Trump Up Over Biden by 6 in Arizona, 9 in Georgia, 13 in Nevada; Pennsylvania, Michigan & Wisconsin Remain Toss-ups Among Likely Voters

  • Dems Running for U.S. Senate Lead in AZ, PA, and WI, Tied in NV, Outperform Biden in Arizona by 9, Nevada by 13, Wisconsin by 8 and Pennsylvania by 1
  • Voters in Every Battleground State Say Struggling Economy is Top Issue; Majorities in Every State Prefer Trump to Biden on Economy
  • By 64-27% Voters Want Abortion Always or Mostly Legal Rather than Illegal; Across Battleground Trust Biden Rather than Trump to do a Better Job, 50-40% 

Press Release       NYT Likely Voters Crosstabs      Arizona Crosstabs      Georgia Crosstabs      Michigan Crosstabs      Nevada Crosstabs      Pennsylvania Crosstabs      Wisconsin Crosstabs

Former President Donald Trump now leads President Joe Biden by six points, 49-43% in Arizona, nine points, 50-41% in Georgia and 13 points, 51-38% among likely voters in a two-person race in the latest New York Times/Siena battleground polling.  When third party candidates including Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are added to the horserace, Trump’s lead grows to 9 in Arizona, to 14 in Nevada and drops to 8 in Georgia.”

“The three northern battleground states, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, remain very close as Biden tops Trump by a single point – 3 points with third party candidates in the race – in Michigan while Trump is up by 3 points in Pennsylvania and a single point in Wisconsin.”  

“Democrats running for the Senate outperform their top of ticket as Ruben Gallego leads Kari Lake by 3 in Arizona, Jacky Rosen is even with Sam Brown in Nevada, Bob Casey holds a 2-point advantage over David McCormick in Pennsylvania and Tammy Baldwin tops Eric Hovde by 7 in Wisconsin.  The four Democratic Senate candidates outpace Biden by between one and 13 points.”

“As three-quarters of likely voters in these six battleground states say the economy is no better than only fair or poor, large majorities in each state trust Donald Trump to do a better job on the country’s financial well-being than Joe Biden.”

“While abortion is cited as the third most important campaign issue behind the economy – number one – and immigration, by 64-27% battleground voters prefer abortion be always or mostly legal rather than always or mostly illegal.  At least a plurality of voters – a majority in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – trust Biden more than Trump to do a better job on abortion.”

*The Pennsylvania Poll was done in partnership with the Philadelphia Inquirer and should be referred to as the New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College Poll