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U.S. Job Growth Remains Strong Despite Economic Clouds

Employers added 339,000 workers in May, the Labor Department said, though the report also offered signs of shakiness.

Monthly change in jobs

+500,000 jobs

+339,000

in May

+400,000

+300,000

+200,000

+100,000

May

’22

Aug.

Nov.

Feb.

’23

May

+500,000 jobs

+339,000

in May

+400,000

+300,000

+200,000

+100,000

May ’22

Aug.

Nov.

Feb. ’23

May

Chart showing job gains over the last 13 months. In May, 339,000 jobs were added.

Note: Data is seasonally adjusted.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

By Ella Koeze

American employers added an unanticipated barrage of workers in May, reaffirming the labor market’s vigor.

Defying expectations of a slowdown, payrolls grew by 339,000 on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Labor Department said on Friday. The increase, the largest since January, suggested that the job market was still piping hot despite a swirl of economic headwinds.

But below the surface, the report also offered evidence of softening. The unemployment rate, while still historically low, jumped to 3.7 percent, the highest level since October. In a sign that the pressure to entice workers with pay increases is lifting, wage growth eased.

The dissonance offered a somewhat muddled picture that complicates the calculus for the Federal Reserve, which has been raising interest rates for more than a year to temper the labor market’s momentum and rein in price increases. Fed officials have indicated that the jobs report will be an important factor as they decide whether to raise interest rates again.

“We’re still seeing a labor market that’s gradually cooling,” said Sarah House, an economist at Wells Fargo. “But it’s at a glacial place.”

President Biden hailed the report, saying in a statement that “today is a good day for the American economy and American workers.” The S&P 500 index rose more than 1.4 percent as the data portrayed an economic engine that was running strong but not overheating.

A slight reversal for manufacturing in May

Change in jobs in May 2023, by sector

+97,000 jobs

Education and health

Business

services

+64,000

Government

+56,000

Leisure and

hospitality

+48,000

+25,000

Construction

+11,600

Retail

–2,000

Manufacturing

+97,000 jobs

Education and health

+64,000

Business services

+56,000

Government

+48,000

Leisure and hospitality

+25,000

Construction

+11,600

Retail

–2,000

Manufacturing

Chart showing jobs gained by sector in May 2023. All sectors grew their payrolls except for manufacturing which lost two thousand.

Note: Data is seasonally adjusted.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

By Ella Koeze

Prime-age participation in the labor force is still increasing

Share of people ages 24 to 54 in the labor force

83.4%

83%

82

81

80

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

83.4%

83%

82

81

80

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Chart showing the share of people ages 25 to 54 who are participating in the labor force. In May, the rate increased to 83.4 percent.

Note: Data is seasonally adjusted.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

By Ella Koeze


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