Our NFL betting writer offers best betting picks and predictions for the Week 9 matchup between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers, scheduled to air live on FOX at 1 p.m. ET from Ford Field.
The Packers are 3-5 and dropping further from their typical perch in the NFC North as the Lions limp toward the halfway point in the season at 1-6 with significant struggles on defense.
Packers vs. Lions picks
- Packers QB Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 TD passes @ -130 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Packers RB Aaron Jones over 96.5 total yards @ -135 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Over 9.5 first-quarter points @ -110 at Caesars Sportsbook
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Packers vs. Lions picks and analysis
The Packers limp to the finish of a three-game road trip hoping to halt a losing streak that hit four games last week. The NFC continues to offer a roadmap to a potential wildcard spot but the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) are threatening to run away with the division.
Detroit is not looking like a threat to that crown at all with a 1-6 record and one of the worst defenses statistically through eight weeks. Beating Green Bay is always a feel-good moment for the Lions. The Lions defeated the Packers 37-30 in Detroit last season, snapping Green Bay’s five-game winning streak in the series.
Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 touchdown passes
With pass protection, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers has looked like him self through the growing pains of breaking in a reliable receiver or three. And he’s found a career worth of glimmering success against the Lions.
The Lions also have to tighten up a defense that allowed 382 passing yards to Tua Tagovailoa last week and in Week 7 Detroit was railroaded by the Dallas Cowboys’ ground game.
It’s all good news for Rodgers and a team that needs a get-well type of Sunday. Even in a season being framed as a down year for Rodgers, he has two TD passes in six of his past seven starts.
Packers vs. Lions prediction: Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 TD passes @ -130 (Caesars Sportsbook)
Aaron Jones over 96.5 total yards
Aaron Jones has been the focus of almost every defense the Packers have seen this season and the Week 9 meeting with the Lions is not the exception. But Jones has worn a target in this rivalry before, and the results favor No. 33.
Jones had 115 total yards (67 rushing, 48 receiving) with four TDs (three rec., one rush) in his last game vs the Lions. He’s also coming off of a season-high production total: 157 total yards, including 143 rushing.
Detroit ranks 29th in total defense and is one of the eight worst teams in tackling per Pro Football Focus. Jones runs wild.
Packers vs. Lions prediction: Aaron Jones over 96.5 total yards @ -135 (Caesars Sportsbook)
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Over 9.5 total first quarter points
The Lions allow 32.1 points per game and the Packers surrender 21.6 per game, and neither team has been great out of the gate at slowing their opponents. Detroit has allowed 49 points in the first quarter this season.
Green Bay has been outscored 33-27 in the first quarter this season.
Each team scored a touchdown in the first quarter of both meetings last season (7-7), and the 2020 games featured 17 points (14-3, Lions) and 14 points (7-7).
Packers vs. Lions prediction: Over 9.5 first quarter points @ -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
Packers vs. Lions odds
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, accurate at the time of publishing and subject to change.
| Team | Spread | Money Line | Points (49.5) |
| Lions | -3.5 (-110) | -190 | Over -110 |
| Packers | +3.5 (-110) | +158 | Under -110 |