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‘A New Spike’ in Global Temperatures in the Forecast
The World Meteorological Organization reports increased odds that El Niño, the global weather pattern often tied to intense heat, will arrive by fall.
![A distant view of the London skyline, somewhat hazy, with the sky illuminated in fiery yellow-orange by the rising sun. In the foreground, tall grass and trees frame the scene.](https://static01.nyt.com/images/2023/05/03/multimedia/03cli-extremeheat-zfhp/03cli-extremeheat-zfhp-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale)
Forecasters from the World Meteorological Organization are reporting increased chances that the global climate pattern known as El Niño will arrive by the end of summer. With it comes increased chances for hotter-than-normal temperatures in 2024.
While there is not yet a clear picture of how strong the El Niño event will be or how long it might last, even a relatively mild one could affect precipitation and temperature patterns around the world.
“The development of an El Niño will most likely lead to a new spike in global heating and increase the chance of breaking temperature records,” said Petteri Taalas, the secretary general of the meteorological organization, in a news release.
El Niño is associated with warmer-than-normal ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. In the United States, it tends to lead to rainier, cooler conditions in much of the South, and warmer conditions in parts of the North.
Elsewhere, El Niño can bring increased rainfall to southern South America and the Horn of Africa, and severe drought to Australia, Indonesia and parts of southern Asia.
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