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. 2015 Jul;1(4):505-27.
doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2015.0735.

The Global Burden of Cancer 2013

Global Burden of Disease Cancer CollaborationChristina Fitzmaurice  1 Daniel Dicker  2 Amanda Pain  2 Hannah Hamavid  2 Maziar Moradi-Lakeh  3 Michael F MacIntyre  2 Christine Allen  2 Gillian Hansen  2 Rachel Woodbrook  2 Charles Wolfe  4 Randah R Hamadeh  5 Ami Moore  6 Andrea Werdecker  7 Bradford D Gessner  8 Braden Te Ao  9 Brian McMahon  10 Chante Karimkhani  11 Chuanhua Yu  12 Graham S Cooke  13 David C Schwebel  14 David O Carpenter  15 David M Pereira  16 Denis Nash  17 Dhruv S Kazi  18 Diego De Leo  19 Dietrich Plass  20 Kingsley N Ukwaja  21 George D Thurston  22 Kim Yun Jin  23 Edgar P Simard  24 Edward Mills  25 Eun-Kee Park  26 Ferrán Catalá-López  27 Gabrielle deVeber  28 Carolyn Gotay  29 Gulfaraz Khan  30 H Dean Hosgood 3rd  31 Itamar S Santos  32 Janet L Leasher  33 Jasvinder Singh  34 James Leigh  35 Jost B Jonas  36 Juan Sanabria  37 Justin Beardsley  38 Kathryn H Jacobsen  39 Ken Takahashi  40 Richard C Franklin  41 Luca Ronfani  42 Marcella Montico  42 Luigi Naldi  43 Marcello Tonelli  44 Johanna Geleijnse  45 Max Petzold  46 Mark G Shrime  47 Mustafa Younis  48 Naohiro Yonemoto  49 Nicholas Breitborde  50 Paul Yip  51 Farshad Pourmalek  52 Paulo A Lotufo  32 Alireza Esteghamati  53 Graeme J Hankey  54 Raghib Ali  55 Raimundas Lunevicius  56 Reza Malekzadeh  57 Robert Dellavalle  58 Robert Weintraub  59 Robyn Lucas  60 Roderick Hay  61 David Rojas-Rueda  62 Ronny Westerman  63 Sadaf G Sepanlou  64 Sandra Nolte  65 Scott Patten  66 Scott Weichenthal  67 Semaw Ferede Abera  68 Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad  69 Ivy Shiue  70 Tim Driscoll  71 Tommi Vasankari  72 Ubai Alsharif  73 Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar  74 Vasiliy V Vlassov  75 W S Marcenes  76 Wubegzier Mekonnen  77 Yohannes Adama Melaku  78 Yuichiro Yano  79 Al Artaman  80 Ismael Campos  47 Jennifer MacLachlan  81 Ulrich Mueller  82 Daniel Kim  83 Matias Trillini  84 Babak Eshrati  85 Hywel C Williams  86 Kenji Shibuya  87 Rakhi Dandona  88 Kinnari Murthy  88 Benjamin Cowie  81 Azmeraw T Amare  89 Carl Abelardo Antonio  90 Carlos Castañeda-Orjuela  91 Coen H van Gool  92 Francesco Violante  93 In-Hwan Oh  94 Kedede Deribe  95 Kjetil Soreide  96 Luke Knibbs  97 Maia Kereselidze  98 Mark Green  99 Rosario Cardenas  100 Nobhojit Roy  101 Taavi Tillmann  102 Yongmei Li  103 Hans Krueger  29 Lorenzo Monasta  42 Subhojit Dey  104 Sara Sheikhbahaei  53 Nima Hafezi-Nejad  53 G Anil Kumar  88 Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy  105 Lalit Dandona  106 Haidong Wang  2 Stein Emil Vollset  107 Ali Mokdad  2 Joshua A Salomon  47 Rafael Lozano  108 Theo Vos  2 Mohammad Forouzanfar  2 Alan Lopez  109 Christopher Murray  2 Mohsen Naghavi  2
Affiliations

The Global Burden of Cancer 2013

Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration et al. JAMA Oncol. 2015 Jul.

Erratum in

  • Errors in Author Names.
    [No authors listed] [No authors listed] JAMA Oncol. 2015 Aug;1(5):690. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2015.2892. JAMA Oncol. 2015. PMID: 26270254 No abstract available.

Abstract

Importance: Cancer is among the leading causes of death worldwide. Current estimates of cancer burden in individual countries and regions are necessary to inform local cancer control strategies.

Objective: To estimate mortality, incidence, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 28 cancers in 188 countries by sex from 1990 to 2013.

Evidence review: The general methodology of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2013 study was used. Cancer registries were the source for cancer incidence data as well as mortality incidence (MI) ratios. Sources for cause of death data include vital registration system data, verbal autopsy studies, and other sources. The MI ratios were used to transform incidence data to mortality estimates and cause of death estimates to incidence estimates. Cancer prevalence was estimated using MI ratios as surrogates for survival data; YLDs were calculated by multiplying prevalence estimates with disability weights, which were derived from population-based surveys; YLLs were computed by multiplying the number of estimated cancer deaths at each age with a reference life expectancy; and DALYs were calculated as the sum of YLDs and YLLs.

Findings: In 2013 there were 14.9 million incident cancer cases, 8.2 million deaths, and 196.3 million DALYs. Prostate cancer was the leading cause for cancer incidence (1.4 million) for men and breast cancer for women (1.8 million). Tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer was the leading cause for cancer death in men and women, with 1.6 million deaths. For men, TBL cancer was the leading cause of DALYs (24.9 million). For women, breast cancer was the leading cause of DALYs (13.1 million). Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) per 100 000 and age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) per 100 000 for both sexes in 2013 were higher in developing vs developed countries for stomach cancer (ASIR, 17 vs 14; ASDR, 15 vs 11), liver cancer (ASIR, 15 vs 7; ASDR, 16 vs 7), esophageal cancer (ASIR, 9 vs 4; ASDR, 9 vs 4), cervical cancer (ASIR, 8 vs 5; ASDR, 4 vs 2), lip and oral cavity cancer (ASIR, 7 vs 6; ASDR, 2 vs 2), and nasopharyngeal cancer (ASIR, 1.5 vs 0.4; ASDR, 1.2 vs 0.3). Between 1990 and 2013, ASIRs for all cancers combined (except nonmelanoma skin cancer and Kaposi sarcoma) increased by more than 10% in 113 countries and decreased by more than 10% in 12 of 188 countries.

Conclusions and relevance: Cancer poses a major threat to public health worldwide, and incidence rates have increased in most countries since 1990. The trend is a particular threat to developing nations with health systems that are ill-equipped to deal with complex and expensive cancer treatments. The annual update on the Global Burden of Cancer will provide all stakeholders with timely estimates to guide policy efforts in cancer prevention, screening, treatment, and palliation.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Age-Specific Global Contributions of Cancer Types to Total Cancer Incidence and Mortality, 2013
For International Classification of Diseases codes included in the other neoplasms group, see eTable 15 in the Supplement.
Figure 2
Figure 2. Relative Changes in Age-Standardized Incidence and Death Rates in Both Sexes for All Cancers Except NMSC and KS in 188 Countries From 1990 to 2013
ATG indicates Antigua and Barbuda; BRB, Barbados; COM, Comoros; DMA, Dominica; E Med: Eastern Mediterranean; FJI, Fiji; FSM, Federated States of Micronesia; GRD, Grenada; KIR, Kiribati; KS, Kaposi sarcoma; LCA, Saint Lucia; MDV, Maldives; MLT, Malta; MUS, Mauritius; MHL, Marshall Islands; NMSC, nonmelanoma skin cancer; SGP, Singapore; SLB, Solomon Islands; SYC, Seychelles; TLS, Timor-Leste; TON, Tonga; TTO, Trinidad and Tobago; VCT, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines; VUT, Vanuatu; W Africa, West Africa; WSM, Samoa.
Figure 3
Figure 3. Cancers Ranked by Number of Incident Cases in Both Sexes, Globally, by Development Status, and in the 50 Most Populous Countries, 2013
Colors correspond to the ranking, with dark red as the most common cancer and dark green as the least common cancer for the location indicated. Rankings do not include the “other cancer” group (eTable 15 in the Supplement). The numbers inside each box indicate the ranking. a Developing country. b Democratic Republic of Congo.
Figure 4
Figure 4. Cancers Ranked by Number of Deaths in Both Sexes, Globally, by Development Status, and in the 50 Most Populous Countries, 2013
Colors correspond to the ranking, with dark red as the cancer with the most deaths and dark green as the cancer with the least deaths for the location indicated. Rankings do not include the “other cancer” group (eTable 15 in the Supplement). The numbers inside each box indicate the ranking. a Developing country. b Democratic Republic of Congo.
Figure 5
Figure 5. Cancers Ranked Globally and for Both Sexes by Absolute Years of Life Lost (YLLs) Including the Percentage Change in Absolute YLLs and the Percentage Change in the Age-Standardized YLL Rate Between 1990 and 2013
The “other cancers” group (eTable 15 in the Supplement) is not included here because it contains multiple different types of cancers. Solid lines connecting the 1990 and 2013 charts indicate increased or unchanged rank for the connected cancers; dotted lines indicated decreased rank.
Figure 6
Figure 6. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Tracheal, Bronchus, and Lung Cancer, 1990-2013
Figure 7
Figure 7. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Female Breast Cancer, 1990-2013
Figure 8
Figure 8. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Colon and Rectum Cancer, 1990-2013
Figure 9
Figure 9. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Prostate Cancer, 1990-2013
Figure 10
Figure 10. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Stomach Cancer, 1990-2013
Figure 11
Figure 11. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Liver Cancer, 1990-2013
Figure 12
Figure 12. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Cervical Cancer, 1990-2013
Figure 13
Figure 13. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma, 1990-2013
Figure 14
Figure 14. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Esophageal Cancer, 1990-2013
Figure 15
Figure 15. Trends in Age-Standardized Incidence Rates for Leukemia, 1990-2013

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