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Why Joe Biden Isn’t Getting Credit for the Economy

To the people he needs to win over, prices still feel too high and wages too low.

This transcript was created using speech recognition software. While it has been reviewed by human transcribers, it may contain errors. Please review the episode audio before quoting from this transcript and email [email protected] with any questions.

["hail to the chief" playing]

astead herndon

As he runs for re-election, it feels like President Biden is talking about one specific issue maybe more than anything else —

archived recording (joe biden)

Today. the US has the highest economic growth rate, leading the world economies since the pandemic, the highest in the world.

astead herndon

— the economy.

archived recording (joe biden)

Our economy came roaring back. Unemployment dipped below 4 percent by the end of my first year in office.

astead herndon

Under his administration, there’s been record low unemployment —

archived recording (joe biden)

Bringing down inflation remains one of my top priorities today. Today, inflation is less than half — less than half of what it was a year ago.

astead herndon

— and slowing inflation.

archived recording (joe biden)

Folks, it’s no accident.

astead herndon

He even has a catchy nickname for his pitch.

archived recording (joe biden)

That’s Bidenomics in action. Bidenomics is about building an economy from the middle out and the bottom up, not the top down.

astead herndon

To hear him tell it, his leadership brought Americans financial prosperity in the post-pandemic world. The problem with that story, though, is that so few Americans seem to buy it.

A recent survey of battleground states from “The New York Times” and Siena College found that 51 percent of voters think the state of the economy is poor. And voters, especially younger folks and people without college degrees, trust Biden less than Trump to fix it.

In fact, the problem is so bad that while Biden still touts the same economic message, his campaign seems to have ditched its signature catchphrase. So what gives? And what’s the gap between the good economy, as described by Joe Biden, and the not-so-great economy, as felt by so many Americans?

Today, a campaign to raise the minimum wage in Ohio. And why the poorest Americans aren’t buying Bidenomics. From “The New York Times,” I’m Astead Herndon. This is “The Run-Up.”

When I heard that a political group was organizing low-income service workers in Ohio around the idea of raising the minimum wage in November, I thought it could be a perfect way to get a view of President Biden’s economy from the bottom up. So this past Saturday, on a sunny, 80-degree day in Dayton —

elisa

Yay!

astead herndon

— my colleagues, Elisa, Sophia, and I went to the downtown offices of a group called One Fair Wage.

[ELEVATOR DINGS]

astead herndon

Hi, y’all. Nice to meet you. Good morning. This is Elisa and Sophia. We’re from “The Times” Nice to meet you.

marshelle

How y’all doing?

astead herndon

We are greeted by a team of canvassers gathering signatures in order to get a $15 minimum wage on the ballot in November.

marshelle

Someone to take my picture

astead herndon

Right now in Ohio, the state’s minimum wage is $10.45 for hourly earners. And for tip workers, it’s $5.25 an hour. The measure needs just over 400,000 signatures to get on the ballot. But the group’s goal is to have 700,000 signatures by July. And to get all those folks, they’ve hired canvassers who have held low-wage service jobs themselves.

astead herndon

I would love to hear some stories about y’all, too. When did you first start canvassing? When did you first get involved in One Fair Wage?

marshelle

I just got involved, but I used to be a low restaurant tip worker.

astead herndon

One of the canvassers, Marshelle, is actually from Oklahoma City but has recently come to Dayton to help with the organizing effort in Ohio.

astead herndon

Where did you work?

marshelle

The Waffle House — $2.13 an hour, plus tips. And I was getting great tips. But you know what the catch was? The people that wasn’t getting tips, I had to share my tips with them. So, yeah, so it wasn’t, it wasn’t great.

That was in the state of Oklahoma. Yeah, it’s $2.13. So just imagine $2.13, and I’m getting these tips. But I got to share them with three or four different people. So I was really making nothing.

astead herndon

When was that?

marshelle

That was two years ago.

astead herndon

So when you heard about this, what did you think?

marshelle

I thought this was great. This is perfect. We need to raise minimum wage, especially like everywhere in my state. I come from a very red state. And so I would love when we get there to that state, to my state, so we can work on that.

Because just imagine. If I didn’t get any tips, can you live off of $2.13? I couldn’t. So this will be very helpful to me if I — at that time, if I was getting $15 an hour, I would live comfortable, plus tips. So, yeah.

astead herndon

You’re like, that’s a tangible difference in quality of life. Can you give me an example about a time in which — I mean, this might seem obvious, but when it became really clear to you that that $2.13 plus tips wasn’t enough?

marshelle

Yeah, when stuff starts getting cut off. I had five kids. So can you imagine having five kids on $2.13 an hour, and you got your electric, gas, and water that has to be paid, and your cell phone bill? Can you imagine how I was struggling?

So I had to get food stamps. So it was like, OK, I’m just going to try to do the best I can do. I’m going to braid some hair, I’m going to do people’s hair and stuff on the side, just to get little extras to get my kids, you know, the clothes they need.

I’d go to thrift stores, garage sales like that, just to be able to provide for my kids. The food pantry because I didn’t get that many food stamps also. But the food pantries came in handy, too. So that’s how I was able to survive.

Now, I spent that days. I didn’t have no electricity. I would go, like, four or five days without any electricity. But we survived with candles. Yeah.

astead herndon

What’s it been like getting involved in this?

marshelle

This has been great. This been great because these people, they really care about people. I love canvassing. I love meeting people. I can go out and talk to people like I’ve been knowing them forever. And I want these signatures, so I’m going to talk to you, get these signatures because we have a goal to reach, and I want to reach that goal. It will help a lot of people.

astead herndon

The other canvasser we were heading out with that day, Talitha, was a local.

astead herndon

You’re from — you’re from Ohio?

talitha

I’m from Dayton, actually.

astead herndon

You’re from Dayton? OK.

talitha

I am.

astead herndon

And where did you work previously?

talitha

Previously, I did McDonald’s. I was — I actually was making $16, and it still wasn’t enough. So I think it should go up to maybe like $20 because making $16 when you got $900 rent, your car payment is $800.

Even when you make $24. I know people that make $24, and that sounds like a lot. So yeah, I was making more than the minimum wage, and it still just wasn’t enough not to make ends meet.

And I have a 13-year-old son at home. My girls are grown, but he wants to go and do things. And he wants all these iPhones and things like that. And even with $16, I still couldn’t do it. I couldn’t do it.

astead herndon

We head out to canvass with Marshelle and Talitha at a shopping center about 10 minutes south of downtown. Talitha and I stood outside a thrift store, and Elisa went off with Marshelle, who was canvassing outside a nearby beauty supply store.

marshelle

Hello. Could I get you to sign my petition to raise minimum wage to $15 an hour?

woman

Sure.

marshelle

OK, thank you, ma’am. Are you a registered voter in the state? OK, here you go.

astead herndon

For the most part, it was a straightforward pitch.

marshelle

Hello, sir. Would you like to sign my petition to raise minimum wage to $15 an hour?

man

I don’t care about people making money. I just love to have fun.

marshelle

People gotta make some money around here.

man

Yeah, I’ll sign it. Let me get over here real quick.

marshelle

All right.

astead herndon

After folks signed, we wanted to know why this issue mattered to them, how they were feeling about the economy more generally, and who they blame for its current state.

elisa

You say you signed the petition. I guess, how do you feel about the economy?

dave

I feel like the economy right now is crap.

astead herndon

Elisa and Marshelle met a man named Dave who said he works in the health insurance industry.

dave

Minimum wage is too low. Inflation is definitely too high. Even if you make six figures, you need to make nine figures to survive in this economy.

elisa

Do you feel like it’s gotten worse over the years?

dave

It’s gotten worse definitely over these last three years.

elisa

What do you account that to? Why do you think that is?

dave

I’m going to account that to Joe Biden and his administration and what they’re doing.

I really believe that them increasing the prices on every single thing. And I know they’re trying to get their money back from giving out all of them stimulus checks. But come on, now. We can’t even live. We got to rob Peter to pay Paul, and that’s just not working.

elisa

How did you feel about the stimulus checks? Do you feel like those were necessary?

dave

Those were definitely necessary. But at the same time, I felt like there should have been things in place for people not to over-abuse them. And we’re just paying for everybody who did all that PPP fraud. That’s what we’re paying for.

elisa

Did you vote for Biden in 2020?

dave

I did vote for Biden.

elisa

Is it making you reconsider voting?

dave

No, I’m going to vote for him again.

elisa

You’re going to vote for him again.

dave

Even though inflation is crazy high right now, I still believe that he’s done a lot outside of that. And I feel like if we give him another chance, he’ll do even more.

elisa

OK, so then you have issues with him when it comes to economy, I guess. Then what is your motivation for voting for him again in the fall?

dave

Well, he did what he’s supposed to do with the student loan debt, finally. He’s done things as far as him and Kamala when it comes to diversity and inclusion among communities. And so they’ve done a lot of great things, I would say. And that would lead my vote towards them. Now, I do miss Trump. Trump did give us the money. Trump did give us the money. I do believe that Trump was more so a president for helping the lower-class citizens. But yeah.

elisa

Did you — did you ever vote for Trump?

dave

I did vote for Trump.

elisa

OK, so tell me. Walk me through. So did you vote for Trump in 2016?

dave

Yes.

elisa

But you voted for Biden in 2020?

dave

Yes.

elisa

OK. Tell me, why did you vote for Trump in 2016?

dave

So I voted for Trump because Trump was funny. I’m going to be completely honest. He was a funny guy. I watched him on “Celebrity Apprentice” for many years and followed his business mindset. So that’s why I voted for him, and not to know all the stuff that he was going to do while he was elected, you know, was going to come out, all of that stuff. But him as a person that I viewed then is why I voted for him.

elisa

So then you vote for Biden. Is that because — tell me — tell me then how do you —

dave

I was grown and more mature. And then I seen the state of the world as the United States was going in. And that direction President Trump was putting us in was bad. It was bad.

elisa

And when did you decide that? When? 2017, 2018?

dave

Probably 2019. 2020, actually, really, when the whole really outbreak of coronavirus really took its toll. And I seen how he was treating people from China and his remarks and that.

And I’m like, OK, now this is not a joke. This is really who he is. And started to look into everything else. And then that persuaded my vote against him for his second term.

elisa

OK, OK. And now, and now, you’re decidedly — you’re going to vote for Biden in —

dave

Yes, yes. I’m going to give Biden a second chance. I believe that he’s doing what he said he was going to do during his campaign. Everything he said he was going to do, he’s pretty much done.

And so he lived up to his word, even though he made the cost of living high. They waited till I started making six figures to make the cost of living crazy. But I believe that he’s going to redeem, he’s going to redeem the United States.

elisa

Thank you so much. I’m Elisa.

astead herndon

While Elisa stayed with Marshelle —

talitha

Good afternoon, sir. Would you like to sign the petition to raise minimum wage to $15?

man

I did yesterday.

astead herndon

— Sophia and I started talking to a man named Rod who worked at a sandwich place nearby and was wearing his work uniform when he signed the petition.

astead herndon

How are you doing, sir? My name is Astead. This is Sophia. We’re from “The New York Times.” We’re actually in Ohio today talking to people about how they feel about the economy, how they feel about things that are going in the country right now, how they feel about this crazy election we’re about to have. Do you mind if you have five minutes to chat with us?

rod

Sure.

astead herndon

Thank you. I appreciate it.

rod

You may not like what I have to say, but.

astead herndon

I will promise you that as long as you’re saying something that’s honest, I would love to hear it. Can you tell me your name?

rod

Rod

astead herndon

Rod. All right, and are you from the county? Where are you from?

rod

Miamisburg.

astead herndon

OK, cool. You said you signed the minimum wage petition yesterday.

rod

Yes.

astead herndon

What made you want to sign?

rod

Most of my life, I’ve worked in food, as I still do. And we’ve always gotten paid less than what I thought we should be getting paid.

astead herndon

Do you mind if I ask how much you get paid now?

rod

I make $18 now, which isn’t too bad, especially, I don’t think, we’re making a sub. I know people that work at factories. They get paid that, and they do a lot harder work than I do.

astead herndon

So you’re saying you’ve always worked in food, and so usually that number’s been less than that?

rod

Oh, yes, definitely.

astead herndon

Can you tell me about some of the other rates that you were working at, other places, and how much you were making?

rod

All the way back to my first job — when I first started working at Taco Bell, I made $2.65 an hour. But that’s when I was 16.

astead herndon

Yeah.

rod

I don’t know. For the past few years, it’s been $10 or more But even then, I just feel like people should be able to work. You or me or anybody should be able to work by themselves and take care of themselves.

You can’t do that, especially not at $10, $12, $13 an hour, which is what most places are at about now. McDonald’s probably has the best pay out of fast food places.

astead herndon

I guess I’m wondering. With that $18 an hour in this economy, is it enough for you? How are you feeling right now?

rod

My wife works, and I DoorDash when I get off work. So, technically, I guess I have two jobs.

astead herndon

What’s the biggest stressor for you income wise when you think about your budget?

rod

Well, together, my wife and I both, we make enough to pay all the bills and everything and go to the grocery store. But there’s nothing left for us to do what we want to do with the money, not what we have to do with the money. So that’s why I DoorDash.

astead herndon

Has that changed in recent years? I’ve heard people talk about the rising prices. What has been the change like for you over the last couple of years when you think about money and the economy?

rod

The biggest thing is everything has increased in price, everything. I don’t care what it is — from gas to rent to food, whatever the case is. And because of that, it just makes everything else harder.

If I was making $18 even five years ago, or let’s say before COVID hit, I would have been making decent money then. I probably could have worked myself and took care of things myself.

astead herndon

Who do you blame for the rise in prices? Is there someone you blame specifically?

rod

Well, I mean, it all comes down to the man in charge, I think. He’s the one that can say yay or no to anything. Now, mind you, there’s still checks and balances where he can’t just absolutely say no or yes. But a lot of the people there that are there now are just — they’re not on the right track, I don’t think.

astead herndon

What do you mean? Can you be more specific?

rod

They’re not thinking about everyone.

astead herndon

Are you talking about President Biden? Are you talking about Democrats? Are you talking about Trump? Or are you talking — who are you talking about?

rod

Biden and Democrats. I was a Democrat for years up until Trump ran. I switched.

astead herndon

In 2016?

rod

Yes. And it was just because as a low-income person, you’re just automatically drawn to being a Democrat because they always want to give you things. Well, as I’ve gotten older, I’ve come to realize that they lie a lot.

They tell you all this stuff’s coming, and it never comes, or that this is changing and it never changes. Now, not to say that the same shit hasn’t happened with a Republican because it has. But I figured, I’ve been on one side long enough, and they weren’t working for me, so I switched.

astead herndon

What’d you do in 2020? Did you vote for Trump again?

rod

Um, I don’t remember. I would say yes.

astead herndon

The weird thing about this one is we got the same two again. When you look ahead, do you know who’s going to get your vote in November?

rod

Oh, definitely Trump, without a doubt.

astead herndon

There’s a lot of — Trump cut taxes for the rich. Trump added to the deficit. There’s a lot of arguments that you can say that he didn’t prioritize low-wage workers, either. So why does he definitely have your vote?

rod

Well, I just think the country in general was in a better place when he was the president than Biden has been the whole time, pretty much. He was — again, he was one of those people that came out and said we’re going to do this, we’re going to do that, we’re going to give you this, we’re going to give you that. Nothing.

And he keeps making up excuses about the border, for instance, about how I can’t just close the border. I can’t do it. He can. He legit can sign a piece of paper and stop the whole thing. But he won’t because it’s an election year.

astead herndon

If you could rank your most important issues — economy, you mentioned immigration. Is there anything at the top of your list when you think about the things that most matter to you, and then why you’re voting for Trump?

rod

I don’t know. Even though Trump is super rich, I don’t know why, but I feel I can relate to him more, which is kind of weird for me to say still to this day about a Republican, to be honest.

But I don’t know. He just — maybe he’s lying too, but he definitely is saying all the right things and wanting to maybe not correct, but at least make better some of the things that have fallen off since Biden took office.

astead herndon

Do you trust Trump or Biden more on the economy?

rod

Trump.

astead herndon

Trump or Biden more on immigration?

rod

Trump.

astead herndon

Is there any issue that you prefer Democrats to, considering you used to be a Democrat?

rod

Well, I mean, I like the way Democrats think, if they would just follow through with everything. A lot of the ideas that they come up with are great ideas.

astead herndon

It’s not just the words, it’s action.

rod

Yes.

astead herndon

Got it.

rod

I mean, you can’t tell somebody — like, if you’re a friend and I tell you I’m coming over. Well, I didn’t come today. Well, I’m coming tomorrow. I didn’t come tomorrow. I’m coming — you know, you can’t just keep telling somebody that over and over and over and over. They’re just going to be like, whatever. Don’t come. That’s just where I’m at with that.

In all honesty, I wish we didn’t have parties in general because when it’s all said and done, we’re all one country. We’re all one people. And we should all have the same, or at least close to the same, set of values and morals. And I don’t feel like that’s the case right now.

astead herndon

Thanks, Rod. Can you just tell me your last name?

astead herndon

As we were talking to Rod, we were told that the store manager called the cops to try to get the organizers and us away from their business. So we followed the organizers to another strip mall, about a 15-minute drive away on the west side of Dayton. That’s where Sophia and I met a woman named Tina.

astead herndon

My name is Astead. This is Sophia. We’re with “The New York Times.” We’ve been talking with the canvassers today and asking people why they decided to sign. I know you’ve got some bags. We can walk with you, too. We just wanted to know why you decided to sign. And I heard some stuff about you working with the folks returning.

tina

Yes.

astead herndon

And so I just would love to hear that story.

tina

Yes.

astead herndon

And so we can walk with you, if that’s easier.

tina

OK, OK, thank you.

astead herndon

No problem. Can you just tell me a little — oh.

tina

Uh-oh.

astead herndon

Cool. Thank you. Can you just tell us a little bit about yourself?

tina

All right. I work for the Montgomery County Office —

astead herndon

OK.

tina

Thank you, baby. — Montgomery County Office of Reentry. We welcome back returning citizens who are coming from incarceration. I’m sorry, darling.

astead herndon

No, go ahead. We can finish. We’re all good. You want to put it right here?

tina

Yes, darling, that’s fine. A lot of the returning citizens come back. They went to prison because they were street men. They had stacks of money all the time. So what sense does it make to come out of prison after you’re used to having money to survive, and you’re just making minimum wage?

So I think it’s important that that minimum wage is increased to help people live and to survive. I’m a single woman, so my income is my only income. And it’s hard to try and juggle between do I get food or gas? What do I do? Or do I just try to wait for another two weeks to pay the utility bill, pay a part of the utility bill? No one deserves to have to live like that.

astead herndon

Yeah, we’re talking about others. I’m curious for you, too. How long have you been in Dayton? Are you from around here?

tina

I’m from Dayton. I sure am.

astead herndon

We’re also asking people about the election, how they feel about the country right now. If I could pose that question to you, how would you relate the way people are kind of feeling that economic strife to the state of the country, optimism, and how things look going forward?

tina

As far as our government is concerned, you got to meet the people where they are. So politicians who are out and who are advocating for a position in government, you got to go where the people are. And you got to stay there. You just don’t go for photo ops and things like that. You got to become a part of the community that you are trying to win an election for.

astead herndon

The interesting thing is Ohio is such an important place for the presidential race historically. And there’s a kind of open question about whether it’s still a place that Democrats can do well and things. When you think about if you’re President Biden, do you think Ohio is a place where he can still win?

tina

I think Ohio is a place that he can still win. There are a lot of spiritually led people here in the state of Ohio who believes that if you have a heart for people that you’ll do good in office. So I just believe if he begins to just come and just advocate for some things for the people here that he would have a strong chance at winning the election again.

astead herndon

The last thing I’ll ask is, for us being around so many Dayton Black folks today, I haven’t heard a lot of good things about how they’re feeling about Democrats or how they’re feeling about even President Biden.

What do you think has shifted, that has made a community that historically has been so Democratic supportive? And when I’m around here over today and talking to people, I hear a lot of people upset. Do you hear the same thing? Or do you think that’s just the kind of outlier voice?

tina

I do hear the same thing. When Obama was in office, I believe that the African-Americans had a lot of hope, a lot of hope. But when he did his bid and his term, and now I just believe that they just feel hopeless.

We have a mayor who was the mayor of Trotwood, Ohio, for several terms. And she ran those terms as a Democrat. But then she switched affiliation to Republican. So that says a lot. It speaks volume. It really, really does.

astead herndon

Do you hear Trump even making inroads sometimes with these people?

tina

Yes.

astead herndon

And I’m always torn to know how real we think that is. Do you think that — what do you think is drawing some connection between someone who, I think, eight years ago, we would have said there’s no way he’s winning some Black folks? And now I’m like, I’m not so sure.

tina

Yeah, yeah. I do know African-Americans who support Trump. Yes, they support him because they feel as though he is a go-getter. He’s questionable, but he says what he means. And he’s not afraid to stand up to the opposition.

And so I believe that African-Americans they just want to support someone who is gung ho and gun strong and is going to do that. So they kind of overlook the things that he’s kind of going through in his life.

astead herndon

All those cases can mean less if he’s someone who says what he means and does what he means?

tina

Yes, yes.

astead herndon

If I’m hearing you correctly, though, I should expect you to vote for Biden in November. Question mark?

tina

I would vote? Is that what you’re asking?

astead herndon

Yeah, is that who you think you’re going to vote for?

tina

Yes, yes.

astead herndon

Cool. Thank you so much. I appreciate your time. Thank you. This was really great.

tina

Thank you for helping.

astead herndon

Have a great day.

astead herndon

Almost everyone we met in Dayton that day was eager to get the $15 minimum wage on the ballot in November. But their intentions at the top of the ticket were less clear.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

woman 1

Who ever going to forgive my student loans? I’ll take you. I’ll say you can go ahead and get in office.

woman 2

I think I’ll probably — if you want to forgive your student loans, you got to go with Trump.

woman 1

No, Biden’s been forgiving the loans. He was been clearing loans. Where are you at? Donald Trump.

woman 2

Why he ain’t clearing mines yet?

woman 1

You got to get in line.

man

To be honest with you —

astead herndon

Yeah?

man

— I hate to say it, but it’s honesty, you know what I’m saying, we got a lot done with Trump in office.

astead herndon

Including people who wouldn’t be voting at all.

man 1

Disenfranchised. This is coming from a man that’s born in ‘60. So I know what it’s like for brothers to have the right to vote. And I’ve always frowned on people saying, I’m not voting. What’s wrong with you. Well, I see now.

man 2

No, I wouldn’t vote for neither one of the presidents. Vote for the lesser of the two evils, you know what I’m saying? But you still voting for evil because what they’re doing is wrong, you know what I’m saying? So like, you know what I’m saying? So I’m not going to even get into that part of it.

astead herndon

More after the break.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Traditionally, Ohio has been an important battleground in the Electoral College, a toss-up for Republicans and Democrats. But in recent years, the state has trended toward the right, making it an uphill battle for Democrats to win its 17 electoral votes.

That’s bad news for Ohio Democrats, like incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, whose bid for re-election could tip the balance of power in the Senate. It also makes ballot efforts, like the one to raise minimum wage to $15, even more important because they could be the main reason some Democrats are motivated to show up to vote.

And so I wanted to sit down with Mariah Ross, a Cleveland native and the Ballot Initiative Director for One Fair Wage, to better understand the relationship between efforts like hers and races at the top of the ticket.

astead herndon

Is there anything that jumped out from the people we talked to that stuck out to you?

mariah ross

It’s something that we’re hearing every day, and that’s the fact that people can’t afford their bills. I think what we saw today just proves the point that this issue is top of mind for Black voters, Latin voters, and youth all around the state and around the country.

astead herndon

What happens next, though, in terms of being able to reach the signature threshold? And then once that is reached, how will this campaign transition?

mariah ross

Yeah. So after we collect over 700,000 signatures, which is our goal, and we turn them in to the Secretary of State, then we’re going to move into phase two of our campaign, which is going to be our peer-to-peer program. So these canvassers who you’ve met today who are low wage workers or they’ve worked in the restaurant industry, they’re going to lead our peer-to-peer program, talking to their coworkers, talking to people who they know in the industry, other unlikely voters.

Because what we found is that when candidates run on this issue and there’s a peer-to-peer program and they’re actually outspoken about the issue — not just on a piece of paper, but they actually talk about it — then these unlikely voters will go vote for this issue and for those candidates who support the issue. That’s what we saw today when people were saying I don’t usually vote, but, you know, I’ll come vote for this. And so that’s just true across the board.

astead herndon

Can I ask you about Ohio’s purpleness, I’m curious. What makes you think Democrats still do have a shot? And it’s been a couple of bad cycles for them here.

mariah ross

Yeah, I think Ohio’s views — and I wouldn’t even say necessarily Democrat or Republican because that’s so confined. A lot of people are independents, really, in their day-to-day life. People are more conservative, people are more progressive. But most people identify as independent.

When you are making the bare minimum, and you’re worried about how you’re going to feed your kids tonight, you can’t really care about an election that may not actually change your life or maybe will affect you three to four years later.

You’re worried about today, today only. Maybe tomorrow, but mostly you’re focused on today. And you don’t have the capacity to be able to care about voting or get involved in an election that isn’t going to affect your ability to pay your bills and feed your family.

So at the end of the day, I think that a lot of Ohioans, especially people who are either living in poverty or making wages that aren’t sustainable or living paycheck to paycheck, they can’t get involved in civic engagement because not just the education factor — because we do need more civic engagement, education in the state — but the factor of “I don’t have time for that.”

Other issues are important. Climate change is important. But nobody can care about that because we’re making low wages because that is going to affect them 20 or 30 years from now.

Same thing with other issues that are hard to understand. We have gerrymandering — an initiative for that happening right now in Ohio, and people do want fair districts. However, a lot of people who are making low wages don’t have capacity to learn what that is or even go and vote for that or even register to vote because they can’t take a day off work.

People don’t have time. People aren’t just working one job. Working one job for minimum wage, you might make $1,800 a month. People are working two to three jobs to get by and working side hustles or in a gig economy. People are doing DoorDash. People are doing Uber. People are doing Lyft. People are doing hair on the side. People are just trying to get by. And so people have very hectic schedules, and there’s no capacity to care about something that isn’t going to change your actual situation.

astead herndon

I know that people are engaged when you ask them about minimum wage. Are they engaged when you ask them about voting in general? Because it’s been pretty bleak out there when we talk to people about their level of interest in this election.

mariah ross

No, yeah, people tell us, oh, that isn’t going to change anything, or no, I don’t do politics. We get those traditional answers. However, we always push back against that and say, you should care about politics, especially about your local politics, about your statewide politics because those will affect your day-to-day lives. And when you explain how it affects someone’s day-to-day lives about, hey, you can get the minimum wage raise in your state. Hey, you can get your streets repaired, get that abandoned house tore down or fix some tax issues in your city, municipal tax issues, things like that.

We explain why local elections are so important. And you can vote for your sheriff. You can vote for your judges. A lot of people don’t even know that you can vote for judges. So when we explain those things to people, people are like, I see what you’re saying. I do want to get involved. I do want to do that.

So we register them to vote. And then we’re going to follow up with them and continue to talk to them about pivotal issues that actually can affect their day-to-day lives because that’s the big disconnect. Democrats and Republicans have failed a lot of working people in the fact that it’s not about the GDP or the unemployment rates. For most people, it’s about how much is the eggs in the grocery store? How much is the gas for my car? How much is my rent? And so working people haven’t seen a change in those things. They’re just getting worse every year on the ground.

And so when they see somebody actually trying to change those things, when we see people fighting for housing issues, people fighting for wages, people fighting for things that actually will change their day-to-day lives, then people want to get involved because they can see tangible results. And that’s what it’s about.

astead herndon

Yeah. And to your point, that’s not necessarily the conversation you hear either from D or R when you’re thinking about the presidential race, or even Joe Biden. It’s a lot about the GDP. It’s a lot about employment.

And you hear a lot of Democrats right now, they say the economy is very good, in fact. Can you explain the gap between that language and what you experienced on the day? If I’m a Democrat saying the economy is good right now, does that message hit?

mariah ross

I think there’s a bit of a disconnect on the definition of economy. What is an economy? If you ask an economist, it’ll be GDP, unemployment rates, and a lot of other factors that the average American does not understand or care about, quite frankly.

But if you ask an average worker, they would tell you an economy is how much does it cost to get the items I need to live, and does my livelihood cover those costs? Do I make enough money to cover the cost to live? That is what the economy is to most people. So we ask people, you’ll hear a lot of people say the economy is terrible. And that doesn’t mean they’re talking about GDP or unemployment rates. They’re talking about the gas is expensive in my community. And I make a wage that doesn’t afford that gas.

So therefore, to me, the economy is bad. That is what the economy means to an average American. And I think it’s just a definition issue. The traditional word — a good economy, a bad economy, or economics in general with economists — versus what people actually think the economy is.

astead herndon

What they’re experiencing.

mariah ross

Yeah.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

marshelle

So how do you feel about the economy now?

elisa

What’s at the bottom of it?

man 3

I could definitely use more pay.

marshelle

It could, couldn’t it. Yes.

man 3

I actually make $15 an hour right now.

marshelle

Do you?

man 3

Yeah.

astead herndon

More than anything, what I took from our afternoon in Dayton is that for the people we talk to, the everyday lived experience of the economy matters more than traditional economic indicators.

woman 3

You have a working mother that makes — you know what I’m saying — that they got to live from paycheck to paycheck but still got to go down here to a pantry to get food to provide for her kids. You know what I’m saying? It’s everybody is out for something. It’s always this.

astead herndon

Prices are going up.

woman 4

I’m sorry. I’m penny pinching, and my kids are grown now, but I’m still penny pinching. Thank god that I have, you know, a family that we all live together, like my dad, my husband, my son. So we split the bills, but I couldn’t even imagine doing it by myself.

man 4

I mean, literally, anything you purchase is higher in price now than it was a couple of years ago.

It’s not sustainable without — you can’t keep raising the cost of living without allowing people to meet that at least somewhat.

astead herndon

The cost of housing and food remain high.

woman 5

Just my rent is $910 off of my wages, and it’s not enough.

man 5

Basically, we do need more money. It’s been struggling lately, but most people aren’t keeping track of the way the food and stuff been going up and everything.

woman 6

$15 ain’t even —

woman 7

It isn’t enough.

woman 6

And if you got kids, you really struggling.

woman 7

Yeah.

astead herndon

And wages aren’t keeping up.

woman 6

In order to work minimum wage, you have to live in low-income housing or something. It’s hard. It’s like, you cannot get ahead.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

astead herndon

So while the US economy might be the world’s best, as President Biden likes to describe it, that doesn’t mean it’s working in Dayton, or for most Americans.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

That’s “The Run-Up” for Thursday, May 23, 2024. And now, the run-down.

archived recording

And about one week from now, a jury of 12 New Yorkers will start deliberating the fate of the first former President charged with a crime.

astead herndon

Trump’s criminal trial in Manhattan reached a milestone this week, with both the prosecution and defense resting their cases. Closing arguments are set to take place next Tuesday, and jury deliberation is expected to begin the day after.

archived recording (donald trump)

This case is a disgrace.

astead herndon

Trump, who publicly and often said that he would be testifying, did not. But he did speak outside the courthouse on Tuesday.

archived recording (donald trump)

This is all about Biden can’t campaign, so he’s trying to injure his opponent.

astead herndon

Trump is also set to hold a rally in the Bronx later today. Finally —

archived recording

Breaking news. We’re getting election results.

astead herndon

— a set of primaries were held Tuesday night, including in Kentucky and Oregon. California held a special election to fill former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s seat, which the Republican candidate easily won.

archived recording

And voters hit the polls last night in a state that is key to Trump legally and to the 2024 electoral map. We’re talking about Georgia.

astead herndon

And in Georgia — [CROWD CHANTING]

— District Attorney Fani Willis, who has faced ethical scrutiny and leads the Georgia case against Donald Trump, handily won her primary. There are 53 days until the Republican National Convention, 88 days until the Democratic National Convention, and 166 days until the general election. We’ll see you next week.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

“The Run-Up” is reported by me, Astead Herndon, and produced by Elisa Gutierrez, Caitlin O’Keefe, and Anna Foley. It’s edited by Rachel Dry and Lisa Tobin, with original music by Dan Powell, Marion Lozano, Pat McCusker, Diane Wong, Sophia Lanman, and Elisheba Ittoop.

It was mixed by Sophia Lanman and fact-checked by Caitlin Love. Special thanks to Paula Szuchman, Sam Dolnick, Larissa Anderson, David Halbfinger, Maddy Masiello, Mahima Chablani, Nick Pittman, and Jeffrey Miranda.

Do you have questions about the 2024 election? Email us at [email protected]. Or better yet, record your question using the voice memo app on your phone and then send us the file. That email, again, is [email protected].

And finally, if you liked the show and want to get updates on latest episodes, follow our feed wherever you get your podcasts. Thanks for listening, y’all.

Why Joe Biden Isn’t Getting Credit for the Economy

To the people he needs to win over, prices still feel too high and wages too low.

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transcript

Why Joe Biden Isn’t Getting Credit for the Economy

To the people he needs to win over, prices still feel too high and wages too low.

This transcript was created using speech recognition software. While it has been reviewed by human transcribers, it may contain errors. Please review the episode audio before quoting from this transcript and email [email protected] with any questions.

["hail to the chief" playing]

astead herndon

As he runs for re-election, it feels like President Biden is talking about one specific issue maybe more than anything else —

archived recording (joe biden)

Today. the US has the highest economic growth rate, leading the world economies since the pandemic, the highest in the world.

astead herndon

— the economy.

archived recording (joe biden)

Our economy came roaring back. Unemployment dipped below 4 percent by the end of my first year in office.

astead herndon

Under his administration, there’s been record low unemployment —

archived recording (joe biden)

Bringing down inflation remains one of my top priorities today. Today, inflation is less than half — less than half of what it was a year ago.

astead herndon

— and slowing inflation.

archived recording (joe biden)

Folks, it’s no accident.

astead herndon

He even has a catchy nickname for his pitch.

archived recording (joe biden)

That’s Bidenomics in action. Bidenomics is about building an economy from the middle out and the bottom up, not the top down.

astead herndon

To hear him tell it, his leadership brought Americans financial prosperity in the post-pandemic world. The problem with that story, though, is that so few Americans seem to buy it.

A recent survey of battleground states from “The New York Times” and Siena College found that 51 percent of voters think the state of the economy is poor. And voters, especially younger folks and people without college degrees, trust Biden less than Trump to fix it.

In fact, the problem is so bad that while Biden still touts the same economic message, his campaign seems to have ditched its signature catchphrase. So what gives? And what’s the gap between the good economy, as described by Joe Biden, and the not-so-great economy, as felt by so many Americans?

Today, a campaign to raise the minimum wage in Ohio. And why the poorest Americans aren’t buying Bidenomics. From “The New York Times,” I’m Astead Herndon. This is “The Run-Up.”

When I heard that a political group was organizing low-income service workers in Ohio around the idea of raising the minimum wage in November, I thought it could be a perfect way to get a view of President Biden’s economy from the bottom up. So this past Saturday, on a sunny, 80-degree day in Dayton —

elisa

Yay!

astead herndon

— my colleagues, Elisa, Sophia, and I went to the downtown offices of a group called One Fair Wage.

[ELEVATOR DINGS]

astead herndon

Hi, y’all. Nice to meet you. Good morning. This is Elisa and Sophia. We’re from “The Times” Nice to meet you.

marshelle

How y’all doing?

astead herndon

We are greeted by a team of canvassers gathering signatures in order to get a $15 minimum wage on the ballot in November.

marshelle

Someone to take my picture

astead herndon

Right now in Ohio, the state’s minimum wage is $10.45 for hourly earners. And for tip workers, it’s $5.25 an hour. The measure needs just over 400,000 signatures to get on the ballot. But the group’s goal is to have 700,000 signatures by July. And to get all those folks, they’ve hired canvassers who have held low-wage service jobs themselves.

astead herndon

I would love to hear some stories about y’all, too. When did you first start canvassing? When did you first get involved in One Fair Wage?

marshelle

I just got involved, but I used to be a low restaurant tip worker.

astead herndon

One of the canvassers, Marshelle, is actually from Oklahoma City but has recently come to Dayton to help with the organizing effort in Ohio.

astead herndon

Where did you work?

marshelle

The Waffle House — $2.13 an hour, plus tips. And I was getting great tips. But you know what the catch was? The people that wasn’t getting tips, I had to share my tips with them. So, yeah, so it wasn’t, it wasn’t great.

That was in the state of Oklahoma. Yeah, it’s $2.13. So just imagine $2.13, and I’m getting these tips. But I got to share them with three or four different people. So I was really making nothing.

astead herndon

When was that?

marshelle

That was two years ago.

astead herndon

So when you heard about this, what did you think?

marshelle

I thought this was great. This is perfect. We need to raise minimum wage, especially like everywhere in my state. I come from a very red state. And so I would love when we get there to that state, to my state, so we can work on that.

Because just imagine. If I didn’t get any tips, can you live off of $2.13? I couldn’t. So this will be very helpful to me if I — at that time, if I was getting $15 an hour, I would live comfortable, plus tips. So, yeah.

astead herndon

You’re like, that’s a tangible difference in quality of life. Can you give me an example about a time in which — I mean, this might seem obvious, but when it became really clear to you that that $2.13 plus tips wasn’t enough?

marshelle

Yeah, when stuff starts getting cut off. I had five kids. So can you imagine having five kids on $2.13 an hour, and you got your electric, gas, and water that has to be paid, and your cell phone bill? Can you imagine how I was struggling?

So I had to get food stamps. So it was like, OK, I’m just going to try to do the best I can do. I’m going to braid some hair, I’m going to do people’s hair and stuff on the side, just to get little extras to get my kids, you know, the clothes they need.

I’d go to thrift stores, garage sales like that, just to be able to provide for my kids. The food pantry because I didn’t get that many food stamps also. But the food pantries came in handy, too. So that’s how I was able to survive.

Now, I spent that days. I didn’t have no electricity. I would go, like, four or five days without any electricity. But we survived with candles. Yeah.

astead herndon

What’s it been like getting involved in this?

marshelle

This has been great. This been great because these people, they really care about people. I love canvassing. I love meeting people. I can go out and talk to people like I’ve been knowing them forever. And I want these signatures, so I’m going to talk to you, get these signatures because we have a goal to reach, and I want to reach that goal. It will help a lot of people.

astead herndon

The other canvasser we were heading out with that day, Talitha, was a local.

astead herndon

You’re from — you’re from Ohio?

talitha

I’m from Dayton, actually.

astead herndon

You’re from Dayton? OK.

talitha

I am.

astead herndon

And where did you work previously?

talitha

Previously, I did McDonald’s. I was — I actually was making $16, and it still wasn’t enough. So I think it should go up to maybe like $20 because making $16 when you got $900 rent, your car payment is $800.

Even when you make $24. I know people that make $24, and that sounds like a lot. So yeah, I was making more than the minimum wage, and it still just wasn’t enough not to make ends meet.

And I have a 13-year-old son at home. My girls are grown, but he wants to go and do things. And he wants all these iPhones and things like that. And even with $16, I still couldn’t do it. I couldn’t do it.

astead herndon

We head out to canvass with Marshelle and Talitha at a shopping center about 10 minutes south of downtown. Talitha and I stood outside a thrift store, and Elisa went off with Marshelle, who was canvassing outside a nearby beauty supply store.

marshelle

Hello. Could I get you to sign my petition to raise minimum wage to $15 an hour?

woman

Sure.

marshelle

OK, thank you, ma’am. Are you a registered voter in the state? OK, here you go.

astead herndon

For the most part, it was a straightforward pitch.

marshelle

Hello, sir. Would you like to sign my petition to raise minimum wage to $15 an hour?

man

I don’t care about people making money. I just love to have fun.

marshelle

People gotta make some money around here.

man

Yeah, I’ll sign it. Let me get over here real quick.

marshelle

All right.

astead herndon

After folks signed, we wanted to know why this issue mattered to them, how they were feeling about the economy more generally, and who they blame for its current state.

elisa

You say you signed the petition. I guess, how do you feel about the economy?

dave

I feel like the economy right now is crap.

astead herndon

Elisa and Marshelle met a man named Dave who said he works in the health insurance industry.

dave

Minimum wage is too low. Inflation is definitely too high. Even if you make six figures, you need to make nine figures to survive in this economy.

elisa

Do you feel like it’s gotten worse over the years?

dave

It’s gotten worse definitely over these last three years.

elisa

What do you account that to? Why do you think that is?

dave

I’m going to account that to Joe Biden and his administration and what they’re doing.

I really believe that them increasing the prices on every single thing. And I know they’re trying to get their money back from giving out all of them stimulus checks. But come on, now. We can’t even live. We got to rob Peter to pay Paul, and that’s just not working.

elisa

How did you feel about the stimulus checks? Do you feel like those were necessary?

dave

Those were definitely necessary. But at the same time, I felt like there should have been things in place for people not to over-abuse them. And we’re just paying for everybody who did all that PPP fraud. That’s what we’re paying for.

elisa

Did you vote for Biden in 2020?

dave

I did vote for Biden.

elisa

Is it making you reconsider voting?

dave

No, I’m going to vote for him again.

elisa

You’re going to vote for him again.

dave

Even though inflation is crazy high right now, I still believe that he’s done a lot outside of that. And I feel like if we give him another chance, he’ll do even more.

elisa

OK, so then you have issues with him when it comes to economy, I guess. Then what is your motivation for voting for him again in the fall?

dave

Well, he did what he’s supposed to do with the student loan debt, finally. He’s done things as far as him and Kamala when it comes to diversity and inclusion among communities. And so they’ve done a lot of great things, I would say. And that would lead my vote towards them. Now, I do miss Trump. Trump did give us the money. Trump did give us the money. I do believe that Trump was more so a president for helping the lower-class citizens. But yeah.

elisa

Did you — did you ever vote for Trump?

dave

I did vote for Trump.

elisa

OK, so tell me. Walk me through. So did you vote for Trump in 2016?

dave

Yes.

elisa

But you voted for Biden in 2020?

dave

Yes.

elisa

OK. Tell me, why did you vote for Trump in 2016?

dave

So I voted for Trump because Trump was funny. I’m going to be completely honest. He was a funny guy. I watched him on “Celebrity Apprentice” for many years and followed his business mindset. So that’s why I voted for him, and not to know all the stuff that he was going to do while he was elected, you know, was going to come out, all of that stuff. But him as a person that I viewed then is why I voted for him.

elisa

So then you vote for Biden. Is that because — tell me — tell me then how do you —

dave

I was grown and more mature. And then I seen the state of the world as the United States was going in. And that direction President Trump was putting us in was bad. It was bad.

elisa

And when did you decide that? When? 2017, 2018?

dave

Probably 2019. 2020, actually, really, when the whole really outbreak of coronavirus really took its toll. And I seen how he was treating people from China and his remarks and that.

And I’m like, OK, now this is not a joke. This is really who he is. And started to look into everything else. And then that persuaded my vote against him for his second term.

elisa

OK, OK. And now, and now, you’re decidedly — you’re going to vote for Biden in —

dave

Yes, yes. I’m going to give Biden a second chance. I believe that he’s doing what he said he was going to do during his campaign. Everything he said he was going to do, he’s pretty much done.

And so he lived up to his word, even though he made the cost of living high. They waited till I started making six figures to make the cost of living crazy. But I believe that he’s going to redeem, he’s going to redeem the United States.

elisa

Thank you so much. I’m Elisa.

astead herndon

While Elisa stayed with Marshelle —

talitha

Good afternoon, sir. Would you like to sign the petition to raise minimum wage to $15?

man

I did yesterday.

astead herndon

— Sophia and I started talking to a man named Rod who worked at a sandwich place nearby and was wearing his work uniform when he signed the petition.

astead herndon

How are you doing, sir? My name is Astead. This is Sophia. We’re from “The New York Times.” We’re actually in Ohio today talking to people about how they feel about the economy, how they feel about things that are going in the country right now, how they feel about this crazy election we’re about to have. Do you mind if you have five minutes to chat with us?

rod

Sure.

astead herndon

Thank you. I appreciate it.

rod

You may not like what I have to say, but.

astead herndon

I will promise you that as long as you’re saying something that’s honest, I would love to hear it. Can you tell me your name?

rod

Rod

astead herndon

Rod. All right, and are you from the county? Where are you from?

rod

Miamisburg.

astead herndon

OK, cool. You said you signed the minimum wage petition yesterday.

rod

Yes.

astead herndon

What made you want to sign?

rod

Most of my life, I’ve worked in food, as I still do. And we’ve always gotten paid less than what I thought we should be getting paid.

astead herndon

Do you mind if I ask how much you get paid now?

rod

I make $18 now, which isn’t too bad, especially, I don’t think, we’re making a sub. I know people that work at factories. They get paid that, and they do a lot harder work than I do.

astead herndon

So you’re saying you’ve always worked in food, and so usually that number’s been less than that?

rod

Oh, yes, definitely.

astead herndon

Can you tell me about some of the other rates that you were working at, other places, and how much you were making?

rod

All the way back to my first job — when I first started working at Taco Bell, I made $2.65 an hour. But that’s when I was 16.

astead herndon

Yeah.

rod

I don’t know. For the past few years, it’s been $10 or more But even then, I just feel like people should be able to work. You or me or anybody should be able to work by themselves and take care of themselves.

You can’t do that, especially not at $10, $12, $13 an hour, which is what most places are at about now. McDonald’s probably has the best pay out of fast food places.

astead herndon

I guess I’m wondering. With that $18 an hour in this economy, is it enough for you? How are you feeling right now?

rod

My wife works, and I DoorDash when I get off work. So, technically, I guess I have two jobs.

astead herndon

What’s the biggest stressor for you income wise when you think about your budget?

rod

Well, together, my wife and I both, we make enough to pay all the bills and everything and go to the grocery store. But there’s nothing left for us to do what we want to do with the money, not what we have to do with the money. So that’s why I DoorDash.

astead herndon

Has that changed in recent years? I’ve heard people talk about the rising prices. What has been the change like for you over the last couple of years when you think about money and the economy?

rod

The biggest thing is everything has increased in price, everything. I don’t care what it is — from gas to rent to food, whatever the case is. And because of that, it just makes everything else harder.

If I was making $18 even five years ago, or let’s say before COVID hit, I would have been making decent money then. I probably could have worked myself and took care of things myself.

astead herndon

Who do you blame for the rise in prices? Is there someone you blame specifically?

rod

Well, I mean, it all comes down to the man in charge, I think. He’s the one that can say yay or no to anything. Now, mind you, there’s still checks and balances where he can’t just absolutely say no or yes. But a lot of the people there that are there now are just — they’re not on the right track, I don’t think.

astead herndon

What do you mean? Can you be more specific?

rod

They’re not thinking about everyone.

astead herndon

Are you talking about President Biden? Are you talking about Democrats? Are you talking about Trump? Or are you talking — who are you talking about?

rod

Biden and Democrats. I was a Democrat for years up until Trump ran. I switched.

astead herndon

In 2016?

rod

Yes. And it was just because as a low-income person, you’re just automatically drawn to being a Democrat because they always want to give you things. Well, as I’ve gotten older, I’ve come to realize that they lie a lot.

They tell you all this stuff’s coming, and it never comes, or that this is changing and it never changes. Now, not to say that the same shit hasn’t happened with a Republican because it has. But I figured, I’ve been on one side long enough, and they weren’t working for me, so I switched.

astead herndon

What’d you do in 2020? Did you vote for Trump again?

rod

Um, I don’t remember. I would say yes.

astead herndon

The weird thing about this one is we got the same two again. When you look ahead, do you know who’s going to get your vote in November?

rod

Oh, definitely Trump, without a doubt.

astead herndon

There’s a lot of — Trump cut taxes for the rich. Trump added to the deficit. There’s a lot of arguments that you can say that he didn’t prioritize low-wage workers, either. So why does he definitely have your vote?

rod

Well, I just think the country in general was in a better place when he was the president than Biden has been the whole time, pretty much. He was — again, he was one of those people that came out and said we’re going to do this, we’re going to do that, we’re going to give you this, we’re going to give you that. Nothing.

And he keeps making up excuses about the border, for instance, about how I can’t just close the border. I can’t do it. He can. He legit can sign a piece of paper and stop the whole thing. But he won’t because it’s an election year.

astead herndon

If you could rank your most important issues — economy, you mentioned immigration. Is there anything at the top of your list when you think about the things that most matter to you, and then why you’re voting for Trump?

rod

I don’t know. Even though Trump is super rich, I don’t know why, but I feel I can relate to him more, which is kind of weird for me to say still to this day about a Republican, to be honest.

But I don’t know. He just — maybe he’s lying too, but he definitely is saying all the right things and wanting to maybe not correct, but at least make better some of the things that have fallen off since Biden took office.

astead herndon

Do you trust Trump or Biden more on the economy?

rod

Trump.

astead herndon

Trump or Biden more on immigration?

rod

Trump.

astead herndon

Is there any issue that you prefer Democrats to, considering you used to be a Democrat?

rod

Well, I mean, I like the way Democrats think, if they would just follow through with everything. A lot of the ideas that they come up with are great ideas.

astead herndon

It’s not just the words, it’s action.

rod

Yes.

astead herndon

Got it.

rod

I mean, you can’t tell somebody — like, if you’re a friend and I tell you I’m coming over. Well, I didn’t come today. Well, I’m coming tomorrow. I didn’t come tomorrow. I’m coming — you know, you can’t just keep telling somebody that over and over and over and over. They’re just going to be like, whatever. Don’t come. That’s just where I’m at with that.

In all honesty, I wish we didn’t have parties in general because when it’s all said and done, we’re all one country. We’re all one people. And we should all have the same, or at least close to the same, set of values and morals. And I don’t feel like that’s the case right now.

astead herndon

Thanks, Rod. Can you just tell me your last name?

astead herndon

As we were talking to Rod, we were told that the store manager called the cops to try to get the organizers and us away from their business. So we followed the organizers to another strip mall, about a 15-minute drive away on the west side of Dayton. That’s where Sophia and I met a woman named Tina.

astead herndon

My name is Astead. This is Sophia. We’re with “The New York Times.” We’ve been talking with the canvassers today and asking people why they decided to sign. I know you’ve got some bags. We can walk with you, too. We just wanted to know why you decided to sign. And I heard some stuff about you working with the folks returning.

tina

Yes.

astead herndon

And so I just would love to hear that story.

tina

Yes.

astead herndon

And so we can walk with you, if that’s easier.

tina

OK, OK, thank you.

astead herndon

No problem. Can you just tell me a little — oh.

tina

Uh-oh.

astead herndon

Cool. Thank you. Can you just tell us a little bit about yourself?

tina

All right. I work for the Montgomery County Office —

astead herndon

OK.

tina

Thank you, baby. — Montgomery County Office of Reentry. We welcome back returning citizens who are coming from incarceration. I’m sorry, darling.

astead herndon

No, go ahead. We can finish. We’re all good. You want to put it right here?

tina

Yes, darling, that’s fine. A lot of the returning citizens come back. They went to prison because they were street men. They had stacks of money all the time. So what sense does it make to come out of prison after you’re used to having money to survive, and you’re just making minimum wage?

So I think it’s important that that minimum wage is increased to help people live and to survive. I’m a single woman, so my income is my only income. And it’s hard to try and juggle between do I get food or gas? What do I do? Or do I just try to wait for another two weeks to pay the utility bill, pay a part of the utility bill? No one deserves to have to live like that.

astead herndon

Yeah, we’re talking about others. I’m curious for you, too. How long have you been in Dayton? Are you from around here?

tina

I’m from Dayton. I sure am.

astead herndon

We’re also asking people about the election, how they feel about the country right now. If I could pose that question to you, how would you relate the way people are kind of feeling that economic strife to the state of the country, optimism, and how things look going forward?

tina

As far as our government is concerned, you got to meet the people where they are. So politicians who are out and who are advocating for a position in government, you got to go where the people are. And you got to stay there. You just don’t go for photo ops and things like that. You got to become a part of the community that you are trying to win an election for.

astead herndon

The interesting thing is Ohio is such an important place for the presidential race historically. And there’s a kind of open question about whether it’s still a place that Democrats can do well and things. When you think about if you’re President Biden, do you think Ohio is a place where he can still win?

tina

I think Ohio is a place that he can still win. There are a lot of spiritually led people here in the state of Ohio who believes that if you have a heart for people that you’ll do good in office. So I just believe if he begins to just come and just advocate for some things for the people here that he would have a strong chance at winning the election again.

astead herndon

The last thing I’ll ask is, for us being around so many Dayton Black folks today, I haven’t heard a lot of good things about how they’re feeling about Democrats or how they’re feeling about even President Biden.

What do you think has shifted, that has made a community that historically has been so Democratic supportive? And when I’m around here over today and talking to people, I hear a lot of people upset. Do you hear the same thing? Or do you think that’s just the kind of outlier voice?

tina

I do hear the same thing. When Obama was in office, I believe that the African-Americans had a lot of hope, a lot of hope. But when he did his bid and his term, and now I just believe that they just feel hopeless.

We have a mayor who was the mayor of Trotwood, Ohio, for several terms. And she ran those terms as a Democrat. But then she switched affiliation to Republican. So that says a lot. It speaks volume. It really, really does.

astead herndon

Do you hear Trump even making inroads sometimes with these people?

tina

Yes.

astead herndon

And I’m always torn to know how real we think that is. Do you think that — what do you think is drawing some connection between someone who, I think, eight years ago, we would have said there’s no way he’s winning some Black folks? And now I’m like, I’m not so sure.

tina

Yeah, yeah. I do know African-Americans who support Trump. Yes, they support him because they feel as though he is a go-getter. He’s questionable, but he says what he means. And he’s not afraid to stand up to the opposition.

And so I believe that African-Americans they just want to support someone who is gung ho and gun strong and is going to do that. So they kind of overlook the things that he’s kind of going through in his life.

astead herndon

All those cases can mean less if he’s someone who says what he means and does what he means?

tina

Yes, yes.

astead herndon

If I’m hearing you correctly, though, I should expect you to vote for Biden in November. Question mark?

tina

I would vote? Is that what you’re asking?

astead herndon

Yeah, is that who you think you’re going to vote for?

tina

Yes, yes.

astead herndon

Cool. Thank you so much. I appreciate your time. Thank you. This was really great.

tina

Thank you for helping.

astead herndon

Have a great day.

astead herndon

Almost everyone we met in Dayton that day was eager to get the $15 minimum wage on the ballot in November. But their intentions at the top of the ticket were less clear.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

woman 1

Who ever going to forgive my student loans? I’ll take you. I’ll say you can go ahead and get in office.

woman 2

I think I’ll probably — if you want to forgive your student loans, you got to go with Trump.

woman 1

No, Biden’s been forgiving the loans. He was been clearing loans. Where are you at? Donald Trump.

woman 2

Why he ain’t clearing mines yet?

woman 1

You got to get in line.

man

To be honest with you —

astead herndon

Yeah?

man

— I hate to say it, but it’s honesty, you know what I’m saying, we got a lot done with Trump in office.

astead herndon

Including people who wouldn’t be voting at all.

man 1

Disenfranchised. This is coming from a man that’s born in ‘60. So I know what it’s like for brothers to have the right to vote. And I’ve always frowned on people saying, I’m not voting. What’s wrong with you. Well, I see now.

man 2

No, I wouldn’t vote for neither one of the presidents. Vote for the lesser of the two evils, you know what I’m saying? But you still voting for evil because what they’re doing is wrong, you know what I’m saying? So like, you know what I’m saying? So I’m not going to even get into that part of it.

astead herndon

More after the break.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Traditionally, Ohio has been an important battleground in the Electoral College, a toss-up for Republicans and Democrats. But in recent years, the state has trended toward the right, making it an uphill battle for Democrats to win its 17 electoral votes.

That’s bad news for Ohio Democrats, like incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, whose bid for re-election could tip the balance of power in the Senate. It also makes ballot efforts, like the one to raise minimum wage to $15, even more important because they could be the main reason some Democrats are motivated to show up to vote.

And so I wanted to sit down with Mariah Ross, a Cleveland native and the Ballot Initiative Director for One Fair Wage, to better understand the relationship between efforts like hers and races at the top of the ticket.

astead herndon

Is there anything that jumped out from the people we talked to that stuck out to you?

mariah ross

It’s something that we’re hearing every day, and that’s the fact that people can’t afford their bills. I think what we saw today just proves the point that this issue is top of mind for Black voters, Latin voters, and youth all around the state and around the country.

astead herndon

What happens next, though, in terms of being able to reach the signature threshold? And then once that is reached, how will this campaign transition?

mariah ross

Yeah. So after we collect over 700,000 signatures, which is our goal, and we turn them in to the Secretary of State, then we’re going to move into phase two of our campaign, which is going to be our peer-to-peer program. So these canvassers who you’ve met today who are low wage workers or they’ve worked in the restaurant industry, they’re going to lead our peer-to-peer program, talking to their coworkers, talking to people who they know in the industry, other unlikely voters.

Because what we found is that when candidates run on this issue and there’s a peer-to-peer program and they’re actually outspoken about the issue — not just on a piece of paper, but they actually talk about it — then these unlikely voters will go vote for this issue and for those candidates who support the issue. That’s what we saw today when people were saying I don’t usually vote, but, you know, I’ll come vote for this. And so that’s just true across the board.

astead herndon

Can I ask you about Ohio’s purpleness, I’m curious. What makes you think Democrats still do have a shot? And it’s been a couple of bad cycles for them here.

mariah ross

Yeah, I think Ohio’s views — and I wouldn’t even say necessarily Democrat or Republican because that’s so confined. A lot of people are independents, really, in their day-to-day life. People are more conservative, people are more progressive. But most people identify as independent.

When you are making the bare minimum, and you’re worried about how you’re going to feed your kids tonight, you can’t really care about an election that may not actually change your life or maybe will affect you three to four years later.

You’re worried about today, today only. Maybe tomorrow, but mostly you’re focused on today. And you don’t have the capacity to be able to care about voting or get involved in an election that isn’t going to affect your ability to pay your bills and feed your family.

So at the end of the day, I think that a lot of Ohioans, especially people who are either living in poverty or making wages that aren’t sustainable or living paycheck to paycheck, they can’t get involved in civic engagement because not just the education factor — because we do need more civic engagement, education in the state — but the factor of “I don’t have time for that.”

Other issues are important. Climate change is important. But nobody can care about that because we’re making low wages because that is going to affect them 20 or 30 years from now.

Same thing with other issues that are hard to understand. We have gerrymandering — an initiative for that happening right now in Ohio, and people do want fair districts. However, a lot of people who are making low wages don’t have capacity to learn what that is or even go and vote for that or even register to vote because they can’t take a day off work.

People don’t have time. People aren’t just working one job. Working one job for minimum wage, you might make $1,800 a month. People are working two to three jobs to get by and working side hustles or in a gig economy. People are doing DoorDash. People are doing Uber. People are doing Lyft. People are doing hair on the side. People are just trying to get by. And so people have very hectic schedules, and there’s no capacity to care about something that isn’t going to change your actual situation.

astead herndon

I know that people are engaged when you ask them about minimum wage. Are they engaged when you ask them about voting in general? Because it’s been pretty bleak out there when we talk to people about their level of interest in this election.

mariah ross

No, yeah, people tell us, oh, that isn’t going to change anything, or no, I don’t do politics. We get those traditional answers. However, we always push back against that and say, you should care about politics, especially about your local politics, about your statewide politics because those will affect your day-to-day lives. And when you explain how it affects someone’s day-to-day lives about, hey, you can get the minimum wage raise in your state. Hey, you can get your streets repaired, get that abandoned house tore down or fix some tax issues in your city, municipal tax issues, things like that.

We explain why local elections are so important. And you can vote for your sheriff. You can vote for your judges. A lot of people don’t even know that you can vote for judges. So when we explain those things to people, people are like, I see what you’re saying. I do want to get involved. I do want to do that.

So we register them to vote. And then we’re going to follow up with them and continue to talk to them about pivotal issues that actually can affect their day-to-day lives because that’s the big disconnect. Democrats and Republicans have failed a lot of working people in the fact that it’s not about the GDP or the unemployment rates. For most people, it’s about how much is the eggs in the grocery store? How much is the gas for my car? How much is my rent? And so working people haven’t seen a change in those things. They’re just getting worse every year on the ground.

And so when they see somebody actually trying to change those things, when we see people fighting for housing issues, people fighting for wages, people fighting for things that actually will change their day-to-day lives, then people want to get involved because they can see tangible results. And that’s what it’s about.

astead herndon

Yeah. And to your point, that’s not necessarily the conversation you hear either from D or R when you’re thinking about the presidential race, or even Joe Biden. It’s a lot about the GDP. It’s a lot about employment.

And you hear a lot of Democrats right now, they say the economy is very good, in fact. Can you explain the gap between that language and what you experienced on the day? If I’m a Democrat saying the economy is good right now, does that message hit?

mariah ross

I think there’s a bit of a disconnect on the definition of economy. What is an economy? If you ask an economist, it’ll be GDP, unemployment rates, and a lot of other factors that the average American does not understand or care about, quite frankly.

But if you ask an average worker, they would tell you an economy is how much does it cost to get the items I need to live, and does my livelihood cover those costs? Do I make enough money to cover the cost to live? That is what the economy is to most people. So we ask people, you’ll hear a lot of people say the economy is terrible. And that doesn’t mean they’re talking about GDP or unemployment rates. They’re talking about the gas is expensive in my community. And I make a wage that doesn’t afford that gas.

So therefore, to me, the economy is bad. That is what the economy means to an average American. And I think it’s just a definition issue. The traditional word — a good economy, a bad economy, or economics in general with economists — versus what people actually think the economy is.

astead herndon

What they’re experiencing.

mariah ross

Yeah.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

marshelle

So how do you feel about the economy now?

elisa

What’s at the bottom of it?

man 3

I could definitely use more pay.

marshelle

It could, couldn’t it. Yes.

man 3

I actually make $15 an hour right now.

marshelle

Do you?

man 3

Yeah.

astead herndon

More than anything, what I took from our afternoon in Dayton is that for the people we talk to, the everyday lived experience of the economy matters more than traditional economic indicators.

woman 3

You have a working mother that makes — you know what I’m saying — that they got to live from paycheck to paycheck but still got to go down here to a pantry to get food to provide for her kids. You know what I’m saying? It’s everybody is out for something. It’s always this.

astead herndon

Prices are going up.

woman 4

I’m sorry. I’m penny pinching, and my kids are grown now, but I’m still penny pinching. Thank god that I have, you know, a family that we all live together, like my dad, my husband, my son. So we split the bills, but I couldn’t even imagine doing it by myself.

man 4

I mean, literally, anything you purchase is higher in price now than it was a couple of years ago.

It’s not sustainable without — you can’t keep raising the cost of living without allowing people to meet that at least somewhat.

astead herndon

The cost of housing and food remain high.

woman 5

Just my rent is $910 off of my wages, and it’s not enough.

man 5

Basically, we do need more money. It’s been struggling lately, but most people aren’t keeping track of the way the food and stuff been going up and everything.

woman 6

$15 ain’t even —

woman 7

It isn’t enough.

woman 6

And if you got kids, you really struggling.

woman 7

Yeah.

astead herndon

And wages aren’t keeping up.

woman 6

In order to work minimum wage, you have to live in low-income housing or something. It’s hard. It’s like, you cannot get ahead.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

astead herndon

So while the US economy might be the world’s best, as President Biden likes to describe it, that doesn’t mean it’s working in Dayton, or for most Americans.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

That’s “The Run-Up” for Thursday, May 23, 2024. And now, the run-down.

archived recording

And about one week from now, a jury of 12 New Yorkers will start deliberating the fate of the first former President charged with a crime.

astead herndon

Trump’s criminal trial in Manhattan reached a milestone this week, with both the prosecution and defense resting their cases. Closing arguments are set to take place next Tuesday, and jury deliberation is expected to begin the day after.

archived recording (donald trump)

This case is a disgrace.

astead herndon

Trump, who publicly and often said that he would be testifying, did not. But he did speak outside the courthouse on Tuesday.

archived recording (donald trump)

This is all about Biden can’t campaign, so he’s trying to injure his opponent.

astead herndon

Trump is also set to hold a rally in the Bronx later today. Finally —

archived recording

Breaking news. We’re getting election results.

astead herndon

— a set of primaries were held Tuesday night, including in Kentucky and Oregon. California held a special election to fill former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s seat, which the Republican candidate easily won.

archived recording

And voters hit the polls last night in a state that is key to Trump legally and to the 2024 electoral map. We’re talking about Georgia.

astead herndon

And in Georgia — [CROWD CHANTING]

— District Attorney Fani Willis, who has faced ethical scrutiny and leads the Georgia case against Donald Trump, handily won her primary. There are 53 days until the Republican National Convention, 88 days until the Democratic National Convention, and 166 days until the general election. We’ll see you next week.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

“The Run-Up” is reported by me, Astead Herndon, and produced by Elisa Gutierrez, Caitlin O’Keefe, and Anna Foley. It’s edited by Rachel Dry and Lisa Tobin, with original music by Dan Powell, Marion Lozano, Pat McCusker, Diane Wong, Sophia Lanman, and Elisheba Ittoop.

It was mixed by Sophia Lanman and fact-checked by Caitlin Love. Special thanks to Paula Szuchman, Sam Dolnick, Larissa Anderson, David Halbfinger, Maddy Masiello, Mahima Chablani, Nick Pittman, and Jeffrey Miranda.

Do you have questions about the 2024 election? Email us at [email protected]. Or better yet, record your question using the voice memo app on your phone and then send us the file. That email, again, is [email protected].

And finally, if you liked the show and want to get updates on latest episodes, follow our feed wherever you get your podcasts. Thanks for listening, y’all.


Elisa Gutierrez and

Reporting from Dayton, Ohio.

As he runs for re-election, President Biden is talking about one specific issue a lot: the economy. He emphasizes the nation’s low unemployment and slowing inflation, and even rolled out a catchy nickname for the good numbers: Bidenomics.

The problem for Mr. Biden is that few Americans seem to agree that the economy is strong. They think the opposite.

Image
President Biden spoke about what he calls “Bidenomics” in Chicago in June 2023.Credit...Doug Mills/The New York Times

This week, we explore the gap between the good economy, as described by the president, and the not-so-great economy, as felt by so many Americans. And we do it in Dayton, Ohio, where activists are working to get increasing the minimum wage on the ballot in November. It’s a view of Mr. Biden’s economy from the bottom up.

“The Run-Up” is your guide to understanding the 2024 election. Through on-the-ground reporting and conversations with colleagues from The New York Times, newsmakers and voters across the country, our host, Astead W. Herndon, takes us beyond the horse race to explore how we came to this moment in American politics. New episodes on Thursdays.


“The Run-Up” is hosted by Astead W. Herndon and produced by Elisa Gutierrez, Caitlin O’Keefe and Anna Foley. The show is edited by Rachel Dry and Lisa Tobin. Engineering by Sophia Lanman and original music by Dan Powell, Marion Lozano, Pat McCusker, Diane Wong and Elisheba Ittoop. Fact-checking by Caitlin Love.

Special thanks to Paula Szuchman, Sam Dolnick, Larissa Anderson, David Halbfinger, Mahima Chablani, Jeffrey Miranda and Maddy Masiello.

Astead W. Herndon is a national politics reporter and the host of the politics podcast “The Run-Up.” More about Astead W. Herndon

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