2%

<1%

6%

4%

7%

1%

6%

0%

6%

7%

2%

6%

3%

<1%

19%

3%

<.5%

6%

12%

6%

0%

3%

2%

<1%

13%

NET Favorable

47%

50%

44%

54%

39%

43%

57%

61%

16%

53%

35%

54%

48%

69%

20%

33%

28%

40%

68%

56%

41%

30%

42%

57%

5%

87%

15%

4%

94%

31%

26%

10%

89%

43%

10%

87%

51%

NET Unfavorable

49%

49%

50%

45%

58%

54%

36%

37%

76%

42%

61%

44%

50%

30%

75%

62%

65%

59%

26%

44%

53%

63%

56%

37%

91%

12%

66%

93%

5%

63%

62%

84%

11%

54%

89%

12%

36%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Joe Biden

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

14%

16%

13%

3%

8%

20%

23%

7%

29%

10%

16%

14%

10%

6%

25%

23%

20%

16%

11%

10%

15%

21%

15%

12%

36%

<.5%

<1%

42%

<.5%

3%

1%

39%

0%

7%

35%

<.5%

2%

Somewhat favorable

23%

16%

30%

25%

27%

25%

15%

14%

39%

29%

28%

20%

19%

11%

42%

33%

36%

27%

18%

15%

22%

22%

29%

16%

45%

6%

20%

47%

5%

23%

20%

47%

3%

20%

43%

2%

24%

Somewhat unfavorable

17%

17%

17%

36%

23%

9%

7%

18%

12%

22%

18%

16%

22%

15%

13%

17%

15%

24%

14%

17%

16%

11%

18%

18%

16%

17%

25%

9%

14%

32%

32%

7%

17%

28%

14%

12%

27%

Very unfavorable

43%

49%

37%

33%

42%

44%

51%

60%

13%

37%

34%

48%

49%

66%

15%

24%

24%

31%

55%

57%

42%

38%

37%

50%

3%

76%

35%

2%

80%

38%

36%

5%

80%

42%

6%

86%

37%

[VOL] Have not heard of

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

2%

4%

3%

<1%

3%

4%

<1%

6%

1%

3%

2%

<1%

<1%

5%

2%

5%

2%

2%

<1%

5%

8%

1%

4%

<1%

<1%

20%

<1%

<1%

4%

11%

2%

0%

3%

1%

<.5%

10%

NET Favorable

37%

32%

43%

28%

34%

44%

38%

21%

69%

40%

44%

34%

29%

18%

67%

56%

56%

43%

29%

25%

37%

43%

44%

28%

81%

7%

21%

89%

5%

26%

21%

86%

3%

27%

78%

2%

26%

NET Unfavorable

60%

66%

54%

69%

65%

53%

58%

78%

25%

59%

53%

64%

71%

81%

29%

42%

39%

55%

70%

74%

58%

49%

55%

69%

18%

93%

60%

10%

94%

70%

68%

12%

97%

70%

20%

97%

64%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

5%

5%

6%

5%

9%

6%

2%

5%

4%

7%

6%

5%

4%

6%

8%

2%

2%

4%

6%

4%

9%

0%

6%

6%

6%

5%

5%

5%

3%

30%

0%

7%

4%

5%

6%

4%

5%

Somewhat favorable

38%

38%

38%

44%

45%

29%

40%

40%

35%

37%

31%

42%

36%

42%

24%

43%

30%

41%

33%

42%

40%

22%

40%

38%

25%

50%

27%

19%

48%

70%

34%

25%

48%

40%

25%

54%

38%

Somewhat unfavorable

16%

16%

17%

19%

15%

22%

6%

17%

15%

22%

21%

14%

19%

16%

25%

13%

27%

20%

14%

17%

9%

21%

18%

13%

21%

13%

15%

23%

14%

0%

17%

18%

13%

20%

22%

14%

10%

Very unfavorable

17%

24%

11%

9%

10%

22%

24%

16%

21%

14%

19%

17%

18%

16%

19%

19%

18%

12%

18%

16%

22%

27%

15%

19%

31%

9%

10%

35%

9%

0%

11%

29%

14%

13%

30%

10%

2%

[VOL] Have not heard of

7%

4%

9%

10%

6%

6%

5%

6%

5%

8%

5%

8%

4%

7%

5%

7%

4%

9%

12%

5%

5%

10%

6%

7%

5%

6%

13%

6%

8%

0%

9%

6%

4%

7%

7%

2%

16%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

16%

13%

19%

13%

14%

15%

24%

15%

20%

12%

19%

14%

19%

13%

18%

15%

19%

15%

17%

16%

15%

20%

15%

18%

12%

17%

30%

11%

18%

0%

29%

15%

16%

15%

10%

15%

28%

NET Favorable

43%

43%

44%

49%

54%

35%

42%

46%

39%

44%

37%

47%

40%

48%

33%

45%

32%

45%

40%

46%

49%

22%

46%

45%

31%

56%

32%

24%

51%

100%

34%

32%

52%

45%

31%

58%

43%

NET Unfavorable

34%

40%

28%

28%

26%

44%

30%

33%

36%

36%

39%

32%

37%

32%

44%

33%

45%

31%

32%

32%

31%

48%

33%

31%

52%

22%

24%

58%

24%

0%

28%

47%

27%

33%

52%

25%

13%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Joe Rogan [roh-gun], the podcast host

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

9%

11%

7%

9%

14%

10%

4%

14%

2%

5%

10%

9%

11%

15%

6%

1%

0%

7%

10%

12%

14%

7%

7%

13%

3%

13%

12%

3%

14%

11%

10%

4%

13%

11%

3%

16%

6%

Somewhat favorable

21%

26%

17%

28%

27%

20%

14%

23%

16%

26%

19%

22%

23%

23%

15%

22%

26%

13%

16%

26%

23%

18%

20%

24%

10%

31%

17%

9%

31%

37%

16%

13%

31%

21%

10%

28%

31%

Somewhat unfavorable

13%

14%

13%

17%

13%

11%

10%

15%

10%

16%

16%

12%

19%

13%

12%

12%

13%

18%

17%

14%

7%

16%

17%

8%

17%

12%

7%

16%

10%

16%

13%

17%

10%

14%

15%

11%

14%

Very unfavorable

19%

19%

19%

22%

16%

22%

17%

16%

26%

20%

21%

18%

16%

15%

28%

23%

18%

24%

23%

18%

16%

18%

20%

18%

34%

10%

12%

36%

8%

17%

15%

31%

9%

19%

34%

10%

7%

[VOL] Have not heard of

22%

16%

27%

16%

14%

20%

38%

19%

26%

22%

20%

22%

18%

20%

22%

25%

20%

25%

23%

16%

25%

18%

22%

22%

21%

20%

32%

21%

22%

3%

31%

24%

22%

18%

22%

20%

27%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

15%

14%

17%

8%

17%

17%

17%

14%

19%

12%

15%

16%

13%

14%

17%

17%

23%

12%

11%

15%

15%

23%

13%

16%

15%

14%

19%

15%

16%

16%

14%

11%

16%

16%

16%

15%

15%

NET Favorable

31%

37%

24%

37%

41%

30%

17%

37%

19%

30%

29%

32%

34%

38%

21%

23%

26%

20%

26%

38%

37%

25%

27%

36%

13%

45%

30%

12%

44%

47%

27%

17%

43%

32%

13%

45%

37%

NET Unfavorable

33%

33%

32%

39%

29%

33%

27%

30%

36%

36%

37%

31%

35%

27%

40%

35%

31%

42%

40%

31%

23%

34%

37%

26%

50%

22%

19%

52%

18%

34%

28%

47%

19%

33%

49%

20%

20%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

What one issue is most important in deciding your vote this November?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

[VOL] The economy (including jobs and the stock market)

22%

27%

17%

14%

25%

22%

24%

27%

12%

23%

27%

20%

32%

24%

20%

14%

17%

27%

28%

21%

20%

25%

20%

25%

11%

33%

16%

11%

36%

21%

16%

11%

38%

22%

15%

36%

16%

[VOL] Inflation and the cost of living

6%

4%

8%

8%

10%

5%

0%

5%

6%

10%

6%

6%

5%

5%

6%

9%

4%

5%

7%

11%

4%

4%

6%

7%

4%

7%

11%

2%

7%

12%

10%

3%

3%

10%

5%

4%

13%

[VOL] Abortion

7%

4%

11%

4%

4%

11%

6%

7%

7%

9%

8%

7%

9%

6%

8%

8%

5%

10%

9%

7%

5%

2%

10%

5%

13%

3%

4%

13%

3%

13%

4%

12%

4%

7%

12%

3%

3%

[VOL] Immigration

11%

13%

10%

7%

5%

14%

17%

16%

3%

11%

8%

13%

9%

20%

7%

6%

10%

7%

10%

14%

13%

15%

9%

13%

1%

19%

13%

1%

21%

3%

11%

3%

24%

9%

2%

27%

<1%

[VOL] Crime

<1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

[VOL] Gun policies

<.5%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

[VOL] Health care

2%

1%

3%

3%

<1%

3%

2%

<1%

6%

2%

1%

3%

<1%

<1%

2%

6%

2%

2%

2%

<.5%

4%

0%

2%

4%

4%

<1%

3%

4%

0%

3%

3%

5%

0%

2%

5%

0%

2%

[VOL] Education

<1%

0%

1%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

3%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

2%

[VOL] Foreign policy

4%

5%

3%

6%

2%

4%

4%

4%

1%

10%

5%

3%

7%

2%

3%

5%

2%

6%

2%

7%

3%

2%

5%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

5%

5%

4%

<1%

4%

8%

4%

5%

3%

[VOL] Russia/the war in Ukraine

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

[VOL] China

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

[VOL] Climate change

1%

<1%

2%

3%

2%

<1%

0%

<.5%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

2%

<1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

<1%

2%

2%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

3%

3%

2%

0%

<1%

2%

0%

1%

[VOL] The state of democracy/corruption

4%

4%

3%

2%

<1%

6%

5%

5%

3%

0%

6%

2%

7%

4%

6%

0%

5%

6%

2%

6%

<1%

4%

4%

3%

9%

<.5%

0%

11%

0%

3%

0%

8%

2%

3%

9%

0%

0%

[VOL] Election integrity

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

1%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

[VOL] Equality/inequality

2%

<1%

2%

3%

3%

0%

2%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

2%

<1%

0%

3%

0%

2%

3%

0%

2%

1%

4%

0%

0%

4%

0%

2%

1%

4%

0%

1%

4%

0%

1%

[VOL] Polarization/division

1%

1%

<1%

0%

4%

<1%

0%

<.5%

3%

0%

<.5%

1%

0%

<1%

1%

3%

5%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

2%

2%

<1%

0%

3%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

3%

3%

0%

0%

[VOL] Racism/racial issues

<1%

<.5%

<1%

3%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

<.5%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

0%

2%

2%

0%

0%

2%

<.5%

0%

3%

[VOL] Dislike of opposing candidate (Trump or Biden)

3%

5%

2%

<1%

5%

2%

6%

3%

5%

<1%

5%

2%

6%

1%

4%

3%

5%

5%

1%

3%

2%

5%

4%

2%

6%

2%

0%

6%

2%

2%

0%

5%

2%

3%

6%

2%

<1%

[VOL] Character/competence of candidate (Trump or Biden)

7%

7%

6%

6%

5%

9%

6%

7%

8%

3%

9%

5%

11%

5%

7%

6%

11%

1%

3%

4%

11%

6%

7%

6%

8%

7%

3%

9%

7%

6%

3%

8%

8%

3%

8%

8%

1%

[VOL] The Middle East/Israel/Palestinians

<1%

<.5%

<1%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

1%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

1%

<1%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

1%

0%

<1%

[VOL] Taxes

2%

5%

<.5%

5%

<1%

3%

0%

3%

<1%

3%

<.5%

4%

0%

4%

<1%

2%

3%

2%

4%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

<1%

3%

3%

0%

3%

4%

4%

0%

2%

4%

0%

3%

6%

[VOL] Student loans

2%

2%

1%

1%

5%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

4%

2%

2%

1%

<1%

<.5%

4%

3%

7%

<1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

3%

2%

<.5%

4%

<.5%

0%

4%

0%

0%

<1%

4%

0%

1%

3%

0%

2%

[VOL] Other (specify)

11%

11%

11%

14%

12%

6%

18%

10%

18%

4%

7%

13%

4%

12%

12%

15%

6%

11%

17%

9%

13%

20%

10%

10%

13%

9%

13%

14%

7%

12%

14%

18%

6%

9%

10%

8%

15%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

11%

7%

15%

17%

13%

8%

8%

7%

14%

21%

8%

11%

7%

8%

11%

16%

14%

12%

8%

9%

11%

7%

11%

12%

10%

7%

28%

9%

7%

10%

22%

12%

5%

10%

9%

3%

29%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Thinking about the nation's economy, how would you rate economic conditions today?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

3%

4%

2%

3%

2%

2%

6%

3%

2%

4%

5%

2%

7%

<1%

2%

3%

6%

3%

2%

<1%

3%

11%

2%

1%

6%

<.5%

2%

7%

<.5%

4%

0%

5%

0%

3%

5%

0%

4%

Good

17%

17%

17%

9%

13%

25%

20%

11%

29%

16%

19%

16%

14%

10%

28%

24%

22%

21%

8%

14%

19%

11%

23%

11%

36%

4%

8%

42%

4%

0%

9%

38%

4%

13%

35%

3%

9%

Only fair

26%

28%

23%

30%

27%

19%

26%

22%

34%

19%

34%

21%

33%

16%

31%

28%

36%

18%

32%

18%

26%

27%

25%

26%

37%

19%

15%

37%

19%

30%

18%

29%

17%

33%

33%

17%

23%

Poor

53%

51%

55%

58%

58%

51%

46%

64%

29%

62%

41%

60%

45%

74%

37%

42%

32%

57%

58%

67%

48%

44%

49%

60%

20%

76%

63%

13%

76%

64%

66%

24%

78%

50%

26%

79%

59%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

0%

3%

0%

0%

3%

3%

<.5%

6%

0%

1%

<1%

<1%

0%

2%

2%

4%

<1%

0%

0%

3%

7%

<1%

2%

<.5%

<.5%

12%

<.5%

<.5%

2%

7%

3%

<1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

6%

NET Excellent/good

20%

21%

19%

12%

15%

27%

25%

14%

32%

19%

24%

18%

21%

11%

31%

27%

28%

24%

10%

15%

22%

22%

25%

12%

43%

4%

9%

49%

4%

4%

9%

44%

4%

16%

40%

3%

12%

NET Fair/poor

78%

79%

78%

88%

85%

70%

71%

86%

63%

81%

74%

81%

78%

89%

68%

71%

68%

75%

90%

85%

74%

71%

74%

86%

57%

96%

79%

50%

96%

94%

84%

53%

95%

84%

59%

96%

82%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Do you think abortion should be always legal, mostly legal, mostly illegal or always illegal?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Always legal

33%

24%

42%

37%

44%

34%

16%

26%

44%

37%

41%

30%

32%

23%

54%

37%

46%

40%

19%

34%

30%

46%

40%

21%

60%

13%

31%

59%

12%

34%

33%

56%

5%

34%

60%

7%

31%

Mostly legal

22%

26%

19%

23%

25%

19%

25%

26%

20%

15%

23%

22%

26%

25%

18%

20%

16%

26%

19%

29%

21%

12%

25%

22%

21%

25%

17%

21%

21%

31%

23%

20%

19%

30%

21%

22%

23%

Mostly illegal

20%

25%

16%

24%

13%

23%

22%

26%

11%

20%

18%

22%

23%

27%

12%

15%

16%

15%

23%

20%

26%

17%

17%

26%

9%

32%

13%

8%

32%

17%

18%

7%

43%

16%

7%

37%

15%

Always illegal

12%

9%

15%

10%

8%

10%

21%

14%

11%

8%

6%

15%

11%

15%

1%

15%

9%

6%

27%

9%

10%

15%

7%

17%

6%

16%

13%

7%

19%

8%

8%

8%

20%

6%

4%

18%

17%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

12%

16%

7%

6%

11%

14%

17%

9%

13%

20%

11%

11%

8%

9%

15%

14%

13%

13%

11%

9%

13%

10%

10%

14%

4%

15%

25%

5%

15%

9%

17%

9%

13%

14%

7%

16%

13%

NET Legal

56%

50%

61%

59%

68%

52%

41%

52%

65%

51%

64%

52%

58%

48%

71%

56%

62%

66%

38%

62%

51%

58%

65%

43%

81%

38%

48%

80%

34%

65%

56%

77%

24%

64%

81%

29%

54%

NET Illegal

32%

34%

32%

34%

21%

34%

43%

39%

22%

28%

25%

37%

33%

43%

13%

30%

25%

21%

50%

29%

36%

32%

24%

43%

15%

48%

26%

15%

51%

25%

27%

15%

63%

23%

12%

54%

33%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following:

(Split A) The economy

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden

34%

31%

36%

15%

38%

36%

46%

15%

65%

38%

43%

29%

24%

11%

66%

52%

53%

50%

21%

25%

28%

28%

42%

25%

80%

<1%

18%

87%

<1%

9%

20%

78%

0%

30%

70%

<1%

24%

Donald Trump

58%

65%

52%

76%

57%

52%

50%

80%

21%

56%

50%

62%

72%

83%

26%

36%

29%

43%

68%

73%

67%

55%

51%

68%

17%

96%

40%

9%

95%

86%

55%

19%

96%

67%

24%

97%

58%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

8%

4%

12%

9%

5%

12%

5%

5%

14%

6%

6%

8%

4%

6%

8%

12%

18%

8%

11%

3%

5%

17%

7%

7%

3%

3%

42%

3%

4%

5%

25%

3%

4%

4%

7%

2%

18%

Number of respondents

243

108

132

71

59

63

44

128

69

38

116

125

57

70

53

53

36

50

40

61

56

25

127

91

102

112

29

83

88

24

48

72

55

87

105

73

49

Percent of total electorate

100%

47%

52%

21%

24%

28%

25%

53%

29%

14%

36%

63%

18%

35%

16%

27%

15%

20%

18%

25%

22%

9%

52%

39%

40%

48%

12%

33%

39%

8%

19%

30%

25%

32%

41%

34%

19%

 

(Split A) The Israeli-Palestinian [pah-luh-stin-ian] conflict

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden

37%

37%

38%

30%

46%

39%

34%

24%

59%

41%

47%

31%

34%

17%

63%

47%

47%

62%

26%

19%

38%

46%

45%

25%

81%

7%

18%

85%

1%

31%

31%

73%

2%

40%

71%

5%

24%

Donald Trump

47%

51%

44%

53%

35%

48%

52%

70%

12%

44%

40%

52%

59%

76%

22%

23%

21%

22%

64%

70%

48%

31%

39%

62%

3%

87%

36%

2%

92%

51%

33%

7%

94%

48%

10%

91%

51%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

15%

12%

18%

16%

19%

13%

14%

7%

29%

15%

13%

17%

8%

6%

15%

30%

31%

16%

10%

11%

14%

23%

16%

13%

17%

7%

47%

13%

7%

18%

36%

20%

4%

12%

19%

4%

25%

Number of respondents

243

108

132

71

59

63

44

128

69

38

116

125

57

70

53

53

36

50

40

61

56

25

127

91

102

112

29

83

88

24

48

72

55

87

105

73

49

Percent of total electorate

100%

47%

52%

21%

24%

28%

25%

53%

29%

14%

36%

63%

18%

35%

16%

27%

15%

20%

18%

25%

22%

9%

52%

39%

40%

48%

12%

33%

39%

8%

19%

30%

25%

32%

41%

34%

19%

 

(Split A) Abortion

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden

47%

49%

45%

46%

59%

42%

42%

33%

72%

43%

58%

41%

43%

27%

71%

58%

55%

69%

24%

38%

49%

51%

57%

32%

92%

17%

18%

92%

7%

59%

45%

85%

4%

59%

82%

11%

31%

Donald Trump

41%

44%

38%

37%

34%

44%

47%

62%

8%

34%

33%

46%

51%

69%

18%

16%

20%

19%

62%

55%

42%

29%

30%

57%

2%

75%

29%

1%

87%

20%

25%

6%

91%

30%

6%

86%

39%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

12%

7%

16%

17%

7%

14%

10%

5%

20%

23%

9%

14%

6%

4%

10%

26%

25%

12%

13%

6%

9%

20%

12%

10%

6%

7%

53%

7%

6%

21%

30%

9%

5%

11%

12%

3%

29%

Number of respondents

243

108

132

71

59

63

44

128

69

38

116

125

57

70

53

53

36

50

40

61

56

25

127

91

102

112

29

83

88

24

48

72

55

87

105

73

49

Percent of total electorate

100%

47%

52%

21%

24%

28%

25%

53%

29%

14%

36%

63%

18%

35%

16%

27%

15%

20%

18%

25%

22%

9%

52%

39%

40%

48%

12%

33%

39%

8%

19%

30%

25%

32%

41%

34%

19%

 

Who do you think is most responsible for the Supreme Court ending the constitutional right to an abortion: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden, a lot of responsibility

7%

7%

7%

4%

10%

5%

11%

7%

8%

8%

3%

9%

4%

9%

3%

11%

4%

8%

7%

6%

10%

9%

6%

8%

5%

10%

3%

5%

11%

8%

2%

7%

10%

6%

7%

8%

6%

Joe Biden, some responsibility

11%

10%

12%

15%

11%

8%

11%

10%

14%

9%

3%

15%

4%

14%

3%

19%

10%

11%

11%

7%

14%

10%

13%

9%

9%

13%

10%

9%

14%

7%

10%

10%

11%

9%

9%

14%

14%

Donald Trump, some responsibility

20%

22%

19%

24%

22%

21%

12%

25%

14%

14%

25%

18%

30%

23%

19%

12%

12%

17%

23%

29%

19%

18%

19%

23%

16%

25%

17%

13%

23%

35%

19%

17%

25%

22%

15%

26%

15%

Donald Trump, a lot of responsibility

30%

29%

31%

21%

23%

39%

34%

25%

41%

27%

38%

26%

28%

23%

51%

29%

40%

35%

27%

29%

23%

24%

34%

26%

56%

13%

16%

62%

13%

21%

15%

51%

16%

26%

57%

13%

13%

[VOL] Neither

11%

14%

9%

8%

10%

13%

14%

13%

7%

12%

14%

10%

15%

12%

13%

7%

16%

14%

8%

10%

10%

18%

12%

9%

3%

17%

14%

2%

18%

13%

15%

2%

16%

15%

5%

21%

8%

[VOL] Both

1%

<1%

2%

6%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

3%

<.5%

2%

<1%

1%

0%

3%

0%

0%

4%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

2%

2%

0%

<1%

<.5%

1%

5%

1%

<1%

3%

1%

2%

1%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

19%

17%

20%

23%

24%

13%

18%

19%

15%

25%

16%

20%

19%

20%

11%

19%

19%

15%

19%

17%

23%

21%

16%

22%

9%

21%

40%

8%

21%

15%

35%

12%

21%

19%

7%

16%

43%

NET Biden

18%

17%

19%

19%

21%

13%

22%

17%

22%

18%

7%

25%

8%

22%

6%

30%

15%

19%

18%

13%

24%

19%

19%

17%

14%

23%

13%

15%

24%

15%

12%

17%

21%

15%

16%

22%

20%

NET Trump

50%

51%

50%

45%

44%

60%

46%

50%

55%

42%

63%

44%

58%

45%

70%

42%

51%

52%

50%

58%

42%

42%

53%

49%

72%

37%

33%

75%

37%

56%

34%

68%

41%

48%

72%

39%

28%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Which comes closest to your view about the political and economic system in America, even if none are exactly right?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

The system does not need changes

1%

<.5%

1%

0%

3%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

<1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

<1%

0%

2%

0%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

The system needs minor changes

23%

29%

17%

21%

11%

30%

29%

25%

19%

25%

31%

19%

41%

16%

20%

23%

22%

32%

15%

22%

23%

23%

25%

20%

30%

20%

9%

34%

19%

14%

17%

29%

16%

24%

30%

22%

11%

The system needs major changes

58%

58%

58%

59%

54%

60%

55%

56%

60%

57%

56%

60%

49%

60%

62%

60%

64%

53%

63%

58%

54%

58%

59%

56%

57%

60%

52%

54%

63%

68%

50%

58%

64%

54%

56%

60%

60%

The system needs to be torn down entirely

16%

12%

19%

19%

30%

9%

8%

16%

16%

14%

12%

18%

9%

20%

16%

16%

11%

12%

17%

19%

18%

19%

12%

20%

10%

17%

29%

9%

15%

18%

27%

9%

16%

20%

13%

14%

22%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

<1%

4%

2%

2%

<.5%

7%

2%

4%

2%

<1%

2%

1%

2%

<.5%

1%

2%

2%

4%

<1%

3%

0%

2%

4%

<1%

2%

10%

<1%

2%

0%

6%

3%

2%

<.5%

<1%

2%

6%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

If Donald Trump won the election, do you think nothing would change, there would be minor changes to how things work, there would be major changes to how things work, or he would tear down the system completely?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Nothing would change

4%

4%

4%

2%

11%

2%

2%

4%

6%

0%

6%

3%

8%

2%

2%

5%

11%

2%

3%

3%

3%

10%

3%

4%

6%

2%

8%

5%

1%

12%

6%

4%

2%

6%

5%

3%

4%

Minor changes to how things work

22%

28%

17%

31%

25%

20%

11%

23%

14%

31%

32%

17%

36%

16%

27%

16%

23%

28%

16%

23%

22%

18%

25%

20%

17%

27%

20%

12%

25%

41%

27%

18%

20%

31%

16%

25%

26%

Major changes to how things work

46%

47%

44%

50%

41%

46%

52%

58%

26%

45%

37%

52%

41%

68%

32%

33%

37%

37%

57%

55%

43%

38%

43%

52%

26%

65%

34%

27%

68%

38%

36%

23%

72%

43%

27%

69%

43%

He would tear down the system entirely

23%

18%

28%

12%

21%

27%

28%

12%

46%

20%

23%

24%

13%

11%

37%

40%

23%

26%

21%

16%

29%

27%

25%

20%

47%

4%

22%

53%

3%

10%

19%

52%

5%

14%

48%

<1%

14%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

2%

6%

4%

2%

4%

7%

2%

8%

5%

3%

4%

2%

3%

3%

6%

6%

7%

4%

3%

3%

7%

4%

4%

3%

2%

16%

3%

2%

0%

11%

4%

2%

5%

3%

2%

12%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

If Joe Biden won the election, do you think nothing would change, there would be minor changes to how things work, there would be major changes to how things work, or he would tear down the system completely?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Nothing would change

33%

37%

31%

38%

43%

32%

22%

42%

19%

31%

30%

36%

36%

44%

21%

24%

20%

29%

39%

40%

36%

28%

29%

40%

17%

46%

34%

13%

46%

58%

32%

15%

41%

40%

20%

45%

40%

Minor changes to how things work

35%

33%

36%

42%

32%

40%

23%

30%

42%

39%

46%

29%

42%

24%

52%

37%

44%

48%

23%

27%

33%

36%

43%

24%

62%

14%

33%

62%

11%

33%

38%

58%

14%

37%

59%

12%

26%

Major changes to how things work

14%

13%

14%

11%

8%

13%

22%

10%

23%

8%

13%

14%

10%

11%

17%

20%

20%

6%

8%

17%

15%

15%

13%

14%

18%

12%

6%

21%

12%

8%

6%

19%

14%

9%

17%

12%

10%

He would tear down the system entirely

13%

14%

12%

6%

13%

11%

23%

16%

6%

15%

8%

16%

9%

20%

8%

10%

8%

11%

19%

15%

13%

15%

11%

15%

0%

26%

5%

0%

27%

2%

11%

2%

28%

12%

2%

28%

8%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

5%

3%

7%

2%

4%

4%

11%

2%

10%

7%

4%

5%

3%

1%

3%

9%

8%

5%

11%

<1%

3%

6%

4%

7%

3%

2%

21%

4%

3%

0%

13%

5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

15%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

(If Trump major/minor change or tear down the system) Do you think the changes that Donald Trump would make would be good for the country or bad for the country, or neither good nor bad?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very good for the country

31%

31%

32%

22%

28%

34%

40%

47%

3%

26%

24%

36%

35%

53%

9%

11%

16%

18%

49%

38%

32%

24%

24%

43%

1%

59%

13%

2%

70%

3%

13%

4%

67%

23%

1%

69%

24%

Somewhat good for the country

14%

17%

12%

23%

11%

12%

13%

14%

13%

18%

13%

15%

16%

13%

9%

19%

10%

14%

12%

18%

15%

8%

17%

12%

3%

25%

7%

3%

21%

26%

14%

6%

19%

20%

8%

20%

18%

Somewhat bad for the country

8%

8%

8%

16%

6%

8%

5%

4%

15%

11%

9%

8%

6%

3%

12%

16%

12%

10%

8%

4%

8%

4%

9%

8%

15%

2%

15%

14%

2%

11%

12%

15%

2%

8%

14%

2%

10%

Very bad for the country

24%

21%

26%

11%

20%

29%

28%

17%

40%

19%

31%

20%

21%

14%

47%

27%

30%

30%

10%

23%

25%

38%

29%

14%

58%

0%

9%

64%

0%

11%

11%

55%

2%

18%

56%

0%

7%

Neither good nor bad

13%

14%

10%

22%

21%

8%

2%

12%

12%

18%

15%

12%

11%

12%

19%

11%

11%

14%

11%

11%

15%

9%

13%

13%

12%

10%

27%

8%

3%

35%

30%

10%

6%

20%

10%

5%

23%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

<.5%

3%

3%

0%

2%

0%

<.5%

0%

5%

2%

4%

3%

0%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

<1%

4%

2%

<1%

2%

3%

2%

<1%

1%

2%

0%

3%

[PREVIOUSLY] Nothing would change

4%

4%

4%

2%

11%

2%

2%

4%

6%

0%

6%

3%

8%

2%

2%

5%

11%

2%

3%

3%

3%

10%

3%

4%

6%

2%

8%

5%

1%

12%

6%

4%

2%

6%

5%

3%

4%

[PREVIOUSLY] Don’t know/Refused

4%

2%

6%

4%

2%

4%

7%

2%

8%

5%

3%

4%

2%

3%

3%

6%

6%

7%

4%

3%

3%

7%

4%

4%

3%

2%

16%

3%

2%

0%

11%

4%

2%

5%

3%

2%

12%

NET Good

45%

48%

44%

45%

39%

46%

53%

61%

16%

44%

36%

51%

51%

66%

18%

30%

26%

33%

61%

56%

47%

32%

41%

55%

5%

84%

21%

4%

91%

30%

27%

10%

86%

43%

9%

88%

41%

NET Bad

32%

30%

34%

27%

26%

37%

34%

21%

56%

30%

40%

28%

27%

16%

58%

43%

43%

40%

19%

27%

32%

41%

38%

22%

73%

2%

25%

78%

2%

22%

23%

70%

4%

25%

70%

2%

17%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

(If Biden major/minor change or tear down the system) Do you think the changes that Joe Biden would make would be good for the country or bad for the country, or neither good nor bad?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very good for the country

10%

8%

11%

2%

6%

15%

12%

5%

19%

9%

12%

9%

8%

3%

17%

16%

12%

9%

5%

6%

14%

13%

10%

8%

24%

0%

0%

29%

0%

2%

0%

28%

0%

3%

24%

0%

<1%

Somewhat good for the country

13%

11%

15%

9%

11%

15%

17%

7%

27%

8%

19%

10%

13%

4%

28%

17%

20%

17%

9%

10%

12%

17%

15%

9%

29%

2%

4%

33%

2%

2%

8%

28%

1%

13%

30%

<1%

4%

Somewhat bad for the country

4%

4%

4%

10%

6%

2%

0%

4%

3%

8%

4%

4%

5%

3%

4%

5%

<1%

11%

1%

5%

3%

1%

5%

4%

1%

6%

6%

<1%

4%

8%

9%

2%

4%

6%

3%

3%

8%

Very bad for the country

18%

21%

16%

7%

13%

20%

30%

27%

4%

14%

16%

20%

22%

30%

7%

7%

19%

10%

23%

26%

14%

18%

18%

19%

<.5%

35%

9%

<.5%

38%

10%

11%

2%

42%

14%

2%

41%

8%

Neither good nor bad

16%

15%

15%

32%

15%

11%

8%

14%

18%

23%

15%

16%

13%

14%

19%

20%

19%

17%

11%

12%

19%

17%

17%

13%

23%

8%

25%

19%

6%

19%

28%

19%

9%

20%

18%

8%

22%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

1%

<1%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

1%

[PREVIOUSLY] Nothing would change

33%

37%

31%

38%

43%

32%

22%

42%

19%

31%

30%

36%

36%

44%

21%

24%

20%

29%

39%

40%

36%

28%

29%

40%

17%

46%

34%

13%

46%

58%

32%

15%

41%

40%

20%

45%

40%

[PREVIOUSLY] Don’t know/Refused

5%

3%

7%

2%

4%

4%

11%

2%

10%

7%

4%

5%

3%

1%

3%

9%

8%

5%

11%

<1%

3%

6%

4%

7%

3%

2%

21%

4%

3%

0%

13%

5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

15%

NET Good

23%

19%

26%

11%

17%

30%

29%

12%

46%

18%

31%

19%

20%

8%

45%

33%

32%

26%

14%

16%

25%

30%

25%

17%

54%

2%

4%

62%

2%

4%

8%

56%

1%

16%

55%

<1%

5%

NET Bad

22%

25%

20%

17%

19%

22%

30%

31%

7%

22%

20%

24%

27%

33%

11%

12%

20%

20%

24%

31%

17%

19%

23%

22%

2%

40%

16%

1%

42%

18%

20%

4%

46%

20%

5%

44%

17%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Which comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Trained experts are generally too biased to be reliable

37%

44%

29%

39%

41%

32%

39%

38%

31%

41%

28%

42%

30%

43%

27%

40%

27%

28%

36%

48%

40%

33%

35%

40%

24%

47%

39%

24%

47%

35%

38%

25%

52%

35%

26%

51%

35%

Trained experts are generally reliable sources of information

50%

47%

53%

55%

47%

57%

36%

47%

54%

48%

60%

44%

58%

41%

63%

48%

51%

60%

42%

44%

51%

49%

52%

47%

68%

38%

37%

68%

35%

56%

45%

66%

32%

56%

67%

32%

42%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

14%

9%

18%

6%

12%

12%

25%

14%

15%

10%

11%

14%

12%

16%

10%

12%

22%

12%

22%

8%

9%

18%

13%

13%

9%

15%

24%

8%

17%

9%

17%

9%

17%

9%

7%

17%

23%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

I’m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you’d prefer as president:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

A candidate who promises to bring politics in Washington back to normal

47%

51%

44%

24%

32%

59%

66%

49%

46%

39%

51%

45%

54%

46%

47%

44%

45%

46%

43%

52%

46%

41%

49%

45%

60%

43%

21%

64%

44%

36%

28%

60%

48%

43%

60%

50%

17%

A candidate who promises to fundamentally change America

44%

43%

45%

72%

62%

32%

19%

43%

46%

51%

40%

47%

38%

46%

45%

51%

45%

44%

49%

40%

44%

49%

43%

44%

35%

48%

58%

31%

46%

61%

58%

34%

42%

51%

34%

38%

72%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

9%

7%

11%

4%

6%

9%

15%

8%

8%

9%

8%

8%

7%

8%

8%

6%

10%

10%

7%

8%

10%

9%

8%

11%

5%

9%

21%

5%

10%

4%

15%

7%

10%

6%

6%

13%

11%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

(Split B) How much attention would you say you are paying to news about the legal cases against Donald Trump?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

A lot of attention

26%

30%

23%

5%

24%

29%

44%

28%

22%

27%

30%

25%

33%

25%

24%

24%

30%

23%

25%

25%

26%

29%

27%

24%

29%

25%

19%

33%

28%

16%

14%

25%

28%

30%

29%

37%

6%

Some attention

37%

32%

42%

42%

31%

44%

29%

34%

40%

45%

35%

39%

33%

35%

41%

44%

32%

41%

34%

48%

33%

18%

43%

35%

41%

37%

24%

42%

36%

19%

38%

39%

41%

33%

44%

36%

32%

Only a little attention

18%

23%

13%

27%

19%

15%

11%

18%

20%

11%

21%

17%

25%

14%

12%

21%

20%

21%

17%

15%

17%

45%

14%

15%

19%

18%

13%

19%

13%

43%

14%

21%

9%

22%

16%

14%

27%

No attention at all

17%

15%

18%

24%

26%

11%

9%

19%

13%

15%

14%

20%

8%

25%

22%

9%

17%

13%

23%

12%

19%

8%

15%

22%

10%

19%

33%

6%

22%

22%

24%

10%

21%

15%

10%

13%

28%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

<.5%

4%

1%

0%

<1%

8%

<.5%

5%

2%

<1%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

5%

0%

<1%

4%

0%

1%

12%

0%

<1%

0%

9%

5%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

7%

Number of respondents

227

105

119

59

59

71

30

133

58

31

111

115

66

67

42

46

50

38

44

42

53

26

115

86

88

112

27

68

92

24

43

65

66

70

84

80

56

Percent of total electorate

100%

51%

48%

18%

25%

36%

18%

58%

28%

12%

35%

63%

21%

37%

13%

25%

20%

15%

17%

18%

30%

12%

49%

40%

39%

49%

12%

32%

41%

8%

19%

29%

31%

30%

37%

37%

22%

 

(Split B) Thinking about the trial of Donald Trump in New York related to hush money payments made to the porn star Stormy Daniels, do you think that it is likely or unlikely that he will be convicted?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very likely

10%

7%

13%

6%

15%

11%

6%

9%

13%

2%

12%

9%

11%

9%

12%

9%

8%

9%

11%

14%

8%

2%

14%

7%

17%

5%

9%

17%

6%

7%

9%

15%

4%

11%

12%

8%

10%

Somewhat likely

17%

15%

18%

18%

17%

12%

22%

17%

18%

9%

23%

13%

28%

12%

15%

16%

22%

27%

11%

8%

16%

32%

17%

12%

21%

15%

8%

23%

12%

12%

17%

20%

14%

18%

23%

14%

10%

Somewhat unlikely

30%

23%

37%

40%

23%

38%

15%

26%

34%

44%

34%

28%

32%

22%

41%

37%

21%

25%

31%

39%

32%

16%

31%

34%

37%

30%

10%

37%

26%

48%

21%

34%

23%

33%

36%

25%

33%

Very unlikely

31%

42%

19%

28%

38%

25%

34%

33%

23%

38%

20%

37%

18%

41%

25%

30%

33%

26%

37%

17%

37%

46%

26%

32%

18%

38%

43%

17%

43%

18%

34%

24%

43%

22%

22%

36%

28%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

13%

12%

14%

9%

7%

15%

24%

15%

12%

7%

10%

13%

11%

16%

6%

8%

16%

12%

11%

22%

7%

4%

13%

15%

7%

13%

30%

7%

14%

17%

19%

6%

15%

15%

6%

17%

19%

Number of respondents

227

105

119

59

59

71

30

133

58

31

111

115

66

67

42

46

50

38

44

42

53

26

115

86

88

112

27

68

92

24

43

65

66

70

84

80

56

Percent of total electorate

100%

51%

48%

18%

25%

36%

18%

58%

28%

12%

35%

63%

21%

37%

13%

25%

20%

15%

17%

18%

30%

12%

49%

40%

39%

49%

12%

32%

41%

8%

19%

29%

31%

30%

37%

37%

22%

 

(Split B) Thinking about Donald Trump’s trial in New York related to hush money payments, do you think he will be able to get a fair and impartial trial?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

42%

39%

45%

50%

49%

40%

23%

28%

73%

42%

40%

44%

34%

25%

52%

73%

54%

35%

38%

41%

39%

60%

40%

38%

74%

20%

26%

77%

17%

56%

30%

74%

16%

43%

77%

6%

45%

No

52%

57%

45%

42%

47%

54%

66%

66%

22%

48%

53%

52%

59%

70%

42%

25%

41%

56%

60%

48%

54%

37%

55%

52%

23%

74%

51%

20%

78%

39%

53%

20%

81%

48%

21%

91%

33%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

7%

4%

10%

8%

4%

6%

11%

6%

5%

11%

7%

5%

7%

5%

6%

2%

5%

8%

2%

11%

7%

3%

5%

10%

2%

6%

23%

3%

5%

5%

17%

6%

3%

9%

2%

3%

22%

Number of respondents

227

105

119

59

59

71

30

133

58

31

111

115

66

67

42

46

50

38

44

42

53

26

115

86

88

112

27

68

92

24

43

65

66

70

84

80

56

Percent of total electorate

100%

51%

48%

18%

25%

36%

18%

58%

28%

12%

35%

63%

21%

37%

13%

25%

20%

15%

17%

18%

30%

12%

49%

40%

39%

49%

12%

32%

41%

8%

19%

29%

31%

30%

37%

37%

22%

 

In the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians], which side do you sympathize with more: Israel or the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians]?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Israel

44%

49%

40%

27%

39%

53%

54%

57%

26%

32%

40%

48%

53%

60%

22%

32%

28%

36%

60%

48%

47%

31%

40%

53%

25%

66%

22%

26%

70%

40%

23%

27%

74%

41%

23%

82%

24%

Palestinians

19%

15%

23%

36%

24%

11%

11%

12%

28%

35%

24%

17%

17%

9%

34%

28%

35%

25%

10%

21%

10%

16%

26%

11%

34%

6%

26%

32%

5%

25%

26%

33%

3%

20%

35%

4%

17%

[VOL] Both equally (Includes neither)

18%

23%

12%

14%

17%

18%

21%

17%

19%

18%

22%

15%

21%

13%

23%

17%

15%

22%

11%

18%

21%

31%

19%

12%

23%

14%

14%

24%

11%

21%

20%

20%

10%

22%

25%

7%

21%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

19%

13%

25%

23%

21%

18%

14%

15%

27%

15%

14%

20%

9%

18%

21%

23%

22%

17%

20%

12%

22%

22%

14%

23%

18%

15%

38%

18%

14%

14%

31%

20%

13%

17%

17%

7%

38%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

What single news source do you turn to most often?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

[VOL] Fox News

9%

10%

8%

5%

10%

8%

13%

14%

<.5%

7%

9%

9%

16%

13%

<1%

4%

3%

5%

17%

10%

10%

9%

5%

14%

<1%

17%

2%

<1%

18%

5%

5%

<1%

23%

7%

0%

20%

5%

[VOL] CNN

8%

5%

11%

3%

10%

10%

8%

4%

18%

4%

9%

7%

2%

5%

18%

11%

13%

4%

9%

5%

10%

2%

8%

10%

12%

5%

7%

13%

5%

7%

6%

16%

4%

4%

15%

4%

2%

[VOL] MSNBC

3%

2%

3%

<1%

0%

5%

3%

1%

4%

6%

3%

2%

<1%

2%

7%

3%

<1%

5%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

7%

0%

0%

8%

0%

0%

0%

9%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

[VOL] Public Radio/NPR/PBS

5%

6%

3%

4%

6%

5%

2%

7%

2%

2%

6%

4%

7%

6%

4%

1%

7%

5%

7%

3%

2%

4%

5%

4%

8%

1%

7%

8%

1%

7%

5%

5%

4%

5%

9%

0%

<1%

[VOL] Talk radio/conservative personality

<1%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

3%

<1%

1%

0%

1%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

2%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

3%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

[VOL] National television networks, like CBS, NBC or ABC

9%

10%

8%

2%

5%

10%

21%

7%

13%

13%

10%

9%

7%

6%

14%

12%

4%

13%

10%

9%

9%

10%

9%

9%

11%

9%

5%

13%

9%

5%

5%

12%

9%

8%

12%

9%

6%

[VOL] Local broadcast news (includes non-talk, non-public local radio)

8%

9%

6%

8%

4%

10%

9%

6%

12%

6%

5%

9%

3%

8%

8%

11%

7%

6%

8%

5%

12%

10%

7%

8%

9%

8%

5%

9%

7%

5%

10%

10%

8%

3%

8%

7%

9%

[VOL] National print or online news organizations, like The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal

6%

8%

4%

3%

10%

6%

4%

8%

4%

0%

8%

5%

14%

5%

0%

5%

12%

5%

6%

5%

3%

9%

7%

4%

9%

5%

3%

9%

5%

10%

2%

6%

4%

10%

8%

3%

6%

[VOL] Local print or online news organizations

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

[VOL] Social media

21%

18%

24%

47%

29%

12%

5%

22%

17%

30%

15%

25%

20%

23%

11%

28%

20%

21%

18%

24%

21%

24%

23%

18%

19%

23%

20%

15%

21%

37%

26%

14%

15%

31%

18%

15%

37%

[VOL] Friends and family

<1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

4%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

4%

0%

0%

2%

0%

2%

0%

[VOL] International news sources (such as the BBC, Al Jazeera and The Guardian)

1%

1%

2%

3%

2%

<.5%

<1%

1%

<.5%

4%

3%

<1%

3%

<.5%

2%

1%

0%

1%

<1%

3%

2%

5%

<1%

<1%

3%

<.5%

2%

2%

<.5%

2%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

<.5%

1%

[VOL] Aggregation sites (such as Bing, Google, Yahoo News or Apple News)

3%

4%

3%

4%

2%

5%

2%

3%

4%

2%

5%

2%

4%

3%

6%

2%

8%

4%

2%

3%

1%

1%

5%

2%

5%

2%

3%

5%

2%

1%

4%

4%

2%

5%

4%

2%

5%

[VOL] Conservative news sites

<1%

<.5%

1%

<1%

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

0%

2%

<1%

2%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

3%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

1%

2%

<.5%

0%

3%

<.5%

0%

2%

<.5%

[VOL] Newsmax

3%

1%

4%

<1%

1%

5%

3%

3%

3%

0%

2%

3%

3%

3%

<1%

3%

<1%

3%

<1%

5%

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

4%

0%

2%

4%

2%

<1%

2%

5%

1%

2%

5%

<1%

[VOL] Liberal news sites (Such as Mother Jones and Occupy Democrats)

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

[VOL] Doesn’t consume news

3%

3%

3%

4%

<1%

2%

6%

3%

2%

3%

2%

4%

1%

4%

3%

2%

1%

<1%

4%

4%

5%

<1%

3%

4%

1%

4%

5%

2%

4%

0%

4%

2%

4%

2%

1%

4%

4%

[VOL] Other (includes no preference and the internet)

11%

11%

11%

4%

10%

13%

14%

11%

11%

11%

11%

10%

8%

13%

14%

7%

7%

16%

6%

12%

12%

6%

10%

14%

9%

11%

17%

9%

13%

2%

14%

12%

12%

10%

8%

16%

8%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

8%

8%

8%

12%

4%

8%

5%

6%

7%

13%

8%

8%

7%

5%

7%

11%

12%

6%

8%

7%

6%

10%

8%

6%

3%

8%

20%

3%

9%

14%

11%

5%

6%

9%

5%

9%

12%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

How often, if ever, do you use social media, such as Facebook, Instagram, TikTok or others?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Often

53%

47%

58%

69%

72%

47%

22%

52%

56%

51%

59%

50%

59%

48%

59%

53%

59%

56%

48%

52%

50%

62%

53%

50%

55%

51%

56%

51%

47%

74%

57%

49%

45%

57%

55%

46%

63%

Sometimes

18%

16%

20%

17%

14%

19%

23%

19%

14%

21%

16%

19%

14%

21%

19%

14%

12%

22%

13%

19%

22%

9%

20%

18%

18%

16%

26%

18%

18%

7%

22%

16%

19%

22%

17%

18%

19%

Rarely

11%

14%

8%

9%

7%

13%

12%

10%

13%

7%

14%

9%

16%

8%

12%

11%

13%

12%

12%

7%

10%

15%

13%

7%

11%

12%

5%

12%

11%

12%

6%

12%

10%

11%

12%

12%

8%

Never

18%

23%

14%

5%

7%

20%

43%

19%

18%

20%

11%

22%

11%

23%

10%

22%

16%

9%

26%

22%

18%

14%

14%

26%

17%

21%

13%

19%

23%

6%

14%

23%

26%

11%

16%

25%

10%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

(If social media user) How often, if ever, do you use TikTok?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Often

24%

20%

27%

45%

36%

15%

6%

23%

24%

28%

18%

27%

16%

26%

22%

28%

28%

20%

22%

25%

23%

15%

25%

24%

25%

22%

26%

21%

22%

34%

27%

27%

19%

23%

23%

18%

34%

Sometimes

9%

5%

12%

18%

6%

8%

6%

8%

13%

6%

8%

9%

9%

7%

8%

13%

5%

11%

15%

7%

7%

12%

8%

9%

10%

9%

4%

8%

11%

9%

6%

10%

9%

7%

10%

7%

12%

Rarely

13%

13%

13%

15%

16%

13%

5%

10%

14%

18%

15%

12%

7%

11%

22%

12%

16%

13%

7%

9%

17%

16%

12%

13%

14%

10%

19%

15%

9%

17%

15%

12%

10%

12%

15%

8%

17%

Never

36%

39%

34%

18%

35%

44%

40%

41%

31%

27%

48%

30%

57%

33%

38%

24%

35%

46%

29%

37%

34%

42%

41%

29%

35%

37%

39%

37%

36%

33%

38%

29%

34%

47%

35%

43%

28%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[PREVIOUSLY] Never use social media

18%

23%

14%

5%

7%

20%

43%

19%

18%

20%

11%

22%

11%

23%

10%

22%

16%

9%

26%

22%

18%

14%

14%

26%

17%

21%

13%

19%

23%

6%

14%

23%

26%

11%

16%

25%

10%

[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

How many hours per day do you spend playing video games?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

None at all

64%

60%

67%

43%

59%

75%

74%

63%

64%

64%

66%

62%

62%

65%

72%

59%

56%

62%

71%

69%

60%

53%

63%

67%

65%

62%

65%

70%

68%

35%

57%

74%

73%

48%

66%

71%

48%

More than none but less than 1 hour

13%

13%

14%

23%

12%

9%

11%

15%

10%

14%

13%

13%

15%

15%

11%

12%

17%

14%

11%

14%

12%

23%

14%

9%

11%

14%

21%

8%

11%

34%

17%

7%

13%

17%

10%

12%

20%

More than 1 hour but less than 2

12%

14%

10%

12%

21%

7%

7%

11%

15%

8%

11%

13%

13%

9%

8%

16%

16%

13%

7%

9%

14%

6%

13%

12%

13%

12%

8%

12%

9%

20%

13%

9%

7%

20%

12%

9%

16%

More than 2 hours but less than 3

5%

7%

2%

8%

5%

3%

3%

4%

6%

5%

5%

4%

5%

3%

6%

6%

9%

3%

2%

2%

7%

15%

4%

3%

7%

4%

<1%

6%

4%

2%

5%

4%

2%

7%

6%

4%

5%

More than 3 hours but less than 4

2%

3%

1%

6%

<1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

5%

<1%

3%

<1%

2%

<.5%

4%

<1%

4%

4%

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

<1%

4%

0%

<1%

4%

3%

<.5%

2%

1%

3%

1%

<1%

7%

More than 4 hours but less than 5

2%

<1%

3%

6%

<1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

<1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

1%

0%

3%

2%

4%

2%

0%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

4%

3%

<1%

3%

3%

2%

3%

1%

5 hours or more

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

0%

2%

2%

0%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

<1%

0%

2%

2%

3%

1%

<.5%

3%

<1%

2%

4%

<1%

2%

2%

4%

2%

<1%

1%

<1%

1%

4%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<1%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

1%

<.5%

0%

3%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

1%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Have you yourself ever invested in, traded or used a cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin or Ether [ee-ther]?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

22%

34%

10%

26%

28%

25%

5%

21%

22%

24%

29%

18%

29%

16%

28%

20%

33%

23%

14%

24%

16%

26%

23%

19%

19%

22%

28%

20%

18%

35%

26%

14%

16%

33%

20%

21%

28%

No

77%

64%

90%

73%

70%

73%

93%

77%

78%

72%

71%

80%

70%

81%

72%

78%

67%

75%

82%

75%

83%

74%

76%

79%

81%

75%

71%

80%

80%

60%

73%

86%

81%

66%

79%

77%

72%

[VOL] Have not heard of this

<.5%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

2%

<1%

0%

1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

4%

0%

2%

0%

2%

0%

2%

0%

2%

4%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

0%

2%

3%

2%

0%

3%

<1%

<.5%

2%

0%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Have you gotten any doses of a Covid-19 vaccine, including boosters?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes, multiple times

54%

55%

53%

39%

45%

64%

60%

52%

61%

48%

63%

50%

61%

48%

66%

54%

71%

55%

45%

50%

51%

66%

58%

46%

79%

37%

43%

81%

40%

48%

41%

75%

38%

50%

77%

42%

35%

Yes, just once

18%

22%

14%

26%

20%

13%

16%

18%

18%

17%

16%

19%

16%

18%

16%

20%

15%

24%

17%

14%

18%

9%

21%

16%

14%

22%

12%

12%

22%

26%

16%

14%

20%

22%

14%

21%

20%

No

26%

22%

31%

33%

35%

23%

18%

29%

19%

33%

20%

29%

23%

32%

15%

26%

13%

18%

35%

34%

28%

21%

19%

37%

6%

38%

42%

6%

36%

24%

41%

10%

39%

26%

8%

34%

43%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

1%

2%

1%

<1%

<.5%

6%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

0%

2%

3%

<1%

<1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

1%

<1%

3%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Are you, or is any member of your household, a member of a labor union?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes, you are a member

5%

7%

3%

6%

5%

7%

<1%

6%

4%

0%

2%

6%

1%

9%

4%

2%

<1%

1%

2%

5%

11%

3%

4%

5%

4%

5%

5%

5%

4%

9%

3%

4%

8%

2%

4%

4%

4%

Yes, another member of your household is a member

3%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

2%

5%

2%

1%

5%

2%

6%

4%

4%

<1%

5%

4%

3%

<1%

4%

7%

2%

4%

4%

4%

<1%

3%

4%

0%

4%

3%

3%

5%

3%

5%

<.5%

Yes, you and another member of your household are members

<.5%

<1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

2%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

No

89%

88%

91%

86%

91%

88%

94%

87%

93%

91%

91%

88%

92%

84%

89%

94%

92%

92%

93%

92%

81%

85%

91%

89%

90%

89%

90%

90%

90%

88%

88%

93%

87%

89%

91%

88%

91%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

2%

1%

2%

4%

<.5%

2%

3%

2%

<.5%

6%

1%

3%

0%

4%

3%

2%

1%

3%

<1%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

2%

2%

5%

<1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

5%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

And just a few more questions for demographic purposes...

Do you consider yourself politically liberal, moderate or conservative?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very liberal

10%

7%

12%

11%

15%

9%

2%

9%

10%

14%

12%

9%

12%

7%

12%

11%

18%

14%

4%

4%

9%

6%

15%

4%

22%

<1%

6%

23%

<1%

4%

7%

19%

1%

7%

20%

3%

5%

Somewhat liberal

10%

6%

13%

9%

12%

10%

7%

6%

11%

18%

9%

10%

5%

7%

14%

13%

10%

10%

10%

10%

9%

16%

8%

10%

14%

4%

19%

14%

4%

9%

15%

17%

3%

9%

15%

1%

12%

Moderate

35%

40%

30%

38%

40%

39%

23%

32%

43%

33%

43%

31%

39%

27%

50%

36%

40%

37%

18%

41%

38%

30%

37%

34%

42%

30%

34%

39%

24%

59%

41%

35%

13%

60%

43%

28%

31%

Somewhat conservative

21%

23%

19%

16%

23%

18%

26%

24%

18%

16%

17%

23%

21%

26%

13%

20%

17%

21%

33%

21%

14%

15%

21%

22%

11%

32%

7%

11%

32%

23%

13%

15%

34%

14%

12%

29%

22%

Very conservative

16%

17%

15%

10%

9%

16%

31%

23%

6%

11%

14%

17%

22%

24%

5%

9%

11%

8%

22%

19%

19%

17%

15%

18%

5%

27%

7%

6%

32%

2%

8%

5%

45%

5%

4%

36%

5%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

9%

7%

10%

16%

1%

8%

11%

6%

13%

8%

4%

10%

1%

8%

6%

11%

4%

10%

13%

5%

11%

17%

4%

12%

6%

7%

27%

7%

8%

4%

16%

10%

4%

5%

6%

3%

24%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Under $25,000

8%

3%

13%

8%

9%

7%

10%

6%

12%

9%

3%

11%

1%

9%

5%

15%

7%

5%

9%

6%

12%

12%

7%

8%

11%

5%

11%

12%

5%

8%

7%

13%

5%

8%

9%

5%

12%

At least $25,000 but under $50,000

15%

12%

18%

22%

11%

10%

18%

11%

21%

15%

8%

19%

5%

15%

11%

24%

15%

14%

20%

10%

15%

14%

13%

17%

14%

16%

14%

14%

16%

10%

16%

16%

13%

13%

16%

10%

21%

At least $50,000 but under $100,000

31%

37%

26%

35%

35%

26%

33%

31%

26%

43%

24%

36%

22%

36%

27%

35%

20%

30%

38%

39%

29%

25%

30%

34%

27%

34%

35%

27%

33%

26%

37%

34%

33%

28%

27%

32%

35%

At least $100,000 but under $200,000

25%

28%

22%

18%

27%

35%

12%

28%

21%

21%

38%

18%

39%

22%

35%

13%

29%

27%

21%

25%

24%

32%

26%

22%

28%

24%

19%

26%

25%

43%

15%

23%

25%

27%

29%

30%

12%

$200,000 or more

11%

15%

7%

6%

11%

16%

7%

14%

7%

5%

19%

6%

24%

9%

12%

3%

19%

14%

3%

12%

8%

7%

14%

8%

11%

11%

9%

11%

11%

8%

12%

4%

12%

18%

10%

13%

7%

[VOL] Refused

10%

5%

15%

10%

7%

6%

20%

9%

12%

8%

9%

10%

8%

9%

9%

9%

10%

10%

10%

9%

13%

9%

10%

11%

9%

11%

12%

10%

11%

5%

13%

11%

12%

6%

10%

10%

13%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Catholic

10%

11%

8%

16%

12%

9%

2%

9%

3%

27%

10%

9%

14%

7%

7%

12%

20%

11%

4%

11%

5%

10%

13%

6%

10%

9%

10%

10%

10%

9%

9%

8%

8%

11%

10%

8%

13%

Protestant (Christian)

34%

34%

35%

29%

26%

35%

51%

33%

42%

26%

40%

32%

42%

28%

41%

36%

39%

29%

37%

43%

26%

37%

34%

34%

29%

39%

31%

29%

42%

33%

29%

30%

45%

34%

30%

45%

26%

Mormon (LDS)

<1%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

Jewish

<1%

1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

<.5%

2%

<1%

<.5%

2%

1%

<.5%

0%

2%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

1%

Muslim

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

[VOL] Christian (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)

25%

22%

29%

19%

26%

29%

26%

24%

32%

18%

17%

29%

16%

28%

20%

30%

7%

20%

40%

17%

38%

22%

17%

37%

22%

29%

23%

24%

29%

19%

23%

27%

30%

20%

22%

29%

29%

[VOL] Greek/Russian Orthodox

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Some other religion (specify)

2%

3%

2%

4%

4%

2%

0%

3%

0%

5%

2%

2%

1%

3%

3%

<1%

1%

6%

0%

2%

3%

0%

3%

2%

3%

3%

0%

2%

1%

3%

5%

1%

1%

5%

3%

3%

1%

No religious affiliation

24%

24%

23%

26%

30%

21%

14%

25%

19%

22%

25%

23%

22%

27%

24%

19%

30%

24%

20%

24%

22%

27%

28%

17%

33%

15%

28%

31%

13%

35%

28%

29%

8%

27%

30%

10%

27%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

4%

2%

7%

<.5%

2%

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

2%

4%

2%

2%

1%

7%

0%

<1%

5%

4%

4%

2%

2%

3%

5%

2%

4%

0%

5%

2%

6%

2%

3%

3%

2%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

(If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

40%

40%

41%

25%

31%

47%

56%

41%

43%

32%

41%

39%

40%

42%

44%

35%

22%

29%

66%

40%

42%

39%

31%

51%

31%

49%

31%

35%

52%

36%

25%

35%

62%

29%

33%

56%

28%

No

21%

21%

21%

24%

28%

20%

15%

18%

30%

15%

21%

21%

22%

15%

20%

29%

28%

25%

10%

22%

21%

22%

23%

19%

21%

20%

24%

19%

18%

22%

30%

21%

13%

31%

22%

19%

27%

[PREVIOUSLY] Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, no religious affiliation or refused

35%

38%

33%

47%

40%

31%

21%

37%

23%

49%

37%

34%

37%

37%

33%

31%

49%

42%

21%

35%

31%

39%

43%

24%

44%

27%

39%

42%

26%

39%

40%

40%

21%

38%

43%

21%

37%

[VOL] Refused

4%

2%

5%

3%

<1%

3%

8%

3%

4%

4%

2%

5%

<1%

5%

3%

5%

1%

4%

4%

3%

6%

0%

3%

6%

4%

3%

5%

4%

3%

2%

4%

4%

4%

2%

2%

4%

7%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

(If independent, another party or not sure) And as of today, do you lean more to:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

The Democratic Party

30%

26%

35%

34%

30%

32%

19%

23%

50%

31%

42%

21%

34%

13%

60%

32%

40%

37%

30%

26%

20%

30%

37%

20%

80%

5%

15%

87%

6%

29%

20%

-

-

35%

69%

1%

18%

The Republican Party

39%

46%

32%

31%

41%

36%

63%

53%

27%

22%

31%

46%

42%

62%

13%

30%

21%

38%

49%

48%

42%

31%

35%

49%

6%

74%

13%

4%

76%

36%

28%

-

-

45%

14%

80%

31%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

30%

29%

32%

35%

30%

32%

19%

24%

23%

47%

27%

33%

23%

25%

26%

37%

38%

25%

21%

26%

38%

40%

28%

31%

14%

22%

72%

9%

18%

35%

52%

-

-

20%

17%

18%

52%

Number of respondents

212

109

98

74

70

40

19

122

46

34

105

105

63

58

35

44

42

44

28

50

48

25

113

74

74

93

45

48

64

31

69

157

69

53

73

Percent of total electorate

100%

55%

43%

28%

36%

23%

10%

56%

23%

17%

39%

60%

24%

31%

12%

27%

20%

22%

12%

22%

24%

13%

53%

34%

31%

47%

22%

20%

32%

13%

35%

74%

31%

28%

34%

 

Combined: Party identification and leaners

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

The Democratic Party

43%

36%

49%

43%

40%

43%

43%

23%

81%

45%

49%

38%

29%

19%

77%

64%

54%

53%

30%

36%

42%

51%

51%

30%

91%

7%

28%

95%

7%

38%

30%

100%

0%

35%

87%

3%

31%

The Republican Party

45%

51%

39%

36%

42%

47%

53%

67%

11%

30%

39%

49%

59%

72%

14%

20%

28%

34%

64%

52%

44%

29%

37%

59%

4%

84%

17%

3%

87%

38%

30%

0%

100%

45%

7%

91%

33%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

13%

13%

12%

21%

18%

10%

3%

10%

8%

25%

12%

13%

12%

9%

9%

16%

18%

13%

6%

11%

14%

20%

12%

11%

5%

9%

55%

2%

6%

23%

40%

0%

0%

20%

6%

6%

35%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 

Would you be open to commenting on the issues in this survey and be interested in being contacted by a reporter?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Neighborhood Type

2024 Vote (Head to Head)

2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

DeKalb / Fulton

Inner Atlanta Suburbs

North

Outer Atlanta Suburbs

South

City

Suburb

Rural/ Small Town

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Biden

Trump

Kennedy

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

31%

39%

23%

28%

39%

32%

23%

37%

22%

30%

35%

30%

36%

38%

33%

20%

32%

38%

27%

37%

24%

28%

36%

26%

32%

32%

29%

29%

29%

44%

35%

24%

26%

44%

33%

30%

28%

No

69%

61%

77%

72%

61%

68%

77%

63%

78%

70%

65%

70%

64%

62%

67%

80%

68%

62%

73%

63%

76%

72%

64%

74%

68%

68%

71%

71%

71%

56%

65%

76%

74%

56%

67%

70%

72%

Number of respondents

470

213

251

130

118

134

74

261

127

69

227

240

123

137

95

99

86

88

84

103

109

51

242

177

190

224

56

151

180

48

91

137

121

157

189

153

105

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

20%

24%

32%

21%

56%

29%

13%

36%

63%

19%

36%

15%

26%

18%

18%

18%

22%

26%

10%

50%

39%

39%

49%

12%

33%

40%

8%

19%

30%

28%

31%

39%

35%

21%

 
Party ID is self-identified party, without leaners; independents include only self-identified independents. Party registration is the respondent’s party as listed on the voter file.

Gender is self-reported if the respondent completed the full questionnaire; otherwise, it is based on the interviewer’s determination. If neither is available, it is as reported on the voter file.

Neighborhood type is a New York Times classification based on each voter’s address. Voters within a metropolitan area’s central city are classified as living in a city. Voters living in a metropolitan area but outside the central city are considered suburban if they live in a census-designated urban area. All other voters — those living in nonmetropolitan areas and those living in non-urbanized parts of metropolitan areas outside the central city — are classified as living in small towns or rural areas.

Methodology

How These Polls Were Conducted

Here are the key things to know about this set of polls from The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College:

• We spoke with 4,097 registered voters from April 28 to May 9, 2024.

• Our polls are conducted by telephone, using live interviewers, in both English and Spanish. Nearly 95 percent of respondents were contacted on a cellphone for this poll.

• Voters are selected for the survey from a list of registered voters. The list contains information on the demographic characteristics of every registered voter, allowing us to make sure we reach the right number of voters of each party, race and region. For this set of polls, we placed nearly 500,000 calls to about 410,000 voters.

• To further ensure that the results reflect the entire voting population, not just those willing to take a poll, we give more weight to respondents from demographic groups underrepresented among survey respondents, like people without a college degree. You can see more information about the characteristics of our respondents and the weighted sample at the bottom of the page, under “Composition of the Sample.”

• When the states are joined together, the margin of sampling error among registered voters is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. Each state poll has a margin of error ranging from plus or minus 3.6 points in Pennsylvania to plus or minus 4.6 points in Georgia. In theory, this means that the results should reflect the views of the overall population most of the time, though many other challenges create additional sources of error. When computing the difference between two values — such as a candidate’s lead in a race — the margin of error is twice as large.

If you want to read more about how and why we conduct our polls, you can see answers to frequently asked questions and submit your own questions here.

Methodology

The New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll in Pennsylvania and the Times/Siena polls in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Nevada were conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones from April 28 to May 9, 2024. In all, 4,097 registered voters were interviewed. When all states are joined together, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points for all registered voters and plus or minus 1.9 percentage points for the likely electorate.

The margin of sampling error for each state poll is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points in Pennsylvania, plus or minus 4.2 points in Arizona, plus or minus 4.5 points in Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, and plus or minus 4.6 percentage points in Georgia.

The Pennsylvania poll was funded by a grant from the Lenfest Institute for Journalism. The poll, which was designed and conducted independently from the institute, includes a deep look at voters in the Philadelphia suburbs using a statistical technique called an oversample. The results are weighted so that in the end, the poll properly reflects the attributes of the entire state and is not biased toward those voters.

Sample

The survey is a response-rate-adjusted stratified sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file. The sample was selected by The New York Times in multiple steps to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs, differential telephone coverage, nonresponse and significant variation in the productivity of telephone numbers by state.

The L2 voter file for each state was stratified by statehouse district, party, race, gender, marital status, household size, turnout history, age and homeownership. The proportion of registrants with a telephone number and the mean expected response rate, based on prior Times/Siena polls, were calculated for each stratum. The initial selection weight was equal to the reciprocal of a stratum’s mean telephone coverage and modeled response rate. For respondents with multiple telephone numbers on the L2 file, the number with the highest modeled response rate was selected.

Fielding

The samples for each state were stratified by party, race and region and fielded by the Siena College Research Institute, with additional field work by ReconMR, the Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida, the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, and the Center for Public Opinion and Policy Research at Winthrop University in South Carolina. Interviewers asked for the person named on the voter file and ended the interview if the intended respondent was not available. Overall, 94 percent of respondents were reached on a cellular telephone.

The instrument was translated into Spanish by ReconMR, and Spanish-speaking interviewers were assigned to the modeled Hispanic sample. Bilingual interviewers began the interview in English and were instructed to follow the lead of the respondent in determining whether to conduct the survey in English or Spanish. Monolingual Spanish-speaking respondents who were initially contacted by English-speaking interviewers were recontacted by Spanish-speaking interviewers. Overall, 19 percent of interviews among self-reported Hispanics were conducted in Spanish, including 21 percent in Nevada and 17 percent in Arizona.

An interview was determined to be complete for the purposes of inclusion in the ballot test questions if the respondent did not drop out of the survey by the end of the two self-reported variables used in weighting — age and education — and answered at least one of the age, education, race or presidential election ballot test questions.

Weighting — registered voters

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the five state samples and the samples of the the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of Pennsylvania were weighted separately to match voter-file-based parameters for the characteristics of registered voters by state.

The following targets were used:

• Party (party registration if available, else classification based on a model of vote choice in prior Times/Siena polls) by modeled L2 race (except Wisconsin)

• Age by gender (self-reported age, or voter file age if the respondent refuses)

• Race or ethnicity (L2 model)

• Education (four categories of self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• White/nonwhite by education (L2 model of race by self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• Marital status (L2 model)

• Homeownership (L2 model)

• State regions (NYT classifications by county or city)

• Turnout history (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Vote method in the 2020 elections (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• History of voting in the 2020 presidential primary (Pennsylvania and Wisconsin only, NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Census block group density (Arizona only, based on American Community Survey five-year census block-group data)

• Census tract educational attainment

In Pennsylvania, the samples from the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of the state were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs.

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

The sample of respondents who completed all questions in the survey was weighted identically, as well as to the result for the general election horse race question (including leaners) on the full sample.

Weighting — likely electorate

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the first-stage weight was adjusted to account for the probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election, based on a model of turnout in the 2020 election.

Third, the five state samples and the samples of the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of Pennsylvania were weighted separately to match targets for the composition of the likely electorate. The targets for the composition of the likely electorate were derived by aggregating the individual-level turnout estimates described in the previous step for registrants on the L2 voter file. The categories used in weighting were the same as those previously mentioned for registered voters.

In Pennsylvania, the samples from the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of the state were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs.

Fourth, the initial likely electorate weight was adjusted to incorporate self-reported vote intention. The final probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election was four-fifths based on their ex ante modeled turnout score and one-fifth based on their self-reported intention, based on prior Times/Siena polls, including a penalty to account for the tendency of survey respondents to turn out at higher rates than nonrespondents. The final likely electorate weight was equal to the modeled electorate rake weight, multiplied by the final turnout probability and divided by the ex ante modeled turnout probability.

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

The sample of respondents who completed all questions in the survey was weighted identically, as well as to the result for the general election horse race question (including leaners) on the full sample.

The margin of error accounts for the survey’s design effect, a measure of the loss of statistical power due to survey design and weighting. The design effect for the full sample is 1.33 for registered voters and 1.5 for the likely electorate. The design effect for the sample of completed interviews is 1.38 for registered voters and 1.53 for the likely electorate.

Historically, The Times/Siena Poll’s error at the 95th percentile has been plus or minus 5.1 percentage points in surveys taken over the final three weeks before an election. Real-world error includes sources of error beyond sampling error, such as nonresponse bias, coverage error, late shifts among undecided voters and error in estimating the composition of the electorate.