Dolphins vs. Bears predictions: Odds and NFL picks Sunday

Our NFL betting writer brings you his best Dolphins vs. Bears predictions and picks for their NFL Week 9 showdown, which is live Sunday on CBS at 1 p.m. EST.

Miami (5-3) is seeking its second three-game winning streak of the season against the 3-5 Bears. Most of the good vibes from a Week 7 upset win at New England went by the wayside in a 49-29 loss at Dallas in which Chicago surrendered 450-plus yards.

Dolphins vs. Bears picks

• Dolphins over 25.5 points, @ -110 via BetMGM
• Raheem Mostert longest rush over 15.5 yards, @ -105 via BetMGM 
• Darnell Mooney over 42.5 receiving yards, @ -120 via BetMGM

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Dolphins vs. Bears picks and analysis

With quarterback Tua Tagovailoa healthy and clicking, the Dolphins rallied for a 31-27 victory at Detroit last week, blanking the Lions 14-0 in the second half.

The Bears continue to lead the league in rushing with 1,507 yards behind the three-headed monster of quarterback Justin Fields and running backs David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert. But a struggling defense made those efforts mostly moot in Dallas.

Dolphins over 25.5 points

Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa passed for 382 yards and three touchdowns at Detroit, as receivers Tyreek Hill (12 catches, 188 yards) and Jaylen Waddle (eight catches, 106 yards, two touchdowns) enjoyed big days yet again.

The duo now has 1,688 combined receiving yards through eight games, a record for two teammates during the Super Bowl era.

Next up: the Bears, who traded linebacker and league-leading tackler Roquan Smith this week, not long after shopping defensive end Robert Quinn.

Miami made some trades of its own, landing linebacker Bradley Chubb and running back Jeff Wilson. Between established offensive stars and defenders that can pressure Chicago quarterback Justin Fields, the Dolphins look to move the ball while enjoying strong field position.

Dolphins vs. Bears prediction: Dolphins over 25.5 points, @ -110 via BetMGM

Darnell Mooney over 42.5 receiving yards

New Bears wide receiver Chase Claypool called himself “a dynamic playmaker” when meeting the media this week, not far removed from his acquisition from Pittsburgh.

While the move may not fully shift the run-first Bears from their offensive mantra, it figures to get the incumbent Darnell Mooney stirring.

After snagging a mere four receptions in September, Mooney had a far stronger October, closing the month by catching all five of his targets against Dallas for 70 yards. Look for Claypool not only to make splashes in the passing game himself, but also help free attention from Mooney as the Bears try to keep the Dolphins’ ‘D’ honest.

Dolphins vs. Bears prediction: Darnell Mooney over 42.5 receiving yards, @ -120 via BetMGM

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Raheem Mostert longest rush over 15.5 yards

You’ve just read about the prolific exploits of Hill and Waddle, but the Dolphins shouldn’t forget they’re encountering a Bears defense that has struggled to stop the run, too.

Entering Week 9, Chicago has yielded the second-most rush yards in the league (1,248), while its opponents’ yards per carry (5.0) is 27th.

Miami’s Raheem Mostert is averaging 4.5 yards per carry and facing a ‘D’ that recently has dealt two standouts from its front seven. That makes Mostert good for at least one breakaway run Sunday.

Dolphins vs. Bears prediction: Raheem Mostert longest rush over 15.5 yards, @ -105 via BetMGM 

Dolphins vs Bears odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM. Correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total Points 45.5
Dolphins	(-5)  -110	-225	Over   -110
Bears	(+5)   -110	+185	Under -110